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Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction & Stats

Date: 18/10/2026
Time: 13:00
Leeds
Leeds
Vs
29%
26%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Manchester United are the clear favourites, with a 42% chance of victory against Leeds. The model sees a 31% chance for a Leeds win and 27% for a draw, so the most likely result is an away win. The expected total of goals is 3.0, but the average number of goals per match is 2, with a 24% chance of that total. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.4% probability. Leeds, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, average 1.82 goals scored and only 0.55 conceded, while United, on the road, average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.5%), Under 5.5 (95.2%), Under 4.5 (88.0%), Home under 2.5 goals (86.6%) and Away under 2.5 goals (85.2%). Leeds recently drew 1-1 with Brentford, while United came off a 5-2 win over Ipswich.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leeds win
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win
44.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W22D01L31W11D10W03L10W20W11DH·WOL18/04A·BOU22/04A·CHE26/04H·BUR01/05A·TOT11/05H·BRI17/05A·WES24/05A·NOT22/08A·NOT25/08H·BRE30/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.071.540.851.291.24
vs Stronger (5)0.401.600.002.500.671.00
vs Similar (23)1.570.961.820.551.331.33
vs Weaker (2)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D12L10W21W32W00D32W30W02L52WA·BOU20/03H·LEE13/04A·CHE18/04H·BRE27/04H·LIV03/05A·SUN09/05H·NOT17/05A·BRI24/05A·HUL22/08H·IPS30/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.272.121.381.571.14
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (22)1.951.322.331.501.501.10
vs Weaker (7)1.571.291.331.331.751.25
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.2%
Under 2.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
59.6%
No
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.6%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
Leeds goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
01234
06.4%7.6%7.2%4.0%1.6%
15.7%12%9.3%5.1%2.1%
24.4%7.2%6.0%3.3%1.4%
31.9%3.1%2.6%1.4%0.6%
40.6%1.0%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leeds goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Ipswich
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
Hull
0.98
Coventry
0.97
Leeds is 0.63 points worse than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.87).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
Ipswich
1.19
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Hull
0.99
Coventry
0.98
Leeds is 0.53 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
Ipswich
1.58
Hull
1.91
Coventry
1.93
Leeds is 0.16 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
Leeds is 6.4 percentage points worse than Manchester United in terms of average possession (46% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LeedsLeeds

For 3.7 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

16056232346782145461125611551015165101311H·BREA·NOTA·NOTA·WESH·BRIA·TOTH·BURA·CHEA·BOUH·WOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

7043412311343433214733147733H·BREA·NOTA·NOTA·WESH·BRIA·TOTH·BURA·CHEA·BOUH·WOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 12.1 · Total 22.5

⚠️ Fouls

290513111514151411977121211131410691718262925161923271626H·BREA·NOTA·NOTA·WESH·BRIA·TOTH·BURA·CHEA·BOUH·WOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester UnitedManchester United

For 6.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

150846137687327817114861273131551581514H·IPSA·HULA·BRIH·NOTA·SUNH·LIVH·BREA·CHEH·LEEA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

601312121322243142324313346465H·IPSA·HULA·BRIH·NOTA·SUNH·LIVH·BREA·CHEH·LEEA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.6

⚠️ Fouls

27071291081111512121211691312121591019191916242315252719H·IPSA·HULA·BRIH·NOTA·SUNH·LIVH·BREA·CHEH·LEEA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LeedsLeeds

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.89.73.33.43.222.822.423.1
vs Stronger (10)9.29.88.83.53.23.722.621.523.8
vs Similar (37)9.59.89.23.33.43.222.622.622.7
vs Weaker (3)14.0-14.02.3-2.324.3-24.3
% over line53%55%52%42%50%36%56%55%56%
% under line47%45%48%58%50%64%44%45%44%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.69.53.33.82.821.121.021.1
vs Stronger (3)6.57.06.01.72.50.018.521.016.0
vs Similar (34)9.69.69.53.74.33.121.621.621.7
vs Weaker (13)10.110.010.22.72.82.619.918.820.7
% over line51%50%52%52%65%38%44%45%43%
% under line49%50%48%48%35%62%56%55%57%
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
10.7
Fulham
10.5
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Tottenham
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Brighton
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Hull
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Aston Villa
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Bournemouth
23.2
Tottenham
22.9
Chelsea
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Leeds
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Newcastle
21.8
Everton
21.6
Manchester United
21.5
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Fulham
20.0
Brentford
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.1%
Under 9.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.2%
Under 3.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
48.0%
Under 21.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Leeds or Draw
62.9%
Avg Implied -
29%
26%
45%
covers Leeds + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leeds or Manchester United
71.0%
Avg Implied -
29%
26%
45%
covers Leeds + Manchester United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Manchester United
66.0%
Avg Implied -
29%
26%
45%
covers Draw + Manchester United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Leeds over/under 0.5
Over
71.6%
Under
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5
Over
35.9%
Under
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5
Over
13.4%
Under
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 3.5
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5
Over
73.4%
Under
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5
Over
38.2%
Under
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5
Over
14.9%
Under
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Leeds, so a minus line means Leeds give that many goals of a start and Manchester United receive them. At -1, Leeds must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Leeds win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Leeds)
Leeds -2
5.2%
Draw -2
10.1%
Manchester United +2
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Leeds)
Leeds -1
15.3%
Draw -1
18.7%
Manchester United +1
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Leeds)
Leeds +1
62.9%
Draw +1
19.8%
Manchester United -1
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Leeds)
Leeds +2
82.7%
Draw +2
11.2%
Manchester United -2
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LeedsLeeds

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L10W00D00D00D00D00D01LH·WOL18/04A·BOU22/04A·CHE26/04H·BUR01/05A·TOT11/05H·BRI17/05A·WES24/05A·NOT22/08A·NOT25/08H·BRE30/08
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.300.690.310.410.29
vs Stronger (5)0.001.000.001.500.000.67
vs Similar (23)0.700.130.820.090.580.17
vs Weaker (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W20W20W00D10W20W02L11DA·BOU20/03H·LEE13/04A·CHE18/04H·BRE27/04H·LIV03/05A·SUN09/05H·NOT17/05A·BRI24/05A·HUL22/08H·IPS30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.750.500.500.57
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (22)0.730.450.830.500.600.40
vs Weaker (7)0.430.860.670.670.251.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LeedsLeeds

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W22D00D21W11D10W03L10W20W10WH·WOL18/04A·BOU22/04A·CHE26/04H·BUR01/05A·TOT11/05H·BRI17/05A·WES24/05A·NOT22/08A·NOT25/08H·BRE30/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.770.850.540.880.94
vs Stronger (5)0.400.600.001.000.670.33
vs Similar (23)0.870.831.000.450.751.17
vs Weaker (2)2.000.50--2.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D10W00D01L12L00D22D10W00D41WA·BOU20/03H·LEE13/04A·CHE18/04H·BRE27/04H·LIV03/05A·SUN09/05H·NOT17/05A·BRI24/05A·HUL22/08H·IPS30/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.731.380.881.070.57
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (22)1.230.861.501.000.900.70
vs Weaker (7)1.140.430.670.671.500.25
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.5%-------
Under 6.598.3%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals95.4%-------
Under 5.595.2%-------
Under 4.588.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals86.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals85.1%-------
Away +2 handicap84.7%-------
Under 5.5 cards84.6%-------
Home +2 handicap82.7%-------
Under 25.5 fouls81.3%-------
Over 1.580.2%-------
Away over 0.5 goals73.4%-------
Home over 0.5 goals71.6%-------
Under 11.5 corners71.6%-------
Home or Away71.0%-------
Under 4.5 cards70.9%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Calvert-Lewin33%
James Justin33%
Anton Stach33%
Ethan Ampadu0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Harry Wilson0%
Joe Rodon0%
Noah Okafor0%
Brenden Aaronson0%
James Trafford0%
Tarik Muharemović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Ampadu33%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin33%
Jayden Bogle0%
Harry Wilson0%
Joe Rodon0%
James Justin0%
Noah Okafor0%
Brenden Aaronson0%
James Trafford0%
Anton Stach0%
Tarik Muharemović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ethan Ampadu0%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Harry Wilson0%
Joe Rodon0%
James Justin0%
Noah Okafor0%
Brenden Aaronson0%
James Trafford0%
Anton Stach0%
Tarik Muharemović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ethan Ampadu0%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Harry Wilson0%
Joe Rodon0%
James Justin0%
Noah Okafor0%
Brenden Aaronson0%
James Trafford0%
Anton Stach0%
Tarik Muharemović0%
Manchester United · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Šeško34%
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha29%
Casemiro26%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Mason Mount12%
Harry Maguire8%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Matthijs de Ligt7%
Amad Diallo6%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Diogo Dalot3%
Luke Shaw3%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Casemiro29%
Shea Lacey25%
Luke Shaw24%
Patrick Dorgu18%
Harry Maguire16%
Joshua Zirkzee15%
Noussair Mazraoui15%
Diogo Dalot14%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Bryan Mbeumo12%
Matheus Cunha11%
Ayden Heaven11%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Mason Mount8%
Benjamin Šeško6%
Amad Diallo6%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Senne Lammens0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes51%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Amad Diallo9%
Bryan Mbeumo9%
Diogo Dalot8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro6%
Matheus Cunha6%
Ayden Heaven6%
Mason Mount4%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Benjamin Šeško3%
Luke Shaw3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Shea Lacey0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha31%
Benjamin Šeško25%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Amad Diallo15%
Casemiro14%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Patrick Dorgu7%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
HUL (27)
€105m
Leeds's squad is €502m less valuable than Manchester United's (€427m vs €929m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
HUL (7)
€22m
Leeds's attack is €266m less valuable than Manchester United's (€166m vs €432m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
HUL (8)
€31m
FUL (3)
€28m
Leeds's midfield is €138m less valuable than Manchester United's (€98m vs €236m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
HUL (12)
€52m
Leeds's defence is €98m less valuable than Manchester United's (€163m vs €261m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
LEE wins
3
Draws
4
MU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Leeds vs Manchester United · H/A from LEE
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/26AManchester United Vs LEE1-2
04/01/26HLEE Vs Manchester United1-1
12/02/23HLEE Vs Manchester United0-2
08/02/23AManchester United Vs LEE2-2
20/02/22HLEE Vs Manchester United2-4
14/08/21AManchester United Vs LEE5-1
25/04/21HLEE Vs Manchester United0-0
20/12/20AManchester United Vs LEE6-2

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HLEE Vs Brentford1-1
25/08/26ANottingham Forest Vs LEE0-2
22/08/26ANottingham Forest Vs LEE0-1
24/05/26AWest Ham Vs LEE3-0
17/05/26HLEE Vs Brighton1-0
11/05/26ATottenham Vs LEE1-1
01/05/26HLEE Vs Burnley3-1
26/04/26AChelsea Vs LEE1-0
22/04/26ABournemouth Vs LEE2-2
18/04/26HLEE Vs Wolves3-0

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HMU Vs Ipswich5-2
22/08/26AHull Vs MU2-0
24/05/26ABrighton Vs MU0-3
17/05/26HMU Vs Nottingham Forest3-2
09/05/26ASunderland Vs MU0-0
03/05/26HMU Vs Liverpool3-2
27/04/26HMU Vs Brentford2-1
18/04/26AChelsea Vs MU0-1
13/04/26HMU Vs Leeds1-2
20/03/26ABournemouth Vs MU2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Leeds
Leeds
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.44
HomeDWWWD1.83
AwayLDLWW1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%52%22%
AVG goals2.782.832.74
Over 1.5 %76%70%81%
Over 2.5 %54%61%48%
Over 3.5 %36%39%33%
Scored1.501.871.19
Conceded1.280.961.56
BTTS56%48%63%
Clean Sheet26%39%15%
Corners9.549.709.41
Cards3.503.433.56
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.70
HomeLWWWW2.12
AwayDWDWL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%67%31%
AVG goals3.163.422.92
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %36%38%35%
Scored1.802.121.50
Conceded1.361.291.42
BTTS66%67%65%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners9.589.429.73
Cards4.104.503.73

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City26
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
3.0
0%
20.0
50%
1326
6351605313.01.0
60%
2ArsenalArsenal26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
3.0
50%
23.0
100%
1406
6082905082.00.0
56%
3HullHull26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
50%
19.0
0%
105
2231521.50.0
-
4ChelseaChelsea26
100%
3.0
75+2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
10.5
100%
4.5
100%
18.5
0%
1407
6142785143.52.5
57%
5BrentfordBrentford24
50%
2.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.5
100%
3.0
50%
24.5
50%
565
2281282092.00.5
47%
6NewcastleNewcastle24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
100%
568
2341242102.01.0
52%
7EvertonEverton24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
22.5
50%
459
1741621231.50.5
44%
8LeedsLeeds24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
427
166981631.00.5
46%
9BrightonBrighton23
50%
1.5
74+3
5.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
19.5
0%
620
1901802493.52.0
53%
10Manchester UnitedManchester United23
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
3.5
50%
19.0
0%
929
4322362612.52.0
52%
11SunderlandSunderland23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.5
0%
25.5
100%
392
1571101251.01.0
45%
12IpswichIpswich23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.5
50%
280
13066852.03.0
-
13LiverpoolLiverpool22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
100%
27.0
100%
980
5182012602.02.0
59%
14Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
4.5
50%
26.0
100%
551
263522361.01.5
46%
15BournemouthBournemouth21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
23.5
100%
573
2851061821.01.5
50%
16FulhamFulham20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
329
178281231.02.0
51%
17CoventryCoventry20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
237
8552990.02.0
-
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
2.0
0%
19.0
0%
505
229931820.53.0
45%
19Aston VillaAston Villa20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
5.0
100%
22.0
50%
536
2201601560.02.5
53%
20TottenhamTottenham20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
2.5
0%
27.5
100%
920
2502823880.02.5
50%
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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