This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA 1948
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.83
1.19
0.62
1.86
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.20
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.79
0.50
0.50
1.33
1.17
vs Weaker (11)
2.36
0.73
1.83
0.33
3.00
1.20
Clean sheet %
37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.0%
Under 2.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.6%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.6%
Levski Krumovgrad goals ↓
CSKA 1948 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
7.6%
7.6%
4.5%
2.0%
1
5.1%
12%
9.5%
5.6%
2.5%
2
3.9%
6.8%
6.0%
3.5%
1.5%
3
1.6%
2.8%
2.5%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.5%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Levski Krumovgrad goals (down), columns = CSKA 1948 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ludogorets
2.34
Cherno More Varna
2.14
CSKA Sofia
1.86
Levski Sofia
1.83
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.66
CSKA 1948
1.49
Arda Kardzhali
1.42
Levski Krumovgrad
1.40
Botev Plovdiv
1.25
Beroe
1.20
Slavia Sofia
1.19
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.11
Marek
1.00
Hebar 1918
0.97
Botev Vratsa
0.94
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.91
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.49
Levski Krumovgrad is 0.09 points worse than CSKA 1948 in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.49).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ludogorets
2.49
Cherno More Varna
1.60
CSKA Sofia
1.56
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.51
Levski Sofia
1.43
Botev Plovdiv
1.39
Levski Krumovgrad
1.29
Arda Kardzhali
1.08
Marek
1.00
CSKA 1948
1.00
Hebar 1918
1.00
Slavia Sofia
0.97
Beroe
0.86
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.86
Botev Vratsa
0.81
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.74
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.63
Levski Krumovgrad is 0.29 goals better than CSKA 1948 in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ludogorets
0.69
Cherno More Varna
0.74
CSKA Sofia
0.81
CSKA 1948
0.81
Levski Sofia
0.86
Arda Kardzhali
0.97
Marek
1.00
Botev Plovdiv
1.17
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.26
Levski Krumovgrad
1.29
Beroe
1.31
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.37
Hebar 1918
1.40
Slavia Sofia
1.42
Botev Vratsa
1.58
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.66
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.89
Levski Krumovgrad is 0.47 goals worse than CSKA 1948 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 0.81).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Levski Sofia
61%
Ludogorets
58%
Botev Plovdiv
55%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
54%
CSKA Sofia
54%
Cherno More Varna
52%
CSKA 1948
52%
Hebar 1918
50%
Arda Kardzhali
49%
Slavia Sofia
49%
Levski Krumovgrad
46%
Lokomotiv Sofia
44%
Botev Vratsa
44%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
43%
Beroe
43%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
42%
Levski Krumovgrad is 5.4 percentage points worse than CSKA 1948 in terms of average possession (46% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Levski Krumovgrad
For 2.5 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CSKA 1948
For 4.9 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 12.4 · Total 28.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levski Krumovgrad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
8.0
7.5
8.5
0.5
0.4
0.6
22.8
21.0
24.5
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
9.0
10.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
18.5
17.0
20.0
vs Similar (30)
6.5
6.0
7.0
0.4
0.3
0.5
27.0
25.0
29.0
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
25%
0%
50%
11%
11%
11%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
75%
100%
50%
89%
89%
89%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA 1948
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
10.2
9.9
10.6
4.2
3.8
4.6
27.2
27.7
26.8
vs Stronger (7)
12.0
12.8
10.5
5.4
5.0
6.0
28.7
28.8
28.5
vs Similar (17)
9.6
8.7
10.8
3.8
4.2
3.3
28.1
27.7
28.6
vs Weaker (16)
10.0
9.2
10.6
4.1
2.9
5.6
25.8
26.8
25.0
% over line
60%
50%
71%
52%
52%
53%
86%
87%
86%
% under line
40%
50%
29%
48%
48%
47%
14%
13%
14%
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
12.0
Ludogorets
10.4
CSKA 1948
10.2
Levski Sofia
10.1
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.5
Arda Kardzhali
9.2
Botev Plovdiv
9.0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.8
Hebar 1918
8.8
Pirin Blagoevgrad
8.5
Slavia Sofia
8.5
Beroe
8.4
Cherno More Varna
8.2
Levski Krumovgrad
8.0
CSKA Sofia
7.9
Botev Vratsa
5.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
CSKA Sofia
6.4
Ludogorets
6.1
Beroe
6.1
Levski Sofia
5.9
Pirin Blagoevgrad
5.7
CSKA 1948
5.6
Arda Kardzhali
5.5
Slavia Sofia
5.3
Cherno More Varna
5.2
Hebar 1918
5.2
Lokomotiv Sofia
5.1
Botev Plovdiv
5.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.1
Botev Vratsa
5.0
Levski Krumovgrad
5.0
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Botev Vratsa
27.6
CSKA 1948
27.2
Beroe
27.1
Levski Sofia
26.9
Cherno More Varna
26.4
Pirin Blagoevgrad
25.7
Hebar 1918
25.4
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.3
Slavia Sofia
25.0
CSKA Sofia
25.0
Lokomotiv Sofia
24.5
Botev Plovdiv
24.3
Ludogorets
24.2
Arda Kardzhali
24.1
Levski Krumovgrad
22.8
