This opponent (Ludogorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ludogorets
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.13
1.87
0.60
2.13
1.67
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (8)
1.12
1.62
0.80
0.80
1.67
3.00
vs Weaker (20)
2.40
0.85
2.44
0.44
2.36
1.18
Clean sheet %
33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.5%
Under 2.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.4%
0-0 ✓
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.6%
Levski Sofia goals ↓
Ludogorets goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
9.4%
7.2%
3.2%
1.1%
1
8.1%
14%
8.6%
3.9%
1.3%
2
5.6%
7.5%
5.1%
2.3%
0.8%
3
2.2%
3.0%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.7%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Levski Sofia goals (down), columns = Ludogorets goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ludogorets
2.43
CSKA Sofia
2.40
CSKA 1948
1.83
Levski Sofia
1.78
Slavia Sofia
1.61
Arda Kardzhali
1.57
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.54
Cherno More Varna
1.54
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.17
Botev Plovdiv
1.00
Beroe
0.97
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.97
Botev Vratsa
0.91
Hebar 1918
0.91
Septemvri Sofia
0.80
Spartak Varna
0.71
Sportist Svoge
0.00
Levski Sofia is 0.65 points worse than Ludogorets in terms of average points per game (1.78 vs 2.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ludogorets
2.31
CSKA Sofia
1.86
CSKA 1948
1.57
Levski Sofia
1.36
Arda Kardzhali
1.27
Botev Plovdiv
1.14
Cherno More Varna
1.11
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.03
Slavia Sofia
1.03
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.00
Spartak Varna
0.91
Beroe
0.89
Septemvri Sofia
0.89
Hebar 1918
0.86
Botev Vratsa
0.83
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.80
Sportist Svoge
0.00
Levski Sofia is 0.95 goals worse than Ludogorets in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 2.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
CSKA Sofia
0.49
Levski Sofia
0.61
Ludogorets
0.77
CSKA 1948
0.80
Slavia Sofia
0.86
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.97
Cherno More Varna
1.00
Sportist Svoge
1.00
Arda Kardzhali
1.03
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.23
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.36
Botev Plovdiv
1.36
Septemvri Sofia
1.49
Beroe
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.69
Botev Vratsa
1.83
Spartak Varna
1.86
Levski Sofia is 0.16 goals better than Ludogorets in terms of goals conceded per game (0.61 vs 0.77).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ludogorets
59%
Levski Sofia
58%
CSKA Sofia
55%
CSKA 1948
53%
Arda Kardzhali
52%
Septemvri Sofia
51%
Botev Plovdiv
51%
Cherno More Varna
51%
Slavia Sofia
49%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
48%
Beroe
47%
Spartak Varna
46%
Hebar 1918
44%
Lokomotiv Sofia
44%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
44%
Botev Vratsa
44%
Levski Sofia is 1.4 percentage points worse than Ludogorets in terms of average possession (58% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Levski Sofia
For 7.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 10.9 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ludogorets
For 5.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.9 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levski Sofia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
10.5
11.2
10.0
3.1
2.2
3.9
25.5
22.5
28.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
10.0
-
10.0
6.5
3.0
10.0
27.0
-
27.0
vs Weaker (20)
10.7
11.2
10.0
2.4
2.1
2.7
25.3
22.5
29.0
% over line
82%
80%
83%
38%
33%
42%
88%
75%
100%
% under line
18%
20%
17%
62%
67%
58%
12%
25%
0%
This opponent (Ludogorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ludogorets
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
10.5
11.1
9.9
4.2
3.8
4.6
25.8
25.7
25.8
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
13.0
9.0
6.5
3.0
10.0
30.5
26.0
35.0
vs Similar (8)
10.9
10.2
11.7
7.0
5.0
10.3
25.3
23.3
27.3
vs Weaker (26)
10.3
11.3
9.4
3.1
3.3
2.9
25.2
27.0
23.9
% over line
50%
67%
33%
50%
44%
56%
75%
78%
73%
% under line
50%
33%
67%
50%
56%
44%
25%
22%
27%
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
CSKA 1948
10.8
Levski Sofia
10.5
Ludogorets
10.5
Botev Vratsa
9.9
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
9.9
Spartak Varna
9.9
Hebar 1918
9.9
Arda Kardzhali
9.8
Slavia Sofia
9.7
Septemvri Sofia
9.5
Botev Plovdiv
9.5
Lokomotiv Sofia
8.7
Pirin Blagoevgrad
8.6
CSKA Sofia
8.2
Beroe
8.1
Cherno More Varna
7.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
CSKA 1948
6.6
CSKA Sofia
6.4
Ludogorets
6.2
Levski Sofia
6.2
Botev Plovdiv
5.9
Spartak Varna
5.5
Lokomotiv Sofia
5.4
Botev Vratsa
5.4
Cherno More Varna
5.2
Arda Kardzhali
5.2
Pirin Blagoevgrad
5.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.1
Slavia Sofia
4.9
Hebar 1918
4.8
Beroe
4.7
Septemvri Sofia
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cherno More Varna
29.2
Hebar 1918
27.1
Botev Vratsa
27.1
Spartak Varna
26.9
CSKA 1948
26.3
Beroe
26.1
Ludogorets
25.8
Pirin Blagoevgrad
25.7
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.6
Levski Sofia
25.5
Slavia Sofia
24.8
Botev Plovdiv
24.7
CSKA Sofia
24.7
Lokomotiv Sofia
24.4
Arda Kardzhali
23.7
Septemvri Sofia
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.8%
Under 9.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
86.5%
Under 3.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.2%
Under 21.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Levski Sofia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.17
0.83
0.08
0.50
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.65
0.20
0.80
0.10
0.50
0.30
Clean sheet %
83% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ludogorets
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.50
1.00
0.27
1.07
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.00
0.60
0.40
0.67
2.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
0.35
1.33
0.22
1.18
0.45
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Levski Sofia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Levski Sofia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
0.50
0.83
0.42
0.42
0.58
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (20)
0.65
0.55
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.60
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ludogorets
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.63
0.87
0.33
1.07
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.62
0.20
0.40
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.15
0.50
1.11
0.22
1.18
0.73
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Levski Sofia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Levski Sofia · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Reinaldo33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
Everton Bala0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Aldair0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Juan Perea0%
Maicon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola Serafimov33%
Everton Bala33%
Aldair33%
Juan Perea33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Reinaldo0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Maicon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Everton Bala33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Reinaldo0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Aldair0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Juan Perea0%
Maicon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Reinaldo33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
Everton Bala0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Aldair0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Juan Perea0%
Maicon0%
Ludogorets
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rick50%
Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues25%
Danny Gruper20%
Cauly Oliveira17%
Kiril Despodov17%
Matías Tissera14%
Nonato12%
Cicinho0%
Anton Nedyalkov0%
Jakub Piotrowski0%
Show0%
Olivier Verdon0%
Igor Plastun0%
Pedro Naressi0%
Claude Gonçalves0%
Bernard Tekpetey0%
Sergio Padt0%
Spas Delev0%
Aslak Fonn Witry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cicinho60%
Show60%
Jakub Piotrowski57%
Anton Nedyalkov43%
Kiril Despodov33%
Olivier Verdon17%
Pedro Naressi17%
Rick17%
Matías Tissera14%
Nonato12%
Bernard Tekpetey12%
Sergio Padt12%
Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues12%
Igor Plastun0%
Claude Gonçalves0%
Cauly Oliveira0%
Spas Delev0%
Aslak Fonn Witry0%
Danny Gruper0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cauly Oliveira33%
Kiril Despodov33%
Rick33%
Cicinho20%
Jakub Piotrowski14%
Bernard Tekpetey12%
Anton Nedyalkov0%
Show0%
Olivier Verdon0%
Matías Tissera0%
Igor Plastun0%
Pedro Naressi0%
Nonato0%
Claude Gonçalves0%
Sergio Padt0%
Spas Delev0%
Aslak Fonn Witry0%
Danny Gruper0%
Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bernard Tekpetey38%
Cauly Oliveira33%
Kiril Despodov17%
Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues12%
Cicinho0%
Anton Nedyalkov0%
Jakub Piotrowski0%
Show0%
Olivier Verdon0%
Matías Tissera0%
Igor Plastun0%
Pedro Naressi0%
Nonato0%
Claude Gonçalves0%
Sergio Padt0%
Spas Delev0%
Aslak Fonn Witry0%
Danny Gruper0%
Rick0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (29)
€46m
LS (27)
€38m
CS (25)
€26m
C1 (30)
€18m
BP (29)
€11m
AK (20)
€10m
LP (23)
€9m
LS (25)
€8m
SS (25)
€7m
CMV (22)
€6m
SV (22)
€6m
BV (23)
€6m
SS (20)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
PB (17)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
Levski Sofia's squad is €8m less valuable than Ludogorets's (€38m vs €46m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (12)
€27m
LS (10)
€11m
CS (9)
€10m
C1 (14)
€9m
BP (12)
€5m
AK (7)
€3m
LS (11)
€3m
CMV (8)
€3m
LP (8)
€3m
SS (11)
€2m
BV (8)
€2m
SV (7)
€2m
H1 (8)
€2m
SS (8)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
Levski Sofia's attack is €16m less valuable than Ludogorets's (€11m vs €27m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (5)
€8m
CS (6)
€6m
LUD (4)
€6m
AK (3)
€3m
LS (6)
€2m
C1 (4)
€2m
BP (6)
€2m
LP (5)
€2m
SS (4)
€2m
BV (5)
€1m
CMV (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Levski Sofia's midfield is €2m more valuable than Ludogorets's (€8m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (12)
€19m
LUD (13)
€13m
CS (10)
€10m
C1 (12)
€7m
BP (11)
€4m
LP (10)
€4m
AK (10)
€3m
SS (10)
€3m
LS (8)
€3m
SV (11)
€3m
CMV (9)
€2m
BV (10)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
H1 (9)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SS (3)
€0m
Levski Sofia's defence is €6m more valuable than Ludogorets's (€19m vs €13m).
Bulgaria: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
Arda Kardzhali
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Beroe
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Hebar 1918
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Sportist Svoge