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Limavady United vs Queen's University Result & Analysis

Date: 24/04/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 0-1
Limavady United
Limavady United
Vs
45%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Queen
Queen's University
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Odd / Even7 Home & Away Over/Under8 Handicap9 Top picks for this game10 Squad value11 Games History12 Overall Statistics13 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Limavady United a 45% win probability against Queen's University in the Northern-Ireland: Championship on 2026-04-24, with 29% for the draw and 26% for Queen's University. The model estimates around 2.5 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (27%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.8%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (76%), Over 1.5 (72%).

Results analysis

Limavady United finished 0-1 against Queen's University (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 45% home win, 29% draw and 26% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (76%). Missed: Over 1.5 (72%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Limavady United win✗ Miss
45.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Queen's University win✓ Hit
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D11D02L20W41W41W10W00D51W20WH·LOU21/02A·DUN27/02A·ARD03/03A·QUE11/03A·NEW14/03A·H&W21/03A·LOU28/03H·H&W03/04A·NEW11/04A·ANN18/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.971.771.082.120.88
vs Stronger (3)1.331.001.001.502.000.00
vs Similar (12)2.251.001.670.672.441.11
vs Weaker (15)1.870.932.001.121.710.71
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's University) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's University

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-804L22D02L02L10W81W32W02L40W00DA·LOU14/02H·ARD21/02A·NEW28/02H·LIM11/03A·INS14/03H·ARM21/03A·H&W28/03H·NEW04/04A·ANN11/04H·LOU18/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.201.471.271.271.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.061.061.001.221.140.86
vs Weaker (14)1.711.362.171.331.381.38
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Limavady United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.7%
Under 2.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.5%
Under 3.5
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
0-1 ✓
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
Limavady United goals ↓
Queen's University goals →
01234
09.8%7.5%4.5%1.5%0.4%
111%14%6.4%2.2%0.6%
28.8%9.0%4.6%1.6%0.4%
34.2%4.3%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.5%1.6%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Limavady United goals (down), columns = Queen's University goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Limavady United
2.13
Annagh United
1.89
H&W Welders
1.74
Newington Youth
1.58
Institute
1.55
Queen's University
1.50
Loughgall
1.47
Ards
1.37
Warrenpoint Town
1.08
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Dundela
0.74
Armagh City
0.50
Limavady United is 0.63 points better than Queen's University in terms of average points per game (2.13 vs 1.50).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
H&W Welders
2.29
Newington Youth
2.03
Limavady United
1.82
Institute
1.55
Ards
1.47
Annagh United
1.45
Queen's University
1.34
Loughgall
1.32
Warrenpoint Town
1.18
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Dundela
1.13
Armagh City
0.79
Limavady United is 0.47 goals better than Queen's University in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.34).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Limavady United
0.89
Loughgall
1.00
Annagh United
1.03
Queen's University
1.21
Institute
1.21
H&W Welders
1.26
Ards
1.34
Warrenpoint Town
1.39
Ballinamallard United
1.58
Newington Youth
1.63
Dundela
2.03
Armagh City
2.95
Limavady United is 0.32 goals better than Queen's University in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.21).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸ”Ē 6. Odd / Even

ðŸĨ… 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 8. Handicap

ðŸ”Ĩ 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€0m
LOU (33)
€0m
HW (38)
€0m
AC (62)
€0m
WT (32)
€0m
BU (38)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (0)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (0)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (0)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Limavady United vs Queen's University · H/A from LU
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/26AQueen's University Vs LU0-2
06/12/25AQueen's University Vs LU2-2
06/09/25HLU Vs Queen's University3-0

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26AAnnagh United Vs LU0-2
11/04/26ANewington Youth Vs LU1-5
03/04/26HLU Vs H&W Welders0-0
28/03/26ALoughgall Vs LU0-1
21/03/26AH&W Welders Vs LU1-4
14/03/26ANewington Youth Vs LU1-4
11/03/26AQueen's University Vs LU0-2
03/03/26AArds Vs LU2-0
27/02/26ADundela Vs LU1-1
21/02/26HLU Vs Loughgall0-0

QueenQueen's University

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26HQU Vs Loughgall0-0
11/04/26AAnnagh United Vs QU0-4
04/04/26HQU Vs Newington Youth0-2
28/03/26AH&W Welders Vs QU2-3
21/03/26HQU Vs Armagh City8-1
14/03/26AInstitute Vs QU0-1
11/03/26HQU Vs Limavady United0-2
28/02/26ANewington Youth Vs QU2-0
21/02/26HQU Vs Ards2-2
14/02/26ALoughgall Vs QU4-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Limavady United
Limavady United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.04
HomeWLWDD1.96
AwayWWWWW2.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%57%59%
AVG goals2.722.522.89
Over 1.5 %74%57%89%
Over 2.5 %48%52%44%
Over 3.5 %32%35%30%
Scored1.761.611.89
Conceded0.960.911.00
BTTS54%35%70%
Clean Sheet36%52%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Queen
Queen's University
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.46
HomeDLWLD1.45
AwayLLWWW1.47
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%35%42%
AVG goals2.592.552.63
Over 1.5 %79%70%89%
Over 2.5 %41%45%37%
Over 3.5 %26%25%26%
Scored1.361.401.32
Conceded1.231.151.32
BTTS38%40%37%
Clean Sheet31%35%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Limavady UnitedLimavady United3881
63%
2.1
6934+35
2.7
68%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3872
58%
1.9
5539+16
2.5
71%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
50%
1.7
8748+39
3.6
92%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
4Newington YouthNewington Youth3860
47%
1.6
7762+15
3.7
87%
74%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
5InstituteInstitute3859
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
71%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6QueenQueen's University3857
39%
1.5
5146+5
2.6
76%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LoughgallLoughgall3856
37%
1.5
5038+12
2.3
74%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
8ArdsArds3852
39%
1.4
5651+5
2.8
74%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town3841
29%
1.1
4553-8
2.6
58%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
10Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3838
24%
1.0
4460-16
2.7
68%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
11DundelaDundela3828
13%
0.7
4377-34
3.2
89%
68%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12Armagh CityArmagh City3819
11%
0.5
30112-82
3.7
87%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.9
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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