The contest between Leeds and Brentford is a true toss-up, with the model favouring a Leeds victory at 37%. A draw remains a strong possibility at 28%, while a Brentford win sits just behind at 35%. The average goal tally is 2.8, yet the most probable total is two goals, a 25% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 13% probability, reflecting the evenly matched teams.
Leeds, playing at home against a similarly-sized opponent, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Brentford, on the road, nets 1.73 and concedes 1.36 against comparable sides. The match is finely balanced, as both sides have comparable offensive and defensive records.
The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 84.5% (hit), Under 25.5 fouls at 83.3% (hit), Over 1.5 at 78.5% (miss), Under 23.5 fouls at 71.0% (hit), and Under 4.5 cards at 70.8% (hit). Each selection carries its own probability, independent of the match-result odds.
Results analysis
The 0-0 stalemate surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite, Leeds, had been tipped to win with a 37% probability, yet the model’s pick proved wrong. The match delivered a draw, extending Leeds’ recent form note of coming off a draw and Brentford’s unbeaten streak of five games. The model’s selection of a home win was therefore missed. The suggested picks all performed well: Under 5.5 cards hit at 84.5%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 83.3%, Over 1.5 missed at 78.5%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 71.0%, and Under 4.5 cards hit at 70.8%. The final score of 0-0 matched the expected total of 2.8 goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 13%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Leeds win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied 40.2% · @ 2.35
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.5%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.41
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brentford win✗ Miss
35.4%
Avg Implied 32.0% · @ 2.95
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Leeds
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.50
1.71
1.43
1.19
1.56
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
2.00
1.50
2.25
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (21)
1.38
1.38
1.80
1.10
1.00
1.64
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.20
1.77
1.15
1.59
1.24
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.67
1.33
1.33
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.81
1.24
1.90
1.10
1.73
1.36
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.00
-
-
2.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.6%
@ 1.85+2.8%
Under 2.5
46.4%
@ 1.91-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
0-0 ✓
7.1%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
Leeds goals ↓
Brentford goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
7.1%
5.8%
2.7%
0.9%
1
7.3%
13%
8.2%
3.8%
1.3%
2
6.1%
8.5%
5.9%
2.7%
1.0%
3
2.9%
4.0%
2.8%
1.3%
0.5%
4
1.0%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leeds goals (down), columns = Brentford goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Leeds is 0.16 points worse than Brentford in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Leeds is 0.16 goals worse than Brentford in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.45).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Leeds is 0.11 goals worse than Brentford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Leeds is 1.8 percentage points worse than Brentford in terms of average possession (46% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Leeds
For 5.1 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brentford
For 4.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leeds
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.7
9.0
3.2
3.4
3.0
21.8
21.5
22.0
vs Stronger (8)
8.5
9.8
7.2
3.8
3.2
4.2
21.6
21.5
21.8
vs Similar (28)
8.9
9.5
8.3
3.2
3.7
2.6
21.9
22.7
21.1
vs Weaker (14)
10.6
10.2
10.9
2.9
2.4
3.1
21.6
18.0
23.6
% over line
45%
52%
38%
38%
46%
31%
51%
52%
50%
% under line
55%
48%
62%
62%
54%
69%
49%
48%
50%
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.0
10.5
3.8
3.7
3.8
19.8
19.5
20.0
vs Stronger (9)
10.2
8.8
12.0
4.0
4.8
3.0
18.2
20.4
15.5
vs Similar (38)
9.8
9.0
10.5
3.8
3.4
4.2
20.3
19.2
21.2
vs Weaker (3)
8.0
-
8.0
2.0
-
2.0
17.3
-
17.3
% over line
56%
50%
61%
50%
50%
50%
36%
41%
32%
% under line
44%
50%
39%
50%
50%
50%
64%
59%
68%
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.4
West Ham
10.7
Bournemouth
10.6
Fulham
10.5
Liverpool
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Brentford
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
Tottenham
9.8
Aston Villa
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Everton
9.5
Burnley
9.5
Brighton
9.4
Leeds
9.4
Manchester City
9.4
Arsenal
9.3
Wolves
9.2
Sunderland
8.9
Crystal Palace
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.8
Bournemouth
4.6
Manchester United
4.3
Tottenham
4.2
Aston Villa
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Brighton
4.1
Nottingham Forest
4.0
Newcastle
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Wolves
3.8
Brentford
3.8
Manchester City
3.7
Everton
3.7
West Ham
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Liverpool
3.3
Arsenal
3.3
Leeds
3.3
Burnley