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.5%
Under 9.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.5%
Under 3.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.1%
Under 21.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Levski Krumovgrad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.80
0.40
0.27
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.62
0.75
0.42
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA 1948
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.33
0.50
0.25
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.21
0.25
0.12
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (11)
1.00
0.36
0.83
0.17
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA 1948 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA 1948 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA 1948 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Levski Krumovgrad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.53
0.53
0.93
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.50
0.58
0.50
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA 1948
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
0.69
0.38
1.14
0.64
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.60
1.50
1.00
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.57
0.25
0.38
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (11)
1.36
0.36
1.00
0.17
1.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA 1948 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA 1948 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA 1948 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Levski Krumovgrad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksandar Kolev43%
Daniel Miljanovic33%
Patrick17%
Dimitar Tonev15%
Serkan Ussein14%
Dzuniet Ali14%
Matej Šimić14%
Diego Raposo11%
Bozhidar Katsarov8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Renan Areias7%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Santana Dos Santos50%
Vyacheslav Velev43%
Jefferson Granado40%
Klaidher Macedo36%
Serkan Ussein36%
Bozhidar Katsarov33%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov33%
Momchil Tsvetanov29%
Aleksandar Kolev29%
Renan Areias29%
Patrick25%
Dimitar Tonev23%
Dzuniet Ali21%
Matej Šimić21%
Rayan Senhadji20%
Yanko Georgiev17%
Diego Raposo11%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov8%
Oktay Yusein8%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandar Kolev21%
Dimitar Tonev15%
Serkan Ussein14%
Bozhidar Katsarov8%
Patrick8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Matej Šimić7%
Renan Areias7%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Dzuniet Ali0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Kolev57%
Dimitar Tonev8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Serkan Ussein0%
Bozhidar Katsarov0%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Dzuniet Ali0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Patrick0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Matej Šimić0%
Renan Areias0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
CSKA 1948
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivajlo Chochev50%
Pedrinho38%
Georgi Rusev25%
Birsent Karagaren12%
Nikola Iliev10%
Nedeljko Piščević9%
Yevhen Serdyuk9%
Radoslav Kirilov8%
Daniel Naumov0%
Reyan Daskalov0%
Mario Topuzov0%
Jonathan Souza0%
Antonio Vutov0%
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev0%
Steve Furtado0%
Ryan Bidounga0%
Emil Viyachki0%
Thalis Cantanhede0%
Héliton0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Petar Marinov0%
Simeon Vassilev0%
Rosen Bozhinov0%
Teodor Ivanov0%
Simeon Dimitrov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nedeljko Piščević45%
Steve Furtado44%
Teodor Ivanov33%
Pedrinho31%
Antonio Vutov30%
Birsent Karagaren25%
Georgi Rusev25%
Héliton25%
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev22%
Simeon Vassilev20%
Thalis Cantanhede17%
Reyan Daskalov11%
Nikola Iliev10%
Petar Marinov10%
Yevhen Serdyuk9%
Daniel Naumov0%
Mario Topuzov0%
Jonathan Souza0%
Radoslav Kirilov0%
Ryan Bidounga0%
Ivajlo Chochev0%
Emil Viyachki0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Rosen Bozhinov0%
Simeon Dimitrov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Georgi Rusev25%
Ivajlo Chochev25%
Thalis Cantanhede25%
Héliton25%
Pedrinho15%
Reyan Daskalov11%
Daniel Naumov0%
Mario Topuzov0%
Jonathan Souza0%
Antonio Vutov0%
Radoslav Kirilov0%
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev0%
Birsent Karagaren0%
Steve Furtado0%
Ryan Bidounga0%
Nedeljko Piščević0%
Yevhen Serdyuk0%
Emil Viyachki0%
Nikola Iliev0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Petar Marinov0%
Simeon Vassilev0%
Rosen Bozhinov0%
Teodor Ivanov0%
Simeon Dimitrov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Georgi Rusev50%
Ivajlo Chochev50%
Pedrinho46%
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev11%
Radoslav Kirilov8%
Thalis Cantanhede8%
Birsent Karagaren6%
Daniel Naumov0%
Reyan Daskalov0%
Mario Topuzov0%
Jonathan Souza0%
Antonio Vutov0%
Steve Furtado0%
Ryan Bidounga0%
Nedeljko Piščević0%
Yevhen Serdyuk0%
Emil Viyachki0%
Héliton0%
Nikola Iliev0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Petar Marinov0%
Simeon Vassilev0%
Rosen Bozhinov0%
Teodor Ivanov0%
Simeon Dimitrov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Bulgaria: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
Hebar 1918
Botev Vratsa
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Marek