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Levadiakos vs OFI Crete Result & Analysis

Date: 13/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
Levadiakos
Levadiakos
Vs
67%
18%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
OC
OFI Crete
Greece: Super League 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Top picks for this game10 Squad value11 Games History12 Overall Statistics13 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Levadiakos a 67% win probability against OFI Crete in the Greece: Super League 1 on 2026-05-13, with 18% for the draw and 15% for OFI Crete. The model estimates around 3.8 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (20%) and 2-1 the most likely scoreline (9.0%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 19.5 fouls (97%), Over 21.5 fouls (93%), Over 1.5 (90%), Over 2.5 cards (88%).

Results analysis

Levadiakos finished 3-2 against OFI Crete (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 67% home win, 18% draw and 15% away win. Picks that landed: Over 19.5 fouls (97%), Over 21.5 fouls (93%), Over 1.5 (90%), Over 2.5 cards (88%), Over 23.5 fouls (85%), Under 11.5 corners (84%), Under 10.5 corners (75%), Over 3.5 cards (75%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Levadiakos win✓ Hit
67.4%
Avg Implied 57.0% · @ 1.60
Edge
+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.1%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 3.89
Edge
-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete win✗ Miss
14.5%
Avg Implied 19.6% · @ 4.66
Edge
-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LevadiakosLevadiakos

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L01L14L03L10W11D02L02L52W30WA·AEK22/02A·KIF28/02H·PAN08/03A·PAO15/03H·ATR22/03H·ARI05/04A·OFI18/04A·OFI18/04H·VOL03/05A·VOL10/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.432.791.071.441.75
vs Stronger (10)0.902.201.001.800.802.60
vs Similar (15)2.670.933.570.571.881.25
vs Weaker (5)2.601.404.501.001.331.67
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OC
OFI Crete

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L30W14L11D03L20W11D20W02L13LH·PAN22/02H·LAR28/02A·PAN04/03A·VOL08/03H·OLY14/03A·ARI22/03A·VOL05/04H·LEV18/04H·ARI03/05A·ARI10/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.701.471.271.072.13
vs Stronger (21)1.191.951.271.641.102.30
vs Similar (9)1.441.112.000.251.001.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%117%220%320%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.2%
Under 1.5
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.7%
@ 1.62+16.4%
Under 2.5
26.3%
@ 2.17-16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.4%
Under 3.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.5%
No
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
4-1
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
Levadiakos goals ↓
OFI Crete goals →
01234
02.8%1.9%1.6%0.6%0.2%
15.0%7.5%4.1%1.6%0.5%
27.5%9.0%5.4%2.2%0.6%
36.6%7.9%4.7%1.9%0.6%
44.4%5.2%3.1%1.3%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Levadiakos goals (down), columns = OFI Crete goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
OFI Crete
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Volos NFC
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Larisa
0.79
Panserraikos
0.76
Levadiakos is 0.39 points better than OFI Crete in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI Crete
1.34
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Larisa
0.92
Panserraikos
0.66
Levadiakos is 0.66 goals better than OFI Crete in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Levadiakos
1.50
Larisa
1.61
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI Crete
1.72
OFI
1.72
Panserraikos
2.03
Levadiakos is 0.22 goals better than OFI Crete in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Larisa
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Panserraikos
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LevadiakosLevadiakos

For 2.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 6.7

🚩 Corners

1301434131343344933533357447713686A·VOLH·VOLA·OFIA·OFIH·ARIH·ATRA·PAOH·PANA·KIFA·AEK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

80222351511343222326234566474585A·VOLH·VOLA·OFIA·OFIH·ARIH·ATRA·PAOH·PANA·KIFA·AEK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 18.3 · Total 33.0

⚠️ Fouls

42012211514171417141517152791514201621172033293131324224343737A·VOLH·VOLA·OFIA·OFIH·ARIH·ATRA·PAOH·PANA·KIFA·AEK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

OC
OFI Crete

For 2.9 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

130553731533714954727101048101135119A·ARIH·ARIH·LEVA·VOLA·ARIH·OLYA·VOLA·PANH·LARH·PAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

7011241514342331314332665754446A·ARIH·ARIH·LEVA·VOLA·ARIH·OLYA·VOLA·PANH·LARH·PAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 16.2 · Total 28.2

⚠️ Fouls

350913821141714181413131511119141320152022293132272822233335A·ARIH·ARIH·LEVA·VOLA·ARIH·OLYA·VOLA·PANH·LARH·PAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LevadiakosLevadiakos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.98.55.15.25.129.929.630.3
vs Stronger (14)9.68.910.55.14.26.230.630.530.8
vs Similar (24)8.28.87.65.25.54.929.830.229.4
vs Weaker (12)8.89.08.65.15.84.629.526.831.4
% over line38%46%31%78%83%73%96%92%100%
% under line62%54%69%22%17%27%4%8%0%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OC
OFI Crete

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.99.55.66.05.128.830.327.1
vs Stronger (33)8.78.59.05.25.64.629.731.128.2
vs Similar (17)10.19.710.66.56.86.127.128.925.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line42%31%54%84%88%79%92%96%88%
% under line58%69%46%16%12%21%8%4%12%
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Kifisia
9.7
Aris Thessalonikis
9.5
Asteras Tripolis
9.3
OFI
9.2
OFI Crete
9.2
Atromitos
9.0
AEK Athens FC
8.8
Volos NFC
8.7
Panserraikos
8.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.7
Levadiakos
8.7
Panetolikos
8.7
Larisa
8.6
PAOK
8.5
Panathinaikos
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.7
Larisa
6.1
Panserraikos
6.0
Volos NFC
5.7
Asteras Tripolis
5.7
OFI
5.6
AEK Athens FC
5.6
OFI Crete
5.6
Panetolikos
5.4
Panathinaikos
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Levadiakos
5.1
Atromitos
5.0
PAOK
4.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kifisia
32.6
Larisa
32.4
Volos NFC
30.8
Atromitos
30.7
Levadiakos
29.9
AEK Athens FC
29.7
OFI Crete
28.8
OFI
28.7
Panathinaikos
28.5
Aris Thessalonikis
28.3
Asteras Tripolis
27.7
Panserraikos
27.5
Panetolikos
27.3
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
35.8%
Under 9.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.8%
Under 3.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.7%
Under 21.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LevadiakosLevadiakos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L02L01L00D01L01L01L20W10WA·AEK22/02A·KIF28/02H·PAN08/03A·PAO15/03H·ATR22/03H·ARI05/04A·OFI18/04A·OFI18/04H·VOL03/05A·VOL10/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.701.070.430.560.94
vs Stronger (10)0.101.000.201.000.001.00
vs Similar (15)1.270.471.570.001.000.88
vs Weaker (5)0.800.801.500.500.331.00
Clean sheet %43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OC
OFI Crete

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W12L00D01L10W00D10W01L02LH·PAN22/02H·LAR28/02A·PAN04/03A·VOL08/03H·OLY14/03A·ARI22/03A·VOL05/04H·LEV18/04H·ARI03/05A·ARI10/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.870.530.530.93
vs Stronger (21)0.711.000.640.730.801.30
vs Similar (9)0.670.111.500.000.000.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls96.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls92.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.590.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls85.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners84.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners75.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards74.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls74.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.573.7%1.62-----+16.4%✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (28)
€134m
PAO (34)
€96m
PAN (31)
€89m
AAF (32)
€82m
AT (31)
€40m
KIF (41)
€20m
OC (30)
€17m
PAN (35)
€16m
LEV (31)
€15m
ATR (30)
€15m
VN (37)
€12m
LAR (35)
€12m
PAN (33)
€10m
Levadiakos's squad is €2m less valuable than OFI Crete's (€15m vs €17m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAO (12)
€50m
PAN (12)
€44m
AAF (11)
€35m
OP (8)
€28m
AT (16)
€20m
KIF (18)
€11m
OC (11)
€8m
PAN (15)
€8m
ATR (13)
€6m
LEV (10)
€5m
VN (15)
€5m
LAR (14)
€5m
PAN (11)
€3m
Levadiakos's attack is €3m less valuable than OFI Crete's (€5m vs €8m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€48m
PAO (7)
€24m
PAN (8)
€23m
AAF (8)
€20m
AT (4)
€9m
ATR (5)
€4m
OC (6)
€4m
LEV (7)
€3m
PAN (6)
€3m
KIF (7)
€3m
PAN (7)
€3m
VN (5)
€2m
LAR (5)
€2m
Levadiakos and OFI Crete have a similar midfield value (both €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (14)
€59m
AAF (13)
€26m
PAO (15)
€23m
PAN (11)
€22m
AT (11)
€10m
LEV (14)
€7m
KIF (16)
€6m
OC (13)
€6m
VN (17)
€5m
LAR (16)
€5m
PAN (14)
€5m
ATR (12)
€5m
PAN (15)
€5m
Levadiakos and OFI Crete have a similar defence value (both €7m).

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Levadiakos vs OFI Crete · H/A from LEV
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26AOFI Crete Vs LEV2-0
08/02/26AOFI Crete Vs LEV3-2
21/09/25HLEV Vs OFI Crete4-0
13/01/25AOFI Crete Vs LEV0-0
22/09/24HLEV Vs OFI Crete1-1
18/03/23AOFI Crete Vs LEV1-1
12/03/23HLEV Vs OFI Crete2-0
14/11/22AOFI Crete Vs LEV2-1

LevadiakosLevadiakos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26AVolos NFC Vs LEV0-3
03/05/26HLEV Vs Volos NFC5-2
18/04/26AOFI Crete Vs LEV2-0
18/04/26AOFI Vs LEV2-0
05/04/26HLEV Vs Aris Thessalonikis1-1
22/03/26HLEV Vs Atromitos1-0
15/03/26APAOK Vs LEV3-0
08/03/26HLEV Vs Panathinaikos1-4
28/02/26AKifisia Vs LEV1-0
22/02/26AAEK Athens FC Vs LEV4-0

OC
OFI Crete

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26AAris Thessalonikis Vs OC3-1
03/05/26HOC Vs Aris Thessalonikis0-2
18/04/26HOC Vs Levadiakos2-0
05/04/26AVolos NFC Vs OC1-1
22/03/26AAris Thessalonikis Vs OC0-2
14/03/26HOC Vs Olympiakos Piraeus0-3
08/03/26AVolos NFC Vs OC1-1
04/03/26APanathinaikos Vs OC4-1
28/02/26HOC Vs Larisa3-0
22/02/26HOC Vs Panathinaikos0-2

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Levadiakos
Levadiakos
Greece: Super League 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW1.80
HomeDLWDW2.04
AwayLLLLW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals3.263.712.85
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %66%75%58%
Over 3.5 %44%58%31%
Scored2.042.581.54
Conceded1.221.121.31
BTTS54%62%46%
Clean Sheet32%33%31%
Corners8.708.888.54
Cards5.145.175.12
OC
OFI Crete
Greece: Super League 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL1.16
HomeLWLWL1.35
AwayLDWDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals2.782.812.75
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.221.421.00
Conceded1.561.381.75
BTTS42%35%50%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners9.208.889.54
Cards5.606.045.12

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC3478
68%
2.3
6021+39
2.4
65%
41%
26%
8.5
29%
5.6
91%
30.5
100%
82
3520261.80.6
57%
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus3472
62%
2.1
5717+40
2.2
74%
38%
12%
8.7
41%
4.5
59%
25.9
74%
134
2848591.70.5
60%
3PAOKPAOK3470
59%
2.1
6426+38
2.6
79%
59%
24%
8.9
35%
4.7
69%
25.0
74%
96
5024231.90.8
60%
4PanathinaikosPanathinaikos3458
47%
1.7
5334+19
2.6
76%
50%
26%
7.6
21%
5.3
74%
30.0
91%
89
4423221.61.0
53%
5LevadiakosLevadiakos3658
47%
1.6
7254+18
3.5
89%
67%
53%
8.6
44%
5.8
86%
30.9
94%
15
5372.01.5
56%
6Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis3652
36%
1.4
3938+1
2.1
72%
36%
17%
9.2
56%
5.6
81%
29.5
94%
40
209101.11.1
51%
7AtromitosAtromitos3849
34%
1.3
5345+8
2.6
71%
55%
26%
8.7
39%
4.9
76%
30.6
95%
15
6451.41.2
53%
8KifisiaKifisia3845
26%
1.2
4554-9
2.6
76%
55%
29%
9.1
37%
6.5
87%
32.3
95%
20
11361.21.4
48%
9OFIOFI3239
38%
1.2
4355-12
3.1
88%
69%
34%
8.3
34%
5.5
88%
29.9
97%
0
0001.31.7
45%
10
OC
OFI Crete		3239
38%
1.2
4355-12
3.1
88%
69%
34%
8.3
34%
5.4
88%
29.8
97%
17
8461.31.7
-
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis3839
24%
1.0
3953-14
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.7
53%
5.6
79%
28.6
87%
0
0001.01.4
45%
12PanetolikosPanetolikos3839
26%
1.0
3954-15
2.4
66%
45%
21%
8.5
42%
5.5
83%
26.9
82%
16
8351.01.4
46%
13Volos NFCVolos NFC3637
28%
1.0
3760-23
2.7
81%
50%
19%
8.8
36%
5.4
89%
30.0
92%
12
5251.01.7
46%
14LarisaLarisa3830
13%
0.8
3561-26
2.5
82%
42%
18%
8.7
42%
6.0
79%
29.7
84%
12
5250.91.6
46%
15PanserraikosPanserraikos3829
18%
0.8
2577-52
2.7
74%
55%
24%
8.6
45%
5.9
85%
27.3
84%
10
3350.72.0
37%
Greece: Super League 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →

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