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.0
Bournemouth
23.6
Aston Villa
23.4
Nottingham Forest
23.2
West Ham
22.8
Chelsea
22.7
Brighton
22.4
Tottenham
22.3
Sunderland
22.2
Everton
22.2
Arsenal
21.8
Leeds
21.8
Manchester United
21.5
Newcastle
21.4
Liverpool
20.8
Burnley
20.8
Crystal Palace
20.7
Manchester City
20.5
Brentford
19.8
Fulham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.4%
Under 9.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.3%
Under 3.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.9%
Under 21.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Leeds
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.93
0.36
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.86
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.38
1.10
0.20
0.73
0.55
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.69
0.62
0.82
0.59
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.62
0.70
0.60
0.91
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
-
-
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Leeds
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.00
0.79
1.07
0.69
0.94
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
1.14
1.00
1.50
1.33
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.48
1.00
0.70
0.90
0.27
1.09
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
-
-
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
1.08
0.54
0.76
0.65
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.00
0.62
1.20
0.50
0.82
0.73
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
-
-
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Calvert-Lewin36%
Noah Okafor21%
Lukas Nmecha19%
Anton Stach15%
Ao Tanaka12%
Sean Longstaff11%
James Justin9%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Joe Rodon5%
Jayden Bogle5%
Joël Piroe5%
Wilfried Gnonto3%
Jaka Bijol3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Ampadu30%
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Jayden Bogle21%
Pascal Struijk16%
Gabriel Gudmundsson14%
Jaka Bijol13%
James Justin12%
Ilia Gruev12%
Sean Longstaff11%
Wilfried Gnonto10%
Lucas Perri10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Joe Rodon8%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin8%
Jack Harrison8%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Ao Tanaka6%
Sebastiaan Bornauw6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Karl Darlow4%
Joël Piroe0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brenden Aaronson12%
Jaka Bijol10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Ilia Gruev8%
Sean Longstaff7%
Wilfried Gnonto7%
Jayden Bogle5%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Joël Piroe0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Joe Rodon0%
Daniel James0%
Ao Tanaka0%
Lucas Perri0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Calvert-Lewin31%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Joël Piroe5%
Sean Longstaff4%
Ao Tanaka3%
Noah Okafor3%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Joe Rodon3%
Brenden Aaronson2%
Jaka Bijol0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Ethan Ampadu0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Igor Thiago42%
Fabio Carvalho33%
Dango Ouattara16%
Kevin Schade15%
Mathias Jensen12%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Mikkel Damsgaard8%
Reiss Nelson7%
Nathan Collins5%
Aaron Hickey4%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Jordan Henderson3%
Yehor Yarmolyuk2%
Michael Kayode2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Rico Henry0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Sepp van den Berg0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitaly Janelt30%
Michael Kayode20%
Igor Thiago20%
Yehor Yarmolyuk19%
Jordan Henderson18%
Nathan Collins17%
Kevin Schade15%
Dango Ouattara14%
Kristoffer Ajer13%
Ethan Pinnock12%
Fabio Carvalho11%
Mathias Jensen7%
Rico Henry7%
Sepp van den Berg5%
Aaron Hickey4%
Caoimhin Kelleher3%
Keane Lewis-Potter2%
Reiss Nelson0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Frank Onyeka22%
Reiss Nelson14%
Fabio Carvalho11%
Mikkel Damsgaard11%
Vitaly Janelt10%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Jordan Henderson9%
Dango Ouattara8%
Kevin Schade8%
Nathan Collins7%
Mathias Jensen7%
Kristoffer Ajer6%
Sepp van den Berg5%
Yehor Yarmolyuk5%
Rico Henry3%
Igor Thiago2%
Michael Kayode2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Igor Thiago25%
Kevin Schade21%
Dango Ouattara19%
Keane Lewis-Potter7%
Reiss Nelson7%
Mikkel Damsgaard3%
Sepp van den Berg3%
Mathias Jensen2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jordan Henderson0%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Rico Henry0%
Nathan Collins0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Yehor Yarmolyuk0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Michael Kayode0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Leeds's squad is €138m less valuable than Brentford's (€427m vs €565m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Leeds's attack is €62m less valuable than Brentford's (€166m vs €228m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Leeds's midfield is €30m less valuable than Brentford's (€98m vs €128m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Leeds's defence is €46m less valuable than Brentford's (€163m vs €209m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves