Levante vs Villarreal Result & Analysis

Levante face a likely defeat, with the model picking an away win. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.2% chance. Levante, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.33 conceded, while Villarreal, on the road to a weaker side, nets 2.0 and concedes only 0.71. The home win probability is 24%, a draw 28%, and an away win 48%. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 87.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 84.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.4%, Over 21.5 fouls at 77.2%, Under 10.5 corners at 75.6%, Over 1.5 at 75.1%, Under 3.5 at 72.8% and Under 5.5 cards at 70.6%. The match is expected to be dominated by Villarreal, who have recently struggled, losing their last game 0-1, while Levante comes off a 5-2 victory.

Levante’s win streak ended as they fell 1-5 to Villarreal, a result that matched the model’s prediction of an away triumph with a 48% probability. The final score of 1-5 far surpassed the model’s expected total of 2.6 goals, showing a much higher goal output than anticipated. The pre-match favourite, “Away win,” proved correct, confirming the model’s assessment. Among the model’s selections, “Under 11.5 corners” hit at 84.3%, “Over 2.5 cards” hit at 82.4%, “Under 10.5 corners” hit at 75.6%, “Over 1.5” hit at 75.1%, and “Under 5.5 cards” hit at 70.6%. The remaining picks - “Over 19.5 fouls,” “Over 21.5 fouls,” and “Under 3.5” - missed, with probabilities of 87.9%, 77.2%, and 72.8% respectively.