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Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Leningradets
Leningradets
Vs
39%
34%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk
Russia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Leningradets host Chelyabinsk in the Russia: First League, with the home side coming off a draw against Arsenal Tula. This match is expected to be low-scoring, with an average of 1.9 goals per game. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, but the most likely total number of goals is 2. Leningradets have struggled to score at home, averaging 1.12 goals per game against stronger opponents, while conceding 1.75 goals.

Chelyabinsk have fared worse away from home, scoring 0.67 goals per game against weaker opponents, while conceding 0.67 goals. The model's selection is the Home win, with a 39% chance of success, making it the favourite. The draw percentage stands at 34%, while the away win percentage is 26%. The model's suggested picks include Under 3.5, with an 87.7% probability and a 9% edge, and Under 2.5, with a 70.8% probability and a 10% edge.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Home win, failed to materialise as Leningradets and Chelyabinsk settled for a 1-1 draw, extending their recent draws. The model had picked a Home win with a 39 % probability, but the result was a draw, so the model’s call was wrong. The most likely score of 1-0 had a 14.8 % chance, while 1-1 was 14.6 %. The model’s selections were all correct: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.9 %, Under 6.5 at 99.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.0 %, Under 5.5 at 98.7 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7 %, and Home under 3.5 goals at 97.7 %. The game confirmed the low-scoring nature predicted by the model.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leningradets win✗ Miss
39.3%
Avg Implied 36.2% · @ 2.56
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.67
1xBet
2.63
Marathonbet
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Dafabet
2.55
Draw✓ Hit
34.3%
Avg Implied 30.7% · @ 3.02
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.11
1xBet
3.07
Dafabet
3.05
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Chelyabinsk win✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 33.1% · @ 2.79
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.93
Pinnacle
2.87
Marathonbet
2.84
Dafabet
2.80
Superbet
2.77

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LeningradetsLeningradets

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L13L40W02L03L02L00D21W12L00DH·TOR25/05H·DIN31/07H·KRI21/08A·ZNA04/09H·CHE06/08A·LUK20/08H·URA26/07H·FC 01/08A·VEL09/08H·ARS15/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.400.941.590.691.15
vs Stronger (8)0.501.501.331.330.001.60
vs Similar (22)0.951.360.861.641.120.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L00D12L20W02L22D12L20W14L04LA·ENI17/04A·ARS22/04H·URA26/04H·FK 02/05A·ROD08/05H·SHI16/05H·NIZ25/07A·VOL02/08A·ROT09/08H·TOR15/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.401.361.640.751.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.031.401.361.640.751.19
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Leningradets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
57.6%
@ 1.38-8.8%
Under 1.5
42.4%
@ 2.72+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
2.91
1xBet
2.66
Marathonbet
2.66
Superbet
2.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.3%
@ 2.28-12.1%
Under 2.5
70.7%
@ 1.60+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
1xBet
2.29
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Superbet
1.55
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.3%
@ 4.00-10.6%
Under 3.5
87.7%
@ 1.19+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.28
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.0%
@ 1.91-10.3%
No
62.0%
@ 1.79+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
No
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.77

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.5%@ 6.75+10.1%
1-0
14.8%@ 6.41+8.1%
1-1 ✓
14.6%@ 5.27+6.5%
0-1
11.1%@ 6.82+4.9%
2-0
8.6%@ 10.94+4.7%
2-1
7.1%@ 9.41+2.5%
1-2
5.5%@ 10.07+1.2%
0-2
5.1%@ 12.18+1.6%
Leningradets goals ↓
Chelyabinsk goals →
01234
016%11%5.1%1.4%0.3%
115%15%5.5%1.5%0.3%
28.6%7.1%2.9%0.8%0.2%
33.0%2.5%1.0%0.3%0.1%
40.8%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leningradets goals (down), columns = Chelyabinsk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Leningradets is 0.33 points better than Chelyabinsk in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Leningradets is 0.33 goals worse than Chelyabinsk in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Leningradets is 1.33 goals better than Chelyabinsk in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 2.17).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Leningradets is 0.5 percentage points better than Chelyabinsk in terms of average possession (50% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LeningradetsLeningradets

For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

1004643633634107997H·FC A·DINH·UROH·FK A·ALA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

7032131121134131215141227413H·FC A·LUKH·TORA·FK H·ARSH·KHIA·UROH·SKAA·AKRH·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

For 5.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

1105611H·NIZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

110131142221423132656342645548113H·NIZA·FAKA·ROTH·KAMH·FC A·URAA·SHIA·CHEH·ARSH·ENI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

LeningradetsLeningradets

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (43)8.59.17.72.42.42.5---
vs Stronger (12)7.07.85.53.23.33.0---
vs Similar (31)9.410.58.62.12.12.2---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line27%38%14%37%39%35%---
% under line73%62%86%63%61%65%---
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (44)11.011.0-2.32.61.9---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (43)11.011.0-2.32.62.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line100%100%-32%36%27%---
% under line0%0%-68%64%73%---
This opponent (Leningradets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.6%
@ 2.06-4.4%
Under 9.5
59.4%
@ 1.69+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.8%
Under 3.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Leningradets or Draw✓ Hit
73.6%
Avg Implied 67.0% · @ 1.38
Edge
+6.6%
39%
34%
26%
covers Leningradets + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
SBO
1.35
Leningradets or Chelyabinsk✗ Miss
65.7%
Avg Implied 69.3% · @ 1.33
Edge
-3.5%
39%
34%
26%
covers Leningradets + Chelyabinsk
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
SBO
1.28
Draw or Chelyabinsk✓ Hit
60.7%
Avg Implied 63.8% · @ 1.45
Edge
-3.1%
39%
34%
26%
covers Draw + Chelyabinsk
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.46
Superbet
1.44
SBO
1.40

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Leningradets over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.5%
@ 1.34-3.1%
Under
34.5%
@ 2.94+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.09
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.93
Superbet
2.80
Leningradets over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.8%
@ 2.73-5.3%
Under
71.2%
@ 1.41+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.89
1xBet
2.69
Marathonbet
2.69
Superbet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.39
Leningradets over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 6.15-5.5%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.07+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Marathonbet
6.30
Superbet
5.85
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Leningradets over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
56.1%
@ 1.39-10.6%
Under
43.9%
@ 2.77+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.99
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.72
Superbet
2.67
Chelyabinsk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.9%
@ 2.89-12.1%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.36+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.98
1xBet
2.89
Marathonbet
2.89
Superbet
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.34
Chelyabinsk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 6.77-8.4%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.05+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Superbet
6.30
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Chelyabinsk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Leningradets, so a minus line means Leningradets give that many goals of a start and Chelyabinsk receive them. At -1, Leningradets must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Leningradets win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Leningradets)Actual: Chelyabinsk
Leningradets -2
5.0%
@ 7.00-6.3%
Draw -2
11.4%
@ 4.65-5.6%
Chelyabinsk +2
83.7%
@ 1.10+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Leningradets)Actual: Chelyabinsk
Leningradets -1
16.3%
@ 5.05-1.1%
Draw -1
23.0%
@ 3.98+0.8%
Chelyabinsk +1
60.7%
@ 1.46+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.05
Draw
Marathonbet
3.98
Away
Marathonbet
1.46
Handicap +1 (Leningradets)Actual: Leningradets
Leningradets +1
73.6%
@ 1.38+9.7%
Draw +1
17.5%
@ 4.25-3.3%
Chelyabinsk -1
8.9%
@ 5.75-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.38
Draw
Marathonbet
4.25
Away
Marathonbet
5.75
Handicap +2 (Leningradets)Actual: Leningradets
Leningradets +2
91.1%
Draw +2
6.8%
Chelyabinsk -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LeningradetsLeningradets

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D00D00D02L00D00D00D00DH·TOR25/05H·DIN31/07H·KRI21/08A·ZNA04/09H·CHE06/08A·LUK20/08H·URA26/07H·FC 01/08A·VEL09/08H·ARS15/08
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.430.240.470.310.38
vs Stronger (8)0.000.380.000.330.000.40
vs Similar (22)0.360.450.290.500.500.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L10W01L21W12L20W13L01LA·ENI17/04A·ARS22/04H·URA26/04H·FK 02/05A·ROD08/05H·SHI16/05H·NIZ25/07A·VOL02/08A·ROT09/08H·TOR15/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.860.860.440.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.630.770.860.860.440.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Leningradets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
61.5%
@ 1.49-0.8%
Under 0.5
38.5%
@ 2.46+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.65
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.39
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
27.0%
@ 3.18-1.8%
Under 1.5
73.0%
@ 1.29+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.22
1xBet
3.22
Superbet
3.10
Under
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.2%
@ 7.70-2.5%
Under 2.5
90.8%
@ 1.02+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.90
Superbet
7.30
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leningradets over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.6%
@ 2.24+1.3%
Under
57.4%
@ 1.58-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Leningradets over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 7.70-0.3%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.05+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.70
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Leningradets over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.0%
@ 2.34-1.5%
Under
62.0%
@ 1.53+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.38
1xBet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.33
Superbet
2.32
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Chelyabinsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 8.30-3.1%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.04+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Chelyabinsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LeningradetsLeningradets

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D03L40W02L03L00D00D21W12L00DH·TOR25/05H·DIN31/07H·KRI21/08A·ZNA04/09H·CHE06/08A·LUK20/08H·URA26/07H·FC 01/08A·VEL09/08H·ARS15/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.970.711.120.380.77
vs Stronger (8)0.501.121.331.000.001.20
vs Similar (22)0.590.910.571.140.620.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D11D10W01L01L00D00D01L03LA·ENI17/04A·ARS22/04H·URA26/04H·FK 02/05A·ROD08/05H·SHI16/05H·NIZ25/07A·VOL02/08A·ROT09/08H·TOR15/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.500.790.310.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.400.630.500.790.310.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Leningradets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.2%
@ 1.29+0.3%
Under 0.5
28.8%
@ 3.15-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Under
Marathonbet
3.22
1xBet
3.22
Superbet
3.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
37.3%
@ 2.37-1.4%
Under 1.5
62.7%
@ 1.50+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.36
Under
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
Superbet
1.47
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.4%
@ 5.18-4.1%
Under 2.5
86.6%
@ 1.10+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
5.15
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leningradets over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.6%
@ 1.87+1.3%
Under
49.4%
@ 1.82-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Leningradets over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 5.45-0.6%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.11+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Under
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Leningradets over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelyabinsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
43.8%
@ 1.95-3.5%
Under
56.2%
@ 1.75+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Chelyabinsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 5.90-5.8%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.10+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.90
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Chelyabinsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.598.7%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+4.5%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.595.7%1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
--+7.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals94.9%1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
--+8.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.9%1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
---+3.1%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap91.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals90.8%1.02
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
--+2.5%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals90.8%1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
--+5.5%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals90.1%1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
---+5.8%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals88.3%1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
---+0.3%✓ Hit
Under 3.587.7%1.19
Pinnacle
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
-+10.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals86.6%1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
--+4.1%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals83.7%1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
---+0.6%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap83.7%1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
----+11.9%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners80.8%1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
---+5.0%-
Away under 1.5 goals80.1%1.36
Pinnacle
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.34
-+12.1%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.9%--------
Over 2.5 cards74.8%--------
Home or Draw73.6%1.38
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
SBO
1.35
-+6.6%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap73.6%1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
----+9.7%✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals73.0%1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.28
--+1.8%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals71.2%1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.29
--+0.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals71.2%1.41
1xBet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.39
-+5.3%✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners71.2%1.38
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
---+5.2%-
Under 2.570.7%1.60
1xBet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Superbet
1.55
-+12.1%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Leningradets's squad is €4m less valuable than Chelyabinsk's (€5m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Leningradets's attack is €3m less valuable than Chelyabinsk's (€1m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Leningradets and Chelyabinsk have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Leningradets's defence is €1m less valuable than Chelyabinsk's (€2m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LEN wins
0
Draws
0
CHE wins

