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Laagri vs Kalju Nomme Result & Analysis

Date: 24/09/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-3
Laagri
Laagri
Vs
31%
29%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Laagri win✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme win✓ Hit
40.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

LaagriLaagri

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L03L22D02L31W13L03L31W21W30WA·TAL13/07A·FC 19/07A·VAP25/07A·PAI03/08A·KUR09/08A·FLO16/08A·TAM31/08A·TRA14/09H·KUR17/09H·PAI20/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.871.271.181.322.26
vs Stronger (12)0.672.421.001.500.502.88
vs Similar (18)1.721.501.431.001.911.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-662W01L21W31W12L12L20W11D00D21WH·TAL20/07A·ST 24/07H·ST 31/07A·TAM03/08H·VAP10/08H·TRA17/08H·KUR31/08A·PAI14/09A·TRA17/09H·FC 21/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.002.251.001.211.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.081.311.331.170.861.43
vs Weaker (17)2.290.762.800.901.570.57
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.0%
Under 1.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
Laagri goals ↓
Kalju Nomme goals →
01234
08.9%9.3%7.3%3.4%1.2%
17.8%14%8.7%4.0%1.4%
25.4%7.5%5.2%2.4%0.8%
32.1%2.9%2.0%0.9%0.3%
40.6%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Laagri goals (down), columns = Kalju Nomme goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.28
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.19
Kalju Nomme
2.06
Paide
1.94
Trans Narva
1.42
Vaprus
1.36
Laagri
1.00
Kuressaare
0.89
Tammeka
0.83
Tallinna Kalev
0.47
Viimsi
0.00
Laagri is 1.06 points worse than Kalju Nomme in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.47
Flora Tallinn
2.33
Kalju Nomme
1.92
Paide
1.75
Vaprus
1.50
Trans Narva
1.47
Laagri
1.36
Tammeka
1.31
Kuressaare
0.92
Tallinna Kalev
0.89
Viimsi
0.00
Laagri is 0.56 goals worse than Kalju Nomme in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.92).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.86
Paide
0.89
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Kalju Nomme
1.03
Vaprus
1.42
Trans Narva
1.44
Viimsi
1.50
Kuressaare
1.76
Laagri
1.94
Tammeka
2.31
Tallinna Kalev
3.14
Laagri is 0.92 goals worse than Kalju Nomme in terms of goals conceded per game (1.94 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LaagriLaagri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L11D01L31W02L02L21W10W10WA·TAL13/07A·FC 19/07A·VAP25/07A·PAI03/08A·KUR09/08A·FLO16/08A·TAM31/08A·TRA14/09H·KUR17/09H·PAI20/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.130.360.640.631.42
vs Stronger (12)0.251.330.250.750.251.62
vs Similar (18)0.721.000.430.570.911.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D10W31W01L00D00D01L00D00DH·TAL20/07A·ST 24/07H·ST 31/07A·TAM03/08H·VAP10/08H·TRA17/08H·KUR31/08A·PAI14/09A·TRA17/09H·FC 21/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.370.810.190.640.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.310.460.500.000.140.86
vs Weaker (17)1.060.291.000.301.140.29
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Laagri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LaagriLaagri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L11D01L00D11D01L10W11D20WA·TAL13/07A·FC 19/07A·VAP25/07A·PAI03/08A·KUR09/08A·FLO16/08A·TAM31/08A·TRA14/09H·KUR17/09H·PAI20/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.730.910.550.680.84
vs Stronger (12)0.421.080.750.750.251.25
vs Similar (18)1.000.501.000.431.000.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W01L11D00D11D12L20W10W00D21WH·TAL20/07A·ST 24/07H·ST 31/07A·TAM03/08H·VAP10/08H·TRA17/08H·KUR31/08A·PAI14/09A·TRA17/09H·FC 21/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.631.440.810.570.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.770.850.831.170.710.57
vs Weaker (17)1.240.471.800.600.430.29
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Laagri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.574.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Laagri's squad is €2m less valuable than Kalju Nomme's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Laagri and Kalju Nomme have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Laagri and Kalju Nomme have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Laagri's defence is €1m less valuable than Kalju Nomme's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
LAA wins
1
Draws
4
KN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Laagri vs Kalju Nomme · H/A from LAA
DateH/AGameScore
18/06/25AKalju Nomme Vs LAA1-0
09/04/25AKalju Nomme Vs LAA3-0
30/09/23HLAA Vs Kalju Nomme1-0
22/07/23AKalju Nomme Vs LAA1-0
12/05/23AKalju Nomme Vs LAA1-1
19/03/23HLAA Vs Kalju Nomme1-2

LaagriLaagri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25HLAA Vs Paide3-0
17/09/25HLAA Vs Kuressaare2-1
14/09/25ATrans Narva Vs LAA1-3
31/08/25ATammeka Vs LAA3-0
16/08/25AFlora Tallinn Vs LAA3-1
09/08/25AKuressaare Vs LAA1-3
03/08/25APaide Vs LAA2-0
25/07/25AVaprus Vs LAA2-2
19/07/25AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs LAA3-0
13/07/25ATallinna Kalev Vs LAA3-1

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25HKN Vs FC Levadia Tallinn2-1
17/09/25ATrans Narva Vs KN0-0
14/09/25APaide Vs KN1-1
31/08/25HKN Vs Kuressaare2-0
17/08/25HKN Vs Trans Narva1-2
10/08/25HKN Vs Vaprus1-2
03/08/25ATammeka Vs KN1-3
31/07/25HKN Vs St Patrick's Athl.2-1
24/07/25ASt Patrick's Athl. Vs KN1-0
20/07/25HKN Vs Tallinna Kalev6-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Laagri
Laagri
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.48
HomeLLDWW1.77
AwayLWLLW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%36%
AVG goals3.703.363.96
Over 1.5 %88%82%93%
Over 2.5 %74%64%82%
Over 3.5 %50%36%61%
Scored2.082.271.93
Conceded1.621.092.04
BTTS60%50%68%
Clean Sheet20%32%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW1.86
HomeWLLWW2.04
AwayDLWDD1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%64%48%
AVG goals3.163.522.80
Over 1.5 %86%96%76%
Over 2.5 %68%76%60%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored1.982.361.60
Conceded1.181.161.20
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet36%36%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3682
72%
2.3
8431+53
3.2
86%
78%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3679
69%
2.2
8936+53
3.5
89%
83%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.51.0
-
3Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3674
64%
2.1
6937+32
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.91.0
-
4PaidePaide3670
58%
1.9
6332+31
2.6
78%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.80.9
-
5Trans NarvaTrans Narva3651
42%
1.4
5352+1
2.9
78%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.4
-
6VaprusVaprus3649
39%
1.4
5451+3
2.9
75%
67%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.4
-
7LaagriLaagri3636
28%
1.0
4970-21
3.3
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare3834
26%
0.9
3567-32
2.7
82%
53%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.8
-
9TammekaTammeka3630
25%
0.8
4783-36
3.6
86%
78%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.32.3
-
10Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3617
14%
0.5
32113-81
4.0
89%
75%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.1
-
11ViimsiViimsi20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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