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Limavady United vs Bangor Result & Analysis

Date: 12/11/2024
Time: 20:00
Final 0-3
Limavady United
Limavady United
Vs
28%
23%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bangor
Bangor
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Limavady United win✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bangor win✓ Hit
48.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W30W00D12L11D50W01L22D32W21WA·BAN31/08H·ARM07/09A·NEW14/09H·BAL21/09A·ANN28/09A·H&W05/10H·BAL12/10A·ARM19/10H·DUN02/11A·BAL09/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.361.501.502.381.25
vs Stronger (5)1.801.401.671.332.001.50
vs Similar (5)2.201.400.003.002.751.00
vs Weaker (4)2.001.252.001.002.001.50
Clean sheet %21% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangorBangor

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L54W31W41W32W31W04L21W10W31WH·LIM31/08A·NEW06/09H·DUN13/09A·ARM21/09A·BAL28/09H·INS05/10A·BAL12/10H·ANN18/10H·BAL01/11A·DUN09/11
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.331.202.430.932.251.44
vs Stronger (3)0.670.672.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (21)2.521.242.450.912.601.60
vs Weaker (6)2.501.332.501.002.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Limavady United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.1%
Under 1.5
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.3%
Under 2.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.9%
Under 3.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.1%
No
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
2-2
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
0-1
4.9%
2-3
4.7%
Limavady United goals ↓
Bangor goals →
01234
03.7%4.9%5.9%4.0%2.0%
13.4%9.7%9.0%6.1%3.1%
23.3%6.7%6.9%4.7%2.4%
31.7%3.4%3.5%2.4%1.2%
40.6%1.3%1.3%0.9%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Limavady United goals (down), columns = Bangor goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bangor
2.00
Annagh United
1.87
Limavady United
1.74
H&W Welders
1.74
Queen's University
1.50
Ards
1.37
Dundela
1.37
Institute
1.34
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Armagh City
1.11
Newington Youth
1.11
Ballyclare Comrades
1.07
Newry City AFC
0.82
Limavady United is 0.26 points worse than Bangor in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 2.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bangor
2.16
H&W Welders
2.08
Annagh United
1.84
Limavady United
1.76
Armagh City
1.63
Institute
1.63
Dundela
1.53
Queen's University
1.50
Ballinamallard United
1.45
Ards
1.45
Ballyclare Comrades
1.35
Newington Youth
1.34
Newry City AFC
1.21
Limavady United is 0.39 goals worse than Bangor in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 2.16).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Annagh United
0.97
Queen's University
1.00
Limavady United
1.16
Bangor
1.21
H&W Welders
1.39
Ards
1.50
Ballinamallard United
1.63
Dundela
1.63
Institute
1.66
Newington Youth
1.95
Armagh City
2.05
Newry City AFC
2.05
Ballyclare Comrades
2.20
Limavady United is 0.05 goals better than Bangor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.21).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D01L01L20W01L11D02L11DA·BAN31/08H·ARM07/09A·NEW14/09H·BAL21/09A·ANN28/09A·H&W05/10H·BAL12/10A·ARM19/10H·DUN02/11A·BAL09/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.710.670.831.000.62
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.671.000.500.50
vs Similar (5)1.000.600.001.001.250.50
vs Weaker (4)1.000.751.000.501.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangorBangor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L22D30W21W12L00D02L01L10W30WH·LIM31/08A·NEW06/09H·DUN13/09A·ARM21/09A·BAL28/09H·INS05/10A·BAL12/10H·ANN18/10H·BAL01/11A·DUN09/11
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.531.000.211.120.81
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (21)1.140.521.000.181.300.90
vs Weaker (6)1.330.671.500.001.251.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Limavady United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Limavady United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W00D11D10W30W00D11D30W10WA·BAN31/08H·ARM07/09A·NEW14/09H·BAL21/09A·ANN28/09A·H&W05/10H·BAL12/10A·ARM19/10H·DUN02/11A·BAL09/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.140.640.830.671.380.62
vs Stronger (5)1.200.601.000.331.501.00
vs Similar (5)1.200.800.002.001.500.50
vs Weaker (4)1.000.501.000.501.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangorBangor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L32W01L20W20W31W02L20W00D01LH·LIM31/08A·NEW06/09H·DUN13/09A·ARM21/09A·BAL28/09H·INS05/10A·BAL12/10H·ANN18/10H·BAL01/11A·DUN09/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.671.430.711.120.62
vs Stronger (3)0.670.332.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (21)1.380.711.450.731.300.70
vs Weaker (6)1.170.671.001.001.250.50
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Limavady United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Limavady United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (20)
€2m
LU (5)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
Limavady United's squad is €2m less valuable than Bangor's (€0m vs €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (4)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
Limavady United and Bangor have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (5)
€1m
LU (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
Limavady United and Bangor have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (11)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Limavady United's defence is €1m less valuable than Bangor's (€0m vs €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
LU wins
0
Draws
0
BAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Limavady United vs Bangor · H/A from LU
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/24ABangor Vs LU1-3

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24ABallinamallard United Vs LU1-2
02/11/24HLU Vs Dundela3-2
19/10/24AArmagh City Vs LU2-2
12/10/24HLU Vs Ballyclare Comrades0-1
05/10/24AH&W Welders Vs LU0-5
28/09/24AAnnagh United Vs LU1-1
21/09/24HLU Vs Ballinamallard United1-2
14/09/24ANewington Youth Vs LU0-0
07/09/24HLU Vs Armagh City3-0
31/08/24ABangor Vs LU1-3

BangorBangor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24ADundela Vs BAN1-3
01/11/24HBAN Vs Ballyclare Comrades1-0
18/10/24HBAN Vs Annagh United2-1
12/10/24ABallinamallard United Vs BAN4-0
05/10/24HBAN Vs Institute3-1
28/09/24ABallyclare Comrades Vs BAN2-3
21/09/24AArmagh City Vs BAN1-4
13/09/24HBAN Vs Dundela3-1
06/09/24ANewry City AFC Vs BAN4-5
31/08/24HBAN Vs Limavady United1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Limavady United
Limavady United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.79
HomeWWLLW1.50
AwayDDWDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals3.363.003.62
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %79%83%75%
Over 3.5 %43%17%62%
Scored2.001.502.38
Conceded1.361.501.25
BTTS64%50%75%
Clean Sheet21%17%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Bangor
Bangor
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.92
HomeLWWWW2.04
AwayWWWLW1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%62%54%
AVG goals3.423.293.54
Over 1.5 %88%92%85%
Over 2.5 %80%83%77%
Over 3.5 %52%46%58%
Scored2.182.212.15
Conceded1.241.081.38
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BangorBangor3876
61%
2.0
8246+36
3.4
79%
71%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.21.2
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3871
58%
1.9
7037+33
2.8
76%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
53%
1.7
7953+26
3.5
82%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.4
-
4Limavady UnitedLimavady United3866
47%
1.7
6744+23
2.9
84%
63%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
5ArdsArds3852
37%
1.4
5557-2
2.9
68%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
6DundelaDundela3852
39%
1.4
5862-4
3.2
82%
61%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
7InstituteInstitute3851
34%
1.3
6263-1
3.3
84%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
8Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3844
34%
1.2
5562-7
3.1
79%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
9Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades4043
30%
1.1
5488-34
3.5
95%
75%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
10Armagh CityArmagh City3842
26%
1.1
6278-16
3.7
87%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
11Newington YouthNewington Youth3842
29%
1.1
5174-23
3.3
82%
61%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
12Newry City AFCNewry City AFC3831
18%
0.8
4678-32
3.3
87%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
13QueenQueen's University23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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