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Leningradets vs KAMAZ Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Leningradets
Leningradets
Vs
36%
36%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
KAMAZ
KAMAZ
Russia: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Leningradets’ defensive record at home is modest, conceding 1.5 goals on average against similar opposition, while KAMAZ, on the road, has allowed only one goal per game. The model therefore favours a home win, with a 36 % probability, the same chance of a draw and a 28 % chance for KAMAZ to win. The expected total of 1.7 goals points to a tight, low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 19.2 %. Leningradets have scored 0.93 goals per home match and KAMAZ have netted 1.0 goal per away game, both against opponents of similar strength. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (100 %), Under 6.5 (99.8 %), Under 5.5 (99.2 %), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8 %). The home side’s recent draw streak and KAMAZ’s two-game losing run set the stage for a cautious contest.

Results analysis

The upset was clear: the pre-match favourite, Home win, did not materialise as Leningradets fell 0-1 to KAMAZ. The model’s call was wrong, and the final result was an away victory. The match finished 0-1, with KAMAZ securing the win. The model had assigned a 36% probability to a home win, 36% to a draw and 28% to an away win, and the most likely scoreline was 1-0 at 15.4%. The suggested picks all hit: Under 7.5 goals (100%), Under 6.5 (99.8%), Under 5.5 (99.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6%). The home side was coming off a defeat, while the visitors entered on a win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leningradets win✗ Miss
35.9%
Avg Implied 34.7% · @ 2.66
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.76
Pinnacle
2.73
Marathonbet
2.68
Dafabet
2.65
Superbet
2.65
Draw✗ Miss
36.3%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.10
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.24
Pinnacle
3.22
Marathonbet
3.14
Dafabet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
KAMAZ win✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied 35.5% · @ 2.60
Edge
-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.72
1xBet
2.66
Dafabet
2.65
Superbet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LeningradetsLeningradets

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L40W02L03L02L00D21W12L00D11DH·DIN31/07H·KRI21/08A·ZNA04/09H·CHE06/08A·LUK20/08H·URA26/07H·FC 01/08A·VEL09/08H·ARS15/08H·CHE23/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.400.941.560.751.17
vs Stronger (8)0.501.501.331.330.001.60
vs Similar (22)1.001.360.871.601.290.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KAMAZKAMAZ

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W20W02L01L02L11D12L22D01L23LH·CHA26/04H·SPA01/05A·URA11/05H·FK 16/05H·ROT27/07A·FC 03/08H·VOL09/08A·ENI15/08H·TEK19/08H·FC 24/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.101.381.250.930.93
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)1.211.111.401.201.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Leningradets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%19%028%128%215%37%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.6%
@ 1.36-14.8%
Under 1.5
47.4%
@ 2.81+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.01
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.78
Superbet
2.67
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.8%
@ 2.22-17.6%
Under 2.5
75.2%
@ 1.64+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
Under
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.57
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
9.6%
@ 3.93-13.6%
Under 3.5
90.4%
@ 1.19+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.10
Marathonbet
3.88
1xBet
3.88
Superbet
3.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
34.3%
@ 1.88-14.8%
No
65.7%
@ 1.81+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
No
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.78

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
19.2%@ 7.64+13.6%
1-0
15.4%@ 6.99+9.2%
1-1
14.5%@ 5.46+6.6%
0-1 ✓
12.8%@ 6.90+6.6%
2-0
7.8%@ 12.01+4.2%
2-1
6.1%@ 9.78+1.7%
0-2
5.6%@ 11.85+1.9%
1-2
5.2%@ 9.62+0.7%
Leningradets goals ↓
KAMAZ goals →
01234
019%13%5.6%1.5%0.3%
115%14%5.2%1.4%0.3%
27.8%6.1%2.4%0.6%0.1%
32.4%1.9%0.7%0.2%0.0%
40.6%0.4%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Leningradets goals (down), columns = KAMAZ goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Leningradets is 0.29 points better than KAMAZ in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Leningradets is 0.33 goals worse than KAMAZ in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Leningradets is 0.74 goals better than KAMAZ in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.57).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Leningradets is 4.5 percentage points better than KAMAZ in terms of average possession (50% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LeningradetsLeningradets

For 4.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

1004643633610799H·FC A·DINH·UROH·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

7032131121134131215141227413H·FC A·LUKH·TORA·FK H·ARSH·KHIA·UROH·SKAA·AKRH·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

KAMAZKAMAZ

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 2.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

1001246222342122434133104563674A·RODH·SKAA·CHEH·VOLA·CHAH·ENIH·RODA·CHAA·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

LeningradetsLeningradets

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (44)8.59.17.72.42.32.5---
vs Stronger (12)7.07.85.53.23.33.0---
vs Similar (32)9.410.58.62.11.92.2---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line27%38%14%36%38%35%---
% under line73%62%86%64%62%65%---
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KAMAZKAMAZ

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---2.92.63.3---
vs Stronger (3)---4.75.53.0---
vs Similar (47)---2.82.33.3---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---48%38%58%---
% under line---52%62%42%---
This opponent (Leningradets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Leningradets or Draw✗ Miss
72.2%
Avg Implied 64.1% · @ 1.44
Edge
+8.0%
36%
36%
28%
covers Leningradets + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.45
Superbet
1.42
SBO
1.40
Leningradets or KAMAZ✓ Hit
63.7%
Avg Implied 70.4% · @ 1.31
Edge
-6.7%
36%
36%
28%
covers Leningradets + KAMAZ
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
SBO
1.27
Draw or KAMAZ✓ Hit
64.1%
Avg Implied 65.5% · @ 1.41
Edge
-1.3%
36%
36%
28%
covers Draw + KAMAZ
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
SBO
1.36

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Leningradets over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
60.6%
@ 1.35-7.6%
Under
39.4%
@ 2.90+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.08
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Superbet
2.75
Leningradets over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.9%
@ 2.72-10.2%
Under
76.1%
@ 1.41+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.87
Marathonbet
2.77
Superbet
2.70
1xBet
2.55
Under
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Leningradets over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 6.53-7.1%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.06+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.70
Superbet
6.00
Under
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Leningradets over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
54.5%
@ 1.34-14.1%
Under
45.5%
@ 2.93+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.08
Marathonbet
2.98
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.77
KAMAZ over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 2.71-15.6%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.41+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.86
Marathonbet
2.69
Superbet
2.67
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.38
KAMAZ over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 6.47-9.5%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.06+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.60
Superbet
6.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
KAMAZ over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Leningradets, so a minus line means Leningradets give that many goals of a start and KAMAZ receive them. At -1, Leningradets must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Leningradets win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Leningradets)Actual: KAMAZ
Leningradets -2
3.7%
Draw -2
9.9%
KAMAZ +2
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Leningradets)Actual: KAMAZ
Leningradets -1
13.5%
@ 5.65-2.3%
Draw -1
22.3%
@ 4.20+1.0%
KAMAZ +1
64.1%
@ 1.42+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.65
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Away
Marathonbet
1.42
Handicap +1 (Leningradets)Actual: Draw
Leningradets +1
72.2%
@ 1.45+10.6%
Draw +1
18.6%
@ 4.10-3.1%
KAMAZ -1
9.2%
@ 5.35-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.45
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Away
Marathonbet
5.35
Handicap +2 (Leningradets)Actual: Leningradets
Leningradets +2
90.8%
Draw +2
7.0%
KAMAZ -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LeningradetsLeningradets

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D02L00D00D00D00D00DH·DIN31/07H·KRI21/08A·ZNA04/09H·CHE06/08A·LUK20/08H·URA26/07H·FC 01/08A·VEL09/08H·ARS15/08H·CHE23/08
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.430.220.440.330.42
vs Stronger (8)0.000.380.000.330.000.40
vs Similar (22)0.360.450.270.470.570.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KAMAZKAMAZ

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W02L00D01L00D01L10W00D21WH·CHA26/04H·SPA01/05A·URA11/05H·FK 16/05H·ROT27/07A·FC 03/08H·VOL09/08A·ENI15/08H·TEK19/08H·FC 24/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.470.620.440.500.50
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.570.500.600.470.540.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Leningradets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
64.5%
@ 1.46+0.9%
Under 0.5
35.5%
@ 2.55-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.71
Marathonbet
2.53
1xBet
2.53
Superbet
2.42
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.2%
@ 3.17-0.9%
Under 1.5
71.8%
@ 1.30+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.31
Marathonbet
3.16
1xBet
3.16
Superbet
3.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.3%
@ 7.80-3.3%
Under 2.5
91.7%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Marathonbet
8.10
Superbet
7.20
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Leningradets over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.5%
@ 2.26+1.6%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.57-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.54
Leningradets over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 8.30-0.9%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.04+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Leningradets over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.7%
@ 2.24-2.7%
Under
61.3%
@ 1.58+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Superbet
1.55
KAMAZ over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 8.00-3.1%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.04+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
8.00
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
KAMAZ over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LeningradetsLeningradets

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L40W02L03L00D00D21W12L00D11DH·DIN31/07H·KRI21/08A·ZNA04/09H·CHE06/08A·LUK20/08H·URA26/07H·FC 01/08A·VEL09/08H·ARS15/08H·CHE23/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.970.721.110.420.75
vs Stronger (8)0.501.121.331.000.001.20
vs Similar (22)0.640.910.601.130.710.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (KAMAZ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KAMAZKAMAZ

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W00D01L01L11D11D12L01L02LH·CHA26/04H·SPA01/05A·URA11/05H·FK 16/05H·ROT27/07A·FC 03/08H·VOL09/08A·ENI15/08H·TEK19/08H·FC 24/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.750.810.430.43
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.640.610.800.730.460.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Leningradets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.3%
@ 1.27-3.6%
Under 0.5
31.7%
@ 3.25+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Under
Marathonbet
3.35
1xBet
3.35
Superbet
3.05
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.8%
@ 2.36-1.2%
Under 1.5
62.2%
@ 1.51+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Superbet
1.48
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 5.23-3.3%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.09+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.10
Under
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Leningradets over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.2%
@ 1.91+2.9%
Under
48.8%
@ 1.78-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Under
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.77
Leningradets over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.0%
@ 5.85+0.2%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.10-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.85
1xBet
5.85
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Leningradets over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KAMAZ over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.0%
@ 1.88-4.0%
Under
55.0%
@ 1.81+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.78
KAMAZ over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 5.65-5.0%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.10+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
KAMAZ over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.5100.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.599.2%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+5.1%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.596.9%1.02
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
--+8.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals95.4%1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
--+9.5%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals93.2%1.06
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
--+7.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals91.7%1.02
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
--+3.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.6%1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
---+3.1%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap90.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.590.4%1.19
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
-+13.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.8%1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
---+0.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals88.7%1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
---+5.0%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap86.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals86.1%1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
--+3.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.0%1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
----0.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals81.3%1.41
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.38
-+15.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals76.1%1.41
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.37
-+10.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.575.2%1.64
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.57
-+17.6%✓ Hit
Home or Draw72.2%1.44
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.45
Superbet
1.42
SBO
1.40
-+8.0%✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap72.2%1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
----+10.6%✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals71.8%1.30
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
-+0.9%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Leningradets and KAMAZ have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Leningradets and KAMAZ have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Leningradets and KAMAZ have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Leningradets and KAMAZ have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
LEN wins
2
Draws
0
KAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Leningradets vs KAMAZ · H/A from LEN
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24HLEN Vs KAMAZ0-0
03/09/23AKAMAZ Vs LEN1-1

