Larisa’s recent 2-game winning streak is eclipsed by Olympiakos Piraeus’s unbeaten run, yet the model still favors a home win only 21% of the time, a draw 30%, and an away win 49%. The most likely outcome is an away victory, with an expected 2.2 goals and a 2-goal total. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 0-1 for Olympiakos, with a 14.1% chance. Larisa averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.0 conceded at home against stronger teams, while Olympiakos scores 1.7 and concedes only 0.2 when away against weaker sides.
The suggested selections include Over 19.5 fouls (99.9%), Under 7.5 (99.8%), Over 21.5 fouls (99.5%), Under 6.5 (99.3% with an 8% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Over 23.5 fouls (98.6%), Under 5.5 (97.5% with an 11% edge), and Under 11.5 corners (96.5%). All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every selection is listed with its exact figure.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as Olympiakos Piraeus secured a 0-4 away win, extending their three-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, “Away win,” carried a 49% probability and the model’s call was correct. The most likely scoreline, 0-1, had a 14.1% chance, while the 1-1 and 0-0 options hovered near 14% and 12%. The suggested selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.8%, Under 6.5 at 99.3%, Home under 3.5 goals at 99.0%, and Under 5.5 at 97.6%. The final score matched the model’s expectations, confirming the accuracy of its choices.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Larisa win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied 9.9% · @ 9.21
Edge
+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
11.80
Unibet
11.50
BetVictor
11.00
William Hil
11.00
SBO
9.64
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied 17.1% · @ 5.35
Edge
+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.25
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.55
SBO
5.51
Olympiakos Piraeus win✓ Hit
48.6%
Avg Implied 72.9% · @ 1.25
Edge
-24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Dafabet
1.34
10Bet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Larisa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.43
0.93
1.21
1.19
1.62
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.00
1.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.13
1.57
0.82
1.27
1.42
1.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.53
1.00
0.53
1.47
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.73
1.09
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (19)
1.53
0.21
1.33
0.22
1.70
0.20
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.5%
@ 1.16-14.2%
Under 1.5
34.5%
@ 4.54+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
4.80
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.4%
@ 1.57-21.5%
Under 2.5
62.6%
@ 2.25+21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Under
Betano
2.32
Bet365
2.30
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.26
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.8%
@ 2.42-20.3%
Under 3.5
82.2%
@ 1.49+20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.58
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.42
Betano
2.42
Unibet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
BetVictor
1.51
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.9%
@ 2.00-3.2%
No
57.1%
@ 1.71+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
2.32
Bet365
2.25
William Hil
2.05
1xBet
2.04
BetVictor
2.00
No
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.75
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.1%@ 6.97+7.8%
1-1
13.8%@ 10.32+9.5%
0-0
12.5%@ 13.89+9.3%
0-2
10.5%@ 5.96+3.1%
1-2
8.6%@ 8.51+3.4%
1-0
7.9%@ 22.73+6.0%
2-1
5.1%@ 26.66+3.5%
0-3
4.8%@ 7.34-1.2%
Larisa goals ↓
Olympiakos Piraeus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
14%
11%
4.8%
1.6%
1
7.9%
14%
8.6%
3.9%
1.3%
2
3.7%
5.1%
3.5%
1.6%
0.5%
3
1.0%
1.4%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Larisa goals (down), columns = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.40
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.40
Levadiakos
2.38
OFI
2.22
Aris Thessalonikis
2.17
Panathinaikos
2.14
PAOK
2.00
Volos NFC
1.67
Atromitos
1.60
Kifisia
1.29
Kallithea
1.20
Ellas Syros
1.20
Panetolikos
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.03
Zakynthos
1.03
Panthrakikos
1.03
Trikala
1.03
Iraklis 1908
1.00
Panionios
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Marko
0.80
Larisa
0.80
Asteras Tripolis
0.80
Apollon Pontou
0.71
Kalamata
0.00
Niki Volos
0.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.00
Larisa is 1.60 points worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 2.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
3.60
Volos NFC
2.33
PAOK
2.00
Levadiakos
1.88
Ellas Syros
1.80
Atromitos
1.60
OFI
1.56
Asteras Tripolis
1.40
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Panathinaikos
1.29
AEK Athens FC
1.20
Larisa
1.20
Panetolikos
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.10
Zakynthos
1.10
Panthrakikos
1.10
Trikala
1.10
Kalamata
1.00
Panionios
1.00
Niki Volos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Marko
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Kifisia
0.86
Kallithea
0.80
Apollon Pontou
0.76
Iraklis 1908
0.60
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.00
Larisa is 2.40 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 3.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
AEK Athens FC
0.40
OFI
0.67
Panathinaikos
0.71
Levadiakos
0.75
Aris Thessalonikis
0.83
Panionios
1.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.00
Kallithea
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.00
Kifisia
1.00
PAOK
1.11
Panetolikos
1.17
Atromitos
1.20
Asteras Tripolis
1.20
Volos NFC
1.33
Pyrgos 1968
1.45
Zakynthos
1.45
Panthrakikos
1.45
Trikala
1.45
Kalamata
2.00
Iraklis 1908
2.00
Niki Volos
2.00
Marko
2.00
Larisa
2.00
Apollon Pontou
2.10
Ellas Syros
2.60
Larisa is 1.00 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Volos NFC
87%
Levadiakos
71%
Panserraikos
65%
Kifisia
63%
Kallithea
60%
Niki Volos
59%
Ellas Syros
59%
Panionios
56%
Kalamata
50%
Marko
50%
Larisa
50%
Iraklis 1908
44%
Nestos Chrisoupolis
41%
Panetolikos
41%
Anagennisi Karditsas
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Larisa
For 4.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.5 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos Piraeus
For 5.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Larisa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.8
8.6
4.6
5.3
4.0
29.7
31.9
27.5
vs Stronger (11)
8.8
9.0
8.6
5.3
6.2
4.5
29.7
31.2
28.2
vs Similar (35)
8.7
8.8
8.5
4.9
5.6
4.3
29.8
32.2
27.3
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
41%
37%
45%
62%
75%
50%
84%
95%
74%
% under line
59%
63%
55%
38%
25%
50%
16%
5%
26%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
10.0
7.2
3.9
3.3
4.5
25.2
24.0
26.4
vs Stronger (3)
8.3
8.0
8.5
4.3
3.0
5.0
22.3
19.0
24.0
vs Similar (14)
7.9
8.3
7.5
3.6
3.0
4.3
22.3
20.7
24.2
vs Weaker (33)
8.8
10.9
6.9
4.0
3.5
4.5
26.8
25.9
27.7
% over line
29%
41%
17%
48%
32%
64%
69%
68%
70%
% under line
71%
59%
83%
52%
68%
36%
31%
32%
30%
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Panionios
10.4
Kallithea
9.7
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Kifisia
9.2
Aris Thessalonikis
9.1
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
OFI
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Larisa
8.6
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.5
Panserraikos
8.5
Kalamata
8.3
Marko
7.0
Anagennisi Karditsas
6.0
Ellas Syros
5.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
5.0
Iraklis 1908
4.7
Niki Volos
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anagennisi Karditsas
8.0
Kifisia
6.6
Kalamata
6.3
Larisa
6.1
Panserraikos
6.0
Kallithea
5.9
Panionios
5.8
Levadiakos
5.6
Volos NFC
5.6
Panetolikos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
OFI
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
Iraklis 1908
4.7
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Ellas Syros
4.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
4.0
Marko
3.0
Niki Volos
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
38.0
Kalamata
37.5
Anagennisi Karditsas
37.0
Marko
37.0
Ellas Syros
34.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
34.0
Kifisia
32.3
Larisa
32.0
Atromitos
30.8
Levadiakos
30.6
Volos NFC
30.5
Panionios
30.5
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.8
Kallithea
28.8
Aris Thessalonikis
28.7
Panathinaikos
28.2
Asteras Tripolis
27.8
Panserraikos
27.2
Panetolikos
27.1
Niki Volos
27.0
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
12.8%
@ 2.00-33.6%
Under 9.5
87.2%
@ 1.73+33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Under
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.5%
@ 1.29-2.4%
Under 3.5
31.5%
@ 3.15+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
Under
Betano
3.30
Superbet
3.00
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
99.5%
Under 21.5
0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Larisa or Draw✗ Miss
51.4%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.52
Edge
+24.8%
21%
30%
49%
covers Larisa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.80
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
1xBet
3.72
Larisa or Olympiakos Piraeus✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied 84.7% · @ 1.11
Edge
-15.0%
21%
30%
49%
covers Larisa + Olympiakos Piraeus
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw or Olympiakos Piraeus✓ Hit
78.9%
Avg Implied 88.7% · @ 1.05
Edge
-9.9%
21%
30%
49%
covers Draw + Olympiakos Piraeus
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
Betfair
1.06
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Larisa over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
55.8%
@ 1.86+5.9%
Under
44.2%
@ 1.85-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.10
1xBet
1.98
BetVictor
1.87
Pinnacle
1.83
Under
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.85
Larisa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.7%
@ 5.07+1.4%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.14-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.30
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Larisa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.0%
@ 12.58-2.5%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.02+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Larisa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 40.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.6%
@ 1.06-13.5%
Under
25.4%
@ 7.83+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Under
1xBet
9.50
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.70
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.8%
@ 1.37-28.0%
Under
60.2%
@ 2.88+28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.00
1xBet
2.85
10Bet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.76
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.9%
@ 2.15-27.0%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.62+27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.38
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Under
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.68
BetVictor
1.65
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
5.0%
@ 3.87-19.0%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.22+19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.95
BetVictor
3.80
1xBet
3.75
Under
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.23
Betano
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.20
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Larisa, so a minus line means Larisa give that many goals of a start and Olympiakos Piraeus receive them. At -1, Larisa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Larisa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Larisa)Actual: Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa -2
1.6%
Draw -2
5.4%
Olympiakos Piraeus +2
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Larisa)Actual: Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa -1
7.0%
@ 26.00+3.4%
Draw -1
14.1%
@ 12.00+6.2%
Olympiakos Piraeus +1
78.9%
@ 1.07-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
1.07
Handicap +1 (Larisa)Actual: Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa +1
51.4%
@ 3.36+24.6%
Draw +1
24.5%
@ 3.71+0.3%
Olympiakos Piraeus -1
24.1%
@ 1.84-24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.35
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.66
Superbet
3.65
10Bet
3.55
Away
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.67
Handicap +2 (Larisa)Actual: Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa +2
75.9%
@ 1.90+29.4%
Draw +2
15.1%
@ 3.80-8.1%
Olympiakos Piraeus -2
9.1%
@ 2.91-21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.04
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Superbet
1.78
Draw
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Away
Superbet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
2.62
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Larisa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.80
0.50
0.79
0.38
0.81
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.57
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.87
0.45
0.82
0.50
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.20
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.36
0.33
0.50
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (19)
0.84
0.11
0.89
0.22
0.80
0.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.34
William Hil
2.30
1xBet
2.29
Under
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
BetVictor
1.56
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
William Hil
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.00
Betano
5.00
Under
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Larisa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
10Bet
3.20
Betano
3.05
Superbet
2.95
Under
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Larisa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Larisa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
55.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Under
10Bet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.67
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.55
Betano
2.45
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.25
Superbet
3.15
10Bet
2.95
1xBet
2.90
Under
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Superbet
7.70
Betano
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Larisa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.43
0.43
0.81
0.81
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.43
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.70
0.36
0.45
0.92
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.33
0.33
0.20
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.73
0.17
0.50
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
0.68
0.11
0.44
0.00
0.90
0.20
Clean sheet %
73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Under
Betano
4.80
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.75
1xBet
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Larisa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.47
Superbet
2.47
10Bet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.38
Larisa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
8.60
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Larisa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
36.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Under
1xBet
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Superbet
3.10
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.52
10Bet
2.38
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.28
Under
1xBet
1.56
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Superbet
1.46
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.65
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
5.10
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.6%
1.07
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
-
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
95.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.23
Betano
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.20
+19.0%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.9%
1.19
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.17
+15.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
1.13
Betano
1.13
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
-
Home under 1.5 goals
80.3%
1.14
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
78.9%
1.05
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
Betfair
1.06
-9.9%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
78.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-9.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
74.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.03
-
-13.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Larisa · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ángelo Sagal21%
Ľubomír Tupta20%
Giannis Pasas15%
Petros Bagalianis14%
Leandro Garate14%
Amr Warda12%
Facundo Pérez12%
Gaël Kakuta8%
Soufiane Chakla8%
Konstantinos Apostolakis7%
Yvann Maçon6%
Jani Atanasov3%
Christos Giousis0%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Athanasios Papageorgiou0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Epameinondas Pantelakis0%
Paschalis Staikos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Theodoros Venetikidis0%
Erick Ferigra0%
Lazar Rosić0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Pione Sisto0%
Julien Ngoy0%
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson0%
Alexandros Anagnostopoulos0%
Savvas Mourgos0%
Goni Naor0%
Zisis Chatzistravos0%
Vasilios Sourlis0%
Luca Andrada0%
Theocharis Iliadis0%
Ahmed Ouattara Kossonou0%
King Faisal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lazar Rosić43%
Epameinondas Pantelakis40%
Bojan Kovačević38%
Yvann Maçon33%
Jani Atanasov32%
Soufiane Chakla31%
Theocharis Iliadis30%
Konstantinos Apostolakis29%
Petros Bagalianis29%
Savvas Mourgos26%
Ángelo Sagal25%
Facundo Pérez24%
Theodoros Venetikidis22%
Ahmed Ouattara Kossonou22%
Vasilios Sourlis22%
Goni Naor21%
Leandro Garate21%
Athanasios Papageorgiou18%
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson18%
Paschalis Staikos17%
Nikolaos Melissas15%
Christos Giousis14%
Alexandros Anagnostopoulos14%
Amr Warda12%
Dylan Batubinsika12%
Erick Ferigra11%
Pione Sisto10%
Zisis Chatzistravos9%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis8%
Giannis Pasas7%
Ľubomír Tupta6%
Gaël Kakuta0%
Julien Ngoy0%
Luca Andrada0%
King Faisal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaël Kakuta17%
Amr Warda12%
Ángelo Sagal11%
Pione Sisto10%
Athanasios Papageorgiou9%
Savvas Mourgos9%
Paschalis Staikos8%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis8%
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson6%
Ľubomír Tupta6%
Ahmed Ouattara Kossonou6%
Erick Ferigra5%
Goni Naor5%
Giannis Pasas4%
Leandro Garate3%
Jani Atanasov3%
Christos Giousis0%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Yvann Maçon0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Epameinondas Pantelakis0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Theodoros Venetikidis0%
Lazar Rosić0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Julien Ngoy0%
Alexandros Anagnostopoulos0%
Petros Bagalianis0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Facundo Pérez0%
Zisis Chatzistravos0%
Vasilios Sourlis0%
Luca Andrada0%
Theocharis Iliadis0%
King Faisal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jani Atanasov23%
Ľubomír Tupta20%
Christos Giousis14%
Ángelo Sagal14%
Pione Sisto10%
Leandro Garate7%
Yvann Maçon6%
Zisis Chatzistravos4%
Facundo Pérez3%
Amr Warda0%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Athanasios Papageorgiou0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Epameinondas Pantelakis0%
Konstantinos Apostolakis0%
Paschalis Staikos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Theodoros Venetikidis0%
Giannis Pasas0%
Erick Ferigra0%
Lazar Rosić0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Gaël Kakuta0%
Julien Ngoy0%
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson0%
Alexandros Anagnostopoulos0%
Petros Bagalianis0%
Savvas Mourgos0%
Goni Naor0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Vasilios Sourlis0%
Luca Andrada0%
Theocharis Iliadis0%
Ahmed Ouattara Kossonou0%
King Faisal0%
Olympiakos Piraeus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi25%
Jota Silva25%
Gelson Martins0%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Rodinei0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Joel Roca0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Gustavo Sá0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rodinei67%
Santiago Hezze67%
Panagiotis Retsos33%
Lorenzo Scipioni33%
Gustavo Sá33%
Gelson Martins25%
Ayoub El Kaabi0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Jota Silva0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Joel Roca0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gelson Martins0%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Ayoub El Kaabi0%
Rodinei0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Jota Silva0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Joel Roca0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Gustavo Sá0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gustavo Sá33%
Ayoub El Kaabi25%
Joel Roca25%
Gelson Martins0%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Rodinei0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Jota Silva0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Larisa's squad is €170m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€5m vs €175m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Larisa's attack is €82m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€2m vs €84m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Larisa's midfield is €46m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€1m vs €47m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Larisa's defence is €42m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€2m vs €44m).
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →
Olympiakos Piraeus plays in Greece - Super League 1
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panserraikos
Ellas Syros
Panionios
Anagennisi Karditsas
Niki Volos
Zakynthos
PAOK II
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Marko
Apollon Pontou
Kallithea
Asteras Tripolis II
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Pyrgos 1968
Panthrakikos
PAOK
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
OFI
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Kalamata
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos