This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panetolikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.13
0.67
1.13
1.40
1.13
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.44
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (19)
1.26
1.05
0.67
1.00
1.80
1.10
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.3%
Under 1.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.9%
@ 2.34+2.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
@ 1.56-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.5%
No
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.8%
0-2
10.7%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
Lamia goals ↓
Panetolikos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
13%
11%
5.5%
2.1%
1
6.7%
13%
9.2%
4.7%
1.8%
2
3.4%
5.2%
4.0%
2.0%
0.8%
3
1.0%
1.5%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lamia goals (down), columns = Panetolikos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.34
Panathinaikos
2.16
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.08
PAOK
1.82
Aris Thessalonikis
1.45
OFI Crete
1.24
OFI
1.24
Atromitos
1.22
Volos NFC
1.08
PAS Giannina
1.00
Asteras Tripolis
0.97
Panetolikos
0.92
Ionikos
0.86
Lamia
0.83
Levadiakos
0.83
Lamia is 0.08 points worse than Panetolikos in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 0.92).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
AEK Athens FC
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.95
Aris Thessalonikis
1.55
PAOK
1.53
Panathinaikos
1.32
OFI Crete
1.12
OFI
1.12
Atromitos
1.11
PAS Giannina
0.97
Panetolikos
0.94
Volos NFC
0.92
Levadiakos
0.81
Ionikos
0.78
Asteras Tripolis
0.72
Lamia
0.69
Lamia is 0.25 goals worse than Panetolikos in terms of goals scored per game (0.69 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Panathinaikos
0.45
AEK Athens FC
0.45
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.68
PAOK
0.87
Asteras Tripolis
1.06
Aris Thessalonikis
1.11
Atromitos
1.11
OFI Crete
1.24
OFI
1.24
Levadiakos
1.42
PAS Giannina
1.47
Ionikos
1.53
Panetolikos
1.67
Lamia
1.69
Volos NFC
1.76
Lamia is 0.03 goals worse than Panetolikos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lamia
For 3.9 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 16.7 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panetolikos
For 6.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 15.7 · Total 30.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lamia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.9
8.0
3.1
3.3
2.8
33.9
32.1
35.5
vs Stronger (27)
7.8
8.9
6.8
2.4
2.7
2.2
32.3
31.6
33.0
vs Similar (23)
8.9
8.9
8.9
3.8
4.2
3.5
35.4
32.7
37.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
34%
44%
25%
40%
48%
33%
95%
94%
95%
% under line
66%
56%
75%
60%
52%
67%
5%
6%
5%
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panetolikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.7
8.5
3.4
3.6
3.2
33.7
34.2
33.2
vs Stronger (15)
8.5
10.0
7.0
2.7
2.2
3.5
31.5
33.4
29.6
vs Similar (31)
8.6
8.4
8.8
3.6
4.2
3.1
33.7
34.2
33.1
vs Weaker (4)
8.8
7.0
10.5
5.0
6.0
4.0
39.2
35.5
43.0
% over line
42%
47%
37%
54%
56%
52%
95%
95%
95%
% under line
58%
53%
63%
46%
44%
48%
5%
5%
5%
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
9.9
PAOK
9.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.1
PAS Giannina
9.0
Volos NFC
9.0
Levadiakos
8.7
Panetolikos
8.7
OFI Crete
8.7
Aris Thessalonikis
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.5
Lamia
8.4
Ionikos
8.3
Atromitos
7.9
Asteras Tripolis
7.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
5.9
Aris Thessalonikis
5.6
PAOK
5.3
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Levadiakos
5.1
Ionikos
4.9
Volos NFC
4.9
OFI Crete
4.8
Panetolikos
4.4
Atromitos
