Levante vs Athletic Club Result & Analysis

Levante’s defensive record at home is modest, conceding 1.22 goals per match while scoring just 0.56 against teams of similar strength. Athletic Club, on the road, has a more solid back-line, allowing only 0.56 goals and scoring 0.78 against comparable opponents. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 39% chance of victory, a 31% chance of a draw and a 30% chance of a home win. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a tight contest, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, which the model assigns a 14.6% probability. The single most probable total number of goals is two, with a 28% chance. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 89.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 87.6%, Under 3.5 goals at 81.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 80.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 77.2% and Over 3.5 cards at 73.6%. Each pick is listed with its exact probability.

The 0-0 draw stunned fans, as the pre-match favourite, Athletic Club, failed to secure the win the model had predicted with a 39% probability. The result was a draw, the first of the season for both sides, and the model’s call was wrong. The match saw the model’s selection for Over 19.5 fouls hit, with an 89.8% chance, and Over 2.5 cards also hit at 87.6%. The Under 3.5 goal pick, with an 81.5% probability, was correct, as was the Over 21.5 fouls at 80.1% and the Under 11.5 corners at 77.2%. The Over 3.5 cards pick, at 73.6%, missed. The game reflected the home side’s recent form, coming off a win, and the away side’s similar momentum, yet neither side could break the deadlock.