Leningradets’ defensive record at home is modest, conceding 1.5 goals on average against similar opposition, while KAMAZ, on the road, has allowed only one goal per game. The model therefore favours a home win, with a 36 % probability, the same chance of a draw and a 28 % chance for KAMAZ to win. The expected total of 1.7 goals points to a tight, low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 19.2 %. Leningradets have scored 0.93 goals per home match and KAMAZ have netted 1.0 goal per away game, both against opponents of similar strength. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (100 %), Under 6.5 (99.8 %), Under 5.5 (99.2 %), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8 %). The home side’s recent draw streak and KAMAZ’s two-game losing run set the stage for a cautious contest.
Results analysis
The upset was clear: the pre-match favourite, Home win, did not materialise as Leningradets fell 0-1 to KAMAZ. The model’s call was wrong, and the final result was an away victory. The match finished 0-1, with KAMAZ securing the win. The model had assigned a 36% probability to a home win, 36% to a draw and 28% to an away win, and the most likely scoreline was 1-0 at 15.4%. The suggested picks all hit: Under 7.5 goals (100%), Under 6.5 (99.8%), Under 5.5 (99.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6%). The home side was coming off a defeat, while the visitors entered on a win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Leningradets win✗ Miss
35.9%
Avg Implied 34.7% · @ 2.66
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.76
Pinnacle
2.73
Marathonbet
2.68
Dafabet
2.65
Superbet
2.65
Draw✗ Miss
36.3%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.10
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.24
Pinnacle
3.22
Marathonbet
3.14
Dafabet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
KAMAZ win✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied 35.5% · @ 2.60
Edge
-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.72
1xBet
2.66
Dafabet
2.65
Superbet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Leningradets
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.40
0.94
1.56
0.75
1.17
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.50
1.33
1.33
0.00
1.60
vs Similar (22)
1.00
1.36
0.87
1.60
1.29
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KAMAZ
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.10
1.38
1.25
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
1.21
1.11
1.40
1.20
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Leningradets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.6%
@ 1.36-14.8%
Under 1.5
47.4%
@ 2.81+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.01
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.78
Superbet
2.67
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.8%
@ 2.22-17.6%
Under 2.5
75.2%
@ 1.64+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
Under
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.57
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
9.6%
@ 3.93-13.6%
Under 3.5
90.4%
@ 1.19+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.10
Marathonbet
3.88
1xBet
3.88
Superbet
3.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
34.3%
@ 1.88-14.8%
No
65.7%
@ 1.81+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
No
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.78
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
19.2%@ 7.64+13.6%
1-0
15.4%@ 6.99+9.2%
1-1
14.5%@ 5.46+6.6%
0-1 ✓
12.8%@ 6.90+6.6%
2-0
7.8%@ 12.01+4.2%
2-1
6.1%@ 9.78+1.7%
0-2
5.6%@ 11.85+1.9%
1-2
5.2%@ 9.62+0.7%
Leningradets goals ↓
KAMAZ goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
19%
13%
5.6%
1.5%
0.3%
1
15%
14%
5.2%
1.4%
0.3%
2
7.8%
6.1%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
3
2.4%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leningradets goals (down), columns = KAMAZ goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Leningradets is 0.29 points better than KAMAZ in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Leningradets is 0.33 goals worse than KAMAZ in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Leningradets is 0.74 goals better than KAMAZ in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Leningradets is 4.5 percentage points better than KAMAZ in terms of average possession (50% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Leningradets
For 4.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
KAMAZ
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
For 2.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Leningradets
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (44)
8.5
9.1
7.7
2.4
2.3
2.5
-
-
-
vs Stronger (12)
7.0
7.8
5.5
3.2
3.3
3.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
9.4
10.5
8.6
2.1
1.9
2.2
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
27%
38%
14%
36%
38%
35%
-
-
-
% under line
73%
62%
86%
64%
62%
65%
-
-
-
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KAMAZ
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
2.9
2.6
3.3
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
4.7
5.5
3.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
-
-
-
2.8
2.3
3.3
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
48%
38%
58%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
52%
62%
42%
-
-
-
This opponent (Leningradets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Leningradets or Draw✗ Miss
72.2%
Avg Implied 64.1% · @ 1.44
Edge
+8.0%
36%
36%
28%
covers Leningradets + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.45
Superbet
1.42
SBO
1.40
Leningradets or KAMAZ✓ Hit
63.7%
Avg Implied 70.4% · @ 1.31
Edge
-6.7%
36%
36%
28%
covers Leningradets + KAMAZ
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
SBO
1.27
Draw or KAMAZ✓ Hit
64.1%
Avg Implied 65.5% · @ 1.41
Edge
-1.3%
36%
36%
28%
covers Draw + KAMAZ
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
SBO
1.36
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Leningradets over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
60.6%
@ 1.35-7.6%
Under
39.4%
@ 2.90+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.08
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Superbet
2.75
Leningradets over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.9%
@ 2.72-10.2%
Under
76.1%
@ 1.41+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.87
Marathonbet
2.77
Superbet
2.70
1xBet
2.55
Under
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Leningradets over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 6.53-7.1%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.06+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.70
Superbet
6.00
Under
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Leningradets over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
54.5%
@ 1.34-14.1%
Under
45.5%
@ 2.93+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.08
Marathonbet
2.98
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.77
KAMAZ over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 2.71-15.6%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.41+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.86
Marathonbet
2.69
Superbet
2.67
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.38
KAMAZ over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 6.47-9.5%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.06+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.60
Superbet
6.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
KAMAZ over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Leningradets, so a minus line means Leningradets give that many goals of a start and KAMAZ receive them. At -1, Leningradets must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Leningradets win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Leningradets)Actual: KAMAZ
Leningradets -2
3.7%
Draw -2
9.9%
KAMAZ +2
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Leningradets)Actual: KAMAZ
Leningradets -1
13.5%
@ 5.65-2.3%
Draw -1
22.3%
@ 4.20+1.0%
KAMAZ +1
64.1%
@ 1.42+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.65
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Away
Marathonbet
1.42
Handicap +1 (Leningradets)Actual: Draw
Leningradets +1
72.2%
@ 1.45+10.6%
Draw +1
18.6%
@ 4.10-3.1%
KAMAZ -1
9.2%
@ 5.35-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.45
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Away
Marathonbet
5.35
Handicap +2 (Leningradets)Actual: Leningradets
Leningradets +2
90.8%
Draw +2
7.0%
KAMAZ -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Leningradets
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.43
0.22
0.44
0.33
0.42
vs Stronger (8)
0.00
0.38
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.40
vs Similar (22)
0.36
0.45
0.27
0.47
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KAMAZ
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.62
0.44
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.50
0.60
0.47
0.54
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Leningradets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
64.5%
@ 1.46+0.9%
Under 0.5
35.5%
@ 2.55-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.71
Marathonbet
2.53
1xBet
2.53
Superbet
2.42
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.2%
@ 3.17-0.9%
Under 1.5
71.8%
@ 1.30+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.31
Marathonbet
3.16
1xBet
3.16
Superbet
3.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.3%
@ 7.80-3.3%
Under 2.5
91.7%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Marathonbet
8.10
Superbet
7.20
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leningradets over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.5%
@ 2.26+1.6%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.57-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.54
Leningradets over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 8.30-0.9%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.04+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Leningradets over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.7%
@ 2.24-2.7%
Under
61.3%
@ 1.58+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Superbet
1.55
KAMAZ over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 8.00-3.1%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.04+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
8.00
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
KAMAZ over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Leningradets
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.97
0.72
1.11
0.42
0.75
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.12
1.33
1.00
0.00
1.20
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.91
0.60
1.13
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KAMAZ
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.75
0.81
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.61
0.80
0.73
0.46
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Leningradets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.3%
@ 1.27-3.6%
Under 0.5
31.7%
@ 3.25+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Under
Marathonbet
3.35
1xBet
3.35
Superbet
3.05
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.8%
@ 2.36-1.2%
Under 1.5
62.2%
@ 1.51+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Superbet
1.48
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 5.23-3.3%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.09+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.10
Under
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leningradets over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.2%
@ 1.91+2.9%
Under
48.8%
@ 1.78-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Under
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.77
Leningradets over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.0%
@ 5.85+0.2%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.10-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.85
1xBet
5.85
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Leningradets over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.0%
@ 1.88-4.0%
Under
55.0%
@ 1.81+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.78
KAMAZ over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 5.65-5.0%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.10+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
KAMAZ over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
100.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
99.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
96.9%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.4%
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.2%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.7%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.6%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
90.4%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
-
+13.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.7%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
86.1%
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.0%
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
81.3%
1.41
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.38
-
+15.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
76.1%
1.41
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.37
-
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
75.2%
1.64
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.57
-
+17.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
72.2%
1.44
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.45
Superbet
1.42
SBO
1.40
-
+8.0%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
72.2%
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
-
-
-
-
+10.6%
✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.30
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Leningradets and KAMAZ have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Leningradets and KAMAZ have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Leningradets and KAMAZ have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Leningradets and KAMAZ have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →