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Leeds vs Arsenal Result & Analysis

Date: 31/01/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-4
Leeds
Leeds
Vs
26%
27%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Referee: S Attwell

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leeds win✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 16.1% · @ 5.87
Edge
+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.99
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal win✓ Hit
47.2%
Avg Implied 60.2% · @ 1.57
Edge
-13.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D11D41W11D00D11D34L31W10W11DH·LIV06/12A·BRE14/12H·CRY20/12A·SUN28/12A·LIV01/01H·MAN04/01A·NEW07/01A·DER11/01H·FUL17/01A·EVE26/01
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.402.211.001.191.75
vs Stronger (5)1.602.403.002.000.672.67
vs Similar (18)1.281.441.441.001.111.89
vs Weaker (7)2.710.574.000.331.750.75
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W41W32W00D41W32W00D31W23L32WH·BRI27/12H·AST30/12A·BOU03/01H·LIV08/01A·POR11/01A·CHE14/01A·NOT17/01A·INT20/01H·MAN25/01H·KAI28/01
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.170.772.270.732.070.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)2.291.142.251.002.331.33
vs Weaker (23)2.130.652.270.642.000.67
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.3%
@ 1.87+2.0%
Under 2.5
47.7%
@ 1.89-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
Leeds goals ↓
Arsenal goals →
01234
07.5%9.0%8.3%4.5%1.8%
16.0%13%9.5%5.1%2.1%
24.1%6.7%5.4%2.9%1.2%
31.6%2.6%2.1%1.1%0.5%
40.5%0.7%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leeds goals (down), columns = Arsenal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Leeds is 1.00 points worse than Arsenal in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 2.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Leeds is 0.58 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Leeds is 0.76 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 0.71).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Leeds is 10.2 percentage points worse than Arsenal in terms of average possession (46% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LeedsLeeds

For 5.5 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

140447355486438939535481010121011121439A·EVEH·FULA·DERA·NEWH·MANA·LIVA·SUNH·CRYA·BREH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

60315112312113333625121406A·EVEH·FULA·DERA·NEWH·MANA·LIVA·SUNH·CRYA·BREH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 10.5 · Total 19.6

⚠️ Fouls

2801396118161011998109751098141422172421181816151728A·EVEH·FULA·DERA·NEWH·MANA·LIVA·SUNH·CRYA·BREH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArsenalArsenal

For 7.1 · Against 3.4 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

150119274949686357337211111113151431269H·KAIH·MANA·INTA·NOTA·CHEA·PORH·LIVA·BOUH·ASTH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

8011222114421221323232242834455H·KAIH·MANA·INTA·NOTA·CHEA·PORH·LIVA·BOUH·ASTH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 10.8 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

2701410119179148141291610981318971324202622262519212720H·KAIH·MANA·INTA·NOTA·CHEA·PORH·LIVA·BOUH·ASTH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LeedsLeeds

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.310.08.73.03.42.621.521.521.5
vs Stronger (5)7.87.58.03.44.03.023.225.521.7
vs Similar (26)8.79.38.13.23.92.420.821.320.4
vs Weaker (19)10.611.59.82.72.62.821.820.622.8
% over line50%59%42%32%46%19%52%64%42%
% under line50%41%58%68%54%81%48%36%58%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.09.83.33.13.521.821.322.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.67.89.54.63.85.424.022.925.1
vs Weaker (34)9.79.510.02.72.82.620.720.720.8
% over line46%38%54%48%46%50%52%46%58%
% under line54%62%46%52%54%50%48%54%42%
This opponent (Leeds) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.2
Bournemouth
10.8
Liverpool
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.1
West Ham
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
Fulham
9.8
Manchester United
9.8
Tottenham
9.8
Brentford
9.7
Everton
9.7
Brighton
9.6
Arsenal
9.4
Aston Villa
9.2
Leeds
9.2
Wolves
9.1
Burnley
9.1
Sunderland
9.0
Manchester City
8.9
Crystal Palace
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.7
Bournemouth
4.6
Sunderland
4.4
Brighton
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Aston Villa
4.0
Newcastle
3.9
Manchester City
3.8
Wolves
3.7
Everton
3.7
Brentford
3.7
West Ham
3.6
Fulham
3.5
Arsenal
3.4
Burnley
3.3
Liverpool
3.1
Leeds
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.3
Bournemouth
24.0
Aston Villa
23.4
West Ham
23.0
Nottingham Forest
22.9
Chelsea
22.6
Brighton
22.5
Sunderland
22.3
Everton
22.2
Tottenham
22.2
Manchester United
21.9
Arsenal
21.8
Leeds
21.2
Burnley
21.1
Newcastle
20.7
Fulham
20.2
Crystal Palace
20.2
Manchester City
19.9
Liverpool
19.7
Brentford
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.2%
Under 9.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.4%
Under 3.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
37.3%
Under 21.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LeedsLeeds

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W01L00D00D21W01L00D10WH·LIV06/12A·BRE14/12H·CRY20/12A·SUN28/12A·LIV01/01H·MAN04/01A·NEW07/01A·DER11/01H·FUL17/01A·EVE26/01
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.501.210.210.500.75
vs Stronger (5)0.400.801.000.000.001.33
vs Similar (18)0.780.440.780.220.780.67
vs Weaker (7)1.290.432.670.330.250.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D11D00D21W10W00D21W11D31WH·BRI27/12H·AST30/12A·BOU03/01H·LIV08/01A·POR11/01A·CHE14/01A·NOT17/01A·INT20/01H·MAN25/01H·KAI28/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.300.800.200.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.430.500.501.000.33
vs Weaker (23)0.830.260.910.090.750.42
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LeedsLeeds

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D11D21W10W00D11D13L30W10W01LH·LIV06/12A·BRE14/12H·CRY20/12A·SUN28/12A·LIV01/01H·MAN04/01A·NEW07/01A·DER11/01H·FUL17/01A·EVE26/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.901.000.790.691.00
vs Stronger (5)1.201.602.002.000.671.33
vs Similar (18)0.501.000.670.780.331.22
vs Weaker (7)1.430.141.330.001.500.25
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D41W21W00D20W22D00D10W12L01LH·BRI27/12H·AST30/12A·BOU03/01H·LIV08/01A·POR11/01A·CHE14/01A·NOT17/01A·INT20/01H·MAN25/01H·KAI28/01
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.471.470.531.270.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.570.711.750.501.331.00
vs Weaker (23)1.300.391.360.551.250.25
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls87.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards83.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls77.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Calvert-Lewin36%
Noah Okafor21%
Lukas Nmecha19%
Anton Stach15%
Ao Tanaka12%
Sean Longstaff11%
James Justin9%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Joe Rodon5%
Jayden Bogle5%
Joël Piroe5%
Wilfried Gnonto3%
Jaka Bijol3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Ampadu30%
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Jayden Bogle21%
Pascal Struijk16%
Gabriel Gudmundsson14%
Jaka Bijol13%
James Justin12%
Ilia Gruev12%
Sean Longstaff11%
Wilfried Gnonto10%
Lucas Perri10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Joe Rodon8%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin8%
Jack Harrison8%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Ao Tanaka6%
Sebastiaan Bornauw6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Karl Darlow4%
Joël Piroe0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brenden Aaronson12%
Jaka Bijol10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Ilia Gruev8%
Sean Longstaff7%
Wilfried Gnonto7%
Jayden Bogle5%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Joël Piroe0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Joe Rodon0%
Daniel James0%
Ao Tanaka0%
Lucas Perri0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Calvert-Lewin31%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Joël Piroe5%
Sean Longstaff4%
Ao Tanaka3%
Noah Okafor3%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Joe Rodon3%
Brenden Aaronson2%
Jaka Bijol0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Ethan Ampadu0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres30%
Kai Havertz26%
Bukayo Saka22%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Leandro Trossard16%
Mikel Merino15%
Noni Madueke14%
Eberechi Eze14%
Martín Zubimendi9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Magalhães8%
Max Dowman8%
Declan Rice7%
Jurriën Timber7%
Ben White3%
Martin Ødegaard3%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Piero Hincapié3%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kepa Arrizabalaga36%
Riccardo Calafiori19%
Martín Zubimendi14%
Cristhian Mosquera14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Myles Lewis-Skelly14%
Declan Rice13%
Mikel Merino12%
Gabriel Jesus11%
Viktor Gyökeres11%
Ben White10%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Kai Havertz9%
Piero Hincapié8%
Bukayo Saka6%
Leandro Trossard6%
William Saliba6%
Eberechi Eze4%
Noni Madueke2%
David Raya2%
Martin Ødegaard0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Havertz22%
Leandro Trossard20%
Martin Ødegaard19%
Declan Rice15%
Bukayo Saka14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Gabriel Martinelli13%
Myles Lewis-Skelly11%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Mikel Merino9%
Eberechi Eze8%
Ben White7%
Viktor Gyökeres6%
Riccardo Calafiori6%
Piero Hincapié5%
Noni Madueke5%
Gabriel Jesus4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres24%
Bukayo Saka18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Eberechi Eze16%
Max Dowman15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Mikel Merino12%
Noni Madueke10%
Kai Havertz9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Martinelli8%
Martin Ødegaard6%
Jurriën Timber5%
Declan Rice4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Piero Hincapié0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Leeds's squad is €980m less valuable than Arsenal's (€427m vs €1406m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Leeds's attack is €442m less valuable than Arsenal's (€166m vs €608m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Leeds's midfield is €192m less valuable than Arsenal's (€98m vs €290m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Leeds's defence is €345m less valuable than Arsenal's (€163m vs €508m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
0
LEE wins
1
Draws
6
ARS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Leeds vs Arsenal · H/A from LEE
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25AArsenal Vs LEE5-0
01/04/23AArsenal Vs LEE4-1
16/10/22HLEE Vs Arsenal0-1
08/05/22AArsenal Vs LEE2-1
18/12/21HLEE Vs Arsenal1-4
14/02/21AArsenal Vs LEE4-2
22/11/20HLEE Vs Arsenal0-0

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/01/26AEverton Vs LEE1-1
17/01/26HLEE Vs Fulham1-0
11/01/26ADerby Vs LEE1-3
07/01/26ANewcastle Vs LEE4-3
04/01/26HLEE Vs Manchester United1-1
01/01/26ALiverpool Vs LEE0-0
28/12/25ASunderland Vs LEE1-1
20/12/25HLEE Vs Crystal Palace4-1
14/12/25ABrentford Vs LEE1-1
06/12/25HLEE Vs Liverpool3-3

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/26HARS Vs Kairat Almaty3-2
25/01/26HARS Vs Manchester United2-3
20/01/26AInter Vs ARS1-3
17/01/26ANottingham Forest Vs ARS0-0
14/01/26AChelsea Vs ARS2-3
11/01/26APortsmouth Vs ARS1-4
08/01/26HARS Vs Liverpool0-0
03/01/26ABournemouth Vs ARS2-3
30/12/25HARS Vs Aston Villa4-1
27/12/25HARS Vs Brighton2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Leeds
Leeds
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWD1.70
HomeWDWDW2.04
AwayDDLWD1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%58%35%
AVG goals2.903.042.77
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %36%33%38%
Scored1.762.171.38
Conceded1.140.881.38
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet34%42%27%
Corners9.299.958.73
Cards3.123.732.62
Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW2.24
HomeWWDLW2.27
AwayWWWDW2.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%69%67%
AVG goals2.782.812.75
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored2.002.081.92
Conceded0.780.730.83
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet44%46%42%
Corners9.388.969.83
Cards3.393.123.70

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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