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Laci vs FK Kukesi Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
Laci
Laci
Vs
71%
19%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Kukesi
FK Kukesi
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Laci a 71% win probability against FK Kukesi in the Albania: 1st Division on 2026-04-25, with 19% for the draw and 9% for FK Kukesi. The model estimates around 3.0 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (24%) and 2-0 the most likely scoreline (13.1%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (80%), Home win (71%).

Results analysis

Laci finished 2-1 against FK Kukesi (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 71% home win, 19% draw and 9% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (80%), Home win (71%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Laci winâś“ Hit
71.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
19.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi winâś— Miss
9.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

LaciLaci

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W21W51W21W10W53W11D31W21W20WH·BES14/02H·LUF21/02A·LUS28/02H·APO07/03A·KOR14/03H·BES18/03A·ILI22/03H·BUR04/04A·KAS11/04H·POG19/04
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.702.120.811.500.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.820.822.570.860.500.75
vs Weaker (19)1.840.631.780.781.900.50
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Kukesi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK KukesiFK Kukesi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-542W12L11D00D00D32W20W20W15L11DH·KOR14/02A·SKE21/02A·ILI01/03H·LUF07/03A·BUR14/03H·LUS18/03A·KAS22/03H·APO04/04A·POG11/04H·KOR19/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.531.211.210.561.81
vs Stronger (21)0.761.671.221.220.422.00
vs Similar (9)1.111.221.201.201.001.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.8%
Under 2.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
3-0
9.8%
2-1 âś“
9.3%
1-1
9.1%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
5.5%
Laci goals ↓
FK Kukesi goals →
01234
06.0%2.9%1.3%0.3%0.1%
111%9.1%3.0%0.7%0.1%
213%9.3%3.3%0.8%0.1%
39.8%7.0%2.5%0.6%0.1%
45.5%3.9%1.4%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Laci goals (down), columns = FK Kukesi goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laci
2.39
Skenderbeu Korce
2.33
Pogradeci
2.06
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.36
Kastrioti Krujë
1.18
Besa Kavajë
1.18
Burreli
1.12
Korabi Peshkopi
1.09
Luftëtari
1.03
Bylis B
1.00
FK Kukesi
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Apolonia Fier
0.85
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Laci is 1.39 points better than FK Kukesi in terms of average points per game (2.39 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pogradeci
1.91
Laci
1.82
Skenderbeu Korce
1.73
Kastrioti Krujë
1.33
Besa Kavajë
1.24
Luftëtari
1.12
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.97
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
0.94
Apolonia Fier
0.94
Burreli
0.82
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Laci is 0.85 goals better than FK Kukesi in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laci
0.70
Skenderbeu Korce
0.76
Pogradeci
0.94
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.00
Korabi Peshkopi
1.18
Luftëtari
1.29
Besa Kavajë
1.30
Apolonia Fier
1.33
Burreli
1.36
Lushnja
1.42
FK Kukesi
1.46
Kastrioti Krujë
1.73
Butrinti Sarandë
2.00
Laci is 0.76 goals better than FK Kukesi in terms of goals conceded per game (0.70 vs 1.46).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LaciLaci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W20W11D00D30W01L11D20W10WH·BES14/02H·LUF21/02A·LUS28/02H·APO07/03A·KOR14/03H·BES18/03A·ILI22/03H·BUR04/04A·KAS11/04H·POG19/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.231.060.250.570.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.910.091.290.140.250.00
vs Weaker (19)0.790.320.890.330.700.30
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Kukesi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK KukesiFK Kukesi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L10W00D00D21W10W00D14L01LH·KOR14/02A·SKE21/02A·ILI01/03H·LUF07/03A·BUR14/03H·LUS18/03A·KAS22/03H·APO04/04A·POG11/04H·KOR19/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.930.430.640.311.19
vs Stronger (21)0.141.050.110.440.171.50
vs Similar (9)0.890.671.001.000.750.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Laci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.3%-------âś“ Hit
Home win71.4%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 11. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (55)
€6m
SK (31)
€4m
LAC (24)
€3m
POG (47)
€3m
BK (34)
€3m
AF (39)
€2m
KK (24)
€2m
KP (34)
€2m
FK (38)
€2m
IF (35)
€2m
BUR (29)
€2m
LUF (42)
€2m
LUS (40)
€1m
Laci's squad is €1m more valuable than FK Kukesi's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (0)
€0m
SK (0)
€0m
AF (0)
€0m
BK (0)
€0m
BUR (0)
€0m
BB (0)
€0m
FK (0)
€0m
IF (0)
€0m
KK (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
LUF (0)
€0m
LUS (0)
€0m
POG (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (0)
€0m
SK (0)
€0m
AF (0)
€0m
BK (0)
€0m
BUR (0)
€0m
BB (0)
€0m
FK (0)
€0m
IF (0)
€0m
KK (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
LUF (0)
€0m
LUS (0)
€0m
POG (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (0)
€0m
SK (0)
€0m
AF (0)
€0m
BK (0)
€0m
BUR (0)
€0m
BB (0)
€0m
FK (0)
€0m
IF (0)
€0m
KK (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
LUF (0)
€0m
LUS (0)
€0m
POG (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Laci vs FK Kukesi · H/A from LAC
DateH/AGameScore
17/01/26HLAC Vs FK Kukesi2-1
19/10/25AFK Kukesi Vs LAC0-3
11/05/24HLAC Vs FK Kukesi2-0
11/03/24AFK Kukesi Vs LAC1-0
23/12/23HLAC Vs FK Kukesi1-1
22/10/23AFK Kukesi Vs LAC1-0
17/05/23AFK Kukesi Vs LAC3-0
06/03/23HLAC Vs FK Kukesi1-2

LaciLaci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26HLAC Vs Pogradeci2-0
11/04/26AKastrioti Krujë Vs LAC1-2
04/04/26HLAC Vs Burreli3-1
22/03/26AIliria Fushë-Krujë Vs LAC1-1
18/03/26HLAC Vs Besa Kavajë5-3
14/03/26AKorabi Peshkopi Vs LAC0-1
07/03/26HLAC Vs Apolonia Fier2-1
28/02/26ALushnja Vs LAC1-5
21/02/26HLAC Vs Luftëtari2-1
14/02/26HLAC Vs Besa Kavajë2-1

FK KukesiFK Kukesi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26HFK Vs Korabi Peshkopi1-1
11/04/26APogradeci Vs FK5-1
04/04/26HFK Vs Apolonia Fier2-0
22/03/26AKastrioti Krujë Vs FK0-2
18/03/26HFK Vs Lushnja3-2
14/03/26ABurreli Vs FK0-0
07/03/26HFK Vs Luftëtari0-0
01/03/26AIliria Fushë-Krujë Vs FK1-1
21/02/26ASkenderbeu Korce Vs FK2-1
14/02/26HFK Vs Korabi Peshkopi4-2

đź“Š 13. Overall Statistics

Laci
Laci
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.86
HomeWWWWW2.16
AwayWWWDW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%64%44%
AVG goals2.402.722.08
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %48%60%36%
Over 3.5 %18%24%12%
Scored1.501.801.20
Conceded0.900.920.88
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet34%32%36%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Kukesi
FK Kukesi
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD0.86
HomeWDWWD1.32
AwayLDDWL0.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%36%8%
AVG goals2.462.562.36
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %16%20%12%
Scored0.961.280.64
Conceded1.501.281.72
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaciLaci3379
73%
2.4
6023+37
2.5
73%
52%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.80.7
-
2Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3377
73%
2.3
5725+32
2.5
64%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.70.8
-
3PogradeciPogradeci3368
61%
2.1
6331+32
2.8
76%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.90.9
-
4Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë3345
33%
1.4
3233-1
2.0
67%
36%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.01.0
-
5Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë3339
30%
1.2
4143-2
2.5
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.21.3
-
6Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3339
33%
1.2
4457-13
3.1
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.31.7
-
7BurreliBurreli3337
27%
1.1
2745-18
2.2
64%
36%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.81.4
-
8Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi3336
24%
1.1
3139-8
2.1
64%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.91.2
-
9LuftëtariLuftëtari3435
21%
1.0
3844-6
2.4
76%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.3
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3535
26%
1.0
3451-17
2.4
74%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.01.5
-
11Apolonia FierApolonia Fier3328
18%
0.8
3144-13
2.3
70%
39%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.91.3
-
12LushnjaLushnja3326
15%
0.8
2647-21
2.2
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.4
-
13Bylis BBylis B11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0001.01.0
-
14Sopoti LibrazhdSopoti Librazhd11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15Butrinti SarandëButrinti Sarandë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Albania: 1st Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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