Levski Sofia are tipped to lift the trophy, with the model favouring a home win and an expected 2.5 goals in the match. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, carrying a 12.7% chance, and the average total goals is 2.5, with a 27% probability that exactly two goals will be scored. Levski’s home form is strong, averaging 2.58 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded against weaker opposition, while CSKA 1948, playing away against a stronger side, averages 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 at 99.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.0%, Under 6.5 at 98.6% with a 2% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.5%, Under 5.5 at 96.0% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 goals at 94.8% with a 3% edge, and Home +2 handicap at 94.2% with a 3% edge. The probabilities for the match outcome are 56% home win, 27% draw, and 18% away win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Levski Sofia win
55.2%
Avg Implied 59.7% · @ 1.54
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.63
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.55
1xBet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Draw
27.0%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.83
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.95
1xBet
3.90
Betfair
3.90
CSKA 1948 win
17.7%
Avg Implied 16.3% · @ 5.66
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
6.50
Betano
5.90
Marathonbet
5.90
Pinnacle
5.88
1xBet
5.81
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Levski Sofia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
0.77
2.00
0.44
1.50
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.92
0.80
0.20
1.14
1.43
vs Weaker (18)
2.28
0.67
2.55
0.55
1.86
0.86
Clean sheet %
47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA 1948
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.93
1.19
0.88
1.79
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.25
0.75
1.00
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (13)
1.54
0.77
1.00
0.75
2.40
0.80
vs Weaker (9)
2.00
0.89
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
71.2%
@ 1.26-2.5%
Under 1.5
28.8%
@ 3.53+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.62
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
44.1%
@ 1.85-6.5%
Under 2.5
55.9%
@ 1.90+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
SBO
1.94
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.0%
@ 3.12-6.8%
Under 3.5
77.0%
@ 1.32+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.35
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.10
Pinnacle
3.04
Under
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Betfair
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
46.1%
@ 1.87-3.3%
No
53.9%
@ 1.82+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
No
William Hil
1.91
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.9%@ 6.03+5.8%
1-1
12.7%@ 6.73+6.3%
2-0
11.4%@ 6.66+5.0%
0-0
9.9%@ 10.07+5.6%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.27+3.5%
3-0
6.2%@ 10.48+2.1%
0-1
6.0%@ 12.81+2.6%
3-1
5.1%@ 11.40+1.3%
Levski Sofia goals ↓
CSKA 1948 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
6.0%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
4.7%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.4%
3.8%
1.1%
0.2%
3
6.2%
5.1%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.5%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Levski Sofia goals (down), columns = CSKA 1948 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levski Sofia
3.00
CSKA Sofia
2.67
CSKA 1948
2.50
Ludogorets
2.43
Arda Kardzhali
2.29
Spartak Varna
1.17
Septemvri Sofia
1.14
Botev Plovdiv
1.00
Slavia Sofia
1.00
Botev Vratsa
0.57
Dunav Ruse
0.57
Cherno More Varna
0.57
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.50
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.43
Levski Sofia is 0.50 points better than CSKA 1948 in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 2.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levski Sofia
2.86
CSKA Sofia
2.67
CSKA 1948
2.17
Ludogorets
1.71
Arda Kardzhali
1.57
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.17
Spartak Varna
1.17
Botev Plovdiv
1.14
Cherno More Varna
1.14
Dunav Ruse
1.00
Slavia Sofia
1.00
Septemvri Sofia
0.71
Botev Vratsa
0.57
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.43
Levski Sofia is 0.69 goals better than CSKA 1948 in terms of goals scored per game (2.86 vs 2.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arda Kardzhali
0.57
Levski Sofia
0.57
CSKA Sofia
0.67
Ludogorets
0.71
CSKA 1948
0.83
Slavia Sofia
0.86
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.43
Septemvri Sofia
1.43
Botev Plovdiv
1.71
Spartak Varna
1.83
Lokomotiv Sofia
2.00
Dunav Ruse
2.00
Botev Vratsa
2.14
Cherno More Varna
2.29
Levski Sofia is 0.26 goals better than CSKA 1948 in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Levski Sofia
63%
Slavia Sofia
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Levski Sofia
For 5.9 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 13.2 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CSKA 1948
For 4.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.0 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levski Sofia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.5
9.6
2.0
1.7
2.3
23.1
20.5
25.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
9.0
7.7
9.8
2.3
1.8
2.9
26.6
27.3
26.2
vs Weaker (32)
9.1
8.8
9.5
1.8
1.7
2.0
21.3
17.9
25.1
% over line
46%
45%
46%
