Leeds are favoured to win, with a 47% chance of victory, a 28% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of Sunderland taking the win. The model expects 2.5 goals in total, with the most likely total being two goals at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.5% probability. Leeds, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.11 conceded, while Sunderland, on the road against a similar side, averages 0.45 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 85.3%, Under 5.5 cards at 80.8%, Under 3.5 at 75.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 74.0%, Under 23.5 fouls at 73.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 73.6% and Over 1.5 at 72.8%. The model’s selections are presented with their probabilities, and the edge percentages are noted where provided.
Results analysis
The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite Leeds failed to deliver, with Sunderland snatching a 0-1 away win. The model had tipped a home victory at 47% probability, but that call proved wrong. The match finished 0-1, confirming the away triumph. The model’s other selections fared mixed: Under 5.5 cards hit at 80.8%, Under 3.5 hit at 75.5%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 74.0%, and Under 11.5 corners hit at 73.6%. The remaining picks missed: Under 25.5 fouls at 85.3%, Under 23.5 fouls at 73.7%, and Over 1.5 at 72.8%. Leeds were coming off a draw, while Sunderland entered the game on a win streak.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Leeds win✗ Miss
47.4%
Avg Implied 52.2% · @ 1.81
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.51
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sunderland win✓ Hit
24.2%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.51
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Leeds
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.67
1.62
1.46
1.18
1.82
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
2.38
1.50
2.25
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (19)
1.37
1.47
1.67
1.11
1.10
1.80
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
-
-
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sunderland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sunderland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.20
1.43
1.00
0.56
1.38
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.57
0.67
1.00
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.05
1.14
1.70
1.00
0.45
1.27
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.9%
@ 2.03-0.4%
Under 2.5
54.1%
@ 1.75+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
0-1 ✓
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
Leeds goals ↓
Sunderland goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
6.9%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.2%
2.1%
0.5%
2
9.2%
9.2%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
3
4.6%
4.6%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.7%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leeds goals (down), columns = Sunderland goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Leeds is 0.18 points worse than Sunderland in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.42).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Leeds is 0.18 goals better than Sunderland in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Leeds is 0.21 goals worse than Sunderland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Leeds is 0.5 percentage points better than Sunderland in terms of average possession (46% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Leeds
For 4.7 · Against 6.9 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sunderland
For 3.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leeds
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
10.0
8.9
3.1
3.2
3.0
21.4
20.8
21.9
vs Stronger (8)
8.5
9.8
7.2
3.8
3.2
4.2
21.6
21.5
21.8
vs Similar (27)
8.8
9.5
8.1
3.1
3.6
2.6
21.0
21.2
20.9
vs Weaker (15)
10.9
11.0
10.9
2.8
2.3
3.1
21.9
19.5
23.6
% over line
45%
55%
37%
32%
39%
26%
47%
50%
44%
% under line
55%
45%
63%
68%
61%
74%
53%
50%
56%
This opponent (Sunderland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sunderland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.6
9.0
4.2
4.0
4.3
22.2
21.9
22.5
vs Stronger (7)
9.1
8.7
9.5
2.1
2.0
2.2
20.0
19.7
20.2
vs Similar (27)
8.1
8.1
8.1
4.8
4.7
4.9
22.1
21.3
22.7
vs Weaker (16)
9.8
9.2
10.7
4.0
3.9
4.2
23.4
23.3
23.5
% over line
42%
36%
48%
56%
52%
60%
56%
56%
56%
% under line
58%
64%
52%
44%
48%
40%
44%
44%
44%
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.6
Liverpool
10.6
Bournemouth
10.5
Fulham
10.2
West Ham
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Brentford
9.9
Tottenham
9.8
Aston Villa
9.8
Chelsea
9.7
Manchester United
9.7
Everton
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Brighton
9.4
Burnley
9.3
Manchester City
9.2
Wolves
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.9
Sunderland
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.8
Bournemouth
4.7
Manchester United
4.3
Tottenham
4.2
Brighton
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Newcastle
4.1
Aston Villa
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Nottingham Forest
4.0
Wolves
3.8
Brentford
3.8
Everton
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
West Ham
3.6
Fulham
3.5
Arsenal
3.4
Burnley
3.3
Liverpool
3.3
Leeds
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.5
Bournemouth
24.1
Aston Villa
23.4
Chelsea
23.0
Nottingham Forest
23.0
West Ham
22.8
Brighton
22.4
Everton
22.4
Sunderland
22.2
Tottenham
22.2
Arsenal
22.1
Manchester United
21.6
Leeds
21.4
Newcastle
21.1
Burnley
20.8
Liverpool
20.5
Manchester City
20.2
Crystal Palace
20.2
Fulham
19.8
Brentford
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.7%
Under 9.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.8%
