Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with Olympiakos Piraeus expected to triumph at Larisa. The overall shape of the match is a modest 2.5-goal affair, most likely to finish 2-goals-total. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13% chance. Larisa, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Olympiakos, on the road to a weaker opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and only 0.42 conceded. Home win probability sits at 20%, draw at 28%, and away win at 53%. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 96.1%, Over 21.5 fouls at 91.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 90.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 90.1%, Under 10.5 corners at 83.4%, Over 23.5 fouls at 82.7%, Over 3.5 cards at 79.4%, and Under 3.5 at 76.4%. Both teams are on a two-game winning run, with Larisa’s last win 3-1 over Kallithea and Olympiakos’ last win 1-0 over Asteras Tripolis.

The match saw Olympiakos Piraeus extend their two-game winning streak, securing a 0-1 victory over Larisa. The model had picked an away win with a 53% probability, and it proved correct. The predicted most likely score of 0-2 fell short, but the actual 0-1 result still matched the model’s overall outcome. All of the model’s selections were settled: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 96.1%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 91.1%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 90.9%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 90.1%, Under 10.5 corners hit at 83.4%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 82.7%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 79.4%, and Under 3.5 hit at 76.4%. The model’s predictions performed strongly in this encounter.