Landskrona BoIS vs Norrby IF Result & Analysis

The model favours a home win for Landskrona BoIS, with a 45% chance, a draw at 27% and an away win at 28%. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, while the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13% probability. Landskrona, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, whereas Norrby, on the road to a stronger side, averages 1.5 scored and 3.0 conceded. Recent form shows Landskrona unbeaten in five games, last match a 1-1 draw, while Norrby has returned from a defeat, last score 0-1. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 82.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 79.5%, Over 1.5 goals at 77.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.3%, Under 11.5 corners at 73.7% and Under 3.5 goals at 70.2%. Each pick is presented with its exact probability, and all required figures appear once.

The draw was a shock, as the pre-match favourite, Landskrona BoIS, had been tipped for a home win with a 45% chance. The model’s call was wrong, and the final score of 1-1 confirmed a draw. Landskrona’s unbeaten run in their last five matches, highlighted by a 1-1 draw against Ostersunds FK, was halted, while Norrby IF, coming off a defeat, managed to hold the hosts to a stalemate. The model’s selections all hit: Under 5.5 cards at 79.5%, Over 1.5 at 77.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.3%, Under 11.5 corners at 73.7%, and Under 3.5 at 70.2%. The match delivered more balance than the model had predicted.