Landskrona BoIS, coming off a 1-1 draw against IFK Varnamo, faces Ostersunds FK, who remain unbeaten in their last five with a 0-0 stalemate against Ljungskile SK. The model favours a home win, with a 40% chance, while draws and away wins sit at 30% each. The expected total is 2.4 goals, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 14.3%. Home form shows 1.55 goals scored and 1.18 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Ostersunds average 1.06 scored and 1.44 conceded away. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.7%, Under 6.5 at 98.9% with an 8% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7% with a 4% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.6% with a 6% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.6% with a 7% edge, Under 5.5 at 96.6% with a 7% edge, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.4% with a 5% edge.
Results analysis
The match finished 1-1, a draw that left the pre-match favourite, a home win, disappointed. The model had given the home side a 40% chance of triumph, but the result proved otherwise. The model’s selection was wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%; Under 6.5 hit at 98.9%; Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.6%; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.9%; Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.6%; Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.6%; Under 5.5 hit at 96.6%; Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.1%. The game’s final score of 1-1 matched the most likely scoreline of 1-1, which the model assigned a 28% probability. Both teams remained unbeaten in their last five matches, with Landskrona BoIS ending their run with a 1-1 draw against Ostersunds FK and Ostersunds FK likewise finishing 1-1 against Landskrona BoIS.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Landskrona BoIS win✗ Miss
40.3%
Avg Implied 37.8% · @ 2.43
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.54
Superbet
2.50
Dafabet
2.50
1xBet
2.49
Marathonbet
2.48
Draw✓ Hit
30.2%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.26
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Pinnacle
3.35
Betano
3.30
Ostersunds FK win✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.71
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.81
Unibet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
Betano
2.75
1xBet
2.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Landskrona BoIS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.37
1.46
1.31
1.06
1.41
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.23
1.55
1.18
1.13
1.27
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.30
1.57
1.14
1.06
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.30
1.30
1.57
1.14
1.06
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Landskrona BoIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.9%
@ 1.26-4.0%
Under 1.5
30.1%
@ 3.56+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Under
Betfair
3.80
Unibet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.75
10Bet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.3%
@ 1.85-8.4%
Under 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.90+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.89
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Under
Unibet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.6%
@ 3.07-8.7%
Under 3.5
78.4%
@ 1.33+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.17
Under
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.2%
@ 1.66-6.7%
No
50.8%
@ 2.09+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Superbet
1.66
No
Unibet
2.18
Betfair
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Superbet
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.3%@ 6.11+7.1%
1-0
10.8%@ 8.26+5.5%
0-0
10.6%@ 9.63+6.1%
0-1
8.7%@ 8.92+3.8%
2-1
8.4%@ 8.72+3.4%
2-0
7.8%@ 11.66+4.1%
1-2
7.0%@ 9.30+2.3%
0-2
5.4%@ 13.22+2.1%
Landskrona BoIS goals ↓
Ostersunds FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.7%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
7.0%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.8%
8.4%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.4%
3.6%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Landskrona BoIS goals (down), columns = Ostersunds FK goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Landskrona BoIS is 0.19 points worse than Ostersunds FK in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Landskrona BoIS is 0.14 goals worse than Ostersunds FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Landskrona BoIS is 0.05 goals better than Ostersunds FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Landskrona BoIS is 3.3 percentage points better than Ostersunds FK in terms of average possession (57% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Landskrona BoIS
For 5.1 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 14.4 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ostersunds FK
For 5.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Landskrona BoIS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.9
9.9
1.6
1.9
1.3
26.0
27.0
25.0
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
10.8
11.4
9.9
1.6
2.1
1.2
26.3
27.0
25.3
vs Weaker (6)
8.7
6.0
10.0
1.8
1.0
2.7
24.0
-
24.0
% over line
53%
60%
44%
20%
23%
18%
69%
75%
62%
% under line
47%
40%
56%
80%
77%
82%
31%
25%
38%
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.0
8.7
1.2
1.2
1.3
23.6
21.4
25.7
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (48)
8.8
9.0
8.7
1.3
1.2
1.4
23.6
21.4
25.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
30%
50%
16%
17%
15%
71%
57%
86%
% under line
60%
70%
50%
84%
83%
85%
29%
43%
14%
This opponent (Landskrona BoIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
11.0
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.3
Ljungskile SK
10.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
United Nordic
9.1
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.0
Osters IF
3.9
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Ostersunds FK
3.4
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.7
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.0
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.1
Landskrona BoIS
23.9
Orebro SK
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.8
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.0%
@ 1.80-6.4%
Under 9.5
55.0%
@ 1.90+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
Unibet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.92
Superbet
1.88
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.8%
Under 3.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.4%
Under 21.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Landskrona BoIS or Draw✓ Hit
70.5%
Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.41
Edge
+4.2%
40%
30%
30%
covers Landskrona BoIS + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Landskrona BoIS or Ostersunds FK✗ Miss
69.8%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.30
Edge
-2.0%
40%
30%
30%
covers Landskrona BoIS + Ostersunds FK
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Draw or Ostersunds FK✓ Hit
59.7%
Avg Implied 61.9% · @ 1.50
Edge
-2.2%
40%
30%
30%
covers Draw + Ostersunds FK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Unibet
1.54
10Bet
1.53
SBO
1.52
Betfair
1.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Landskrona BoIS over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.7%
@ 1.25-1.4%
Under
27.3%
@ 3.58+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Unibet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.77
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Landskrona BoIS over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.2%
@ 2.25-4.2%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.59+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.37
BetVictor
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Under
Unibet
1.68
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Landskrona BoIS over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.2%
@ 4.99-4.4%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.14+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Under
Unibet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Landskrona BoIS over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 11.06-4.3%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.03+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.9%
@ 1.29-6.1%
Under
34.1%
@ 3.30+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.51
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.2%
@ 2.43-9.1%
Under
70.8%
@ 1.51+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.42
Under
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 5.51-7.4%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.11+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
Under
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Ostersunds FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 13.50-4.7%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Landskrona BoIS, so a minus line means Landskrona BoIS give that many goals of a start and Ostersunds FK receive them. At -1, Landskrona BoIS must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Landskrona BoIS win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Landskrona BoIS)Actual: Ostersunds FK
Landskrona BoIS -2
6.6%
@ 10.95-1.6%
Draw -2
12.2%
@ 6.86-1.0%
Ostersunds FK +2
81.2%
@ 1.15+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Marathonbet
9.30
Unibet
8.50
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.95
Unibet
6.00
Away
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Handicap -1 (Landskrona BoIS)Actual: Ostersunds FK
Landskrona BoIS -1
18.8%
@ 4.69-0.2%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 4.12-0.3%
Ostersunds FK +1
59.7%
@ 1.51+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
Unibet
4.10
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Away
Unibet
1.57
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Betfair
1.44
Handicap +1 (Landskrona BoIS)Actual: Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona BoIS +1
70.5%
@ 1.40+7.0%
Draw +1
17.6%
@ 4.36-2.9%
Ostersunds FK -1
11.9%
@ 5.53-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Unibet
1.37
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Unibet
4.35
10Bet
4.20
Away
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.60
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.25
Handicap +2 (Landskrona BoIS)Actual: Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona BoIS +2
88.1%
@ 1.11+9.3%
Draw +2
8.4%
@ 6.67-4.7%
Ostersunds FK -2
3.6%
@ 10.80-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
15.00
Marathonbet
6.60
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Landskrona BoIS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.92
0.69
0.41
0.82
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.65
1.00
0.64
0.47
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.79
0.36
0.25
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.50
0.50
0.79
0.36
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Landskrona BoIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.1%
@ 1.36-0.8%
Under 0.5
32.9%
@ 2.89+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
BetVictor
1.38
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.11
William Hil
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.4%
@ 2.66-5.5%
Under 1.5
70.6%
@ 1.42+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
Betano
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.69
Under
Unibet
1.46
William Hil
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.0%
@ 6.65-4.0%
Under 2.5
90.0%
@ 1.08+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Under
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Landskrona BoIS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.9%
@ 2.00-0.5%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.73+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Landskrona BoIS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 6.11-2.8%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.09+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Landskrona BoIS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 15.88-3.9%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.0%
@ 2.10-5.3%
Under
61.0%
@ 1.66+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Unibet
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 6.50-5.4%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.08+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.90
10Bet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 18.50-3.8%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Landskrona BoIS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.54
0.62
0.65
0.59
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.58
0.55
0.55
0.67
0.60
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.80
0.79
0.79
0.81
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.80
0.80
0.79
0.79
0.81
0.81
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Landskrona BoIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.7%
@ 1.22+0.7%
Under 0.5
23.3%
@ 3.86-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.90
1xBet
3.84
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.0%
@ 2.00-2.3%
Under 1.5
56.0%
@ 1.73+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.8%
@ 4.22-5.1%
Under 2.5
83.2%
@ 1.18+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Landskrona BoIS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.9%
@ 1.70-0.7%
Under
46.1%
@ 2.04+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Landskrona BoIS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.9%
@ 4.36-3.3%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.18+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Landskrona BoIS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 10.50-5.0%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.3%
@ 1.76-4.2%
Under
51.7%
@ 1.94+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Under
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.4%
@ 4.71-6.2%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.15+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 11.12-6.1%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.08
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.8%
1.11
Unibet
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.5%
1.11
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
88.1%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.6%
1.15
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.8%
1.14
Unibet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.17
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.1%
1.18
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.2%
1.15
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.4%
1.33
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.34
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.5%
1.34
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
-
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.22
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
72.7%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.8%
1.51
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.6%
1.42
Unibet
1.46
William Hil
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
10Bet
1.42
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
70.5%
1.41
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Superbet
1.41
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
70.5%
1.40
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Unibet
1.37
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Landskrona BoIS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adam Egnell50%
Gustaf Weststrom33%
Constantino Capotondi25%
Amr Kaddoura0%
Andreas Murbeck0%
Kevin Jensen0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
André Álvarez Pérez0%
Gustaf Bruzelius0%
Zakaria Loukili0%
Xavier Odhiambo0%
Max'Med Omar Mohamed0%
Emmanuel Moungam0%
Enes Habibovic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Constantino Capotondi50%
Zakaria Loukili50%
Amr Kaddoura33%
Markus Björkqvist33%
Emmanuel Moungam33%
André Álvarez Pérez25%
Gustaf Bruzelius25%
Andreas Murbeck0%
Kevin Jensen0%
Adam Egnell0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Xavier Odhiambo0%
Max'Med Omar Mohamed0%
Gustaf Weststrom0%
Enes Habibovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Constantino Capotondi50%
Amr Kaddoura0%
Andreas Murbeck0%
Kevin Jensen0%
Adam Egnell0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
André Álvarez Pérez0%
Gustaf Bruzelius0%
Zakaria Loukili0%
Xavier Odhiambo0%
Max'Med Omar Mohamed0%
Gustaf Weststrom0%
Emmanuel Moungam0%
Enes Habibovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Egnell25%
Amr Kaddoura0%
Andreas Murbeck0%
Kevin Jensen0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Constantino Capotondi0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
André Álvarez Pérez0%
Gustaf Bruzelius0%
Zakaria Loukili0%
Xavier Odhiambo0%
Max'Med Omar Mohamed0%
Gustaf Weststrom0%
Emmanuel Moungam0%
Enes Habibovic0%
Ostersunds FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emil Özkan33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hugo Azzi67%
Daniel Miljanovic33%
Abel Stensrud33%
Emil Özkan33%
Sunday Anyanwu33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Marklund33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Emil Özkan0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Emil Özkan0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Landskrona BoIS's squad is €2m more valuable than Ostersunds FK's (€6m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Landskrona BoIS's attack is €1m more valuable than Ostersunds FK's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Landskrona BoIS and Ostersunds FK have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Landskrona BoIS and Ostersunds FK have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →