This opponent (Frosinone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Frosinone
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.97
1.67
0.67
1.33
1.27
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (5)
1.40
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.75
1.25
vs Weaker (23)
1.52
0.96
1.85
0.62
1.10
1.40
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.5%
Under 1.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.7%
@ 1.98+9.1%
Under 2.5
43.3%
@ 1.80-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.3%
Under 3.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.8%
No
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
1-0 ✓
8.4%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
Lecce goals ↓
Frosinone goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
4.8%
3.3%
1.2%
0.3%
1
8.4%
12%
6.0%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.8%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.3%
6.0%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.4%
2.7%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lecce goals (down), columns = Frosinone goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Lecce is 0.34 points better than Frosinone in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Lecce is 0.03 goals better than Frosinone in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Lecce is 0.37 goals better than Frosinone in terms of goals conceded per game (0.82 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lecce
For 5.4 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.8 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 15.8 · Total 31.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Frosinone
For 6.0 · Against 2.9 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.6 · Against 13.3 · Total 31.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lecce
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.2
9.0
5.3
4.7
5.8
29.3
28.0
30.5
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
6.0
10.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
26.5
24.0
29.0
vs Similar (14)
9.7
11.0
9.4
5.2
4.0
5.5
29.5
29.7
29.5
vs Weaker (34)
9.6
10.2
8.6
5.4
4.8
6.2
29.4
28.0
31.4
% over line
54%
58%
50%
74%
71%
77%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
46%
42%
50%
26%
29%
23%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Frosinone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Frosinone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.4
9.9
5.7
5.6
5.8
31.6
30.6
32.6
vs Stronger (2)
12.5
11.0
14.0
3.0
2.0
4.0
30.0
33.0
27.0
vs Similar (12)
8.9
9.5
8.3
5.2
4.3
6.0
32.0
31.8
32.2
vs Weaker (36)
10.4
10.7
10.2
6.0
6.2
5.8
31.5
30.1
33.0
% over line
48%
48%
48%
76%
68%
84%
94%
92%
96%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
24%
32%
16%
6%
8%
4%
This opponent (Lecce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Alessandria
10.7
Crotone
10.7
Benevento
10.6
Pisa
10.6
Como
10.4
Reggina
10.4
Monza
10.2
Spal
10.2
Frosinone
10.2
Vicenza Virtus
10.2
Cittadella
10.0
Ascoli
9.9
Parma
9.9
Ternana
9.9
Cremonese
9.8
Pordenone
9.7
Lecce
9.5
Perugia
9.4
Cosenza
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.2
Perugia
6.0
Pordenone
5.9
Ascoli
5.9
Reggina
5.7
Pisa
5.7
Frosinone
5.7
Vicenza Virtus
5.5
Parma
5.4
Como
5.4
Monza
5.3
Lecce
5.3
Alessandria
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Cremonese
5.2
Spal
5.1
Crotone
4.9
Ternana
4.7
Brescia
4.7
Benevento
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
34.1
Cittadella
33.7
Perugia
33.4
Pisa
33.2
Pordenone
33.2
Alessandria
32.5
Monza
32.3
Spal
31.8
Ascoli
31.8
Frosinone
31.6
Vicenza Virtus
31.0
Como
30.0
Cremonese
29.9
Ternana
29.6
Parma
29.6
Lecce
29.3
Benevento
29.1
Crotone
28.7
Cosenza
27.3
Brescia
27.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.8%
Under 9.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.2%
Under 3.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.5%
Under 21.5
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lecce
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.37
1.33
0.47
0.53
0.27
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.14
2.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.95
0.38
1.18
0.45
0.70
0.30
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Frosinone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.80
0.27
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (5)
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.25
vs Weaker (23)
0.61
0.48
0.85
0.15
0.30
0.90
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lecce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lecce
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.80
0.47
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.14
1.00
0.00
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (21)
0.81
0.57
0.82
0.64
0.80
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Frosinone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.50
0.87
0.40
1.00
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (5)
1.40
0.80
0.00
0.00
1.75
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
0.91
0.48
1.00
0.46
0.80
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lecce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lecce · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Olaf Gorter33%
Tiago Gabriel33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lassana Coulibaly33%
Danilo Veiga33%
Kialonda Gaspar33%
Oumar Ngom33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lassana Coulibaly33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Willem Geubbels33%
Nikola Štulić33%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Frosinone · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
A. Raimondo67%
A. Terzić33%
G. Kvernadze33%
Gabriele Bracaglia33%
Matteo Cichella33%
Romano Schmid0%
A. Zerbin0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
I. Monterisi0%
A. Oyono0%
P. Masini0%
L. Palmisani0%
S. Fini0%
G. Calvani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Romano Schmid67%
G. Calvani67%
A. Raimondo33%
Gabriele Bracaglia33%
P. Masini25%
A. Terzić0%
A. Zerbin0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
I. Monterisi0%
A. Oyono0%
G. Kvernadze0%
L. Palmisani0%
S. Fini0%
Matteo Cichella0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
G. Kvernadze67%
Giacomo Calò33%
A. Raimondo33%
Gabriele Bracaglia33%
A. Terzić0%
Romano Schmid0%
A. Zerbin0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
I. Monterisi0%
A. Oyono0%
P. Masini0%
L. Palmisani0%
S. Fini0%
G. Calvani0%
Matteo Cichella0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Raimondo33%
Matteo Cichella33%
A. Terzić0%
Romano Schmid0%
A. Zerbin0%
Giacomo Calò0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
I. Monterisi0%
A. Oyono0%
P. Masini0%
G. Kvernadze0%
L. Palmisani0%
S. Fini0%
G. Calvani0%
Gabriele Bracaglia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (34)
€488m
PAR (28)
€142m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
MON (29)
€70m
CRE (30)
€49m
BEN (30)
€12m
VV (26)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
Lecce's squad is €12m less valuable than Frosinone's (€72m vs €84m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
CRE (7)
€12m
ASC (11)
€5m
BEN (8)
€4m
VV (6)
€2m
Lecce's attack is €14m less valuable than Frosinone's (€20m vs €34m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
VV (12)
€5m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
Lecce's midfield is €11m less valuable than Frosinone's (€16m vs €27m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (14)
€144m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
MON (11)
€20m
BEN (13)
€5m
VV (8)
€4m
ASC (12)
€3m
Lecce's defence is €13m more valuable than Frosinone's (€37m vs €24m).
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Cremonese
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
Ascoli
Benevento
Perugia
Ternana
Cittadella
Parma
Reggina
Como
Spal
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