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Laci vs Pogradeci Result & Analysis

Date: 19/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Laci
Laci
Vs
43%
25%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pogradeci
Pogradeci
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Laci winâś“ Hit
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pogradeci winâś— Miss
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

LaciLaci

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W21W21W51W21W10W53W11D31W21WA·LUS07/02H·BES14/02H·LUF21/02A·LUS28/02H·APO07/03A·KOR14/03H·BES18/03A·ILI22/03H·BUR04/04A·KAS11/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.732.130.871.530.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.460.692.001.000.830.33
vs Weaker (17)2.120.762.250.752.000.78
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PogradeciPogradeci

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D20W31W21W41W32W30W30W51W51WA·APO07/02H·BUR15/02H·LUS21/02A·APO28/02H·KOR07/03A·BES14/03H·ILI18/03A·BUR22/03H·KAS04/04H·FK 11/04
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.070.832.190.561.931.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.000.710.330.331.501.00
vs Weaker (23)2.390.872.620.622.101.20
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.5%
Under 2.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.2%
Under 3.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
2-0 âś“
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
0-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
Laci goals ↓
Pogradeci goals →
01234
05.2%5.0%4.4%2.2%0.8%
16.1%12%7.6%3.7%1.3%
26.2%9.0%6.5%3.2%1.2%
33.5%5.2%3.7%1.8%0.7%
41.5%2.2%1.6%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Laci goals (down), columns = Pogradeci goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laci
2.39
Skenderbeu Korce
2.33
Pogradeci
2.06
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.36
Kastrioti Krujë
1.18
Besa Kavajë
1.18
Burreli
1.12
Korabi Peshkopi
1.09
Luftëtari
1.03
Bylis B
1.00
FK Kukesi
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Apolonia Fier
0.85
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Laci is 0.33 points better than Pogradeci in terms of average points per game (2.39 vs 2.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pogradeci
1.91
Laci
1.82
Skenderbeu Korce
1.73
Kastrioti Krujë
1.33
Besa Kavajë
1.24
Luftëtari
1.12
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.97
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
0.94
Apolonia Fier
0.94
Burreli
0.82
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Laci is 0.09 goals worse than Pogradeci in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laci
0.70
Skenderbeu Korce
0.76
Pogradeci
0.94
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.00
Korabi Peshkopi
1.18
Luftëtari
1.29
Besa Kavajë
1.30
Apolonia Fier
1.33
Burreli
1.36
Lushnja
1.42
FK Kukesi
1.46
Kastrioti Krujë
1.73
Butrinti Sarandë
2.00
Laci is 0.24 goals better than Pogradeci in terms of goals conceded per game (0.70 vs 0.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LaciLaci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W20W11D00D30W01L11D20WA·LUS07/02H·BES14/02H·LUF21/02A·LUS28/02H·APO07/03A·KOR14/03H·BES18/03A·ILI22/03H·BUR04/04A·KAS11/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.271.070.270.600.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.850.081.290.140.330.00
vs Weaker (17)0.820.410.880.380.780.44
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PogradeciPogradeci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W10W10W21W00D20W20W21W41WA·APO07/02H·BUR15/02H·LUS21/02A·APO28/02H·KOR07/03A·BES14/03H·ILI18/03A·BUR22/03H·KAS04/04H·FK 11/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.371.120.310.930.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.140.140.000.000.250.25
vs Weaker (23)1.300.431.380.381.200.50
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Laci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogradeci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogradeci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogradeci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LaciLaci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D11D31W10W10W23L10W20W01LA·LUS07/02H·BES14/02H·LUF21/02A·LUS28/02H·APO07/03A·KOR14/03H·BES18/03A·ILI22/03H·BUR04/04A·KAS11/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.471.070.600.930.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.620.710.860.500.33
vs Weaker (17)1.290.351.380.381.220.33
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PogradeciPogradeci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W21W11D20W32W10W10W30W10WA·APO07/02H·BUR15/02H·LUS21/02A·APO28/02H·KOR07/03A·BES14/03H·ILI18/03A·BUR22/03H·KAS04/04H·FK 11/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.471.060.251.000.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.570.330.331.250.75
vs Weaker (23)1.090.431.230.230.900.70
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Laci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogradeci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogradeci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogradeci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.6%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
BB (20)
€2m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
BUR (21)
€1m
FK (20)
€1m
AF (18)
€1m
LUF (18)
€1m
LUS (17)
€1m
Laci's squad is €2m more valuable than Pogradeci's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
BB (8)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
LUF (6)
€0m
FK (6)
€0m
BUR (5)
€0m
AF (4)
€0m
LUS (3)
€0m
Laci and Pogradeci have a similar attack value (both €1m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (6)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
BUR (8)
€0m
KP (4)
€0m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
AF (3)
€0m
LUF (4)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
LUS (4)
€0m
Laci and Pogradeci have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
AF (11)
€1m
BUR (8)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
LUF (8)
€0m
LUS (10)
€0m
Laci and Pogradeci have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
LAC wins
1
Draws
1
POG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Laci vs Pogradeci · H/A from LAC
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/25HLAC Vs Pogradeci0-0
13/09/25APogradeci Vs LAC1-0

LaciLaci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26AKastrioti Krujë Vs LAC1-2
04/04/26HLAC Vs Burreli3-1
22/03/26AIliria Fushë-Krujë Vs LAC1-1
18/03/26HLAC Vs Besa Kavajë5-3
14/03/26AKorabi Peshkopi Vs LAC0-1
07/03/26HLAC Vs Apolonia Fier2-1
28/02/26ALushnja Vs LAC1-5
21/02/26HLAC Vs Luftëtari2-1
14/02/26HLAC Vs Besa Kavajë2-1
07/02/26ALushnja Vs LAC0-1

PogradeciPogradeci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HPOG Vs FK Kukesi5-1
04/04/26HPOG Vs Kastrioti Krujë5-1
22/03/26ABurreli Vs POG0-3
18/03/26HPOG Vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë3-0
14/03/26ABesa Kavajë Vs POG2-3
07/03/26HPOG Vs Korabi Peshkopi4-1
28/02/26AApolonia Fier Vs POG1-2
21/02/26HPOG Vs Lushnja3-1
15/02/26HPOG Vs Burreli2-0
07/02/26AApolonia Fier Vs POG2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Laci
Laci
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.82
HomeWWWWW2.08
AwayWWWDW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%60%44%
AVG goals2.362.642.08
Over 1.5 %68%76%60%
Over 2.5 %48%60%36%
Over 3.5 %18%24%12%
Scored1.461.721.20
Conceded0.900.920.88
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet34%32%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Pogradeci
Pogradeci
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.06
HomeWWWWW2.08
AwayWDWWW2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%60%60%
AVG goals2.562.442.68
Over 1.5 %66%60%72%
Over 2.5 %54%44%64%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.721.881.56
Conceded0.840.561.12
BTTS48%36%60%
Clean Sheet42%56%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaciLaci3379
73%
2.4
6023+37
2.5
73%
52%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.7
-
2Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3377
73%
2.3
5725+32
2.5
64%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.70.8
-
3PogradeciPogradeci3368
61%
2.1
6331+32
2.8
76%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.90.9
-
4Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë3345
33%
1.4
3233-1
2.0
67%
36%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
5Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë3339
30%
1.2
4143-2
2.5
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.3
-
6Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3339
33%
1.2
4457-13
3.1
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.7
-
7BurreliBurreli3337
27%
1.1
2745-18
2.2
64%
36%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.4
-
8Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi3336
24%
1.1
3139-8
2.1
64%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9LuftëtariLuftëtari3435
21%
1.0
3844-6
2.4
76%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3535
26%
1.0
3451-17
2.4
74%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.5
-
11Apolonia FierApolonia Fier3328
18%
0.8
3144-13
2.3
70%
39%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.3
-
12LushnjaLushnja3326
15%
0.8
2647-21
2.2
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.4
-
13Bylis BBylis B11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
14Sopoti LibrazhdSopoti Librazhd11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15Butrinti SarandëButrinti Sarandë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Albania: 1st Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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