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Leeds vs Brighton Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Leeds
Leeds
Vs
36%
29%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Referee: M Oliver

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leeds win✓ Hit
35.6%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.43
Edge
+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.48
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✗ Miss
35.6%
Avg Implied 45.9% · @ 2.04
Edge
-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D00D22D21W30W22D01L31W11DH·NOR08/03A·CRY15/03H·BRE21/03A·WES05/04A·MAN13/04H·WOL18/04A·BOU22/04A·CHE26/04H·BUR01/05A·TOT11/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.271.791.141.381.38
vs Stronger (8)1.251.881.502.251.001.50
vs Similar (20)1.651.051.900.701.401.40
vs Weaker (2)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W01L10W21W20W22D30W13L30WA·BRE21/02H·NOT01/03H·ARS04/03A·SUN14/03H·LIV21/03A·BUR11/04A·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.101.640.861.061.31
vs Stronger (7)0.571.711.001.000.402.00
vs Similar (23)1.570.911.750.831.361.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.3%
@ 1.81-3.5%
Under 2.5
51.7%
@ 1.95+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.6%
1-0 ✓
8.4%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.3%
Leeds goals ↓
Brighton goals →
01234
08.6%8.4%6.3%2.7%0.9%
18.4%14%8.2%3.5%1.2%
26.3%8.2%5.3%2.3%0.8%
32.7%3.5%2.3%1.0%0.3%
40.9%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leeds goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Leeds is 0.16 points worse than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Leeds is 0.08 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Leeds is 0.26 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Leeds is 8.0 percentage points worse than Brighton in terms of average possession (46% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LeedsLeeds

For 4.3 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

1602145461125641154623881651013111598118A·TOTH·BURA·CHEA·BOUH·WOLA·MANA·WESH·BREA·CRYH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

701343433212432222234773365245A·TOTH·BURA·CHEA·BOUH·WOLA·MANA·WESH·BREA·CRYH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

3107121211131410691715121120691112171219232716262731152329A·TOTH·BURA·CHEA·BOUH·WOLA·MANA·WESH·BREA·CRYH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

For 4.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

12071102655728483743444681211121012107810H·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOTA·BURH·LIVA·SUNH·ARSH·NOTA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

1001233111312552141312136243103543H·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOTA·BURH·LIVA·SUNH·ARSH·NOTA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

2809111210156141411711111271412121314920222128182219262523H·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOTA·BURH·LIVA·SUNH·ARSH·NOTA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LeedsLeeds

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.49.43.63.73.522.121.422.7
vs Stronger (9)8.79.87.84.13.24.822.221.522.8
vs Similar (31)9.59.39.63.53.93.122.322.721.9
vs Weaker (10)10.09.510.33.23.03.321.316.524.5
% over line46%48%44%44%48%41%54%52%56%
% under line54%52%56%56%52%59%46%48%44%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.19.74.23.94.522.422.022.6
vs Stronger (9)8.07.58.44.65.04.224.123.824.4
vs Similar (39)9.89.510.14.33.74.821.921.722.2
vs Weaker (2)10.0-10.02.0-2.022.5-22.5
% over line54%39%67%62%61%63%56%48%63%
% under line46%61%33%38%39%37%44%52%37%
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.2
West Ham
10.9
Fulham
10.5
Bournemouth
10.5
Liverpool
10.1
Tottenham
10.0
Manchester City
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Chelsea
9.9
Manchester United
9.7
Everton
9.6
Brighton
9.5
Leeds
9.4
Aston Villa
9.4
Burnley
9.3
Wolves
9.2
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.1
Crystal Palace
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.6
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.4
Manchester United
4.3
Sunderland
4.3
Brighton
4.2
Newcastle
4.1
Wolves
3.9
Brentford
3.9
West Ham
3.8
Crystal Palace
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Fulham
3.7
Everton
3.6
Leeds
3.6
Nottingham Forest
3.6
Liverpool
3.5
Arsenal
3.3
Burnley
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
23.8
Nottingham Forest
23.7
Wolves
23.6
Bournemouth
23.5
Chelsea
22.8
West Ham
22.5
Tottenham
22.5
Sunderland
22.5
Brighton
22.4
Leeds
22.1
Manchester United
22.0
Everton
21.9
Arsenal
21.7
Newcastle
21.5
Crystal Palace
21.4
Manchester City
21.3
Liverpool
21.1
Burnley
20.6
Fulham
20.1
Brentford
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.8%
Under 9.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.2%
Under 3.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.6%
Under 21.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LeedsLeeds

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D10W20W20W00D01L10W00DH·NOR08/03A·CRY15/03H·BRE21/03A·WES05/04A·MAN13/04H·WOL18/04A·BOU22/04A·CHE26/04H·BUR01/05A·TOT11/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.330.860.210.440.44
vs Stronger (8)0.250.880.500.750.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.850.101.000.000.700.20
vs Weaker (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W21W01L00D11D10W11D10W02L20WA·BRE21/02H·NOT01/03H·ARS04/03A·SUN14/03H·LIV21/03A·BUR11/04A·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.710.500.500.56
vs Stronger (7)0.140.860.501.000.000.80
vs Similar (23)0.740.430.750.420.730.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LeedsLeeds

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D12L01L10W22D00D21W11DH·NOR08/03A·CRY15/03H·BRE21/03A·WES05/04A·MAN13/04H·WOL18/04A·BOU22/04A·CHE26/04H·BUR01/05A·TOT11/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.930.930.930.940.94
vs Stronger (8)1.001.001.001.501.000.50
vs Similar (20)0.800.950.900.700.701.20
vs Weaker (2)2.000.50--2.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W10W10W11D20W11D10WA·BRE21/02H·NOT01/03H·ARS04/03A·SUN14/03H·LIV21/03A·BUR11/04A·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.930.360.560.75
vs Stronger (7)0.430.860.500.000.401.20
vs Similar (23)0.830.481.000.420.640.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards78.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards75.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.574.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Calvert-Lewin36%
Noah Okafor21%
Lukas Nmecha19%
Anton Stach15%
Ao Tanaka12%
Sean Longstaff11%
James Justin9%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Joe Rodon5%
Jayden Bogle5%
Joël Piroe5%
Wilfried Gnonto3%
Jaka Bijol3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Ampadu30%
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Jayden Bogle21%
Pascal Struijk16%
Gabriel Gudmundsson14%
Jaka Bijol13%
James Justin12%
Ilia Gruev12%
Sean Longstaff11%
Wilfried Gnonto10%
Lucas Perri10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Joe Rodon8%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin8%
Jack Harrison8%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Ao Tanaka6%
Sebastiaan Bornauw6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Karl Darlow4%
Joël Piroe0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brenden Aaronson12%
Jaka Bijol10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Ilia Gruev8%
Sean Longstaff7%
Wilfried Gnonto7%
Jayden Bogle5%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Joël Piroe0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Joe Rodon0%
Daniel James0%
Ao Tanaka0%
Lucas Perri0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Calvert-Lewin31%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Joël Piroe5%
Sean Longstaff4%
Ao Tanaka3%
Noah Okafor3%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Joe Rodon3%
Brenden Aaronson2%
Jaka Bijol0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Ethan Ampadu0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck28%
Matt O'Riley17%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Diego Gómez16%
Brajan Gruda15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Yasin Ayari12%
Kaoru Mitoma11%
Tom Watson10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Charalampos Kostoulas8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Jan Paul van Hecke5%
Pascal Groß5%
James Milner5%
Joël Veltman4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Diego Coppola0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Coppola33%
Lewis Dunk32%
Mats Wieffer29%
Diego Gómez27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Carlos Baleba20%
Kaoru Mitoma19%
Joël Veltman18%
Olivier Boscagli18%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu17%
Danny Welbeck12%
Charalampos Kostoulas12%
Brajan Gruda10%
Tom Watson10%
Pascal Groß10%
James Milner9%
Stefanos Tzimas8%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Bart Verbruggen8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Georginio Rutter6%
Yasin Ayari3%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Harry Howell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Diego Coppola22%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Brajan Gruda15%
Pascal Groß14%
Yankuba Minteh11%
Mats Wieffer11%
Jack Hinshelwood10%
Tom Watson10%
Yasin Ayari9%
Georginio Rutter9%
Jan Paul van Hecke8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Danny Welbeck5%
James Milner5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Kaoru Mitoma4%
Joël Veltman4%
Diego Gómez3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matt O'Riley17%
Danny Welbeck15%
Yasin Ayari12%
Diego Gómez11%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Georginio Rutter6%
Brajan Gruda5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Jan Paul van Hecke2%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Jason Steele0%
Pascal Groß0%
Solly March0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Tom Watson0%
Diego Coppola0%
Stefanos Tzimas0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Yankuba Minteh0%
Harry Howell0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Leeds's squad is €193m less valuable than Brighton's (€427m vs €620m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Leeds's attack is €24m less valuable than Brighton's (€166m vs €190m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Leeds's midfield is €82m less valuable than Brighton's (€98m vs €180m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Leeds's defence is €86m less valuable than Brighton's (€163m vs €249m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
0
LEE wins
3
Draws
4
BHA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Leeds vs Brighton · H/A from LEE
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/25ABrighton Vs LEE3-0
11/03/23HLEE Vs Brighton2-2
27/08/22ABrighton Vs LEE1-0
15/05/22HLEE Vs Brighton1-1
27/11/21ABrighton Vs LEE0-0
01/05/21ABrighton Vs LEE2-0
16/01/21HLEE Vs Brighton0-1

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/26ATottenham Vs LEE1-1
01/05/26HLEE Vs Burnley3-1
26/04/26AChelsea Vs LEE1-0
22/04/26ABournemouth Vs LEE2-2
18/04/26HLEE Vs Wolves3-0
13/04/26AManchester United Vs LEE1-2
05/04/26AWest Ham Vs LEE2-2
21/03/26HLEE Vs Brentford0-0
15/03/26ACrystal Palace Vs LEE0-0
08/03/26HLEE Vs Norwich3-0

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HBHA Vs Wolves3-0
02/05/26ANewcastle Vs BHA3-1
21/04/26HBHA Vs Chelsea3-0
18/04/26ATottenham Vs BHA2-2
11/04/26ABurnley Vs BHA0-2
21/03/26HBHA Vs Liverpool2-1
14/03/26ASunderland Vs BHA0-1
04/03/26HBHA Vs Arsenal0-1
01/03/26HBHA Vs Nottingham Forest2-1
21/02/26ABrentford Vs BHA0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Leeds
Leeds
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWD1.46
HomeLWDWW1.83
AwayDWDLD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%52%22%
AVG goals2.823.002.67
Over 1.5 %76%74%78%
Over 2.5 %56%70%44%
Over 3.5 %38%43%33%
Scored1.541.961.19
Conceded1.281.041.48
BTTS60%52%67%
Clean Sheet24%35%15%
Corners9.429.439.41
Cards3.563.653.48
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.52
HomeWLWWW1.78
AwayWWWDL1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%37%
AVG goals2.982.873.07
Over 1.5 %88%87%89%
Over 2.5 %58%61%56%
Over 3.5 %28%22%33%
Scored1.681.701.67
Conceded1.301.171.41
BTTS58%65%52%
Clean Sheet26%22%30%
Corners9.469.139.74
Cards4.243.914.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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