24%
20%
28%
65%
45%
83%
% under line
54%
55%
54%
76%
80%
72%
35%
55%
17%
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA 1948
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.6
9.7
2.6
2.3
2.8
21.8
23.4
20.5
vs Stronger (10)
9.8
7.5
11.3
1.7
1.4
2.0
21.8
26.0
19.0
vs Similar (21)
8.4
7.2
9.3
2.8
2.8
2.8
22.8
25.4
20.9
vs Weaker (19)
11.0
12.3
9.4
2.7
2.3
3.2
20.8
20.8
20.8
% over line
50%
46%
53%
38%
35%
42%
46%
69%
27%
% under line
50%
54%
47%
62%
65%
58%
54%
31%
73%
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Slavia Sofia
10.6
Botev Plovdiv
10.1
Spartak Varna
10.0
CSKA Sofia
9.6
Levski Sofia
9.5
CSKA 1948
9.4
Ludogorets
9.4
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.4
Botev Vratsa
9.4
Septemvri Sofia
9.1
Cherno More Varna
9.0
Arda Kardzhali
8.7
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arda Kardzhali
5.2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.0
Septemvri Sofia
5.0
Botev Vratsa
4.8
Spartak Varna
4.8
CSKA Sofia
4.8
Ludogorets
4.8
Cherno More Varna
4.7
Slavia Sofia
4.7
Levski Sofia
4.6
Botev Plovdiv
4.5
Dunav Ruse
4.5
CSKA 1948
4.2
Lokomotiv Sofia
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cherno More Varna
25.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.0
Botev Vratsa
24.7
Levski Sofia
24.5
Arda Kardzhali
24.4
Slavia Sofia
23.9
Lokomotiv Sofia
23.9
Septemvri Sofia
22.8
CSKA 1948
22.7
Spartak Varna
22.7
CSKA Sofia
22.6
Botev Plovdiv
22.4
Ludogorets
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.9%
@ 2.00-3.8%
Under 9.5
58.1%
@ 1.68+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.68
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.0%
Under 3.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
50.4%
Under 21.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Levski Sofia or Draw
82.3%
Avg Implied 83.5% · @ 1.11
Edge
-1.2%
55%
27%
18%
covers Levski Sofia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Levski Sofia or CSKA 1948
73.0%
Avg Implied 76.7% · @ 1.21
Edge
-3.8%
55%
27%
18%
covers Levski Sofia + CSKA 1948
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Draw or CSKA 1948
44.8%
Avg Implied 39.8% · @ 2.33
Edge
+4.9%
55%
27%
18%
covers Draw + CSKA 1948
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
BetVictor
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.36
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Levski Sofia over/under 0.5
Over
80.2%
@ 1.12-2.4%
Under
19.8%
@ 5.35+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Betano
5.00
Levski Sofia over/under 1.5
Over
48.2%
@ 1.67-7.2%
Under
51.8%
@ 2.08+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
Marathonbet
2.11
BetVictor
2.10
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Levski Sofia over/under 2.5
Over
22.2%
@ 3.15-7.2%
Under
77.8%
@ 1.31+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.13
BetVictor
3.10
Under
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Levski Sofia over/under 3.5
Over
8.2%
@ 6.60-5.9%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.08+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
6.60
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.06
CSKA 1948 over/under 0.5
Over
56.0%
@ 1.63-0.8%
Under
44.0%
@ 2.13+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
BetVictor
2.15
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
CSKA 1948 over/under 1.5
Over
19.9%
@ 4.09-2.7%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.19+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.20
Betano
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
CSKA 1948 over/under 2.5
Over
5.0%
@ 11.25-3.4%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Marathonbet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
CSKA 1948 over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
@ 51.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Levski Sofia, so a minus line means Levski Sofia give that many goals of a start and CSKA 1948 receive them. At -1, Levski Sofia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Levski Sofia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Levski Sofia)
Levski Sofia -2
13.1%
@ 4.94-4.9%
Draw -2
17.4%
@ 4.50-2.4%
CSKA 1948 +2
69.4%
@ 1.43+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
5.20
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
Draw
Marathonbet
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.25
Away
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Handicap -1 (Levski Sofia)
Levski Sofia -1
30.6%
@ 2.54-4.8%
Draw -1
24.7%
@ 3.44-1.5%
CSKA 1948 +1
44.8%
@ 2.34+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.60
Unibet
2.60
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.48
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Marathonbet
3.48
Betfair
3.40
Unibet
3.30
Away
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.36
Betfair
2.30
Unibet
2.20
Handicap +1 (Levski Sofia)
Levski Sofia +1
82.3%
@ 1.11+3.8%
Draw +1
11.9%
@ 6.33-1.9%
CSKA 1948 -1
5.8%
@ 11.23-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
6.40
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Handicap +2 (Levski Sofia)
Levski Sofia +2
94.2%
@ 1.03+1.5%
Draw +2
4.5%
@ 19.00-0.6%
CSKA 1948 -2
1.4%
@ 41.00-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Away
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Levski Sofia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.23
0.56
0.06
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.42
0.40
0.00
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (18)
0.44
0.11
0.64
0.09
0.14
0.14
