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Leeds vs Manchester United Result & Analysis

Date: 04/01/2026
Time: 12:30
Final 1-1
Leeds
Leeds
Vs
43%
27%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Referee: J Gillett

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leeds win✗ Miss
42.5%
Avg Implied 34.7% · @ 2.73
Edge
+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.6%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.30
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied 36.6% · @ 2.59
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L13L12L23L31W33D11D41W11D00DA·BRI01/11A·NOT09/11H·AST23/11A·MAN29/11H·CHE03/12H·LIV06/12A·BRE14/12H·CRY20/12A·SUN28/12A·LIV01/01
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.332.361.071.001.56
vs Stronger (5)1.602.403.002.000.672.67
vs Similar (16)1.251.251.621.000.881.50
vs Weaker (9)2.330.893.500.751.401.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D22D01L21W11D41W44D12L10W11DA·NOT01/11A·TOT08/11H·EVE24/11A·CRY30/11H·WES04/12A·WOL08/12H·BOU15/12A·AST21/12H·NEW26/12H·WOL30/12
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.471.731.271.601.67
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (22)1.771.452.001.271.551.64
vs Weaker (7)1.571.291.001.252.331.33
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.2%
@ 1.95+7.9%
Under 2.5
43.8%
@ 1.82-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.8%
Under 3.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.9%
No
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
Leeds goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
01234
06.4%6.0%4.7%2.1%0.7%
17.4%12%7.6%3.4%1.1%
26.8%9.1%6.1%2.7%0.9%
33.6%4.8%3.2%1.4%0.5%
41.4%1.9%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leeds goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Leeds is 0.63 points worse than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.87).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Leeds is 0.53 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Leeds is 0.16 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Leeds is 6.4 percentage points worse than Manchester United in terms of average possession (46% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LeedsLeeds

For 4.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

1403893953544218334674111214396961011A·LIVA·SUNH·CRYA·BREH·LIVH·CHEA·MANH·ASTA·NOTA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

602113331114511212140625631A·LIVA·SUNH·CRYA·BREH·LIVH·CHEA·MANH·ASTA·NOTA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

34081097510981414101311171816111071018161517282328342117A·LIVA·SUNH·CRYA·BREH·LIVH·CHEA·MANH·ASTA·NOTA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester UnitedManchester United

For 5.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

13084211555491664491355812131091012810813H·WOLH·NEWA·ASTH·BOUA·WOLH·WESA·CRYH·EVEA·TOTA·NOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

6022121232322232115112335545362H·WOLH·NEWA·ASTH·BOUA·WOLH·WESA·CRYH·EVEA·TOTA·NOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.9 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

29091295141115121217139141412981071021142527292228211817H·WOLH·NEWA·ASTH·BOUA·WOLH·WESA·CRYH·EVEA·TOTA·NOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LeedsLeeds

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.98.62.93.22.621.421.521.2
vs Stronger (5)7.87.58.03.44.03.023.225.521.7
vs Similar (23)8.59.47.73.03.92.121.422.620.2
vs Weaker (22)10.210.99.62.72.33.120.919.522.1
% over line48%57%40%32%40%24%52%65%40%
% under line52%43%60%68%60%76%48%35%60%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.310.34.04.43.622.022.521.6
vs Stronger (2)7.08.06.02.55.00.019.022.016.0
vs Similar (34)9.89.210.64.55.14.022.722.922.5
vs Weaker (14)10.210.010.43.12.93.320.721.220.3
% over line55%57%54%60%68%52%57%57%58%
% under line45%43%46%40%32%48%43%43%42%
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.3
Bournemouth
10.5
Tottenham
10.1
West Ham
10.1
Liverpool
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Fulham
9.8
Manchester United
9.8
Everton
9.8
Aston Villa
9.5
Brighton
9.5
Sunderland
9.4
Burnley
9.4
Leeds
9.3
Chelsea
9.3
Manchester City
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Wolves
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.6
Chelsea
4.5
Manchester United
4.3
Sunderland
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Brighton
4.2
Aston Villa
4.0
Tottenham
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Wolves
3.8
Newcastle
3.8
Everton
3.7
Brentford
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Liverpool
3.5
Manchester City
3.5
West Ham
3.4
Arsenal
3.3
Burnley
3.3
Leeds
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.3
Bournemouth
24.0
Aston Villa
23.5
Brighton
22.8
Chelsea
22.7
Nottingham Forest
22.6
West Ham
22.4
Tottenham
22.2
Manchester United
22.1
Everton
21.8
Sunderland
21.7
Burnley
21.6
Arsenal
21.4
Leeds
21.3
Newcastle
21.1
Fulham
20.5
Liverpool
20.5
Crystal Palace
20.4
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.7%
Under 9.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.2%
Under 3.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.5%
Under 21.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LeedsLeeds

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D10W02L20W00D00D20W01L00DA·BRI01/11A·NOT09/11H·AST23/11A·MAN29/11H·CHE03/12H·LIV06/12A·BRE14/12H·CRY20/12A·SUN28/12A·LIV01/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.531.360.210.500.81
vs Stronger (5)0.400.801.000.000.001.33
vs Similar (16)0.810.441.000.250.620.62
vs Weaker (9)1.330.562.250.250.600.80
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L01L00D11D21W11D10W11DA·NOT01/11A·TOT08/11H·EVE24/11A·CRY30/11H·WES04/12A·WOL08/12H·BOU15/12A·AST21/12H·NEW26/12H·WOL30/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.870.400.670.80
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.910.551.000.360.820.73
vs Weaker (7)0.430.710.500.500.331.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LeedsLeeds

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L02L21W11D33D11D21W10W00DA·BRI01/11A·NOT09/11H·AST23/11A·MAN29/11H·CHE03/12H·LIV06/12A·BRE14/12H·CRY20/12A·SUN28/12A·LIV01/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.801.000.860.500.75
vs Stronger (5)1.201.602.002.000.671.33
vs Similar (16)0.440.810.620.750.250.88
vs Weaker (9)1.000.331.250.500.800.20
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L00D20W11D30W23L01L00D00DA·NOT01/11A·TOT08/11H·EVE24/11A·CRY30/11H·WES04/12A·WOL08/12H·BOU15/12A·AST21/12H·NEW26/12H·WOL30/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.870.870.870.930.87
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.860.911.000.910.730.91
vs Weaker (7)1.140.570.500.752.000.33
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls83.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards74.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls71.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Calvert-Lewin36%
Noah Okafor21%
Lukas Nmecha19%
Anton Stach15%
Ao Tanaka12%
Sean Longstaff11%
James Justin9%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Joe Rodon5%
Jayden Bogle5%
Joël Piroe5%
Wilfried Gnonto3%
Jaka Bijol3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Ampadu30%
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Jayden Bogle21%
Pascal Struijk16%
Gabriel Gudmundsson14%
Jaka Bijol13%
James Justin12%
Ilia Gruev12%
Sean Longstaff11%
Wilfried Gnonto10%
Lucas Perri10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Joe Rodon8%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin8%
Jack Harrison8%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Ao Tanaka6%
Sebastiaan Bornauw6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Karl Darlow4%
Joël Piroe0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brenden Aaronson12%
Jaka Bijol10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Ilia Gruev8%
Sean Longstaff7%
Wilfried Gnonto7%
Jayden Bogle5%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Joël Piroe0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Joe Rodon0%
Daniel James0%
Ao Tanaka0%
Lucas Perri0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Calvert-Lewin31%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Joël Piroe5%
Sean Longstaff4%
Ao Tanaka3%
Noah Okafor3%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Joe Rodon3%
Brenden Aaronson2%
Jaka Bijol0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Ethan Ampadu0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Šeško34%
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha29%
Casemiro26%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Mason Mount12%
Harry Maguire8%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Matthijs de Ligt7%
Amad Diallo6%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Diogo Dalot3%
Luke Shaw3%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Casemiro29%
Shea Lacey25%
Luke Shaw24%
Patrick Dorgu18%
Harry Maguire16%
Joshua Zirkzee15%
Noussair Mazraoui15%
Diogo Dalot14%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Bryan Mbeumo12%
Matheus Cunha11%
Ayden Heaven11%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Mason Mount8%
Benjamin Šeško6%
Amad Diallo6%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Senne Lammens0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes51%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Amad Diallo9%
Bryan Mbeumo9%
Diogo Dalot8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro6%
Matheus Cunha6%
Ayden Heaven6%
Mason Mount4%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Benjamin Šeško3%
Luke Shaw3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Shea Lacey0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha31%
Benjamin Šeško25%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Amad Diallo15%
Casemiro14%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Patrick Dorgu7%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Leeds's squad is €502m less valuable than Manchester United's (€427m vs €929m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Leeds's attack is €266m less valuable than Manchester United's (€166m vs €432m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Leeds's midfield is €138m less valuable than Manchester United's (€98m vs €236m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Leeds's defence is €98m less valuable than Manchester United's (€163m vs €261m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
LEE wins
2
Draws
4
MU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Leeds vs Manchester United · H/A from LEE
DateH/AGameScore
12/02/23HLEE Vs Manchester United0-2
08/02/23AManchester United Vs LEE2-2
20/02/22HLEE Vs Manchester United2-4
14/08/21AManchester United Vs LEE5-1
25/04/21HLEE Vs Manchester United0-0
20/12/20AManchester United Vs LEE6-2

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/26ALiverpool Vs LEE0-0
28/12/25ASunderland Vs LEE1-1
20/12/25HLEE Vs Crystal Palace4-1
14/12/25ABrentford Vs LEE1-1
06/12/25HLEE Vs Liverpool3-3
03/12/25HLEE Vs Chelsea3-1
29/11/25AManchester City Vs LEE3-2
23/11/25HLEE Vs Aston Villa1-2
09/11/25ANottingham Forest Vs LEE3-1
01/11/25ABrighton Vs LEE3-0

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/12/25HMU Vs Wolves1-1
26/12/25HMU Vs Newcastle1-0
21/12/25AAston Villa Vs MU2-1
15/12/25HMU Vs Bournemouth4-4
08/12/25AWolves Vs MU1-4
04/12/25HMU Vs West Ham1-1
30/11/25ACrystal Palace Vs MU1-2
24/11/25HMU Vs Everton0-1
08/11/25ATottenham Vs MU2-2
01/11/25ANottingham Forest Vs MU2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Leeds
Leeds
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDD1.80
HomeWLWDW2.16
AwayLLDDD1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%64%36%
AVG goals2.863.202.52
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %52%64%40%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.822.361.28
Conceded1.040.841.24
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet38%44%32%
Corners9.219.878.60
Cards3.043.482.64
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWD1.46
HomeLDDWD1.72
AwayDDWWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%28%
AVG goals2.983.002.96
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.601.721.48
Conceded1.381.281.48
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners9.839.3010.33
Cards4.304.833.79

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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