This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ordabasy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.07
1.31
0.81
1.07
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.87
1.40
1.25
1.25
0.43
1.57
vs Weaker (15)
1.53
0.73
1.38
0.38
1.71
1.14
Clean sheet %
37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.3%
Under 1.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.2%
Under 2.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.4%
Under 3.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.2%
No
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0 â
12.2%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
Kyzyl-Zhar goals ↓
Ordabasy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
11%
6.8%
2.5%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
6.6%
7.4%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.4%
2.7%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kyzyl-Zhar goals (down), columns = Ordabasy goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Taraz
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.25
SD Family
2.25
Yelimay Semey
2.25
FK Tobol Kostanay
2.25
Jas Qyran
2.00
Aktobe
2.00
Ordabasy
2.00
Atyrau
1.80
Irtysh
1.75
AKAS
1.67
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.50
FC Astana
1.50
Ulytau
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
Zhetisay
1.33
Talas Karatau
1.17
Arys
1.17
Okzhetpes
0.67
Ekibastuz
0.50
Yassy Turkistan
0.50
Kaspiy
0.50
Khan Tengri
0.33
Turan Turkistan
0.33
Maqtaaral
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Zhenys
0.00
Shakhter Karagandy
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Kyzyl-Zhar is 0.50 points worse than Ordabasy in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Atyrau
2.80
Kairat Almaty
2.00
Jas Qyran
1.67
Zhetisay
1.67
Taraz
1.50
SD Family
1.50
AKAS
1.33
Akademiya Ontustik
1.25
Yelimay Semey
1.25
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.25
Aktobe
1.20
Talas Karatau
1.01
Arys
1.01
Ekibastuz
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Ordabasy
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.00
Kaspiy
1.00
Irtysh
0.75
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.50
Yassy Turkistan
0.50
FC Astana
0.50
Ulytau
0.50
Maqtaaral
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Turan Turkistan
0.00
Zhenys
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Kyzyl-Zhar and Ordabasy are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.00
Akademiya Ontustik
0.50
FC Astana
0.50
Irtysh
0.50
Aktobe
0.60
Taraz
0.75
Atyrau
0.80
Jas Qyran
1.00
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.00
AKAS
1.00
Zhetisay
1.00
Zhenys
1.00
Yelimay Semey
1.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.00
Ulytau
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.00
Zhetysu
1.00
Talas Karatau
1.28
Arys
1.28
Turan Turkistan
1.33
Okzhetpes
1.33
Maqtaaral
1.50
Ekibastuz
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
Khan Tengri
1.67
SD Family
1.75
Yassy Turkistan
2.00
Shakhter Karagandy
2.00
Kaspiy
2.00
Kaisar
3.00
Kyzyl-Zhar is 1.00 goals worse than Ordabasy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.00).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kyzyl-Zhar or Drawâ Hit
65.6%
Avg Implied -
34%
32%
34%
covers Kyzyl-Zhar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar or Ordabasyâ Miss
68.3%
Avg Implied -
34%
32%
34%
covers Kyzyl-Zhar + Ordabasy
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ordabasyâ Hit
66.1%
Avg Implied -
34%
32%
34%
covers Draw + Ordabasy
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
66.8%
Under
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.2%
Under
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.0%
Under
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
67.2%
Under
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.6%
Under
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.2%
Under
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âïļ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kyzyl-Zhar, so a minus line means Kyzyl-Zhar give that many goals of a start and Ordabasy receive them. At -1, Kyzyl-Zhar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kyzyl-Zhar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kyzyl-Zhar)Actual: Ordabasy
Kyzyl-Zhar -2
4.4%
Draw -2
9.8%
Ordabasy +2
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kyzyl-Zhar)Actual: Ordabasy
Kyzyl-Zhar -1
14.2%
Draw -1
19.7%
Ordabasy +1
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Kyzyl-Zhar)Actual: Kyzyl-Zhar
Kyzyl-Zhar +1
65.6%
Draw +1
19.9%
Ordabasy -1
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Kyzyl-Zhar)Actual: Kyzyl-Zhar
Kyzyl-Zhar +2
85.5%
Draw +2
10.0%
Ordabasy -2
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kyzyl-Zhar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.41
0.46
0.54
vs Stronger (15)
0.33
0.53
0.12
0.50
0.57
0.57
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.40
0.78
0.33
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ordabasy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.62
0.50
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.80
0.62
0.62
0.14
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
0.67
0.33
0.62
0.38
0.71
0.29
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kyzyl-Zhar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.94
0.71
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (15)
0.20
0.67
0.25
0.50
0.14
0.86
vs Similar (15)
1.20
0.73
1.56
0.89
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ordabasy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.69
0.31
0.64
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.60
0.62
0.62
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (15)
0.87
0.40
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.86
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away +2 handicap
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ZHE (21)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
Kyzyl-Zhar's squad is €6m less valuable than Ordabasy's (€4m vs €10m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
Kyzyl-Zhar's attack is €1m less valuable than Ordabasy's (€2m vs €3m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
IRT (7)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Kyzyl-Zhar's midfield is €2m less valuable than Ordabasy's (€1m vs €3m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
IRT (13)
€2m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
Kyzyl-Zhar's defence is €3m less valuable than Ordabasy's (€1m vs €4m).
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →