This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bolton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.50
1.67
1.33
1.07
1.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
1.18
1.53
1.50
1.30
0.71
1.86
vs Weaker (12)
1.75
1.58
2.00
1.40
1.57
1.71
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.0%
@ 2.31+5.3%
Under 2.5
54.0%
@ 1.59-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.8%
Lincoln goals ↓
Bolton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
8.4%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
1
9.3%
14%
7.7%
3.1%
0.9%
2
7.0%
8.4%
5.0%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.1%
3.7%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lincoln goals (down), columns = Bolton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Birmingham
2.41
Wrexham
2.00
Stockport
1.89
Charlton
1.85
Wycombe
1.83
Leyton Orient
1.70
Reading
1.63
Bolton
1.48
Blackpool
1.46
Huddersfield
1.39
Lincoln
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Rotherham
1.28
Stevenage
1.24
Wigan
1.22
Exeter
1.22
Mansfield
1.17
Northampton
1.11
Peterboro
1.11
Burton
1.02
Crawley Town
1.00
Bristol Rvs
0.93
Cambridge
0.83
Shrewsbury
0.72
Lincoln is 0.15 points worse than Bolton in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.48).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Birmingham
1.83
Leyton Orient
1.57
Blackpool
1.57
Stockport
1.57
Wycombe
1.52
Barnsley
1.50
Reading
1.48
Peterboro
1.48
Bolton
1.46
Charlton
1.46
Wrexham
1.46
Lincoln
1.39
Mansfield
1.30
Huddersfield
1.26
Crawley Town
1.24
Rotherham
1.17
Exeter
1.07
Burton
1.07
Northampton
1.04
Cambridge
0.98
Bristol Rvs
0.96
Stevenage
0.91
Shrewsbury
0.89
Wigan
0.87
Lincoln is 0.07 goals worse than Bolton in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.46).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Birmingham
0.67
Wrexham
0.74
Wigan
0.91
Stockport
0.91
Charlton
0.93
Wycombe
0.98
Leyton Orient
1.04
Stevenage
1.09
Huddersfield
1.20
Lincoln
1.22
Reading
1.24
Rotherham
1.28
Blackpool
1.30
Exeter
1.41
Northampton
1.43
Burton
1.43
Bolton
1.52
Cambridge
1.59
Barnsley
1.59
Mansfield
1.59
Bristol Rvs
1.65
Shrewsbury
1.72
Peterboro
1.76
Crawley Town
1.80
Lincoln is 0.30 goals better than Bolton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.52).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Birmingham
67%
Bolton
56%
Crawley Town
56%
Huddersfield
54%
Peterboro
54%
Stockport
53%
Leyton Orient
52%
Reading
52%
Barnsley
51%
Exeter
51%
Wycombe
50%
Blackpool
50%
Charlton
50%
Mansfield
49%
Wigan
48%
Stevenage
47%
Wrexham
47%
Rotherham
47%
Lincoln
45%
Northampton
43%
Cambridge
43%
Burton
42%
Shrewsbury
42%
Lincoln is 11.3 percentage points worse than Bolton in terms of average possession (45% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lincoln
For 6.0 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 9.6 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bolton
For 6.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 14.8 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lincoln
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.4
3.9
3.6
4.2
24.3
23.1
25.3
vs Stronger (4)
9.7
13.0
8.0
2.0
3.0
1.7
24.3
29.0
22.0
vs Similar (42)
9.3
9.2
9.4
4.2
4.0
4.4
24.2
22.9
25.6
vs Weaker (4)
12.3
17.0
10.0
3.2
0.5
6.0
24.7
22.0
26.0
% over line
54%
59%
50%
56%
43%
67%
72%
64%
79%
% under line
46%
41%
50%
44%
57%
33%
28%
36%
21%
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bolton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.5
9.5
4.7
4.8
4.6
25.3
26.0
24.6
vs Stronger (3)
13.5
16.0
11.0
2.7
3.0
2.5
24.0
23.0
25.0
vs Similar (24)
9.2
9.8
8.6
5.4
5.6
5.1
27.7
28.4
26.8
vs Weaker (23)
10.5
10.7
10.3
4.3
4.1
4.5
22.9
23.5
22.1
% over line
52%
58%
45%
74%
72%
76%
80%
79%
82%
% under line
48%
42%
55%
26%
28%
24%
20%
21%
18%
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.3
Huddersfield
11.2
Crawley Town
10.6
Stevenage
10.4
Reading
10.3
Peterboro
10.3
Shrewsbury
10.2
Rotherham
10.2
Exeter
10.2
Bolton
10.1
Leyton Orient
9.9
Bristol Rvs
9.8
Blackpool
9.8
Burton
9.8
Charlton
9.6
Mansfield
9.5
Birmingham
9.5
Lincoln
9.5
Cambridge
9.3
Wigan
9.2
Wrexham
9.2
Wycombe
9.1
Northampton
9.0
Stockport
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.0
Lincoln
4.3
Stevenage
4.3
Cambridge
4.1
Stockport
4.1
Exeter
4.1
Crawley Town
4.0
Wigan
4.0
Mansfield
4.0
Charlton
3.9
Birmingham
3.9
Burton
3.8
Huddersfield
3.8
Shrewsbury
3.7
Bristol Rvs
3.7
Barnsley
3.6
Wycombe
3.6
Wrexham
3.6
Blackpool
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Peterboro
3.5
Leyton Orient
3.4
Reading
3.3
Rotherham
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bolton
25.2
Stevenage
25.0
Stockport
25.0
Exeter
24.8
Wycombe
24.7
Cambridge
24.5
Birmingham
24.4
Wigan
24.4
Lincoln
24.4
Mansfield
23.5
Charlton
23.2
Rotherham
23.2
Shrewsbury
23.1
Blackpool
22.9
Reading
22.7
Huddersfield
22.6
Peterboro
22.6
Bristol Rvs
22.4
Northampton
21.9
Crawley Town
21.7
Wrexham
21.5
Burton
21.5
Leyton Orient
21.4
Barnsley
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.5%
Under 9.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.4%
Under 3.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.0%
Under 21.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lincoln
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.79
0.43
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
-
-
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.56
0.77
0.38
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bolton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.63
0.40
0.60
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.29
0.65
0.30
0.50
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (12)
0.42
0.67
0.60
0.80
0.29
0.57
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lincoln over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lincoln
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.71
0.36
0.81
0.94
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
-
-
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.68
0.77
0.38
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bolton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.87
1.27
0.73
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.88
1.20
0.80
0.43
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
0.92
1.40
0.60
1.29
1.14
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lincoln over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lincoln · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ben House50%
Callum Elder33%
Adam Reach25%
Tom Bayliss25%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild20%
Dom Jefferies20%
Tanto Olaofe20%
Robert Street20%
Conor McGrandles0%
Tom Hamer0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
George Wickens0%
Ryley Towler0%
Freddie Draper0%
Varfolomieiev Ivan0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Mason Melia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ben House50%
Freddie Draper40%
Tom Hamer33%
Mason Melia33%
Conor McGrandles25%
Adam Reach25%
Tom Bayliss25%
Tanto Olaofe20%
Varfolomieiev Ivan20%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Callum Elder0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Ryley Towler0%
Robert Street0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Elder67%
Tendayi Darikwa33%
Tom Bayliss25%
Freddie Draper20%
Varfolomieiev Ivan20%
Conor McGrandles0%
Ben House0%
Tom Hamer0%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild0%
Adam Reach0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Tanto Olaofe0%
Ryley Towler0%
Robert Street0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Mason Melia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ben House50%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild20%
Robert Street20%
Conor McGrandles0%
Tom Hamer0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Adam Reach0%
Callum Elder0%
Tom Bayliss0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Tanto Olaofe0%
Ryley Towler0%
Freddie Draper0%
Varfolomieiev Ivan0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Andrei Coubiș0%
Mason Melia0%
Bolton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aaron Collins33%
Dion Charles33%
George Thomason33%
Scott Arfield0%
Luke Southwood0%
Ricardo Santos0%
Josh Dacres-Cogley0%
John McAtee0%
George Johnston0%
Jay Matete0%
Chris Forino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John McAtee33%
George Johnston33%
Scott Arfield0%
Aaron Collins0%
Luke Southwood0%
Ricardo Santos0%
Josh Dacres-Cogley0%
Dion Charles0%
Jay Matete0%
George Thomason0%
Chris Forino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
John McAtee67%
Scott Arfield0%
Aaron Collins0%
Luke Southwood0%
Ricardo Santos0%
Josh Dacres-Cogley0%
Dion Charles0%
George Johnston0%
Jay Matete0%
George Thomason0%
Chris Forino0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Scott Arfield33%
Aaron Collins33%
Dion Charles33%
Luke Southwood0%
Ricardo Santos0%
Josh Dacres-Cogley0%
John McAtee0%
George Johnston0%
Jay Matete0%
George Thomason0%
Chris Forino0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (26)
€93m
WRE (32)
€77m
CHA (29)
€31m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
Lincoln's squad is €5m less valuable than Bolton's (€12m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (9)
€46m
CHA (13)
€18m
WRE (9)
€15m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
Lincoln and Bolton have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€23m
BIR (5)
€12m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
Lincoln's midfield is €2m less valuable than Bolton's (€2m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (14)
€39m
BIR (12)
€35m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
EXE (5)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
Lincoln's defence is €2m less valuable than Bolton's (€6m vs €9m).
England: League One 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Birmingham
Wrexham
Stockport
Charlton
Wycombe
Leyton Orient
Reading
Blackpool
Huddersfield
Barnsley
Rotherham
Stevenage
Wigan
Exeter
Mansfield
Peterboro
Northampton
Burton
Crawley Town
Bristol Rvs
Cambridge
Shrewsbury