Clean sheet %
83% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA 1948
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.50
0.44
0.93
0.36
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.25
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.38
0.38
0.38
1.60
0.40
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.75
0.40
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.1%
@ 1.36-2.2%
Under 0.5
33.9%
@ 2.92+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.37
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.2%
@ 2.67+0.5%
Under 1.5
64.8%
@ 1.42-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.74
Unibet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.66
Under
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.4%
@ 6.69-0.5%
Under 2.5
86.6%
@ 1.08+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.60
Betfair
6.50
Under
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Levski Sofia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.0%
@ 1.66-5.0%
Under
49.0%
@ 2.10+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Unibet
2.02
Levski Sofia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.0%
@ 4.18-4.1%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.19+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
4.15
1xBet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
Levski Sofia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.6%
@ 9.50-4.3%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.04+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
CSKA 1948 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.4%
@ 2.91+1.6%
Under
66.6%
@ 1.36-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.05
Betano
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.80
Unibet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
CSKA 1948 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.3%
@ 10.38-1.6%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.02+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
CSKA 1948 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Levski Sofia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.53
1.44
0.38
1.07
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.50
0.40
0.20
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (18)
1.83
0.56
1.91
0.45
1.71
0.71
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA 1948) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA 1948
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.69
0.44
0.86
0.64
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.75
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.38
0.62
0.38
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (9)
1.33
0.56
1.00
0.25
1.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.8%
@ 1.21+1.4%
Under 0.5
22.2%
@ 3.92-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Under
Betano
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.95
William Hil
3.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.4%
@ 2.07+3.5%
Under 1.5
51.6%
@ 1.69-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
Under
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.6%
@ 4.37+1.4%
Under 2.5
77.4%
@ 1.18-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
1xBet
4.35
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Levski Sofia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.7%
@ 1.45-3.7%
Under
39.3%
@ 2.61+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Under
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Levski Sofia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
25.2%
@ 3.05-5.1%
Under
74.8%
@ 1.33+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Levski Sofia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.2%
@ 7.40-4.3%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.05+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
CSKA 1948 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.1%
@ 2.35+1.8%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.53-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.40
1xBet
2.36
Betano
2.30
Under
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.49
CSKA 1948 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.3%
@ 8.57-1.6%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.04+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.90
1xBet
8.60
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
CSKA 1948 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.02
-
+4.4%
Away under 2.5 goals
95.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+3.4%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.4%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.3%
Home +2 handicap
94.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+4.3%
Home under 3.5 goals
91.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
+5.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+1.6%
Under 4.5
89.9%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.08
+5.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.6%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
+0.5%
Home or Draw
82.3%
1.11
Betano
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
-1.2%
Home +1 handicap
82.3%
1.11
Unibet
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+3.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.0%
1.19
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
+4.1%
Over 2.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
80.2%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
-2.4%
Away under 1.5 goals
80.1%
1.19
1xBet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
+2.7%
Under 11.5 corners
79.8%
1.27
Unibet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+7.6%
Under 25.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.8%
1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+1.4%
Home under 2.5 goals
77.8%
1.31
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.31
+7.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.4%
1.18
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-1.4%
Under 3.5
77.0%
1.32
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Betfair
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+6.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
74.8%
1.33
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
-
-
+5.1%
Under 5.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.0%
1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-3.8%
Over 1.5
71.2%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
-2.5%
Under 10.5 corners
70.0%
1.43
Unibet
1.43
-
-
-
-
+6.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Levski Sofia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Reinaldo33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
Everton Bala0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Aldair0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Juan Perea0%
Maicon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola Serafimov33%
Everton Bala33%
Aldair33%
Juan Perea33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Reinaldo0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Maicon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Everton Bala33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Reinaldo0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Aldair0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Juan Perea0%
Maicon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Reinaldo33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
Everton Bala0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Aldair0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Juan Perea0%
Maicon0%
CSKA 1948 · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mamadou Diallo43%
Atanas Iliev20%
Emil Tsenov20%
Brian Sobrero14%
Borislav Tsonev12%
Dragan Grivić12%
Elias Franco10%
Florian Krebs10%
José Martínez8%
Lasha Dvali7%
Georgi Rusev6%
Petar Vitanov0%
Yohann Magnin0%
Andre Hoffmann0%
Zé Vitor0%
Wagninho0%
Ognjen Gašević0%
Frédéric Maciel0%
Juanmi Carrión0%
Dimitar Sheytanov0%
Egor Parkhomenko0%
Fourat Soltani0%
Diego Medina0%
Petar Marinov0%
Adama Ardile Traoré0%
William Fonkeu0%
Marto Boychev0%
Jean David Aka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emil Tsenov40%
Dragan Grivić38%
Egor Parkhomenko38%
Zé Vitor33%
Wagninho33%
Fourat Soltani33%
William Fonkeu33%
Adama Ardile Traoré29%
Lasha Dvali21%
Andre Hoffmann20%
Elias Franco20%
Florian Krebs20%
Mamadou Diallo19%
Georgi Rusev19%
Borislav Tsonev19%
Ognjen Gašević14%
Yohann Magnin13%
Juanmi Carrión12%
Frédéric Maciel11%
Dimitar Sheytanov9%
Brian Sobrero9%
Petar Vitanov7%
Diego Medina7%
Marto Boychev6%
Atanas Iliev5%
José Martínez0%
Petar Marinov0%
Jean David Aka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Georgi Rusev25%
Borislav Tsonev19%
Frédéric Maciel16%
Lasha Dvali14%
Dragan Grivić12%
Florian Krebs10%
Elias Franco5%
Brian Sobrero5%
Atanas Iliev0%
Petar Vitanov0%
Yohann Magnin0%
Mamadou Diallo0%
Andre Hoffmann0%
Zé Vitor0%
Wagninho0%
Ognjen Gašević0%
Juanmi Carrión0%
José Martínez0%
Dimitar Sheytanov0%
Egor Parkhomenko0%
Fourat Soltani0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Diego Medina0%
Petar Marinov0%
Adama Ardile Traoré0%
William Fonkeu0%
Marto Boychev0%
Jean David Aka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mamadou Diallo33%
Georgi Rusev19%
Borislav Tsonev12%
Elias Franco10%
Atanas Iliev5%
Brian Sobrero5%
Petar Vitanov0%
Yohann Magnin0%
Andre Hoffmann0%
Lasha Dvali0%
Zé Vitor0%
Wagninho0%
Dragan Grivić0%
Ognjen Gašević0%
Frédéric Maciel0%
Juanmi Carrión0%
Florian Krebs0%
José Martínez0%
Dimitar Sheytanov0%
Egor Parkhomenko0%
Fourat Soltani0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Diego Medina0%
Petar Marinov0%
Adama Ardile Traoré0%
William Fonkeu0%
Marto Boychev0%
Jean David Aka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (29)
€46m
LS (27)
€38m
CS (25)
€26m
C1 (30)
€18m
BP (29)
€11m
AK (20)
€10m
LP (23)
€9m
LS (25)
€8m
SS (25)
€7m
CMV (22)
€6m
SV (22)
€6m
BV (23)
€6m
DR (22)
€4m
SS (20)
€3m
Levski Sofia's squad is €19m more valuable than CSKA 1948's (€38m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (12)
€27m
LS (10)
€11m
CS (9)
€10m
C1 (14)
€9m
BP (12)
€5m
AK (7)
€3m
LS (11)
€3m
CMV (8)
€3m
LP (8)
€3m
SS (11)
€2m
BV (8)
€2m
SV (7)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
SS (8)
€1m
Levski Sofia's attack is €2m more valuable than CSKA 1948's (€11m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (5)
€8m
CS (6)
€6m
LUD (4)
€6m
AK (3)
€3m
LS (6)
€2m
C1 (4)
€2m
BP (6)
€2m
LP (5)
€2m
SS (4)
€2m
BV (5)
€1m
CMV (5)
€1m
DR (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
Levski Sofia's midfield is €6m more valuable than CSKA 1948's (€8m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (12)
€19m
LUD (13)
€13m
CS (10)
€10m
C1 (12)
€7m
BP (11)
€4m
LP (10)
€4m
AK (10)
€3m
SS (10)
€3m
LS (8)
€3m
SV (11)
€3m
CMV (9)
€2m
BV (10)
€2m
DR (11)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
Levski Sofia's defence is €12m more valuable than CSKA 1948's (€19m vs €7m).
Bulgaria: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv