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Litex vs Fratria Result & Analysis

Date: 30/11/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 0-2
Litex
Litex
Vs
36%
39%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fratria
Fratria
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Litex win✗ Miss
35.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
38.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fratria win✓ Hit
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LitexLitex

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L00D03L00D10W01L12L01L00DH·BOT22/09A·ETA28/09H·MAR06/10A·CHE13/10A·LOK19/10H·CSK24/10A·DUN03/11A·PIR09/11H·DOB16/11A·SPO23/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.970.850.690.531.18
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.681.000.830.750.561.19
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Fratria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FratriaFratria

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D20W22D31W01L12L33D01L04LA·BEL28/09H·STR06/10A·BOT13/10A·BOT20/10H·ETA24/10A·MAR03/11H·LOK09/11H·BER14/11A·CSK18/11H·DUN23/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.251.091.640.890.78
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.931.401.101.600.601.00
vs Weaker (5)1.200.801.002.001.250.50
Clean sheet %25% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Litex) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%15%23%31%23%031%127%213%35%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (31%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.7%
Under 1.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.1%
Under 2.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
7.0%
Under 3.5
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
29.7%
No
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
22.8%
1-0
17.1%
1-1
13.8%
0-1
13.5%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
0-2 ✓
5.0%
1-2
4.3%
Litex goals ↓
Fratria goals →
01234
023%13%5.0%1.2%0.2%
117%14%4.3%1.0%0.2%
27.8%5.3%1.8%0.4%0.1%
32.2%1.5%0.5%0.1%0.0%
40.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Litex goals (down), columns = Fratria goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dobrudzha
2.16
Montana
2.05
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.89
Marek
1.71
Dunav Ruse
1.68
Yantra 2019
1.68
Belasitsa
1.47
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.47
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.45
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.37
Spartak Pleven
1.34
Ludogorets II
1.34
CSKA Sofia II
1.29
Fratria
1.26
FK Minyor Pernik
1.08
Sportist Svoge
0.97
Litex
0.87
Botev Plovdiv II
0.76
Strumska Slava
0.74
Nesebar
0.74
Litex is 0.39 points worse than Fratria in terms of average points per game (0.87 vs 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dobrudzha
1.95
Yantra 2019
1.55
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.45
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.45
Montana
1.39
Ludogorets II
1.39
Dunav Ruse
1.37
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
CSKA Sofia II
1.24
Fratria
1.18
Marek
1.16
Belasitsa
1.11
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.08
FK Minyor Pernik
0.95
Spartak Pleven
0.92
Botev Plovdiv II
0.87
Nesebar
0.74
Strumska Slava
0.61
Sportist Svoge
0.58
Litex
0.50
Litex is 0.68 goals worse than Fratria in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Montana
0.39
Dobrudzha
0.68
Marek
0.82
Dunav Ruse
0.92
Yantra 2019
0.97
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.05
Sportist Svoge
1.05
CSKA Sofia II
1.08
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.08
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.08
Ludogorets II
1.11
Spartak Pleven
1.13
Belasitsa
1.18
Litex
1.18
Fratria
1.32
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.37
Strumska Slava
1.42
FK Minyor Pernik
1.47
Nesebar
1.66
Botev Plovdiv II
1.84
Litex is 0.13 goals better than Fratria in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LitexLitex

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D00D00D00D01L11D01L00DH·BOT22/09A·ETA28/09H·MAR06/10A·CHE13/10A·LOK19/10H·CSK24/10A·DUN03/11A·PIR09/11H·DOB16/11A·SPO23/11
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.300.460.230.290.35
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.390.320.500.250.310.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Fratria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FratriaFratria

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D02L00D00D01L12L00D03LA·BEL28/09H·STR06/10A·BOT13/10A·BOT20/10H·ETA24/10A·MAR03/11H·LOK09/11H·BER14/11A·CSK18/11H·DUN23/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.650.270.820.110.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.270.670.300.800.200.40
vs Weaker (5)0.000.600.001.000.000.50
Clean sheet %55% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Litex) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Litex over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Litex over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Litex over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LitexLitex

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L00D03L00D10W00D01L00D00DH·BOT22/09A·ETA28/09H·MAR06/10A·CHE13/10A·LOK19/10H·CSK24/10A·DUN03/11A·PIR09/11H·DOB16/11A·SPO23/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.670.380.460.240.82
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.290.680.330.500.250.81
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Fratria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FratriaFratria

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W20W20W31W01L11D21W01L01LA·BEL28/09H·STR06/10A·BOT13/10A·BOT20/10H·ETA24/10A·MAR03/11H·LOK09/11H·BER14/11A·CSK18/11H·DUN23/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.820.820.780.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.730.800.800.400.60
vs Weaker (5)1.200.201.001.001.250.00
Clean sheet %45% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Litex) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Litex over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Litex over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Litex over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.593.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.579.9%-------✓ Hit
BTTS No70.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
EVT (23)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (6)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LIT wins
0
Draws
0
FRA wins

Head-to-head

Litex vs Fratria · H/A from LIT
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

LitexLitex

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/24ASportist Svoge Vs LIT0-0
16/11/24HLIT Vs Dobrudzha0-1
09/11/24APirin Blagoevgrad Vs LIT2-1
03/11/24ADunav Ruse Vs LIT1-0
24/10/24HLIT Vs CSKA 1948 Sofia II1-0
19/10/24ALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Vs LIT0-0
13/10/24AChernolomets 1919 Vs LIT3-0
06/10/24HLIT Vs Marek0-0
28/09/24AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs LIT1-0
22/09/24HLIT Vs Botev Plovdiv II3-1

FratriaFratria

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/24HFRA Vs Dunav Ruse0-4
18/11/24ACSKA 1948 Sofia II Vs FRA1-0
14/11/24HFRA Vs Beroe3-3
09/11/24HFRA Vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1-2
03/11/24AMarek Vs FRA1-0
24/10/24HFRA Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo3-1
20/10/24ABotev Plovdiv II Vs FRA2-2
13/10/24ABotev Novi Pazar Vs FRA0-2
06/10/24HFRA Vs Strumska Slava1-1
28/09/24ABelasitsa Vs FRA0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Litex
Litex
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD1.20
HomeLWDWL1.38
AwayLDLLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals1.681.461.88
Over 1.5 %44%38%50%
Over 2.5 %34%29%38%
Over 3.5 %6%8%4%
Scored0.720.830.62
Conceded0.960.621.27
BTTS30%29%31%
Clean Sheet40%50%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Fratria
Fratria
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.20
HomeDWLDL0.91
AwayWWDLL1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%18%44%
AVG goals2.252.731.67
Over 1.5 %65%82%44%
Over 2.5 %35%45%22%
Over 3.5 %20%27%11%
Scored1.001.090.89
Conceded1.251.640.78
BTTS45%64%22%
Clean Sheet25%9%44%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DobrudzhaDobrudzha3882
63%
2.2
7426+48
2.6
76%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.90.7
-
2MontanaMontana3878
58%
2.1
5315+38
1.8
55%
29%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.4
-
3Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3872
55%
1.9
5541+14
2.5
68%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.41.1
-
4MarekMarek3865
47%
1.7
4431+13
2.0
63%
24%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.20.8
-
5Yantra 2019Yantra 20193864
47%
1.7
5937+22
2.5
74%
47%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.61.0
-
6Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3864
45%
1.7
5235+17
2.3
71%
34%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.40.9
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3856
39%
1.5
5140+11
2.4
68%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.1
-
8BelasitsaBelasitsa3856
42%
1.5
4245-3
2.3
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CSKA 1948 Sofia IICSKA 1948 Sofia II3855
45%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
76%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
10Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3852
39%
1.4
4141+0
2.2
66%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.1
-
11Ludogorets IILudogorets II3851
34%
1.3
5342+11
2.5
79%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.1
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3851
37%
1.3
3543-8
2.1
58%
37%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.1
-
13CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3849
32%
1.3
4741+6
2.3
66%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
14FratriaFratria3848
34%
1.3
4550-5
2.5
74%
45%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
15FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3841
29%
1.1
3656-20
2.4
66%
32%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3837
21%
1.0
2240-18
1.6
55%
26%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.61.1
-
17LitexLitex3833
21%
0.9
1945-26
1.7
45%
29%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.2
-
18Botev Plovdiv IIBotev Plovdiv II3829
21%
0.8
3370-37
2.7
76%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
19Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava3828
11%
0.7
2354-31
2.0
58%
37%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
20NesebarNesebar3828
13%
0.7
2863-35
2.4
71%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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