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Laagri vs Tammeka Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2023
Time: 09:30
Final 2-3
Laagri
Laagri
Vs
39%
29%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Laagri win✗ Miss
39.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tammeka win✓ Hit
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LaagriLaagri

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-650W40W53W04L11D02L12L01L12L16LA·TUL29/10H·PÄR07/11A·FLO13/11A·FLO03/03A·KUR07/03H·TAL15/03H·KAL19/03A·PAI01/04H·TRA08/04A·FC 15/04← Esiliiga AMeistriliiga →
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.532.501.001.812.00
vs Stronger (9)1.562.441.672.001.502.67
vs Similar (21)2.381.142.730.732.001.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W11D11D03L00D11D01L02L12LH·VAP22/10H·TRA30/10A·LEG05/11H·PAI12/11A·FC 15/03H·PAI19/03A·FLO01/04A·VAP08/04H·KAL16/04H·TAL19/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.471.121.310.791.64
vs Stronger (13)0.461.540.671.170.291.86
vs Similar (17)1.351.411.401.401.291.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.7%
Under 2.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.5%
Laagri goals ↓
Tammeka goals →
01234
09.5%8.3%5.5%2.2%0.6%
19.7%14%7.4%2.9%0.8%
27.3%8.5%5.0%1.9%0.6%
33.3%3.8%2.2%0.9%0.3%
41.1%1.3%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Laagri goals (down), columns = Tammeka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.19
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.14
Paide
1.47
Tallinna Kalev
1.47
Kalju Nomme
1.36
Vaprus
1.33
Kuressaare
1.19
Trans Narva
1.06
Tammeka
0.82
Laagri
0.64
Viimsi
0.50
Laagri is 0.18 points worse than Tammeka in terms of average points per game (0.64 vs 0.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Flora Tallinn
2.06
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.86
Paide
1.39
Kalju Nomme
1.39
Tallinna Kalev
1.36
Vaprus
1.11
Tammeka
1.03
Kuressaare
1.00
Trans Narva
0.89
Laagri
0.75
Viimsi
0.50
Laagri is 0.28 goals worse than Tammeka in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.67
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.67
Paide
0.94
Tallinna Kalev
1.14
Kalju Nomme
1.17
Vaprus
1.19
Kuressaare
1.67
Laagri
1.69
Tammeka
1.74
Trans Narva
1.78
Viimsi
3.00
Laagri is 0.04 goals better than Tammeka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 1.74).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LaagriLaagri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W02L02L00D01L00D01L11D13LA·TUL29/10H·PÄR07/11A·FLO13/11A·FLO03/03A·KUR07/03H·TAL15/03H·KAL19/03A·PAI01/04H·TRA08/04A·FC 15/04← Esiliiga AMeistriliiga →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.701.210.500.620.88
vs Stronger (9)0.441.110.670.670.331.33
vs Similar (21)1.100.521.360.450.800.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W01L02L00D10W00D01L01LH·VAP22/10H·TRA30/10A·LEG05/11H·PAI12/11A·FC 15/03H·PAI19/03A·FLO01/04A·VAP08/04H·KAL16/04H·TAL19/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.440.690.430.50
vs Stronger (13)0.310.850.330.830.290.86
vs Similar (17)0.530.410.500.600.570.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Laagri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LaagriLaagri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W30W51W02L11D01L12L00D01L03LA·TUL29/10H·PÄR07/11A·FLO13/11A·FLO03/03A·KUR07/03H·TAL15/03H·KAL19/03A·PAI01/04H·TRA08/04A·FC 15/04← Esiliiga AMeistriliiga →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.831.290.501.191.12
vs Stronger (9)1.111.331.001.331.171.33
vs Similar (21)1.290.621.360.271.201.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D01L10W01L00D01L01L01L11DH·VAP22/10H·TRA30/10A·LEG05/11H·PAI12/11A·FC 15/03H·PAI19/03A·FLO01/04A·VAP08/04H·KAL16/04H·TAL19/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.690.620.361.14
vs Stronger (13)0.150.690.330.330.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.821.000.900.800.711.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Laagri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Laagri and Tammeka have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Laagri and Tammeka have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Laagri and Tammeka have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Laagri and Tammeka have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LAA wins
0
Draws
0
TAM wins

Head-to-head

Laagri vs Tammeka · H/A from LAA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

LaagriLaagri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs LAA6-1
08/04/23HLAA Vs Trans Narva1-2
01/04/23APaide Vs LAA1-0
19/03/23HLAA Vs Kalju Nomme1-2
15/03/23HLAA Vs Tallinna Kalev0-2
07/03/23AKuressaare Vs LAA1-1
03/03/23AFlora Tallinn Vs LAA4-0
13/11/22AFlora II Vs LAA3-5
07/11/22HLAA Vs Pärnu4-0
29/10/22ATulevik Vs LAA0-5

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/23HTAM Vs Tallinna Kalev1-2
16/04/23HTAM Vs Kalju Nomme0-2
08/04/23AVaprus Vs TAM1-0
01/04/23AFlora Tallinn Vs TAM1-1
19/03/23HTAM Vs Paide0-0
15/03/23AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs TAM3-0
12/11/22HTAM Vs Paide1-1
05/11/22ALegion Vs TAM1-1
30/10/22HTAM Vs Trans Narva2-0
22/10/22HTAM Vs Vaprus1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Laagri
Laagri
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.79
HomeWWLLL2.19
AwayWLDLL1.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%71%41%
AVG goals3.843.713.95
Over 1.5 %81%76%86%
Over 2.5 %67%62%73%
Over 3.5 %51%48%55%
Scored2.352.712.00
Conceded1.491.001.95
BTTS53%48%59%
Clean Sheet33%43%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL0.98
HomeWDDLL1.19
AwayLDLDL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%33%14%
AVG goals2.522.432.62
Over 1.5 %74%71%76%
Over 2.5 %45%43%48%
Over 3.5 %26%29%24%
Scored0.951.000.90
Conceded1.571.431.71
BTTS45%43%48%
Clean Sheet21%33%10%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3679
64%
2.2
7424+50
2.7
75%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.7
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3677
61%
2.1
6724+43
2.5
75%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.7
-
3PaidePaide3653
36%
1.5
5034+16
2.3
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.40.9
-
4Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3653
39%
1.5
4941+8
2.5
86%
42%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3649
33%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
78%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.41.2
-
6VaprusVaprus3648
33%
1.3
4043-3
2.3
64%
39%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
7KuressaareKuressaare3643
33%
1.2
3660-24
2.7
81%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.01.7
-
8Trans NarvaTrans Narva3638
33%
1.1
3264-32
2.7
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.8
-
9TammekaTammeka3831
16%
0.8
3966-27
2.8
82%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.7
-
10LaagriLaagri3623
14%
0.6
2761-34
2.4
75%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.81.7
-
11ViimsiViimsi21
0%
0.5
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.0
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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