Under 3.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
41.8%
Under 21.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Leeds
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.85
0.38
0.47
0.71
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.42
1.00
0.22
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
-
-
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sunderland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sunderland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.53
0.50
0.36
0.31
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.57
0.33
0.00
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.52
0.60
0.40
0.27
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sunderland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sunderland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sunderland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Leeds
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.10
0.77
1.08
0.71
1.12
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.38
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.25
vs Similar (19)
0.47
1.05
0.67
0.89
0.30
1.20
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
-
-
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sunderland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sunderland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.93
0.64
0.25
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.62
1.10
0.60
0.18
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sunderland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sunderland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sunderland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Calvert-Lewin36%
Noah Okafor21%
Lukas Nmecha19%
Anton Stach15%
Ao Tanaka12%
Sean Longstaff11%
James Justin9%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Joe Rodon5%
Jayden Bogle5%
Joël Piroe5%
Wilfried Gnonto3%
Jaka Bijol3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Ampadu30%
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Jayden Bogle21%
Pascal Struijk16%
Gabriel Gudmundsson14%
Jaka Bijol13%
James Justin12%
Ilia Gruev12%
Sean Longstaff11%
Wilfried Gnonto10%
Lucas Perri10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Joe Rodon8%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin8%
Jack Harrison8%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Ao Tanaka6%
Sebastiaan Bornauw6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Karl Darlow4%
Joël Piroe0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brenden Aaronson12%
Jaka Bijol10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Ilia Gruev8%
Sean Longstaff7%
Wilfried Gnonto7%
Jayden Bogle5%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Joël Piroe0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Joe Rodon0%
Daniel James0%
Ao Tanaka0%
Lucas Perri0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Calvert-Lewin31%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Joël Piroe5%
Sean Longstaff4%
Ao Tanaka3%
Noah Okafor3%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Joe Rodon3%
Brenden Aaronson2%
Jaka Bijol0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Ethan Ampadu0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Sunderland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marc Guiu33%
Brian Brobbey22%
Wilson Isidor17%
Enzo Le Fée15%
Habib Diarra14%
Chemsdine Talbi13%
Eliezer Mayenda9%
Nordi Mukiele9%
Bertrand Traoré8%
Simon Adingra7%
Daniel Ballard6%
Trai Hume5%
Chris Rigg5%
Omar Alderete3%
Granit Xhaka3%
Arthur Masuaku0%
Dan Neil0%
Luke O'Nien0%
Reinildo Mandava0%
Lutsharel Geertruida0%
Dennis Cirkin0%
Robin Roefs0%
Melker Ellborg0%
Romaine Mundle0%
Jenson Seelt0%
Nilson Angulo0%
Noah Sadiki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Arthur Masuaku50%
Noah Sadiki31%
Reinildo Mandava28%
Trai Hume28%
Habib Diarra27%
Granit Xhaka25%
Dan Neil25%
Melker Ellborg25%
Dennis Cirkin20%
Brian Brobbey19%
Omar Alderete18%
Nordi Mukiele17%
Daniel Ballard16%
Enzo Le Fée15%
Luke O'Nien13%
Simon Adingra13%
Nilson Angulo11%
Robin Roefs11%
Bertrand Traoré8%
Lutsharel Geertruida7%
Romaine Mundle6%
Wilson Isidor6%
Chris Rigg5%
Jenson Seelt0%
Chemsdine Talbi0%
Eliezer Mayenda0%
Marc Guiu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Granit Xhaka17%
Enzo Le Fée15%
Habib Diarra9%
Nordi Mukiele9%
Luke O'Nien7%
Chris Rigg5%
Eliezer Mayenda4%
Reinildo Mandava4%
Chemsdine Talbi3%
Brian Brobbey3%
Omar Alderete3%
Noah Sadiki3%
Trai Hume2%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Arthur Masuaku0%
Dan Neil0%
Lutsharel Geertruida0%
Daniel Ballard0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Dennis Cirkin0%
Robin Roefs0%
Melker Ellborg0%
Romaine Mundle0%
Jenson Seelt0%
Simon Adingra0%
Nilson Angulo0%
Marc Guiu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marc Guiu33%
Habib Diarra14%
Romaine Mundle12%
Nilson Angulo11%
Daniel Ballard6%
Brian Brobbey6%
Omar Alderete6%
Wilson Isidor6%
Eliezer Mayenda4%
Chemsdine Talbi3%
Trai Hume2%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Nordi Mukiele0%
Granit Xhaka0%
Arthur Masuaku0%
Dan Neil0%
Luke O'Nien0%
Enzo Le Fée0%
Reinildo Mandava0%
Lutsharel Geertruida0%
Dennis Cirkin0%
Robin Roefs0%
Melker Ellborg0%
Jenson Seelt0%
Simon Adingra0%
Chris Rigg0%
Noah Sadiki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Leeds's squad is €35m more valuable than Sunderland's (€427m vs €392m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Leeds's attack is €8m more valuable than Sunderland's (€166m vs €157m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Leeds's midfield is €12m less valuable than Sunderland's (€98m vs €110m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Leeds's defence is €38m more valuable than Sunderland's (€163m vs €125m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves