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Liverpool vs Aston Villa Result & Analysis

Date: 11/12/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Liverpool
Liverpool
Vs
66%
25%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Referee: S Attwell

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liverpool win✓ Hit
65.7%
Avg Implied 77.5% · @ 1.24
Edge
-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied 14.3% · @ 6.71
Edge
+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
9.8%
Avg Implied 8.1% · @ 11.84
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-533D22D50W50W22D23L40W40W41W10WA·BRE25/09H·MAN03/10A·WAT16/10A·MAN24/10H·BRI30/10A·WES07/11H·ARS20/11H·SOU27/11A·EVE01/12A·WOL04/12
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.270.831.790.792.690.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)2.620.881.801.004.000.67
vs Weaker (22)2.140.821.780.672.380.92
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L23L13L14L01L20W21W12L21WA·MAN25/09A·TOT03/10H·WOL16/10A·ARS22/10H·WES31/10A·SOU05/11H·BRI20/11A·CRY27/11H·MAN01/12H·LEI05/12
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.471.441.381.141.57
vs Stronger (3)1.002.331.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (17)1.351.471.501.501.221.44
vs Weaker (10)1.301.201.501.001.001.50
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.2%
Under 1.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.6%
@ 1.45-27.3%
Under 2.5
61.4%
@ 2.80+27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.7%
Under 3.5
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
34.1%
No
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
17.4%
2-0
15.7%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
10.5%
3-0
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
0-1
4.6%
Liverpool goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
01234
012%4.6%1.4%0.3%0.0%
117%11%2.5%0.4%0.1%
216%8.2%2.1%0.4%0.0%
39.0%4.7%1.2%0.2%0.0%
43.8%2.0%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.45
Liverpool
2.42
Chelsea
1.95
Tottenham
1.87
Arsenal
1.82
Manchester United
1.53
West Ham
1.47
Leicester
1.37
Brighton
1.34
Wolves
1.34
Newcastle
1.29
Crystal Palace
1.26
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.18
Southampton
1.05
Everton
1.03
Leeds
1.00
Burnley
0.92
Watford
0.61
Norwich
0.58
Liverpool is 1.24 points better than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (2.42 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.61
Liverpool
2.47
Chelsea
2.00
Tottenham
1.82
Leicester
1.63
Arsenal
1.61
West Ham
1.58
Manchester United
1.50
Aston Villa
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.32
Brentford
1.26
Newcastle
1.16
Southampton
1.13
Everton
1.13
Brighton
1.11
Leeds
1.11
Wolves
1.00
Watford
0.89
Burnley
0.89
Norwich
0.61
Liverpool is 1.11 goals better than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (2.47 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liverpool
0.68
Manchester City
0.68
Chelsea
0.87
Tottenham
1.05
Wolves
1.13
Brighton
1.16
Crystal Palace
1.21
Arsenal
1.26
West Ham
1.34
Burnley
1.39
Aston Villa
1.42
Brentford
1.47
Manchester United
1.50
Leicester
1.55
Newcastle
1.63
Everton
1.74
Southampton
1.76
Watford
2.03
Leeds
2.08
Norwich
2.21
Liverpool is 0.74 goals better than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (0.68 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
68%
Liverpool
63%
Chelsea
62%
Brighton
55%
Arsenal
53%
Manchester United
52%
Tottenham
52%
Leeds
52%
Leicester
52%
Crystal Palace
51%
West Ham
48%
Southampton
47%
Aston Villa
46%
Brentford
44%
Norwich
43%
Watford
41%
Newcastle
40%
Burnley
40%
Everton
39%
Liverpool is 16.6 percentage points better than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (63% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 6.3 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

1408211357612353369134112101412758910713A·WOLA·EVEH·SOUH·ARSA·WESH·BRIA·MANA·WATH·MANA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

702234121122733114712247062A·WOLA·EVEH·SOUH·ARSA·WESH·BRIA·MANA·WATH·MANA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 8.8 · Total 18.2

⚠️ Fouls

2707416871415126118581010410127811242127171318142215A·WOLA·EVEH·SOUH·ARSA·WESH·BRIA·MANA·WATH·MANA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 4.9 · Against 7.1 · Total 12.0

🚩 Corners

1803641137578103647678555915101218911131310H·LEIH·MANA·CRYH·BRIA·SOUH·WESA·ARSH·WOLA·TOTA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

701133332222522312222066447534H·LEIH·MANA·CRYH·BRIA·SOUH·WESA·ARSH·WOLA·TOTA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 14.1 · Total 23.8

⚠️ Fouls

330825812101271312127131017817141113933202220242027252522H·LEIH·MANA·CRYH·BRIA·SOUH·WESA·ARSH·WOLA·TOTA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.210.42.82.63.019.620.019.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)7.78.96.23.43.13.721.121.121.2
vs Weaker (36)11.310.811.72.62.42.819.119.418.8
% over line58%58%58%30%25%35%30%29%31%
% under line42%42%42%70%75%65%70%71%69%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.810.83.73.63.925.926.025.8
vs Stronger (6)12.812.313.32.82.73.022.221.023.3
vs Similar (26)10.59.911.24.54.64.326.527.325.8
vs Weaker (18)10.511.49.63.02.43.626.225.926.6
% over line62%64%60%54%44%64%80%76%84%
% under line38%36%40%46%56%36%20%24%16%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Leeds
11.3
Aston Villa
10.8
Burnley
10.7
Chelsea
10.5
Leicester
10.5
Watford
10.5
Brighton
10.4
Liverpool
10.3
Southampton
10.3
Tottenham
10.2
Everton
10.2
Manchester United
10.1
Wolves
10.1
Arsenal
10.0
Manchester City
10.0
Crystal Palace
9.8
Norwich
9.8
West Ham
9.7
Newcastle
9.7
Brentford
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
3.7
Everton
3.6
Tottenham
3.6
Leeds
3.6
Watford
3.5
Newcastle
3.5
Brentford
3.5
Manchester United
3.5
Wolves
3.4
Norwich
3.3
Arsenal
3.3
Brighton
3.3
Chelsea
3.2
Southampton
3.2
Leicester
3.1
Crystal Palace
3.1
Manchester City
2.9
Liverpool
2.8
West Ham
2.7
Burnley
2.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
25.9
Brentford
24.7
Watford
24.6
Tottenham
23.6
Norwich
23.4
Leeds
22.9
Southampton
22.5
Crystal Palace
22.5
Leicester
22.0
Chelsea
21.8
Manchester United
21.5
Wolves
21.4
Newcastle
21.0
Brighton
20.1
Everton
20.0
Burnley
19.8
Arsenal
19.7
Liverpool
19.6
Manchester City
19.1
West Ham
18.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.5%
Under 9.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.9%
Under 3.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
40.3%
Under 21.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D20W40W21W11D10W30W21W00DA·BRE25/09H·MAN03/10A·WAT16/10A·MAN24/10H·BRI30/10A·WES07/11H·ARS20/11H·SOU27/11A·EVE01/12A·WOL04/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.370.860.431.120.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.000.500.400.602.000.33
vs Weaker (22)1.000.321.110.330.920.31
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D02L12L01L00D10W02L11DA·MAN25/09A·TOT03/10H·WOL16/10A·ARS22/10H·WES31/10A·SOU05/11H·BRI20/11A·CRY27/11H·MAN01/12H·LEI05/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.500.620.570.79
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.502.000.002.00
vs Similar (17)0.710.470.620.500.780.44
vs Weaker (10)0.300.700.330.330.251.25
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D22D30W10W01L12L30W10W20W10WA·BRE25/09H·MAN03/10A·WAT16/10A·MAN24/10H·BRI30/10A·WES07/11H·ARS20/11H·SOU27/11A·EVE01/12A·WOL04/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.470.930.361.560.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.620.381.400.402.000.33
vs Weaker (22)1.140.500.670.331.460.62
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D23L11D02L00D20W11D10W10WA·MAN25/09A·TOT03/10H·WOL16/10A·ARS22/10H·WES31/10A·SOU05/11H·BRI20/11A·CRY27/11H·MAN01/12H·LEI05/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.770.940.750.570.79
vs Stronger (3)0.670.330.500.001.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.651.000.881.000.441.00
vs Weaker (10)1.000.501.170.670.750.25
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards93.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls86.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards84.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls75.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Liverpool · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah30%
Hugo Ekitiké30%
Dominik Szoboszlai25%
Alexander Isak18%
Cody Gakpo18%
Florian Wirtz15%
Virgil van Dijk13%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Andy Robertson9%
Federico Chiesa8%
Alexis Mac Allister7%
Rio Ngumoha7%
Curtis Jones6%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Ibrahima Konaté4%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Conor Bradley33%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Joe Gomez18%
Ibrahima Konaté18%
Alexis Mac Allister17%
Ryan Gravenberch16%
Virgil van Dijk11%
Federico Chiesa11%
Miloš Kerkez11%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones8%
Cody Gakpo6%
Hugo Ekitiké5%
Alisson3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Andy Robertson3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Florian Wirtz2%
Alexander Isak0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Rio Ngumoha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah25%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Florian Wirtz12%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Hugo Ekitiké11%
Cody Gakpo10%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones6%
Joe Gomez6%
Andy Robertson6%
Federico Chiesa6%
Conor Bradley5%
Alexander Isak5%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah28%
Hugo Ekitiké23%
Dominik Szoboszlai21%
Cody Gakpo18%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Alexander Isak9%
Florian Wirtz8%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Federico Chiesa3%
Miloš Kerkez2%
Ryan Gravenberch2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andy Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Jeremie Frimpong0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Aston Villa · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Ollie Watkins27%
Emiliano Buendía20%
Morgan Rogers20%
Tammy Abraham19%
John McGinn18%
Donyell Malen17%
Ross Barkley13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Evann Guessand10%
Matty Cash6%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Amadou Onana5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Jadon Sancho3%
Ian Maatsen2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matty Cash24%
Marco Bizot21%
Boubacar Kamara19%
John McGinn18%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Morgan Rogers16%
Lamare Bogarde16%
Douglas Luiz15%
Lucas Digne14%
Andrés García12%
Amadou Onana11%
Evann Guessand10%
Ollie Watkins7%
Victor Lindelöf7%
Emiliano Martínez7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ross Barkley4%
Pau Torres3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donyell Malen0%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Alysson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans17%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Lucas Digne16%
John McGinn16%
Boubacar Kamara15%
Ollie Watkins9%
Matty Cash8%
Jadon Sancho8%
Donyell Malen7%
Tammy Abraham6%
Leon Bailey5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Evann Guessand5%
Ross Barkley4%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Emiliano Martínez2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Morgan Rogers24%
Ollie Watkins24%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evann Guessand10%
Youri Tielemans6%
Ross Barkley4%
Amadou Onana3%
Jadon Sancho3%
John McGinn2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Matty Cash2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Leon Bailey0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
BUR (28)
€115m
NOR (34)
€107m
WAT (22)
€88m
LEI (22)
€69m
Liverpool's squad is €444m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€980m vs €536m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
NOR (10)
€46m
WAT (6)
€28m
LEI (7)
€20m
Liverpool's attack is €298m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€518m vs €220m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
LEI (4)
€13m
BUR (3)
€8m
Liverpool's midfield is €41m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€201m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
NOR (13)
€29m
WAT (10)
€22m
Liverpool's defence is €104m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€260m vs €156m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
LIV wins
0
Draws
1
AVL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Liverpool vs Aston Villa · H/A from LIV
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/21HLIV Vs Aston Villa2-1
04/10/20AAston Villa Vs LIV7-2

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/12/21AWolves Vs LIV0-1
01/12/21AEverton Vs LIV1-4
27/11/21HLIV Vs Southampton4-0
20/11/21HLIV Vs Arsenal4-0
07/11/21AWest Ham Vs LIV3-2
30/10/21HLIV Vs Brighton2-2
24/10/21AManchester United Vs LIV0-5
16/10/21AWatford Vs LIV0-5
03/10/21HLIV Vs Manchester City2-2
25/09/21ABrentford Vs LIV3-3

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/12/21HAVL Vs Leicester2-1
01/12/21HAVL Vs Manchester City1-2
27/11/21ACrystal Palace Vs AVL1-2
20/11/21HAVL Vs Brighton2-0
05/11/21ASouthampton Vs AVL1-0
31/10/21HAVL Vs West Ham1-4
22/10/21AArsenal Vs AVL3-1
16/10/21HAVL Vs Wolves2-3
03/10/21ATottenham Vs AVL2-1
25/09/21AManchester United Vs AVL0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.88
HomeWDDWW1.75
AwayWWLWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%50%58%
AVG goals3.062.543.54
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %58%50%65%
Over 3.5 %36%25%46%
Scored2.061.672.42
Conceded1.000.881.12
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet40%38%42%
Corners10.3010.1710.42
Cards2.802.622.96
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.30
HomeLLWLW1.28
AwayWLLLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%36%40%
AVG goals2.662.842.48
Over 1.5 %76%84%68%
Over 2.5 %60%64%56%
Over 3.5 %22%28%16%
Scored1.301.401.20
Conceded1.361.441.28
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners10.8010.7610.84
Cards3.743.603.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3893
76%
2.4
9926+73
3.3
76%
61%
47%
11.2
63%
2.9
32%
17.4
13%
1326
6351605312.60.7
68%
2LiverpoolLiverpool3892
74%
2.4
9426+68
3.2
84%
63%
47%
10.6
66%
3.1
39%
17.7
24%
980
5182012602.50.7
63%
3ChelseaChelsea3874
55%
1.9
7633+43
2.9
79%
53%
32%
10.4
53%
3.6
50%
21.4
42%
1407
6142785142.00.9
62%
4TottenhamTottenham3871
58%
1.9
6940+29
2.9
74%
58%
37%
10.2
63%
3.9
55%
21.0
45%
920
2502823881.81.1
52%
5ArsenalArsenal3869
58%
1.8
6148+13
2.9
79%
58%
32%
10.1
55%
3.5
39%
19.4
29%
1406
6082905081.61.3
53%
6Manchester UnitedManchester United3858
42%
1.5
5757+0
3.0
76%
50%
42%
10.7
68%
3.3
45%
19.2
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
52%
7West HamWest Ham3856
42%
1.5
6051+9
2.9
74%
58%
39%
10.3
63%
2.6
29%
16.2
13%
274
84481411.61.3
48%
8LeicesterLeicester3852
37%
1.4
6259+3
3.2
87%
63%
34%
10.7
58%
3.0
32%
20.0
29%
69
2013361.61.6
52%
9BrightonBrighton3851
32%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
82%
34%
16%
10.9
61%
4.0
55%
20.1
37%
620
1901802491.11.2
55%
10WolvesWolves3851
39%
1.3
3843-5
2.1
55%
37%
18%
9.8
53%
3.9
58%
18.9
29%
273
79791161.01.1
-
11NewcastleNewcastle3849
34%
1.3
4462-18
2.8
79%
47%
29%
9.2
50%
4.2
66%
20.3
37%
568
2341242101.21.6
40%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3848
29%
1.3
5046+4
2.5
74%
50%
26%
9.5
50%
3.7
55%
24.1
79%
505
229931821.31.2
51%
13BrentfordBrentford3846
34%
1.2
4856-8
2.7
82%
58%
24%
10.3
58%
3.1
45%
19.7
26%
565
2281282091.31.5
44%
14Aston VillaAston Villa3845
34%
1.2
5254-2
2.8
79%
58%
29%
11.0
61%
4.3
66%
24.0
66%
536
2201601561.41.4
46%
15SouthamptonSouthampton3840
24%
1.1
4367-24
2.9
82%
58%
39%
11.3
68%
3.3
53%
20.5
34%
205
7253791.11.8
47%
16EvertonEverton3839
29%
1.0
4366-23
2.9
74%
55%
34%
10.0
47%
4.0
55%
20.2
39%
459
1741621231.11.7
39%
17LeedsLeeds3838
24%
1.0
4279-37
3.2
82%
66%
37%
9.3
37%
4.6
68%
22.5
50%
427
166981631.12.1
52%
18BurnleyBurnley3835
18%
0.9
3453-19
2.3
71%
37%
26%
11.6
74%
3.0
34%
19.3
34%
115
708370.91.4
40%
19WatfordWatford3823
16%
0.6
3477-43
2.9
71%
55%
34%
10.4
66%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
88
2838220.92.0
41%
20NorwichNorwich3822
13%
0.6
2384-61
2.8
84%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.1
34%
21.0
39%
107
4631290.62.2
43%
England: Premier League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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