LeningradetsLeningradets

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26HLEN Vs Chelyabinsk1-1
15/08/26HLEN Vs Arsenal Tula0-0
09/08/26AVeles Vs LEN2-1
01/08/26HLEN Vs FC Sochi2-1
26/07/26HLEN Vs Ural0-0
20/08/25ALuki-Energiya Vs LEN2-0
06/08/25HLEN Vs Cherepovets0-3
04/09/24AZnamya Truda Vs LEN2-0
21/08/24HLEN Vs Kristall4-0
31/07/24HLEN Vs Dinamo St. Petersburg1-3

KAMAZKAMAZ

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/26HKAM Vs FC Sochi2-3
19/08/26HKAM Vs Tekstilshchik0-1
15/08/26AEnisey Vs KAM2-2
09/08/26HKAM Vs Volga Ulyanovsk1-2
03/08/26AFC UFA Vs KAM1-1
27/07/26HKAM Vs Rotor Volgograd0-2
16/05/26HKAM Vs FK Sokol Saratov0-1
11/05/26AUral Vs KAM2-0
01/05/26HKAM Vs Spartak Kostroma2-0
26/04/26HKAM Vs Chayka2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Leningradets
Leningradets
Russia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDD0.98
HomeLDWDD0.75
AwayWWLLL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%12%35%
AVG goals2.142.252.00
Over 1.5 %64%62%65%
Over 2.5 %39%42%35%
Over 3.5 %18%25%10%
Scored0.820.830.80
Conceded1.321.421.20
BTTS41%46%35%
Clean Sheet30%25%35%
Corners8.479.127.71
Cards3.353.443.27
KAMAZ
KAMAZ
Russia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.26
HomeLLLLL1.27
AwayLWLDD1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%31%25%
AVG goals2.302.582.00
Over 1.5 %72%77%67%
Over 2.5 %38%46%29%
Over 3.5 %22%27%17%
Scored1.201.381.00
Conceded1.101.191.00
BTTS54%62%46%
Clean Sheet28%23%33%
Corners---
Cards5.215.155.27

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC SochiFC Sochi718
86%
2.6
167+9
3.3
86%
86%
29%
10.5
100%
5.5
100%
-
0%
15
5192.31.0
54%
2Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod716
71%
2.3
2110+11
4.4
100%
100%
71%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
18
6393.01.4
50%
3VelesVeles715
71%
2.1
1110+1
3.0
86%
57%
29%
4.5
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
5
2221.61.4
54%
4UralUral612
50%
2.0
113+8
2.3
83%
50%
17%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
11
4241.80.5
40%
5FC UFAFC UFA611
50%
1.8
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
10.5
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
5
2221.21.0
46%
6Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva610
50%
1.7
114+7
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5141.80.7
-
7Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd810
38%
1.2
108+2
2.2
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.21.0
-
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl69
33%
1.5
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.2
-
9Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma69
33%
1.5
77+0
2.3
67%
50%
33%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3241.21.2
49%
10Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula89
25%
1.1
713-6
2.5
62%
50%
38%
8.5
50%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3230.91.6
52%
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik89
38%
1.1
512-7
2.1
50%
25%
12%
8.5
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
5
2120.61.5
54%
12EniseyEnisey67
17%
1.2
98+1
2.8
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.3
-
13Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk67
33%
1.2
79-2
2.7
83%
50%
33%
6.0
0%
5.0
100%
-
0%
6
2131.21.5
52%
14LeningradetsLeningradets66
17%
1.0
45-1
1.5
50%
33%
0%
12.5
100%
4.0
50%
-
0%
5
1120.70.8
50%
15KAMAZKAMAZ75
14%
0.7
711-4
2.6
71%
43%
29%
15.0
100%
3.0
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
46%
16TekstilshchikTekstilshchik75
14%
0.7
27-5
1.3
29%
14%
14%
9.0
50%
5.5
100%
-
0%
5
2120.31.0
49%
17ChelyabinskChelyabinsk64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
9
4131.02.2
50%
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk73
14%
0.4
514-9
2.7
71%
43%
29%
6.5
50%
2.5
50%
-
0%
6
2230.72.0
46%
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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