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Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ordabasy Result & Analysis

Date: 11/09/2022
Time: 10:00
Final 4-0
Kyzyl-Zhar
Kyzyl-Zhar
Vs
56%
27%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ordabasy
Ordabasy
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Kyzyl-Zhar win✓ Hit
56.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy win✗ Miss
17.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W13L01L12L20W01L00D01L31W01LA·SHA19/06H·FK 26/06A·FK 03/07H·NK 21/07A·NK 28/07A·APO04/08H·APO11/08A·FC 21/08H·ARY27/08A·AKT05/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.951.181.201.100.751.25
vs Stronger (11)0.641.360.751.500.571.29
vs Similar (11)1.271.001.500.831.001.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %18% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L12L01L32W10W30W41W13L04L12LA·ATY01/05H·FC 07/05A·SHA14/05H·TAR19/06A·AKZ25/06H·FK 29/06H·KAS04/07A·AKT21/08A·FK 27/08H·ARY04/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.332.301.100.501.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.712.002.501.250.673.00
vs Weaker (11)1.360.912.171.000.400.80
Clean sheet %22% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.0%
Under 2.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.7%
Under 3.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.3%
No
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
Kyzyl-Zhar goals ↓
Ordabasy goals →
01234
09.6%5.7%2.8%0.8%0.2%
113%13%4.6%1.3%0.3%
212%9.5%3.9%1.0%0.2%
36.4%5.2%2.1%0.6%0.1%
42.7%2.2%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kyzyl-Zhar goals (down), columns = Ordabasy goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Astana
2.08
Aktobe
2.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.81
Kairat Almaty
1.62
Ordabasy
1.46
FK Aksu
1.38
Maqtaaral
1.19
Kaspiy
1.19
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.15
Shakhter Karagandy
1.15
Atyrau
1.12
Taraz
1.08
Arys
1.08
Akzhayik
0.96
Kyzyl-Zhar is 0.31 points worse than Ordabasy in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.46).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Astana
2.50
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.77
Aktobe
1.65
Ordabasy
1.38
Kairat Almaty
1.31
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.27
FK Aksu
1.23
Shakhter Karagandy
1.19
Atyrau
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.08
Taraz
1.04
Kaspiy
1.00
Arys
0.96
Akzhayik
0.73
Kyzyl-Zhar is 0.12 goals worse than Ordabasy in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.38).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Astana
0.81
Aktobe
1.08
Taraz
1.12
Akzhayik
1.19
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.23
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.27
Shakhter Karagandy
1.35
Arys
1.35
Kairat Almaty
1.38
FK Aksu
1.42
Maqtaaral
1.46
Ordabasy
1.50
Atyrau
1.50
Kaspiy
1.62
Kyzyl-Zhar is 0.27 goals better than Ordabasy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar

For 3.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1002843107A·NK H·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

30211132A·APOH·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

OrdabasyOrdabasy

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (22)8.57.010.00.20.20.2---
vs Stronger (11)8.57.010.00.50.50.4---
vs Similar (11)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%0%100%0%0%0%---
% under line50%100%0%100%100%100%---
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OrdabasyOrdabasy

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (18)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (7)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (11)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Kairat Almaty
11.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.0
FC Astana
9.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
6.0
FC Astana
5.5
Kairat Almaty
4.5
Kyzyl-Zhar
2.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L11D00D00D00D01L00D01L00D00DA·SHA19/06H·FK 26/06A·FK 03/07H·NK 21/07A·NK 28/07A·APO04/08H·APO11/08A·FC 21/08H·ARY27/08A·AKT05/09
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.450.400.300.080.58
vs Stronger (11)0.270.550.500.250.140.71
vs Similar (11)0.180.360.330.330.000.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %55% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D00D31W00D20W20W12L02L02LA·ATY01/05H·FC 07/05A·SHA14/05H·TAR19/06A·AKZ25/06H·FK 29/06H·KAS04/07A·AKT21/08A·FK 27/08H·ARY04/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.890.891.300.800.381.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.141.291.500.750.672.00
vs Weaker (11)0.730.641.170.830.200.40
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L01L12L20W00D00D00D31W01LA·SHA19/06H·FK 26/06A·FK 03/07H·NK 21/07A·NK 28/07A·APO04/08H·APO11/08A·FC 21/08H·ARY27/08A·AKT05/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.800.800.670.67
vs Stronger (11)0.360.820.251.250.430.57
vs Similar (11)1.090.641.170.501.000.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %45% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L01L10W10W21W01L02L10WA·ATY01/05H·FC 07/05A·SHA14/05H·TAR19/06A·AKZ25/06H·FK 29/06H·KAS04/07A·AKT21/08A·FK 27/08H·ARY04/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.610.441.000.300.120.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.570.711.000.500.001.00
vs Weaker (11)0.640.271.000.170.200.40
Clean sheet %61% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
Kyzyl-Zhar's squad is €6m less valuable than Ordabasy's (€4m vs €10m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
KAS (4)
€1m
Kyzyl-Zhar's attack is €1m less valuable than Ordabasy's (€2m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
Kyzyl-Zhar's midfield is €2m less valuable than Ordabasy's (€1m vs €3m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
Kyzyl-Zhar's defence is €3m less valuable than Ordabasy's (€1m vs €4m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
KYZ wins
0
Draws
1
ORD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ordabasy · H/A from KYZ
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/22AOrdabasy Vs KYZ3-1

Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/09/22AAktobe Vs KYZ1-0
27/08/22HKYZ Vs Arys3-1
21/08/22AFC Astana Vs KYZ1-0
11/08/22HKYZ Vs Apoel Nicosia0-0
04/08/22AApoel Nicosia Vs KYZ1-0
28/07/22ANK Osijek Vs KYZ0-2
21/07/22HKYZ Vs NK Osijek1-2
03/07/22AFK Aksu Vs KYZ1-0
26/06/22HKYZ Vs FK Tobol Kostanay1-3
19/06/22AShakhter Karagandy Vs KYZ1-2

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/09/22HORD Vs Arys1-2
27/08/22AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs ORD4-0
21/08/22AAktobe Vs ORD3-1
04/07/22HORD Vs Kaspiy4-1
29/06/22HORD Vs FK Aksu3-0
25/06/22AAkzhayik Vs ORD0-1
19/06/22HORD Vs Taraz3-2
14/05/22AShakhter Karagandy Vs ORD1-0
07/05/22HORD Vs FC Astana1-2
01/05/22AAtyrau Vs ORD2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kyzyl-Zhar
Kyzyl-Zhar
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.00
HomeWLLDW1.30
AwayLWLLL0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%30%17%
AVG goals2.142.302.00
Over 1.5 %64%80%50%
Over 2.5 %32%40%25%
Over 3.5 %18%20%17%
Scored0.951.200.75
Conceded1.181.101.25
BTTS50%70%33%
Clean Sheet18%20%17%
Corners8.507.0010.00
Cards2.502.003.00
Ordabasy
Ordabasy
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.44
HomeLWWWL2.20
AwayLLWLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%70%12%
AVG goals2.833.402.12
Over 1.5 %78%100%50%
Over 2.5 %67%80%50%
Over 3.5 %33%40%25%
Scored1.502.300.50
Conceded1.331.101.62
BTTS61%80%38%
Clean Sheet22%20%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC AstanaFC Astana2654
62%
2.1
6521+44
3.3
81%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3252.50.8
-
2AktobeAktobe2652
62%
2.0
4328+15
2.7
77%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.71.1
-
3FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2647
54%
1.8
4633+13
3.0
85%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.81.3
-
4Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2642
46%
1.6
3436-2
2.7
81%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.31.4
-
5OrdabasyOrdabasy2638
42%
1.5
3639-3
2.9
77%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3341.41.5
-
6FK AksuFK Aksu2636
42%
1.4
3237-5
2.7
69%
50%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
7MaqtaaralMaqtaaral2631
31%
1.2
2838-10
2.5
69%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
8KaspiyKaspiy2631
35%
1.2
2642-16
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.01.6
-
9Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2630
27%
1.2
3332+1
2.5
73%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.31.2
-
10Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2630
31%
1.2
3135-4
2.5
65%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
11AtyrauAtyrau2629
27%
1.1
3039-9
2.7
77%
54%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.5
-
12TarazTaraz2628
23%
1.1
2729-2
2.2
62%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.1
-
13ArysArys2628
23%
1.1
2535-10
2.3
69%
38%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
14AkzhayikAkzhayik2625
23%
1.0
1931-12
1.9
54%
27%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.2
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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