Leeds are the clear underdogs in this Premier League clash, the model rating Chelsea as the favourite with a 68% chance of victory, a figure driven by Chelsea’s strong away form and Leeds’ struggle at home against stronger opponents. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a compact game, yet the most likely total is 2, a 24% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 0-2 for Chelsea, with a 12.3% chance. Leeds’ home record shows only 0.33 goals scored and 3.67 conceded on the road, while Chelsea’s away average of 2.27 scored and 0.55 conceded against weaker sides underlines their advantage.
The model’s suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards (94.3%), Under 11.5 corners (86.6%), Under 4.5 cards (86.3%), Over 19.5 fouls (80.5%), Over 1.5 (80.1%), Under 10.5 corners (78.7%), and Under 3.5 cards (71.4%). The probabilities for the match outcome are 11% home win, 21% draw, and 68% away win. These figures paint a picture of a one-way game for Chelsea, with Leeds unlikely to breach the bar.
Results analysis
Leeds’ win of 3-0 stunned the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win, which was wrong. The match finished with a home victory, extending Leeds’ recent draw into a win after a 1-1 draw with Brentford. The model had assigned a 68% probability to Chelsea’s triumph, yet the result was the opposite. The model’s selections all hit: Under 5.5 cards at 94.3% probability, Under 11.5 corners at 86.6%, Under 4.5 cards at 86.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 80.5%, Over 1.5 at 80.1%, Under 10.5 corners at 78.7%, and Under 3.5 cards at 71.4%. The expected total of 2.9 goals proved accurate with the 3-goal tally.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Leeds win✓ Hit
11.5%
Avg Implied 16.0% · @ 6.03
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied 21.0% · @ 4.58
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✗ Miss
67.9%
Avg Implied 63.0% · @ 1.53
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Leeds
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
2.17
1.07
2.07
1.33
2.27
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
4.14
0.33
3.67
0.75
4.50
vs Similar (22)
1.32
1.64
1.25
1.67
1.40
1.60
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.07
1.53
1.47
2.00
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.45
1.27
1.57
1.43
1.25
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
1.95
0.95
1.50
1.50
2.27
0.55
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.3%
@ 1.62-2.6%
Under 2.5
43.7%
@ 2.32+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.0%
No
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.3%
0-1
10.5%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
0-4
4.7%
Leeds goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
10%
12%
8.8%
4.7%
1
3.3%
9.9%
9.6%
6.9%
3.7%
2
1.6%
3.5%
3.8%
2.7%
1.5%
3
0.4%
0.9%
1.0%
0.7%
0.4%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leeds goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Leeds is 0.34 points worse than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Leeds is 0.26 goals better than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Leeds is 0.82 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (2.05 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Leeds is 11.5 percentage points worse than Chelsea in terms of average possession (48% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Leeds
For 4.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 9.5 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
For 7.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 9.3 · Total 19.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leeds
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.3
9.7
4.3
4.5
4.0
23.0
23.3
22.7
vs Stronger (10)
9.2
10.2
8.2
3.8
3.2
4.4
21.6
21.4
21.8
vs Similar (37)
10.2
10.3
10.0
4.5
5.0
4.1
23.4
23.7
23.1
vs Weaker (3)
10.3
10.0
11.0
2.7
3.0
2.0
23.3
25.0
20.0
% over line
46%
52%
40%
60%
56%
64%
60%
60%
60%
% under line
54%
48%
60%
40%
44%
36%
40%
40%
40%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.7
10.1
3.5
3.7
3.3
21.3
21.6
20.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
11.6
12.3
10.9
3.7
4.2
3.1
20.3
21.4
19.1
vs Weaker (29)
9.5
9.4
9.5
3.4
3.4
3.5
22.0
21.9
22.1
% over line
54%
52%
56%
46%
52%
40%
44%
48%
40%
% under line
46%
48%
44%
54%
48%
60%
56%
52%
60%
This opponent (Leeds) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Southampton
11.2
Aston Villa
10.9
Brighton
10.6
Tottenham
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Everton
10.6
Manchester City
10.6
Leicester
10.4
Manchester United
10.4
Chelsea
10.4
Fulham
10.2
Wolves
10.0
Bournemouth
10.0
Leeds
10.0
Arsenal
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Brentford
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
Newcastle
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Leeds
4.3
Aston Villa
4.2
Bournemouth
4.1
Brighton
3.9
Everton
3.9
Fulham
3.9
Newcastle
3.9
Wolves
3.7
Tottenham
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.6
Chelsea
3.5
Manchester United
3.5
Arsenal
3.2
Southampton
3.2
Liverpool
3.0
Brentford
3.0
Leicester
2.9
Manchester City
2.9
West Ham
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.5
Crystal Palace
23.8
Leeds
23.0
Nottingham Forest
23.0
Bournemouth
22.2
Chelsea
21.3
Fulham
20.9
Tottenham
20.9
Southampton
20.9
Brentford
20.6
Leicester
20.6
Everton
20.1
Newcastle
20.0
Manchester United
20.0
Brighton
19.8
Arsenal
19.4
Wolves
19.2
Liverpool
18.4
Manchester City
18.1
West Ham
16.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
31.9%
Under 9.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.6%
Under 3.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.6%
Under 21.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Leeds
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.03
0.40
0.93
0.47
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
2.00
0.00
1.67
0.25
2.25
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.77
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.30
0.67
0.40
1.00
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.45
0.86
0.57
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (19)
0.89
0.21
0.50
0.25
1.18
0.18
Clean sheet %
77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Leeds
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.13
0.67
1.13
0.87
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
2.14
0.33
2.00
0.50
2.25
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.86
0.75
0.92
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
0.87
1.07
1.00
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.82
0.71
0.86
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (19)
1.05
0.74
1.00
1.25
1.09
0.36
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rodrigo35%
Luis Sinisterra26%
Patrick Bamford14%
Crysencio Summerville14%
Jack Harrison14%
Rasmus Kristensen12%
Wilfried Gnonto8%
Luke Ayling7%
Pascal Struijk7%
Liam Cooper6%
Sam Greenwood6%
Junior Firpo5%
Marc Roca3%
Brenden Aaronson3%
Weston McKennie0%
Tyler Adams0%
Joel Robles0%
Maximilian Wöber0%
Mateusz Klich0%
Adam Forshaw0%
Daniel James0%
Joe Gelhardt0%
Illan Meslier0%
Robin Koch0%
Diego Llorente0%
Georginio Rutter0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Weston McKennie37%
Junior Firpo32%
Wilfried Gnonto29%
Liam Cooper28%
Joel Robles25%
Marc Roca22%
Tyler Adams21%
Robin Koch19%
Rodrigo19%
Maximilian Wöber19%
Pascal Struijk17%
Rasmus Kristensen15%
Mateusz Klich14%
Crysencio Summerville14%
Diego Llorente12%
Patrick Bamford11%
Luis Sinisterra11%
Luke Ayling10%
Illan Meslier9%
Joe Gelhardt7%
Jack Harrison6%
Brenden Aaronson6%
Sam Greenwood6%
Adam Forshaw0%
Daniel James0%
Georginio Rutter0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Harrison19%
Wilfried Gnonto17%
Joe Gelhardt13%
Sam Greenwood11%
Georginio Rutter9%
Brenden Aaronson8%
Patrick Bamford7%
Crysencio Summerville7%
Marc Roca6%
Weston McKennie5%
Junior Firpo5%
Rasmus Kristensen4%
Luke Ayling3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Rodrigo3%
Tyler Adams0%
Joel Robles0%
Maximilian Wöber0%
Mateusz Klich0%
Liam Cooper0%
Adam Forshaw0%
Daniel James0%
Illan Meslier0%
Robin Koch0%
Luis Sinisterra0%
Diego Llorente0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Sinisterra21%
Rodrigo19%
Marc Roca9%
Patrick Bamford7%
Liam Cooper6%
Wilfried Gnonto4%
Rasmus Kristensen4%
Crysencio Summerville4%
Jack Harrison3%
Robin Koch3%
Weston McKennie0%
Tyler Adams0%
Joel Robles0%
Junior Firpo0%
Maximilian Wöber0%
Mateusz Klich0%
Luke Ayling0%
Adam Forshaw0%
Daniel James0%
Joe Gelhardt0%
Illan Meslier0%
Diego Llorente0%
Brenden Aaronson0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Georginio Rutter0%
Sam Greenwood0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Félix20%
Kai Havertz20%
Raheem Sterling19%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang14%
Jorginho12%
Denis Zakaria11%
Wesley Fofana10%
Benoît Badiashile9%
Reece James8%
Noni Madueke8%
Conor Gallagher7%
Kalidou Koulibaly7%
Ben Chilwell7%
Mason Mount6%
Armando Broja6%
Mateo Kovačić6%
Christian Pulišić3%
Thiago Silva0%
Hakim Ziyech0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
César Azpilicueta0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Edouard Mendy0%
Enzo Fernández0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Mykhaylo Mudryk0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Lewis Hall0%
David Datro Fofana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reece James29%
Mateo Kovačić29%
Conor Gallagher28%
Kalidou Koulibaly27%
Mason Mount21%
Wesley Fofana20%
Marc Cucurella19%
Benoît Badiashile18%
Enzo Fernández18%
Jorginho17%
Raheem Sterling14%
Ben Chilwell13%
Trevoh Chalobah13%
Mykhaylo Mudryk12%
Thiago Silva11%
Kai Havertz11%
N'Golo Kanté11%
Lewis Hall11%
César Azpilicueta10%
Hakim Ziyech9%
Edouard Mendy9%
Kepa Arrizabalaga8%
João Félix5%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang5%
Christian Pulišić3%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Denis Zakaria0%
Noni Madueke0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hakim Ziyech14%
Mykhaylo Mudryk12%
N'Golo Kanté11%
Raheem Sterling11%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang10%
Enzo Fernández9%
Reece James8%
Christian Pulišić7%
Ben Chilwell7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Marc Cucurella6%
Mason Mount6%
Thiago Silva6%
Mateo Kovačić6%
Kalidou Koulibaly3%
Conor Gallagher2%
Kai Havertz2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
João Félix0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
César Azpilicueta0%
Jorginho0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Edouard Mendy0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Noni Madueke0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Lewis Hall0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kai Havertz27%
João Félix15%
Raheem Sterling14%
Mykhaylo Mudryk12%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang10%
Enzo Fernández9%
Noni Madueke8%
Christian Pulišić7%
Mason Mount6%
Hakim Ziyech5%
Kalidou Koulibaly3%
Ben Chilwell3%
Thiago Silva3%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
César Azpilicueta0%
Jorginho0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Edouard Mendy0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Conor Gallagher0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Lewis Hall0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Leeds's squad is €980m less valuable than Chelsea's (€427m vs €1407m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Leeds's attack is €448m less valuable than Chelsea's (€166m vs €614m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Leeds's midfield is €180m less valuable than Chelsea's (€98m vs €278m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Leeds's defence is €351m less valuable than Chelsea's (€163m vs €514m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester United
Newcastle
Liverpool
Brighton
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Southampton