Chelsea are the clear favourites, with the model picking an away win at 46%. The overall shape of the match is a moderately high-scoring affair, with an expected total of 2.6 goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% chance. Leeds, playing at home, have been scoring 1.09 goals a game and conceding 2.82 against weaker opposition, while Chelsea, on the road, average 2.82 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. The home win probability sits at 26%, the draw at 28%, and the away win at 46%. Suggested picks from the model include Over 2.5 cards at 86.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 78.5%, Over 1.5 goals at 74.6%, Under 3.5 goals at 73.5%, and Over 3.5 cards at 71.3%. Leeds entered the game after a draw against Brentford, while Chelsea came off a three-game winning streak, setting the stage for a contest where Chelsea’s attacking potency is expected to outweigh Leeds’ defensive resilience.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Leeds edged Chelsea 3-1, a result that stunned the pre-match favourite. The model had tipped an away win with a 46% probability, but the prediction proved wrong. The final score of 3-1 gave Leeds the win, extending their recent run of a draw to a victory. The model’s other selections delivered mixed outcomes: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 78.5%, Over 1.5 hit at 74.6%, while Over 2.5 cards, Under 3.5 and Over 3.5 cards all missed, with probabilities of 86.2%, 73.5% and 71.3% respectively. The match confirmed that the predicted favourite did not materialise.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Leeds win✓ Hit
25.9%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.94
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.45
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✗ Miss
46.0%
Avg Implied 48.5% · @ 1.95
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Leeds
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.30
1.86
1.00
1.31
1.56
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
4.00
-
-
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (16)
1.19
1.31
1.22
1.11
1.14
1.57
vs Weaker (12)
2.17
0.83
3.00
0.80
1.57
0.86
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.00
1.73
0.73
2.27
1.27
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (11)
1.73
1.00
2.12
0.88
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (18)
2.22
0.89
1.29
0.57
2.82
1.09
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.3%
@ 1.96+0.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
@ 1.81-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
Leeds goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
10.0%
8.5%
4.3%
1.6%
1
6.8%
13%
9.3%
4.7%
1.8%
2
4.4%
6.6%
5.0%
2.5%
1.0%
3
1.6%
2.4%
1.8%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leeds goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Leeds is 0.13 points worse than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Leeds is 0.24 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Leeds is 0.11 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Leeds is 11.8 percentage points worse than Chelsea in terms of average possession (46% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Leeds
For 3.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
For 6.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leeds
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.8
8.7
2.9
3.0
2.9
21.8
21.8
21.9
vs Stronger (2)
6.5
-
6.5
3.5
-
3.5
23.5
-
23.5
vs Similar (21)
8.7
8.9
8.4
3.2
3.9
2.5
22.4
23.4
21.4
vs Weaker (27)
9.9
10.5
9.3
2.7
2.2
3.2
21.3
20.5
22.0
% over line
48%
57%
40%
30%
32%
28%
56%
65%
48%
% under line
52%
43%
60%
70%
68%
72%
44%
35%
52%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.5
8.9
4.4
4.2
4.6
22.6
23.0
22.2
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
-
8.0
4.0
-
4.0
19.0
-
19.0
vs Similar (18)
8.9
9.0
8.9
5.6
6.3
4.8
24.4
24.4
24.3
vs Weaker (31)
9.3
9.8
8.9
3.7
2.9
4.6
21.7
22.1
21.4
% over line
52%
50%
54%
68%
60%
76%
62%
67%
58%
% under line
48%
50%
46%
32%
40%
24%
38%
33%
42%
This opponent (Leeds) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Tottenham
10.6
Bournemouth
10.5
Liverpool
10.5
Brentford
10.3
West Ham
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Fulham
10.0
Aston Villa
10.0
Brighton
9.8
Everton
9.8
Sunderland
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Manchester City
9.4
Leeds
9.4
Crystal Palace
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Arsenal
9.3
Burnley
9.3
Chelsea
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.2
Chelsea
4.7
Sunderland
4.4
Brighton
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Wolves
4.1
Aston Villa
3.9
Brentford
3.8
Newcastle
3.7
Tottenham
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Everton
3.6
West Ham
3.5
Manchester City
3.5
Arsenal
3.5
Burnley
3.4
Leeds
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.5
Wolves
23.9
Aston Villa
23.1
Brighton
22.8
Chelsea
22.7
Tottenham
22.6
Sunderland
22.6
Burnley
22.2
Arsenal
22.1
Everton
21.9
West Ham
21.9
Manchester United
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Leeds
21.7
Newcastle
21.7
Crystal Palace
21.5
Fulham
20.9
Liverpool
20.4
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.5%
Under 9.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.3%
Under 3.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.9%
Under 21.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Leeds
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.63
1.14
0.43
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.56
0.67
0.44
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
0.50
2.00
0.40
0.86
0.57
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
0.93
0.20
0.80
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.36
1.12
0.12
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.50
0.71
0.29
0.91
0.64
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Leeds
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.71
0.57
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.75
0.56
0.67
0.43
0.86
vs Weaker (12)
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.40
0.71
0.29
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.50
0.80
0.53
1.47
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.64
1.00
0.75
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (18)
1.39
0.39
0.57
0.29
1.91
0.45
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Calvert-Lewin36%
Noah Okafor21%
Lukas Nmecha19%
Anton Stach15%
Ao Tanaka12%
Sean Longstaff11%
James Justin9%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Joe Rodon5%
Jayden Bogle5%
Joël Piroe5%
Wilfried Gnonto3%
Jaka Bijol3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Ampadu30%
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Jayden Bogle21%
Pascal Struijk16%
Gabriel Gudmundsson14%
Jaka Bijol13%
James Justin12%
Ilia Gruev12%
Sean Longstaff11%
Wilfried Gnonto10%
Lucas Perri10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Joe Rodon8%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin8%
Jack Harrison8%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Ao Tanaka6%
Sebastiaan Bornauw6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Karl Darlow4%
Joël Piroe0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brenden Aaronson12%
Jaka Bijol10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Ilia Gruev8%
Sean Longstaff7%
Wilfried Gnonto7%
Jayden Bogle5%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Joël Piroe0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Joe Rodon0%
Daniel James0%
Ao Tanaka0%
Lucas Perri0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Calvert-Lewin31%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Joël Piroe5%
Sean Longstaff4%
Ao Tanaka3%
Noah Okafor3%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Joe Rodon3%
Brenden Aaronson2%
Jaka Bijol0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Ethan Ampadu0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro35%
Enzo Fernández28%
Cole Palmer27%
Tyrique George27%
Estêvão Willian23%
Pedro Neto15%
Marc Guiu15%
Alejandro Garnacho14%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Moisés Caicedo10%
Andrey Santos7%
Tosin Adarabioyo7%
Josh Acheampong7%
Trevoh Chalobah7%
Malo Gusto6%
Jorrel Hato6%
Reece James5%
Liam Delap5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Marc Cucurella2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Dário Essugo0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dário Essugo40%
Moisés Caicedo33%
Tyrique George27%
Enzo Fernández26%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Marc Cucurella24%
Wesley Fofana22%
Jorrel Hato20%
Estêvão Willian20%
Andrey Santos19%
Cole Palmer18%
Mamadou Sarr17%
Reece James13%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
João Pedro12%
Pedro Neto12%
Malo Gusto10%
Tosin Adarabioyo10%
Trevoh Chalobah9%
Filip Jørgensen8%
Marc Guiu8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Robert Sánchez6%
Roméo Lavia5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Josh Acheampong3%
Levi Colwill0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Dário Essugo20%
Pedro Neto19%
Reece James15%
Marc Guiu15%
Jamie Gittens15%
Enzo Fernández13%
Malo Gusto10%
João Pedro10%
Andrey Santos10%
Tyrique George9%
Estêvão Willian9%
Marc Cucurella8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Cole Palmer6%
Wesley Fofana5%
Jorrel Hato3%
Liam Delap2%
Robert Sánchez2%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Jesse Derry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho19%
João Pedro18%
Cole Palmer18%
Enzo Fernández15%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Estêvão Willian11%
Pedro Neto8%
Jamie Gittens4%
Reece James3%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Andrey Santos0%
Dário Essugo0%
Tyrique George0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Jesse Derry0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Leeds's squad is €980m less valuable than Chelsea's (€427m vs €1407m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Leeds's attack is €448m less valuable than Chelsea's (€166m vs €614m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Leeds's midfield is €180m less valuable than Chelsea's (€98m vs €278m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Leeds's defence is €351m less valuable than Chelsea's (€163m vs €514m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves