PythiaFootballBETA
Landskrona BoIS host Oddevold in the Sweden: Superettan. The home side is coming off a win, but their recent form has been inconsistent. Oddevold, on the other hand, also comes into this match having won their previous game, and have been scoring and conceding at a similar rate when playing away against similar-strength opponents, averaging 2 goals scored and conceded.
The model predicts an away win, with a 38% chance of Oddevold taking the three points. The expected total goals is 2.6, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1, occurring 13.7% of the time. The home side's home scoring and conceding rates are 1.38 and 1.25 goals per game, respectively, while the away side scores 2 goals per game on the road and concedes 2.
The model's selection is the away win, with a 38% chance. The model also suggests selecting Under 21.5 fouls (88.8%), Over 1.5 goals (75.2%), and Under 3.5 goals (72.8%), with an edge of 8% in the latter. The probabilities for the home team winning, drawing, and the away team winning are 33%, 29%, and 38%, respectively.
The draw between Landskrona BoIS and Oddevold extends the latter's run of consecutive draws. The final score of 1-1 was the most likely outcome, predicted with a 26% probability. The model's selection, an away win, was incorrect, given the pre-match probability of 38%. The model's call was wrong, as Oddevold failed to claim victory. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 75.2%, while Under 3.5 goals also hit, with a 72.8% probability.
Landskrona BoIS| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.17 | 1.43 | 1.38 | 1.23 | 1.00 | 1.59 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 3.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.23 | 1.31 | 1.45 | 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.47 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (+1pp vs league) | |||||
Oddevold| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.47 | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.50 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 1.54 | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.64 | 1.57 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
| Oddevold goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 14% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Landskrona BoISOddevoldLandskrona BoIS| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.4 | 10.9 | 9.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 25.4 | 26.2 | 24.6 |
| vs Stronger (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (42) | 10.8 | 11.4 | 9.9 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 25.9 | 26.2 | 25.3 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 8.8 | 6.0 | 9.7 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 23.0 | - | 23.0 |
| % over line | 50% | 58% | 40% | 24% | 30% | 19% | 63% | 70% | 56% |
| % under line | 50% | 42% | 60% | 76% | 70% | 81% | 37% | 30% | 44% |
Oddevold| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.7 | 9.9 | 9.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 21.9 | 21.3 | 23.2 |
| vs Stronger (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (47) | 9.7 | 9.9 | 9.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 21.9 | 21.3 | 23.2 |
| vs Weaker (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 43% | 50% | 29% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 50% | 42% | 67% |
| % under line | 57% | 50% | 71% | 90% | 92% | 88% | 50% | 58% | 33% |
Landskrona BoIS| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.70 | 0.92 | 0.62 | 0.41 | 0.76 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 3.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.69 | 0.58 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
Oddevold| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.47 | 0.73 | 0.40 | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 0.68 | 0.43 | 0.79 | 0.36 | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+38pp vs league) | |||||
Landskrona BoIS| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.46 | 0.62 | 0.59 | 0.82 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.54 | 0.73 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.60 | 0.87 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+31pp vs league) | |||||
Oddevold| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.83 | 1.03 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 0.86 | 1.00 | 0.64 | 0.93 | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 cards | 88.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 87.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 77.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 4.5 cards | 77.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 75.2% | 1.25 | 1.29 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.26 | +0.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 74.2% | 1.41 | 1.46 | 1.44 | 1.38 | 1.35 | - | +9.1% | - |
| Under 3.5 | 72.8% | 1.34 | 1.45 | 1.41 | 1.37 | 1.36 | 1.35 | +3.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 03/11/25 | H | 2-2 | |
| 01/06/25 | A | 1-2 | |
| 01/09/24 | A | 0-3 | |
| 13/04/24 | H | 2-1 |
Landskrona BoIS| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 28/07/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 18/07/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 28/06/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 22/06/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 16/06/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 11/06/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 30/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 24/05/26 | A | 0-1 |
Oddevold| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 31/07/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 27/07/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 18/07/26 | H | 2-4 | |
| 27/06/26 | A | 3-3 | |
| 22/06/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 14/06/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 09/06/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 30/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 23/05/26 | H | 1-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  IFK Norrkoping | 21 | 47 | 71% | 2.2 | 41 | 13 | +28 | 2.6 | 76% | 48% | 24% | 10.2 | 50% | 3.5 | 60% | 27.8 | 100% | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 55% |
| 2 |  Falkenbergs FF | 21 | 38 | 52% | 1.8 | 41 | 30 | +11 | 3.4 | 90% | 71% | 43% | 9.0 | 40% | 1.8 | 10% | 20.3 | 67% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 3 |  Varbergs BoIS FC | 21 | 37 | 52% | 1.8 | 38 | 27 | +11 | 3.1 | 81% | 71% | 43% | 7.8 | 36% | 3.9 | 64% | 30.8 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 47% |
| 4 |  Ostersunds FK | 21 | 35 | 43% | 1.7 | 30 | 23 | +7 | 2.5 | 76% | 38% | 24% | 8.5 | 40% | 3.2 | 50% | 25.7 | 100% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 53% |
| 5 |  Osters IF | 21 | 33 | 48% | 1.6 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 3.0 | 71% | 62% | 38% | 11.8 | 89% | 2.9 | 33% | 24.5 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 6 |  United Nordic | 21 | 32 | 38% | 1.5 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 3.0 | 86% | 48% | 38% | 10.1 | 62% | 2.9 | 38% | 29.8 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 49% |
| 7 | Landskrona BoIS | 21 | 31 | 38% | 1.5 | 27 | 22 | +5 | 2.3 | 71% | 38% | 19% | 9.8 | 38% | 3.5 | 38% | 28.2 | 75% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 57% |
| 8 | Oddevold | 21 | 29 | 33% | 1.4 | 34 | 31 | +3 | 3.1 | 76% | 62% | 48% | 10.1 | 50% | 2.4 | 22% | 25.4 | 100% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 50% |
| 9 |  Sandviken | 21 | 27 | 33% | 1.3 | 34 | 31 | +3 | 3.1 | 76% | 62% | 38% | 9.6 | 33% | 2.4 | 11% | 23.0 | 67% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 55% |
| 10 |  Helsingborg | 21 | 26 | 33% | 1.2 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 3.6 | 95% | 67% | 48% | 9.2 | 60% | 5.0 | 83% | 26.0 | 100% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 44% |
| 11 |  Ljungskile SK | 21 | 24 | 29% | 1.1 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 2.6 | 62% | 48% | 38% | 10.2 | 60% | 3.9 | 55% | 26.6 | 100% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 50% |
| 12 |  Norrby IF | 21 | 23 | 19% | 1.1 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 2.5 | 76% | 43% | 33% | 7.3 | 33% | 2.3 | 33% | 21.5 | 50% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 44% |
| 13 |  IFK Varnamo | 21 | 22 | 29% | 1.0 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 3.0 | 71% | 57% | 43% | 8.4 | 30% | 3.1 | 30% | 24.3 | 67% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 53% |
| 14 |  IK brage | 21 | 21 | 24% | 1.0 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 3.7 | 81% | 76% | 52% | 8.7 | 33% | 4.0 | 60% | 27.3 | 100% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 48% |
| 15 |  Orebro SK | 21 | 20 | 19% | 1.0 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 2.6 | 71% | 48% | 29% | 9.2 | 44% | 3.2 | 44% | 23.3 | 67% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 50% |
| 16 |  GIF Sundsvall | 21 | 13 | 19% | 0.6 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 2.8 | 67% | 57% | 33% | 9.8 | 67% | 2.6 | 22% | 20.5 | 50% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 41% |