This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Venezia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.90
1.38
1.12
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.67
0.60
1.00
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (21)
1.38
1.00
1.73
1.18
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.7%
@ 1.82-4.2%
Under 2.5
52.3%
@ 1.97+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
Lecce goals ↓
Venezia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
5.8%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
1
11%
13%
5.3%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.6%
4.4%
1.4%
0.3%
3
5.8%
5.3%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.4%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lecce goals (down), columns = Venezia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Empoli
1.92
Salernitana
1.82
Monza
1.68
Lecce
1.63
Venezia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Chievo
1.47
Spal
1.47
Brescia
1.47
Frosinone
1.32
Reggina
1.32
Cremonese
1.26
Pisa
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Pordenone
1.18
Ascoli
1.16
Cosenza
0.92
Reggiana
0.89
Pescara
0.84
Virtus Entella
0.61
Lecce is 0.08 points better than Venezia in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.55).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lecce
1.79
Empoli
1.79
Brescia
1.61
Pisa
1.42
Venezia
1.39
Monza
1.34
Chievo
1.32
Cittadella
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Cremonese
1.21
Salernitana
1.21
Spal
1.16
Reggina
1.11
Pordenone
1.05
Frosinone
1.00
Ascoli
0.97
Reggiana
0.82
Virtus Entella
0.79
Pescara
0.76
Cosenza
0.76
Lecce is 0.39 goals better than Venezia in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Monza
0.87
Salernitana
0.89
Empoli
0.92
Cittadella
0.92
Chievo
0.97
Pordenone
1.03
Venezia
1.03
Frosinone
1.11
Spal
1.11
Cremonese
1.16
Reggina
1.18
Lecce
1.24
Cosenza
1.24
Ascoli
1.26
Brescia
1.39
Vicenza Virtus
1.39
Reggiana
1.50
Pisa
1.55
Pescara
1.58
Virtus Entella
1.68
Lecce is 0.21 goals worse than Venezia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lecce
For 6.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Venezia
For 6.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 19.1 · Total 32.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lecce
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.1
12.7
11.4
5.1
5.1
5.0
25.7
25.3
26.1
vs Stronger (16)
13.1
13.6
12.6
4.4
4.9
4.0
22.7
21.8
23.6
vs Similar (20)
11.5
12.1
10.8
5.3
5.3
5.4
27.8
28.5
26.8
vs Weaker (14)
11.7
12.7
11.0
5.4
5.2
5.5
26.1
24.0
27.8
% over line
82%
76%
88%
74%
76%
72%
78%
68%
88%
% under line
18%
24%
12%
26%
24%
28%
22%
32%
12%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Venezia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.5
10.3
5.5
5.9
5.0
31.8
32.4
31.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
10.2
9.8
10.7
4.8
5.2
4.3
30.9
31.2
30.4
vs Weaker (35)
9.8
9.4
10.2
5.7
6.2
5.3
32.2
32.9
31.6
% over line
58%
52%
64%
80%
84%
76%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
42%
48%
36%
20%
16%
24%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (Lecce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lecce
12.1
Spal
10.7
Monza
10.7
Cittadella
10.6
Cremonese
10.5
Pordenone
10.3
Cosenza
10.3
Brescia
10.3
Vicenza Virtus
10.2
Frosinone
10.2
Venezia
9.9
Empoli
9.9
Reggina
9.8
Virtus Entella
9.6
Reggiana
9.1
Pisa
9.0
Ascoli
8.8
Pescara
8.8
Salernitana
8.8
Chievo
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reggina
7.4
Pisa
6.5
Vicenza Virtus
6.1
Salernitana
6.0
Reggiana
6.0
Ascoli
5.9
Cosenza
5.8
Virtus Entella
5.6
Venezia
5.5
Pordenone
5.4
Cittadella
5.4
Chievo
5.3
Brescia
5.2
Spal
5.1
Pescara
5.1
Lecce
5.1
Frosinone
5.0
Monza
4.8
Cremonese
4.5
Empoli
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
37.0
Salernitana
34.4
Frosinone
33.3
Pisa
33.0
Cittadella
32.9
Reggiana
32.9
Vicenza Virtus
32.8
Venezia
31.8
Ascoli
31.5
Pordenone
31.3
Monza
31.0
Chievo
31.0
Cosenza
30.9
Virtus Entella
30.4
Pescara
30.0
Brescia
29.2
Spal
29.2
Empoli
29.0
Cremonese
27.4
Lecce
25.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
64.9%
Under 9.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.0%
Under 3.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
92.2%
Under 21.5
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lecce
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.93
0.80
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.12
0.60
1.40
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (12)
0.58
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.43
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.20
1.40
0.00
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Venezia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.56
0.44
0.57
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.11
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (21)
0.62
0.48
0.64
0.64
0.60
0.30
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lecce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lecce
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.23
1.20
1.13
0.87
1.33
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
2.12
0.80
1.80
0.67
2.67
vs Similar (12)
0.83
1.00
1.20
0.80
0.57
1.14
vs Weaker (10)
1.50
0.80
1.60
0.80
1.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Venezia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.81
0.69
0.36
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.56
0.20
1.00
0.25
0.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.76
0.52
1.09
0.55
0.40
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lecce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lecce · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Olaf Gorter33%
Tiago Gabriel33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lassana Coulibaly33%
Danilo Veiga33%
Kialonda Gaspar33%
Oumar Ngom33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lassana Coulibaly33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Willem Geubbels33%
Nikola Štulić33%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Venezia · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
John Yeboah33%
R. Sagrado33%
Akor Adams25%
S. Sohm0%
Thierry Correia0%
Armel Bella-Kotchap0%
Ridgeciano Haps0%
Gianluca Busio0%
Kike Pérez0%
Filip Stanković0%
Antoine Hainaut0%
A. Rrahmani0%
R. Halhal0%
J. Schingtienne0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kike Pérez33%
J. Schingtienne33%
R. Sagrado33%
Ridgeciano Haps25%
S. Sohm0%
Thierry Correia0%
Armel Bella-Kotchap0%
John Yeboah0%
Gianluca Busio0%
Akor Adams0%
Filip Stanković0%
Antoine Hainaut0%
A. Rrahmani0%
R. Halhal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Akor Adams25%
S. Sohm0%
Thierry Correia0%
Armel Bella-Kotchap0%
John Yeboah0%
Ridgeciano Haps0%
Gianluca Busio0%
Kike Pérez0%
Filip Stanković0%
Antoine Hainaut0%
A. Rrahmani0%
R. Halhal0%
J. Schingtienne0%
R. Sagrado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Akor Adams50%
John Yeboah33%
Gianluca Busio33%
Kike Pérez33%
S. Sohm0%
Thierry Correia0%
Armel Bella-Kotchap0%
Ridgeciano Haps0%
Filip Stanković0%
Antoine Hainaut0%
A. Rrahmani0%
R. Halhal0%
J. Schingtienne0%
R. Sagrado0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
MON (29)
€70m
CRE (30)
€49m
EMP (27)
€20m
VV (26)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
REG (27)
€8m
Lecce's squad is €45m less valuable than Venezia's (€72m vs €117m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
CRE (7)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
VE (7)
€3m
VV (6)
€2m
REG (6)
€1m
Lecce's attack is €19m less valuable than Venezia's (€20m vs €39m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
VV (12)
€5m
ASC (6)
€3m
REG (9)
€2m
PES (6)
€1m
Lecce's midfield is €16m less valuable than Venezia's (€16m vs €31m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
MON (11)
€20m
REG (12)
€4m
EMP (9)
€4m
VV (8)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Lecce's defence is €10m less valuable than Venezia's (€37m vs €47m).
Italy: Serie B 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Empoli
Salernitana
Monza
Cittadella
Brescia
Spal
Reggina
Frosinone
Cremonese
Pisa
Vicenza Virtus
Ascoli
Cosenza
Reggiana
Pescara
Virtus Entella