4.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.3
Asteras Tripolis
4.2
PAS Giannina
4.1
Lamia
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Panetolikos
35.2
Lamia
34.8
Volos NFC
33.0
Ionikos
32.8
Aris Thessalonikis
32.7
OFI Crete
32.1
PAS Giannina
32.1
Panathinaikos
32.1
Atromitos
31.8
AEK Athens FC
31.2
Asteras Tripolis
30.8
PAOK
30.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
27.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.5%
Under 9.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.4%
Under 3.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
97.3%
Under 21.5
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lamia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.63
0.23
0.77
0.24
0.53
vs Stronger (16)
0.12
0.75
0.00
0.71
0.22
0.78
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.50
0.50
0.83
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panetolikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.33
0.53
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.78
0.17
0.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.58
0.44
0.56
0.90
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lamia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lamia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.67
0.46
0.62
0.18
0.71
vs Stronger (16)
0.12
0.62
0.14
0.57
0.11
0.67
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.71
0.83
0.67
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panetolikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.33
0.60
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.67
0.50
0.83
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.47
0.22
0.44
0.90
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Lamia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lamia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lamia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zoran Tošić50%
Nikos Vergos19%
Tomás De Vincenti17%
Richmond Boakye12%
Jeison Medina12%
Rubén Martínez12%
Cristopher Nunez10%
Sotiris Tsiloulis8%
Georgios Kornezos7%
Danny Bejarano4%
Vykintas Slivka3%
Aliaksandr Paulavets0%
Ivan Goranov0%
Stefan Aškovski0%
Savvas Gentsoglou0%
Kyriakos Papadopoulos0%
Giorgos Manousos0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Bojan Šaranov0%
Daniel Adejo0%
Adam Tzanetopoulos0%
Stavros Vasilantonopoulos0%
Nikolaos Tsoukalos0%
Anastasios Karamanos0%
Lazar Romanić0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Athanasios Garavelis0%
Petros Giakoumakis0%
Paris Babis0%
Alexei Koşelev0%
David Simón0%
Caleb Stanko0%
Gustavo Marmentini0%
Leroy Abanda0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tomás De Vincenti33%
Danny Bejarano30%
Giorgos Manousos30%
David Simón26%
Jeison Medina25%
Alexei Koşelev25%
Cristopher Nunez24%
Sotiris Tsiloulis23%
Caleb Stanko20%
Ivan Goranov18%
Vykintas Slivka17%
Gustavo Marmentini17%
Savvas Gentsoglou14%
Nikolaos Tsoukalos14%
Theofanis Tzandaris14%
Georgios Kornezos13%
Stefan Aškovski12%
Daniel Adejo12%
Giorgos Saramantas11%
Adam Tzanetopoulos11%
Kyriakos Papadopoulos10%
Athanasios Garavelis10%
Lazar Romanić8%
Leroy Abanda7%
Nikos Vergos6%
Rubén Martínez6%
Bojan Šaranov5%
Richmond Boakye0%
Aliaksandr Paulavets0%
Stavros Vasilantonopoulos0%
Anastasios Karamanos0%
Petros Giakoumakis0%
Paris Babis0%
Zoran Tošić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikolaos Tsoukalos29%
David Simón13%
Petros Giakoumakis7%
Theofanis Tzandaris7%
Leroy Abanda7%
Stefan Aškovski6%
Danny Bejarano4%
Tomás De Vincenti4%
Sotiris Tsiloulis4%
Richmond Boakye0%
Aliaksandr Paulavets0%
Ivan Goranov0%
Jeison Medina0%
Cristopher Nunez0%
Savvas Gentsoglou0%
Kyriakos Papadopoulos0%
Giorgos Manousos0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Bojan Šaranov0%
Daniel Adejo0%
Adam Tzanetopoulos0%
Stavros Vasilantonopoulos0%
Anastasios Karamanos0%
Lazar Romanić0%
Nikos Vergos0%
Athanasios Garavelis0%
Paris Babis0%
Alexei Koşelev0%
Vykintas Slivka0%
Zoran Tošić0%
Caleb Stanko0%
Gustavo Marmentini0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Rubén Martínez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikos Vergos19%
Rubén Martínez18%
Tomás De Vincenti17%
Jeison Medina12%
Sotiris Tsiloulis12%
Giorgos Manousos7%
Petros Giakoumakis7%
Cristopher Nunez3%
Theofanis Tzandaris3%
Richmond Boakye0%
Aliaksandr Paulavets0%
Ivan Goranov0%
Stefan Aškovski0%
Savvas Gentsoglou0%
Kyriakos Papadopoulos0%
Giorgos Saramantas0%
Bojan Šaranov0%
Daniel Adejo0%
Adam Tzanetopoulos0%
Stavros Vasilantonopoulos0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nikolaos Tsoukalos0%
Anastasios Karamanos0%
Lazar Romanić0%
Athanasios Garavelis0%
Paris Babis0%
Alexei Koşelev0%
Vykintas Slivka0%
Zoran Tošić0%
David Simón0%
Caleb Stanko0%
Gustavo Marmentini0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Leroy Abanda0%
Panetolikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikolaos Karelis34%
Nadrey Dago12%
Juanpi Añor11%
Dimitrios Kolovos10%
João Pedro Silva10%
Levan Shengelia10%
Alexandros Malis9%
Georgios Liavas7%
Jonathan Morsay4%
Frederico Duarte4%
Diamantis Chouchoumis4%
Michalis Bakakis0%
Giorgos Xenidis0%
Alexandros Voilis0%
Antonis Stergiakis0%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Giannis Bouzoukis0%
Jorge Díaz0%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Deybi Flores0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Giannis Anestis0%
Jacob Une Larsson0%
Johan Martensson0%
Derek Cornelius0%
Joel Graterol0%
Nikola Stajic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Antonis Stergiakis40%
Konstantinos Apostolakis38%
Alexandros Voilis33%
Sebastian Mladen32%
Deybi Flores25%
Dimitrios Kolovos24%
Juanpi Añor22%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis22%
Jorge Díaz18%
Levan Shengelia16%
Johan Martensson15%
Georgios Liavas13%
Frederico Duarte12%
Diamantis Chouchoumis11%
Jacob Une Larsson10%
Giannis Anestis10%
Alexandros Malis9%
Jonathan Morsay8%
Derek Cornelius8%
Giorgos Xenidis7%
Giannis Bouzoukis7%
Nikolaos Karelis7%
Nadrey Dago6%
João Pedro Silva3%
Michalis Bakakis0%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Joel Graterol0%
Nikola Stajic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jorge Díaz14%
Juanpi Añor11%
Jonathan Morsay8%
Derek Cornelius8%
Giorgos Xenidis7%
Giannis Bouzoukis7%
Dimitrios Kolovos7%
Levan Shengelia6%
Deybi Flores6%
Frederico Duarte4%
Nikolaos Karelis3%
João Pedro Silva3%
Sebastian Mladen3%
Jacob Une Larsson3%
Michalis Bakakis0%
Alexandros Voilis0%
Antonis Stergiakis0%
Nadrey Dago0%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Georgios Liavas0%
Alexandros Malis0%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Giannis Anestis0%
Johan Martensson0%
Joel Graterol0%
Diamantis Chouchoumis0%
Nikola Stajic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolaos Karelis17%
Levan Shengelia10%
Konstantinos Apostolakis5%
Frederico Duarte4%
Diamantis Chouchoumis4%
Dimitrios Kolovos3%
Michalis Bakakis0%
Giorgos Xenidis0%
Alexandros Voilis0%
Juanpi Añor0%
Antonis Stergiakis0%
Nadrey Dago0%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis0%
Giannis Bouzoukis0%
Georgios Liavas0%
Alexandros Malis0%
Jorge Díaz0%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Deybi Flores0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Jonathan Morsay0%
Giannis Anestis0%
Jacob Une Larsson0%
Johan Martensson0%
Derek Cornelius0%
Joel Graterol0%
João Pedro Silva0%
Nikola Stajic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →