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Lincoln vs Reading Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Lincoln
Lincoln
Vs
43%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Reading
Reading
England: League One
Referee: M Woods

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lincoln win✓ Hit
42.7%
Avg Implied 47.5% · @ 1.97
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.38
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Reading win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.76
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LincolnLincoln

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W00D01L10W22D11D10W42W23L02LH·BRI15/03H·EXE22/03A·WYC29/03H·HUD01/04A·CHA05/04H·SHR12/04A·REA18/04H·BOL21/04A·STO26/04H·WRE03/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.231.530.801.271.67
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.002.000.501.50
vs Similar (25)1.601.201.690.691.501.75
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReadingReading

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D31W03L10W31W00D01L51W20W24LH·STE15/03H·PET29/03A·BLA01/04H·WYC05/04A·SHR08/04A·NOR12/04H·LIN18/04A·MAN21/04A·BRI26/04H·BAR03/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.131.311.121.361.14
vs Stronger (5)1.000.801.000.80--
vs Similar (23)1.351.221.501.301.231.15
vs Weaker (2)2.001.001.001.003.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.7%
@ 2.02+0.5%
Under 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.73-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-0 ✓
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
Lincoln goals ↓
Reading goals →
01234
09.1%7.6%4.9%1.8%0.5%
110.0%14%7.0%2.6%0.7%
28.0%8.9%5.0%1.9%0.5%
33.8%4.2%2.4%0.9%0.2%
41.3%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lincoln goals (down), columns = Reading goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln
2.24
Cardiff
1.98
Bolton
1.71
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Stevenage
1.56
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Burton
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Exeter
1.07
Port Vale
0.91
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.76
Lincoln is 0.87 points better than Reading in terms of average points per game (2.24 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cardiff
1.96
Lincoln
1.93
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Bolton
1.55
Stockport
1.53
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Exeter
1.13
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Stevenage
1.02
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.85
Port Vale
0.78
Lincoln is 0.54 goals better than Reading in terms of goals scored per game (1.93 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln
0.89
Stevenage
1.02
Bolton
1.08
Mansfield
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Luton
1.22
Wigan
1.26
Wycombe
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Port Vale
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Doncaster
1.50
Leyton Orient
1.54
Rotherham
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Northampton
1.61
Lincoln is 0.41 goals better than Reading in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Cardiff
63%
Bolton
59%
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Exeter
51%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Port Vale
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Rotherham
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Northampton
45%
Lincoln
42%
Lincoln is 8.0 percentage points worse than Reading in terms of average possession (42% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LincolnLincoln

For 5.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

17042394593107552621101756129121710831112H·WREA·STOH·BOLA·REAH·SHRA·CHAH·HUDA·WYCH·EXEH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

801232244131312413348140461H·WREA·STOH·BOLA·REAH·SHRA·CHAH·HUDA·WYCH·EXEH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 23.8

⚠️ Fouls

3106121113131419121210171313101879176618242731223023252612H·WREA·STOH·BOLA·REAH·SHRA·CHAH·HUDA·WYCH·EXEH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ReadingReading

For 5.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

19053554439639104953516381081291913869H·BARA·BRIA·MANH·LINA·NORA·SHRH·WYCA·BLAH·PETH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

80121111441313411323228147142H·BARA·BRIA·MANH·LINA·NORA·SHRH·WYCA·BLAH·PETH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.4

⚠️ Fouls

3109101412101812199131210121268151014919262831222224142523H·BARA·BRIA·MANH·LINA·NORA·SHRH·WYCA·BLAH·PETH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LincolnLincoln

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.69.33.63.33.924.022.925.1
vs Stronger (5)8.89.58.02.23.01.722.823.522.0
vs Similar (42)9.39.29.53.83.64.024.122.925.4
vs Weaker (3)12.517.08.03.00.58.023.522.025.0
% over line50%52%48%52%42%62%70%61%78%
% under line50%48%52%48%58%38%30%39%22%
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReadingReading

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.39.710.83.23.62.823.223.922.6
vs Stronger (10)7.26.28.22.52.32.824.922.827.0
vs Similar (38)10.810.610.93.44.12.723.024.421.7
vs Weaker (2)13.58.019.03.02.04.020.519.022.0
% over line57%52%61%42%50%33%72%78%65%
% under line43%48%39%58%50%67%28%22%35%
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Huddersfield
11.1
Barnsley
11.0
Luton
10.8
Doncaster
10.6
Stevenage
10.3
Peterboro
10.3
Reading
10.3
Exeter
10.1
Blackpool
10.0
Rotherham
9.9
Plymouth
9.9
Bolton
9.8
Port Vale
9.8
Leyton Orient
9.7
Burton
9.6
Cardiff
9.6
Lincoln
9.5
Mansfield
9.4
Wigan
9.3
Bradford
9.3
AFC Wimbledon
9.1
Northampton
9.1
Wycombe
9.0
Stockport
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.1
Bradford
4.8
Lincoln
4.3
Luton
4.2
Stevenage
4.1
Stockport
4.1
Exeter
4.0
Port Vale
4.0
Doncaster
3.9
Wigan
3.9
AFC Wimbledon
3.9
Burton
3.9
Mansfield
3.8
Peterboro
3.8
Huddersfield
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Cardiff
3.5
Barnsley
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Plymouth
3.5
Leyton Orient
3.4
Blackpool
3.4
Reading
3.3
Rotherham
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bolton
25.4
Stevenage
25.2
Stockport
24.7
Exeter
24.6
Wycombe
24.5
Luton
24.5
Bradford
24.4
Lincoln
24.2
Wigan
24.2
Doncaster
23.9
Rotherham
23.7
Mansfield
23.6
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Peterboro
23.1
Reading
23.0
Plymouth
22.7
Huddersfield
22.6
Port Vale
22.5
Northampton
22.5
Blackpool
22.4
Cardiff
22.4
Burton
21.3
Leyton Orient
21.1
Barnsley
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.5%
Under 9.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.7%
Under 3.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
63.5%
Under 21.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LincolnLincoln

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D10W10W11D00D22D20W00DH·BRI15/03H·EXE22/03A·WYC29/03H·HUD01/04A·CHA05/04H·SHR12/04A·REA18/04H·BOL21/04A·STO26/04H·WRE03/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.800.400.530.60
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.760.480.850.380.670.58
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReadingReading

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D00D10W00D00D10W00D00DH·STE15/03H·PET29/03A·BLA01/04H·WYC05/04A·SHR08/04A·NOR12/04H·LIN18/04A·MAN21/04A·BRI26/04H·BAR03/05
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.330.380.310.360.36
vs Stronger (5)0.000.400.000.40--
vs Similar (23)0.390.350.500.300.310.38
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lincoln over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LincolnLincoln

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D01L00D12L00D10W20W03L02LH·BRI15/03H·EXE22/03A·WYC29/03H·HUD01/04A·CHA05/04H·SHR12/04A·REA18/04H·BOL21/04A·STO26/04H·WRE03/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.730.400.731.07
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.002.000.501.00
vs Similar (25)0.840.720.850.310.831.17
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReadingReading

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D21W03L10W21W00D01L41W20W24LH·STE15/03H·PET29/03A·BLA01/04H·WYC05/04A·SHR08/04A·NOR12/04H·LIN18/04A·MAN21/04A·BRI26/04H·BAR03/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.800.940.811.000.79
vs Stronger (5)1.000.401.000.40--
vs Similar (23)0.960.871.001.000.920.77
vs Weaker (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lincoln over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards73.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lincoln
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Moylan34%
Ryan One31%
Robert Street25%
Freddie Draper23%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild19%
Ben House17%
Justin Obikwu17%
Adam Reach13%
Tendayi Darikwa10%
James Collins10%
Dom Jefferies7%
Tom Bayliss7%
Francis Okoronkwo7%
Sonny Bradley6%
Alfie Lloyd5%
Thomas Hamer4%
Ivan Varfolomeev3%
Ryley Towler2%
Conor McGrandles2%
Adam Jackson0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
George Wickens0%
Zach Jeacock0%
Erik Ring0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Oscar Thorn0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Zane Okoro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Hamilton33%
Ivan Varfolomeev24%
Ben House22%
Ryley Towler21%
Freddie Draper20%
Conor McGrandles19%
Tendayi Darikwa19%
Adam Jackson18%
Tom Bayliss18%
Alfie Lloyd16%
Thomas Hamer15%
Dom Jefferies15%
James Collins14%
George Wickens11%
Sonny Bradley11%
Robert Street10%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild9%
Adam Reach6%
Ryan One6%
Justin Obikwu6%
Jack Moylan3%
Zach Jeacock0%
Erik Ring0%
Francis Okoronkwo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Oscar Thorn0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Zane Okoro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Moylan19%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild16%
Adam Reach13%
Conor McGrandles12%
Freddie Draper11%
Thomas Hamer11%
Robert Street10%
James Collins10%
George Wickens9%
Dom Jefferies7%
Ryley Towler7%
Tendayi Darikwa6%
Ivan Varfolomeev6%
Ben House6%
Justin Obikwu6%
Alfie Lloyd5%
Tom Bayliss5%
Sonny Bradley2%
Adam Jackson0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
Zach Jeacock0%
Erik Ring0%
Francis Okoronkwo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Oscar Thorn0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Ryan One0%
Zane Okoro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Freddie Draper26%
Jack Moylan25%
Robert Street23%
Ryan One19%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild14%
James Collins10%
Francis Okoronkwo7%
Ben House6%
Tom Bayliss2%
Sonny Bradley2%
Tendayi Darikwa2%
Conor McGrandles0%
Thomas Hamer0%
Adam Reach0%
Adam Jackson0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Zach Jeacock0%
Ryley Towler0%
Erik Ring0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Oscar Thorn0%
Alfie Lloyd0%
Ivan Varfolomeev0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Justin Obikwu0%
Zane Okoro0%
Reading
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Marriott58%
Lewis Wing21%
Andre Garcia17%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan16%
Mamadi Camara15%
Will Keane14%
Daniel Kyerewaa14%
Randell Williams13%
Kami Doyle9%
Paudie O’Connor8%
Haydon Roberts7%
Liam Fraser6%
Paddy Lane6%
Jeriel Dorsett5%
Charlie Savage4%
Matt Ritchie4%
Andy Yiadom0%
Joel Pereira0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Derrick Williams0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Jack Stevens0%
Tivonge Rushesha0%
Matty Jacob0%
Finley Burns0%
John Ryan0%
Ben Elliott0%
Michael Stickland0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Benn Ward0%
Kadan Young0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Sean Patton0%
Ashqar Ahmed0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John Ryan33%
Paudie O’Connor31%
Ashqar Ahmed27%
Matty Jacob27%
Charlie Savage22%
Haydon Roberts21%
Derrick Williams21%
Andy Yiadom21%
Daniel Kyerewaa19%
Finley Burns18%
Matt Ritchie18%
Sean Patton17%
Jeriel Dorsett15%
Michael Stickland14%
Kadan Young14%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan14%
Benn Ward12%
Lewis Wing11%
Ryan Nyambe11%
Ben Elliott9%
Kami Doyle9%
Kelvin Abrefa8%
Andre Garcia8%
Mamadi Camara8%
Liam Fraser6%
Paddy Lane6%
Mark O'Mahony5%
Joel Pereira2%
Randell Williams0%
Jack Marriott0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Will Keane0%
Jack Stevens0%
Tivonge Rushesha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tivonge Rushesha33%
Lewis Wing21%
Matt Ritchie18%
Kami Doyle14%
Jack Marriott12%
Charlie Savage9%
Daniel Kyerewaa8%
Kelvin Abrefa8%
Andre Garcia8%
Haydon Roberts7%
Randell Williams7%
Paddy Lane6%
Derrick Williams4%
Jeriel Dorsett2%
Andy Yiadom0%
Joel Pereira0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Will Keane0%
Jack Stevens0%
Paudie O’Connor0%
Liam Fraser0%
Matty Jacob0%
Finley Burns0%
John Ryan0%
Ben Elliott0%
Michael Stickland0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
Mamadi Camara0%
Benn Ward0%
Kadan Young0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Sean Patton0%
Ashqar Ahmed0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jack Marriott21%
Lewis Wing13%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan11%
Paddy Lane8%
Daniel Kyerewaa6%
Charlie Savage4%
Kami Doyle2%
Andy Yiadom0%
Joel Pereira0%
Randell Williams0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Derrick Williams0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Will Keane0%
Jack Stevens0%
Paudie O’Connor0%
Liam Fraser0%
Tivonge Rushesha0%
Matty Jacob0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Finley Burns0%
Jeriel Dorsett0%
John Ryan0%
Ben Elliott0%
Michael Stickland0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Mamadi Camara0%
Benn Ward0%
Kadan Young0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Sean Patton0%
Ashqar Ahmed0%
Andre Garcia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
NOR (18)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
Lincoln's squad is €2m more valuable than Reading's (€12m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (12)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
Lincoln and Reading have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
Lincoln and Reading have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
EXE (5)
€1m
Lincoln's defence is €3m more valuable than Reading's (€6m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
LIN wins
2
Draws
0
REA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lincoln vs Reading · H/A from LIN
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/25AReading Vs LIN0-1
21/12/24HLIN Vs Reading2-0
06/04/24AReading Vs LIN1-1
16/12/23HLIN Vs Reading1-1

LincolnLincoln

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25HLIN Vs Wrexham0-2
26/04/25AStockport Vs LIN3-2
21/04/25HLIN Vs Bolton4-2
18/04/25AReading Vs LIN0-1
12/04/25HLIN Vs Shrewsbury1-1
05/04/25ACharlton Vs LIN2-2
01/04/25HLIN Vs Huddersfield1-0
29/03/25AWycombe Vs LIN1-0
22/03/25HLIN Vs Exeter0-0
15/03/25HLIN Vs Bristol Rvs5-0

ReadingReading

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25HREA Vs Barnsley2-4
26/04/25ABristol Rvs Vs REA0-2
21/04/25AMansfield Vs REA1-5
18/04/25HREA Vs Lincoln0-1
12/04/25ANorthampton Vs REA0-0
08/04/25AShrewsbury Vs REA1-3
05/04/25HREA Vs Wycombe1-0
01/04/25ABlackpool Vs REA3-0
29/03/25HREA Vs Peterboro3-1
15/03/25HREA Vs Stevenage1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lincoln
Lincoln
England: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.34
HomeDWDWL1.50
AwayLLDWL1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%31%
AVG goals2.742.672.81
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.481.581.38
Conceded1.261.081.42
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners9.439.579.30
Cards3.933.484.39
Reading
Reading
England: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.62
HomeDWWLL1.96
AwayLWDWW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%58%29%
AVG goals2.782.622.96
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.521.651.38
Conceded1.260.961.58
BTTS58%50%67%
Clean Sheet28%38%17%
Corners10.269.7010.83
Cards3.464.042.87

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LincolnLincoln46103
67%
2.2
8941+48
2.8
78%
54%
33%
9.3
41%
4.0
54%
22.8
61%
12
3261.90.9
42%
2CardiffCardiff4691
59%
2.0
9050+40
3.0
78%
54%
37%
10.5
61%
3.5
52%
20.6
30%
29
154102.01.1
63%
3BoltonBolton4984
45%
1.7
7653+23
2.6
76%
47%
27%
10.4
57%
3.7
49%
22.4
57%
17
4491.61.1
59%
4StockportStockport4983
49%
1.7
7562+13
2.8
80%
59%
24%
10.0
53%
3.4
51%
21.2
45%
10
3341.51.3
55%
5BradfordBradford4877
46%
1.6
5853+5
2.3
69%
50%
17%
9.9
52%
4.4
67%
25.2
77%
7
3131.21.1
50%
6StevenageStevenage4875
44%
1.6
4949+0
2.0
52%
35%
19%
8.7
46%
3.8
54%
24.5
75%
7
2231.01.0
45%
7LutonLuton4674
46%
1.6
6856+12
2.7
76%
54%
28%
10.4
57%
3.7
54%
24.0
63%
29
134121.51.2
56%
8PlymouthPlymouth4673
48%
1.6
7563+12
3.0
76%
59%
39%
11.3
74%
5.2
80%
24.5
67%
13
4361.61.4
48%
9HuddersfieldHuddersfield4667
39%
1.5
7464+10
3.0
76%
59%
43%
10.5
59%
4.1
61%
25.0
76%
16
4481.61.4
50%
10MansfieldMansfield4665
35%
1.4
6250+12
2.4
74%
46%
20%
9.5
39%
3.6
46%
22.4
57%
6
1321.31.1
46%
11WycombeWycombe4663
37%
1.4
6958+11
2.8
80%
52%
28%
10.2
54%
3.7
57%
21.5
41%
10
3251.51.3
54%
12ReadingReading4663
35%
1.4
6460+4
2.7
83%
48%
26%
9.3
39%
3.6
50%
22.4
57%
10
3341.41.3
50%
13BlackpoolBlackpool4660
37%
1.3
5465-11
2.6
65%
48%
33%
9.9
57%
3.7
52%
24.0
76%
11
4341.21.4
46%
14DoncasterDoncaster4660
37%
1.3
5069-19
2.6
72%
50%
22%
9.7
35%
3.9
52%
23.3
63%
7
2231.11.5
50%
15BarnsleyBarnsley4659
33%
1.3
6873-5
3.1
83%
63%
46%
10.9
57%
3.5
50%
21.0
43%
8
2331.51.6
52%
16WiganWigan4656
30%
1.2
4958-9
2.3
70%
35%
17%
10.8
61%
3.1
39%
23.6
63%
7
2231.11.3
45%
17BurtonBurton4654
28%
1.2
5060-10
2.4
70%
50%
22%
10.4
52%
3.6
52%
22.0
41%
5
1121.11.3
46%
18PeterboroPeterboro4653
33%
1.2
6468-4
2.9
80%
57%
26%
10.3
50%
4.2
67%
23.6
61%
7
3131.41.5
55%
19AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon4653
33%
1.2
5172-21
2.7
67%
50%
30%
9.7
50%
3.2
46%
23.2
65%
5
2121.11.6
46%
20Leyton OrientLeyton Orient4652
30%
1.1
5971-12
2.8
76%
61%
33%
9.6
52%
4.1
61%
23.0
65%
10
4331.31.5
52%
21ExeterExeter4649
26%
1.1
5261-9
2.5
65%
46%
24%
10.1
54%
3.3
50%
22.0
57%
3
1111.11.3
51%
22Port ValePort Vale4642
22%
0.9
3661-25
2.1
54%
39%
22%
10.2
59%
3.6
52%
21.3
48%
7
2230.81.3
46%
23RotherhamRotherham4641
22%
0.9
4171-30
2.4
67%
52%
24%
9.8
52%
4.2
65%
23.9
65%
5
2120.91.5
46%
24NorthamptonNorthampton4635
20%
0.8
3974-35
2.5
70%
48%
26%
10.1
61%
3.4
43%
21.9
54%
3
1120.81.6
45%
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

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