Head-to-head

Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk · H/A from LEN
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

LeningradetsLeningradets

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HLEN Vs Arsenal Tula0-0
09/08/26AVeles Vs LEN2-1
01/08/26HLEN Vs FC Sochi2-1
26/07/26HLEN Vs Ural0-0
20/08/25ALuki-Energiya Vs LEN2-0
06/08/25HLEN Vs Cherepovets0-3
04/09/24AZnamya Truda Vs LEN2-0
21/08/24HLEN Vs Kristall4-0
31/07/24HLEN Vs Dinamo St. Petersburg1-3
25/05/24HLEN Vs Torpedo Moskva2-3

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HCHE Vs Torpedo Moskva0-4
09/08/26ARotor Volgograd Vs CHE4-1
02/08/26AVolga Ulyanovsk Vs CHE0-2
25/07/26HCHE Vs Nizhny Novgorod1-2
16/05/26HCHE Vs Shinnik Yaroslavl2-2
08/05/26ARodina Moskva Vs CHE2-0
02/05/26HCHE Vs FK Neftekhimik2-0
26/04/26HCHE Vs Ural1-2
22/04/26AArsenal Tula Vs CHE0-0
17/04/26AEnisey Vs CHE3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Leningradets
Leningradets
Russia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD0.98
HomeWLDWD0.74
AwayWWLLL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%13%35%
AVG goals2.142.262.00
Over 1.5 %63%61%65%
Over 2.5 %40%43%35%
Over 3.5 %19%26%10%
Scored0.810.830.80
Conceded1.331.431.20
BTTS40%43%35%
Clean Sheet30%26%35%
Corners8.479.127.71
Cards3.353.443.27
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk
Russia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLL1.27
HomeLWDLL1.50
AwayLDLWL1.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%23%
AVG goals2.412.642.18
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %43%50%36%
Over 3.5 %27%36%18%
Scored1.161.410.91
Conceded1.251.231.27
BTTS48%50%45%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners11.0011.00-
Cards4.355.273.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC SochiFC Sochi718
86%
2.6
167+9
3.3
86%
86%
29%
10.5
100%
5.5
100%
-
0%
15
5192.31.0
54%
2Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod716
71%
2.3
2110+11
4.4
100%
100%
71%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
18
6393.01.4
50%
3VelesVeles715
71%
2.1
1110+1
3.0
86%
57%
29%
4.5
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
5
2221.61.4
54%
4UralUral612
50%
2.0
113+8
2.3
83%
50%
17%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
11
4241.80.5
40%
5FC UFAFC UFA611
50%
1.8
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
10.5
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
5
2221.21.0
46%
6Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva610
50%
1.7
114+7
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5141.80.7
-
7Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd810
38%
1.2
108+2
2.2
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.21.0
-
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl69
33%
1.5
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.2
-
9Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma69
33%
1.5
77+0
2.3
67%
50%
33%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3241.21.2
49%
10Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula89
25%
1.1
713-6
2.5
62%
50%
38%
8.5
50%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3230.91.6
52%
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik89
38%
1.1
512-7
2.1
50%
25%
12%
8.5
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
5
2120.61.5
54%
12EniseyEnisey67
17%
1.2
98+1
2.8
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.3
-
13Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk67
33%
1.2
79-2
2.7
83%
50%
33%
6.0
0%
5.0
100%
-
0%
6
2131.21.5
52%
14LeningradetsLeningradets66
17%
1.0
45-1
1.5
50%
33%
0%
12.5
100%
4.0
50%
-
0%
5
1120.70.8
50%
15KAMAZKAMAZ75
14%
0.7
711-4
2.6
71%
43%
29%
15.0
100%
3.0
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
46%
16TekstilshchikTekstilshchik75
14%
0.7
27-5
1.3
29%
14%
14%
9.0
50%
5.5
100%
-
0%
5
2120.31.0
49%
17ChelyabinskChelyabinsk64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
9
4131.02.2
50%
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk73
14%
0.4
514-9
2.7
71%
43%
29%
6.5
50%
2.5
50%
-
0%
6
2230.72.0
46%
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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