This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Sofia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.43
1.19
1.19
0.79
1.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.67
0.33
1.67
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (20)
1.05
1.50
1.36
1.18
0.67
1.89
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.9%
Under 2.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.6%
Under 3.5
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-0 ✓
8.7%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
Levski Krumovgrad goals ↓
Slavia Sofia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
5.4%
3.6%
1.3%
0.4%
1
9.0%
12%
6.2%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.7%
5.4%
2.0%
0.6%
3
5.0%
5.6%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.2%
2.4%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Levski Krumovgrad goals (down), columns = Slavia Sofia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ludogorets
2.34
Cherno More Varna
2.14
CSKA Sofia
1.86
Levski Sofia
1.83
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.66
CSKA 1948
1.49
Arda Kardzhali
1.42
Levski Krumovgrad
1.40
Botev Plovdiv
1.25
Beroe
1.20
Slavia Sofia
1.19
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.11
Marek
1.00
Hebar 1918
0.97
Botev Vratsa
0.94
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.91
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.49
Levski Krumovgrad is 0.21 points better than Slavia Sofia in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ludogorets
2.49
Cherno More Varna
1.60
CSKA Sofia
1.56
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.51
Levski Sofia
1.43
Botev Plovdiv
1.39
Levski Krumovgrad
1.29
Arda Kardzhali
1.08
Marek
1.00
CSKA 1948
1.00
Hebar 1918
1.00
Slavia Sofia
0.97
Beroe
0.86
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.86
Botev Vratsa
0.81
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.74
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.63
Levski Krumovgrad is 0.31 goals better than Slavia Sofia in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ludogorets
0.69
Cherno More Varna
0.74
CSKA Sofia
0.81
CSKA 1948
0.81
Levski Sofia
0.86
Arda Kardzhali
0.97
Marek
1.00
Botev Plovdiv
1.17
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.26
Levski Krumovgrad
1.29
Beroe
1.31
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.37
Hebar 1918
1.40
Slavia Sofia
1.42
Botev Vratsa
1.58
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.66
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.89
Levski Krumovgrad is 0.13 goals better than Slavia Sofia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.42).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Levski Sofia
61%
Ludogorets
58%
Botev Plovdiv
55%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
54%
CSKA Sofia
54%
Cherno More Varna
52%
CSKA 1948
52%
Hebar 1918
50%
Arda Kardzhali
49%
Slavia Sofia
49%
Levski Krumovgrad
46%
Lokomotiv Sofia
44%
Botev Vratsa
44%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
43%
Beroe
43%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
42%
Levski Krumovgrad is 2.5 percentage points worse than Slavia Sofia in terms of average possession (46% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Levski Krumovgrad
For 4.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.3 · Against 10.3 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slavia Sofia
For 5.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 11.4 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levski Krumovgrad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.9
9.0
2.9
2.9
2.9
27.2
26.8
27.6
vs Stronger (8)
9.1
8.0
10.2
4.4
3.8
5.0
26.5
27.0
26.0
vs Similar (38)
8.8
9.2
8.5
2.9
3.1
2.7
27.4
26.7
28.2
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
36%
21%
50%
40%
44%
36%
79%
71%
86%
% under line
64%
79%
50%
60%
56%
64%
21%
29%
14%
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Sofia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
7.8
9.0
5.0
4.4
5.7
25.4
25.0
25.8
vs Stronger (10)
9.4
10.6
8.2
4.9
4.2
5.6
23.3
22.8
23.8
vs Similar (34)
7.9
6.2
9.5
5.2
4.6
5.8
25.8
25.5
26.2
vs Weaker (6)
9.8
11.3
7.5
4.0
3.5
5.0
26.8
26.0
28.0
% over line
43%
33%
52%
74%
69%
79%
82%
78%
86%
% under line
57%
67%
48%
26%
31%
21%
18%
22%
14%
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
10.0
Botev Plovdiv
9.9
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.7
CSKA 1948
9.7
CSKA Sofia
9.5
Ludogorets
9.5
Arda Kardzhali
9.4
Pirin Blagoevgrad
9.1
Hebar 1918
9.1
Levski Krumovgrad
8.9
Levski Sofia
8.8
Beroe
8.5
Slavia Sofia
8.3
Cherno More Varna
8.2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.2
Botev Vratsa
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
CSKA Sofia
6.1
Beroe
6.0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
5.9
Levski Sofia
5.7
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.6
Arda Kardzhali
5.4
Botev Vratsa
5.3
Botev Plovdiv
5.3
Slavia Sofia
5.3
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
5.3
Cherno More Varna
5.2
Levski Krumovgrad
5.2
CSKA 1948
5.2
Hebar 1918
5.1
Ludogorets
5.1
Lokomotiv Sofia
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Levski Sofia
27.3
Levski Krumovgrad
27.2
Botev Vratsa
26.9
CSKA 1948
26.6
Cherno More Varna
26.1
Beroe
26.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
26.0
Hebar 1918
25.4
Slavia Sofia
25.3
Lokomotiv Sofia
25.1
Pirin Blagoevgrad
24.8
CSKA Sofia
24.7
Arda Kardzhali
24.6
Botev Plovdiv
24.3
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
24.1
Ludogorets
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.8%
Under 9.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
80.4%
Under 3.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.3%
Under 21.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Levski Krumovgrad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.93
0.71
0.19
0.75
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.73
0.90
0.60
0.17
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Sofia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.56
0.44
0.36
0.86
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.80
0.73
0.55
0.33
1.11
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Levski Krumovgrad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.71
0.64
0.56
0.31
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.38
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.50
0.70
0.60
0.58
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Sofia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.62
0.75
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.17
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.70
0.64
0.64
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Levski Krumovgrad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksandar Kolev43%
Daniel Miljanovic33%
Patrick17%
Dimitar Tonev15%
Serkan Ussein14%
Dzuniet Ali14%
Matej Šimić14%
Diego Raposo11%
Bozhidar Katsarov8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Renan Areias7%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Santana Dos Santos50%
Vyacheslav Velev43%
Jefferson Granado40%
Klaidher Macedo36%
Serkan Ussein36%
Bozhidar Katsarov33%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov33%
Momchil Tsvetanov29%
Aleksandar Kolev29%
Renan Areias29%
Patrick25%
Dimitar Tonev23%
Dzuniet Ali21%
Matej Šimić21%
Rayan Senhadji20%
Yanko Georgiev17%
Diego Raposo11%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov8%
Oktay Yusein8%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandar Kolev21%
Dimitar Tonev15%
Serkan Ussein14%
Bozhidar Katsarov8%
Patrick8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Matej Šimić7%
Renan Areias7%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Dzuniet Ali0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Kolev57%
Dimitar Tonev8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Serkan Ussein0%
Bozhidar Katsarov0%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Dzuniet Ali0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Patrick0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Matej Šimić0%
Renan Areias0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
Slavia Sofia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Toni Tasev46%
Vladimir Nikolov31%
Ivan Minchev17%
Roberto Raychev17%
Viktor Genev11%
Denislav Aleksandrov10%
Ivaylo Markov0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Ertan Tombak0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Galin Ivanov0%
Erol Dost0%
Emil Martinov0%
Quentin Seedorf0%
Nikolai Jakobsen Hristov0%
Isaac Solet0%
Martin Sorakov0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Chung Nguyen Do0%
Veljko Jelenkovic0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Viktor Genev44%
Denislav Aleksandrov40%
Ivaylo Markov33%
Galin Ivanov30%
Ertan Tombak27%
Ventsislav Kerchev25%
Toni Tasev23%
Vladimir Nikolov23%
Emil Martinov22%
Veljko Jelenkovic22%
Kristiyan Stoyanov20%
Erol Dost18%
Ivan Minchev17%
Svetoslav Vutsov17%
Emil Stoev9%
Quentin Seedorf0%
Nikolai Jakobsen Hristov0%
Isaac Solet0%
Martin Sorakov0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Chung Nguyen Do0%
Roberto Raychev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Toni Tasev23%
Ertan Tombak18%
Denislav Aleksandrov10%
Kristiyan Stoyanov10%
Ivan Minchev8%
Ventsislav Kerchev8%
Vladimir Nikolov8%
Ivaylo Markov0%
Viktor Genev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Galin Ivanov0%
Erol Dost0%
Emil Martinov0%
Quentin Seedorf0%
Nikolai Jakobsen Hristov0%
Isaac Solet0%
Martin Sorakov0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Chung Nguyen Do0%
Veljko Jelenkovic0%
Roberto Raychev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Toni Tasev31%
Ivan Minchev25%
Isaac Solet14%
Denislav Aleksandrov10%
Galin Ivanov10%
Ertan Tombak9%
Erol Dost9%
Vladimir Nikolov8%
Ivaylo Markov0%
Viktor Genev0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Emil Martinov0%
Quentin Seedorf0%
Nikolai Jakobsen Hristov0%
Martin Sorakov0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Chung Nguyen Do0%
Veljko Jelenkovic0%
Roberto Raychev0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Bulgaria: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →
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Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
Hebar 1918
Botev Vratsa
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Marek