Levadiakos vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Levadiakos’ defensive record at home is fragile, conceding 1.25 goals per match against stronger opposition, while scoring only 0.25. Panathinaikos, playing away, has a more balanced form, scoring and conceding one goal on average against weaker teams. The model projects a tight affair with an expected 2.1 goals, most likely 2 goals overall, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 14.8% chance. The favourite outcome is an away win, with a 36% probability, followed by a draw at 33% and a home win at 31%. The suggested selections are: Over 2.5 cards 96%, Over 3.5 cards 89.5%, Under 3.5 cards 83.9%, Under 11.5 corners 82.5%, Over 4.5 cards 78.7%, and Under 10.5 corners 73.3%. The match is expected to be low-scoring and defensive, with Panathinaikos the likely victor.

The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, Panathinaikos, failed to secure the predicted away win, with a 36% probability. The match finished 3-2 in favour of Levadiakos, a home win that was not anticipated by the model. Levadiakos were on a rough run, with two consecutive defeats before this game, while Panathinaikos had gone unbeaten in their last five outings. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 2.5 cards hit at 96%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 89.5%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 82.5%, Over 4.5 cards hit at 78.7%, and Under 10.5 corners hit at 73.3%. However, Under 3.5 cards missed at 83.9%. The model’s pick was therefore wrong.