This opponent (Hellas Verona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hellas Verona
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.37
1.53
1.13
1.13
1.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (11)
1.09
1.18
1.00
1.14
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (17)
1.53
1.29
2.00
1.12
1.11
1.44
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.4%
Under 2.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1 ✓
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
Lecce goals ↓
Hellas Verona goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
7.1%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
1
9.6%
14%
7.0%
2.6%
0.7%
2
8.0%
9.1%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.0%
4.5%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.5%
1.7%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lecce goals (down), columns = Hellas Verona goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Brescia
1.86
Lecce
1.83
Palermo
1.75
Benevento
1.67
Pescara
1.53
Hellas Verona
1.44
Spezia
1.42
Cittadella
1.42
Perugia
1.39
Cremonese
1.36
Cosenza
1.28
Ascoli
1.19
Foggia
1.19
Crotone
1.19
Livorno
1.08
Salernitana
1.06
Venezia
1.06
Padova
0.86
Carpi
0.81
Lecce is 0.39 points better than Hellas Verona in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 1.44).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brescia
1.92
Lecce
1.83
Benevento
1.69
Palermo
1.58
Spezia
1.47
Pescara
1.39
Perugia
1.36
Hellas Verona
1.36
Cittadella
1.36
Foggia
1.22
Salernitana
1.14
Ascoli
1.11
Crotone
1.11
Carpi
1.08
Livorno
1.06
Cremonese
1.03
Padova
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Cosenza
0.94
Lecce is 0.47 goals better than Hellas Verona in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.92
Palermo
1.06
Cittadella
1.06
Brescia
1.17
Cosenza
1.17
Crotone
1.17
Lecce
1.25
Benevento
1.25
Pescara
1.28
Spezia
1.28
Hellas Verona
1.28
Venezia
1.28
Foggia
1.36
Perugia
1.36
Padova
1.36
Livorno
1.42
Ascoli
1.56
Salernitana
1.58
Carpi
1.86
Lecce is 0.03 goals better than Hellas Verona in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lecce
For 5.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 15.6 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hellas Verona
For 5.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 16.1 · Total 30.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lecce
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
9.5
8.5
10.3
4.7
4.5
4.8
29.0
30.4
28.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
10.2
8.3
12.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
29.2
35.3
23.0
vs Weaker (17)
9.3
8.6
9.8
4.8
4.7
4.8
29.0
28.3
29.5
% over line
35%
20%
46%
65%
60%
69%
91%
90%
92%
% under line
65%
80%
54%
35%
40%
31%
9%
10%
8%
This opponent (Hellas Verona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hellas Verona
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.2
10.6
4.8
5.2
4.4
28.2
28.3
28.1
vs Stronger (12)
10.8
11.4
10.4
3.8
4.2
3.6
23.1
24.2
22.3
vs Similar (18)
10.3
9.9
10.8
4.8
5.0
4.6
30.7
31.5
29.6
vs Weaker (20)
10.2
9.9
10.6
5.5
6.0
4.9
29.2
27.2
31.3
% over line
55%
56%
54%
78%
80%
76%
90%
96%
83%
% under line
45%
44%
46%
22%
20%
24%
10%
4%
17%
This opponent (Lecce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Livorno
11.0
Spezia
10.5
Hellas Verona
10.4
Crotone
10.3
Venezia
10.3
Padova
10.3
Cremonese
10.2
Pescara
10.1
Foggia
10.0
Brescia
9.8
Salernitana
9.8
Cittadella
9.8
Palermo
9.7
Carpi
9.6
Lecce
9.5
Benevento
9.4
Cosenza
9.3
Ascoli
9.2
Perugia
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Padova
5.4
Ascoli
5.3
Livorno
5.3
Cittadella
5.1
Benevento
5.1
Cosenza
5.0
Hellas Verona
5.0
Salernitana
4.8
Brescia
4.8
Pescara
4.8
Crotone
4.7
Venezia
4.7
Lecce
4.7
Cremonese
4.6
Foggia
4.5
Perugia
4.5
Carpi
4.3
Spezia
4.3
Palermo
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Brescia
32.9
Cittadella
32.3
Padova
31.9
Ascoli
31.8
Salernitana
30.8
Perugia
30.6
Carpi
30.5
Cosenza
30.5
Venezia
30.4
Livorno
30.3
Cremonese
30.3
Foggia
29.8
Palermo
29.4
Spezia
29.3
Pescara
29.2
Lecce
29.0
Benevento
28.9
Hellas Verona
28.2
Crotone
27.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.7%
Under 9.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.3%
Under 3.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.3%
Under 21.5
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lecce
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.74
0.39
0.60
0.30
0.85
0.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.41
0.71
0.29
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
74% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Hellas Verona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hellas Verona
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.87
0.53
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.64
0.71
0.71
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.50
1.00
0.38
0.38
0.62
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lecce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hellas Verona over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hellas Verona over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hellas Verona over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lecce
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.91
1.00
1.00
0.80
0.85
1.15
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.17
0.50
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (17)
0.82
1.18
0.86
0.86
0.80
1.40
Clean sheet %
35% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hellas Verona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hellas Verona
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.67
0.60
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
-
-
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.55
0.29
0.43
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (16)
0.75
0.88
1.00
0.75
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lecce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hellas Verona over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hellas Verona over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hellas Verona over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lecce · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Olaf Gorter33%
Tiago Gabriel33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lassana Coulibaly33%
Danilo Veiga33%
Kialonda Gaspar33%
Oumar Ngom33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lassana Coulibaly33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Willem Geubbels33%
Nikola Štulić33%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Hellas Verona · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Amin Sarr67%
Samuele Mulattieri33%
Mattia Compagnon33%
Grigoris Kastanos0%
Antoine Bernede0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Nicola Leali0%
Abdou Harroui0%
Andrias Edmundsson0%
Dailon Rocha Livramento0%
Salvatore Cerbone0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Grigoris Kastanos0%
Antoine Bernede0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Nicola Leali0%
Abdou Harroui0%
Samuele Mulattieri0%
Andrias Edmundsson0%
Amin Sarr0%
Mattia Compagnon0%
Dailon Rocha Livramento0%
Salvatore Cerbone0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Domagoj Bradarić33%
Grigoris Kastanos0%
Antoine Bernede0%
Nicola Leali0%
Abdou Harroui0%
Samuele Mulattieri0%
Andrias Edmundsson0%
Amin Sarr0%
Mattia Compagnon0%
Dailon Rocha Livramento0%
Salvatore Cerbone0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuele Mulattieri33%
Amin Sarr33%
Mattia Compagnon33%
Dailon Rocha Livramento33%
Grigoris Kastanos0%
Antoine Bernede0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Nicola Leali0%
Abdou Harroui0%
Andrias Edmundsson0%
Salvatore Cerbone0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
HV (34)
€57m
PAL (27)
€54m
CRE (30)
€49m
PAD (31)
€25m
BEN (30)
€12m
SPE (34)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
Lecce's squad is €15m more valuable than Hellas Verona's (€72m vs €57m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
PAL (7)
€23m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
PAD (9)
€6m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
Lecce's attack is €6m more valuable than Hellas Verona's (€20m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
PAL (7)
€12m
PAD (9)
€7m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
Lecce's midfield is €1m more valuable than Hellas Verona's (€16m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
PAD (13)
€12m
BEN (13)
€5m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
Lecce's defence is €7m more valuable than Hellas Verona's (€37m vs €30m).
Italy: Serie B 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Brescia
Palermo
Benevento
Pescara
Cittadella
Spezia
Perugia
Cremonese
Cosenza
Ascoli
Venezia
Salernitana
Padova