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Liverpool vs Aston Villa Result & Analysis

Date: 20/05/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Liverpool
Liverpool
Vs
62%
24%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Referee: J Brooks

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liverpool win✗ Miss
62.5%
Avg Implied 64.6% · @ 1.49
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.6%
Avg Implied 19.8% · @ 4.85
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
13.9%
Avg Implied 15.6% · @ 6.18
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-614L00D22D61W32W21W43W10W10W30WA·MAN01/04A·CHE04/04H·ARS09/04A·LEE17/04H·NOT22/04A·WES26/04H·TOT30/04H·FUL03/05H·BRE06/05A·LEI15/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.202.291.141.441.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.171.422.831.671.501.17
vs Weaker (18)1.611.061.880.751.401.30
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W21W20W30W11D10W01L01L21WH·BOU18/03A·CHE01/04A·LEI04/04H·NOT08/04H·NEW15/04A·BRE22/04H·FUL25/04A·MAN30/04A·WOL06/05H·TOT13/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.131.871.131.001.13
vs Stronger (2)1.503.502.004.001.003.00
vs Similar (21)1.480.952.000.730.901.20
vs Weaker (7)1.291.001.331.671.250.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.3%
@ 1.48-14.1%
Under 2.5
49.7%
@ 2.68+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.3%
Under 3.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.2%
1-0
11.9%
1-1 ✓
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.4%
Liverpool goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
01234
07.8%4.4%2.1%0.6%0.1%
112%11%4.0%1.1%0.2%
212%9.7%3.8%1.0%0.2%
37.7%6.1%2.4%0.6%0.1%
43.7%2.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Liverpool is 0.16 points better than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Liverpool is 0.63 goals better than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Liverpool is 0.03 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Liverpool is 12.4 percentage points better than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (61% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 5.1 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

120447375526393245453178101279126988A·LEIH·BREH·FULH·TOTA·WESH·NOTA·LEEH·ARSA·CHEA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

80124232114441113605011852A·LEIH·BREH·FULH·TOTA·WESH·NOTA·LEEH·ARSA·CHEA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 8.5 · Total 21.2

⚠️ Fouls

2901711191010812686912126111117612928291818142118222321A·LEIH·BREH·FULH·TOTA·WESH·NOTA·LEEH·ARSA·CHEA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 5.7 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

15083654182487218842139611115101299121515H·TOTA·WOLA·MANH·FULA·BREH·NEWH·NOTA·LEIA·CHEH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

703333232231134333146625527365H·TOTA·WOLA·MANH·FULA·BREH·NEWH·NOTA·LEIA·CHEH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 14.9 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

30091492071661881213157171410161481323292324202824243021H·TOTA·WOLA·MANH·FULA·BREH·NEWH·NOTA·LEIA·CHEH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.09.42.83.22.419.319.918.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)9.39.39.23.04.31.821.522.920.2
vs Weaker (31)10.010.49.62.72.62.918.018.217.8
% over line44%52%36%36%44%28%38%40%36%
% under line56%48%64%64%56%72%62%60%64%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.910.34.13.64.523.822.425.2
vs Stronger (6)11.09.013.03.33.73.020.719.022.3
vs Similar (30)9.58.910.04.33.74.924.323.325.3
vs Weaker (14)11.012.39.73.93.44.324.021.926.1
% over line56%52%60%54%56%52%70%56%84%
% under line44%48%40%46%44%48%30%44%16%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
10.8
Everton
10.8
Bournemouth
10.7
Manchester United
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Tottenham
10.4
Brentford
10.4
Southampton
10.4
Brighton
10.2
West Ham
10.2
Aston Villa
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Wolves
9.9
Chelsea
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
Liverpool
9.7
Leicester
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Crystal Palace
9.4
Manchester City
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.4
Tottenham
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
Everton
4.1
Aston Villa
4.1
Leeds
4.1
Wolves
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Brighton
3.9
Arsenal
3.7
Newcastle
3.7
Manchester United
3.6
Bournemouth
3.5
Manchester City
3.3
Leicester
3.2
Southampton
3.2
Brentford
3.0
Liverpool
2.9
West Ham
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.5
Aston Villa
23.8
Leeds
23.5
Chelsea
23.5
Nottingham Forest
23.0
Fulham
22.2
Brighton
22.0
Tottenham
21.6
Wolves
21.4
Newcastle
21.4
Leicester
21.3
Arsenal
21.3
Southampton
20.9
Bournemouth
20.7
Everton
20.6
Manchester United
20.1
Brentford
19.6
Liverpool
19.3
Manchester City
19.0
West Ham
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.6%
Under 9.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.4%
Under 3.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.3%
Under 21.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D12L20W00D11D31W10W10W20WA·MAN01/04A·CHE04/04H·ARS09/04A·LEE17/04H·NOT22/04A·WES26/04H·TOT30/04H·FUL03/05H·BRE06/05A·LEI15/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.501.140.570.810.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.080.501.170.831.000.17
vs Weaker (18)0.890.501.120.380.700.60
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W11D00D10W00D10W01L01L10WH·BOU18/03A·CHE01/04A·LEI04/04H·NOT08/04H·NEW15/04A·BRE22/04H·FUL25/04A·MAN30/04A·WOL06/05H·TOT13/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.671.070.600.330.73
vs Stronger (2)1.002.002.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (21)0.710.481.000.360.400.60
vs Weaker (7)0.570.861.001.330.250.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L00D10W41W32W10W12L00D00D10WA·MAN01/04A·CHE04/04H·ARS09/04A·LEE17/04H·NOT22/04A·WES26/04H·TOT30/04H·FUL03/05H·BRE06/05A·LEI15/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.701.140.570.620.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.080.921.670.830.501.00
vs Weaker (18)0.720.560.750.380.700.70
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W20W20W11D00D00D00D11DH·BOU18/03A·CHE01/04A·LEI04/04H·NOT08/04H·NEW15/04A·BRE22/04H·FUL25/04A·MAN30/04A·WOL06/05H·TOT13/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.800.530.670.40
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.003.001.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.760.481.000.360.500.60
vs Weaker (7)0.710.140.330.331.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners76.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls71.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards70.7%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah48%
Roberto Firmino30%
Darwin Núñez30%
Cody Gakpo26%
Luis Díaz20%
Diogo Jota14%
Fabio Carvalho12%
Joël Matip11%
Curtis Jones10%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Trent Alexander-Arnold7%
Stefan Bajčetić7%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Jordan Henderson0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahima Konaté29%
Fabinho25%
Joël Matip22%
Trent Alexander-Arnold16%
Joe Gomez15%
Konstantinos Tsimikas15%
Stefan Bajčetić13%
Naby Keïta12%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Curtis Jones10%
Luis Díaz10%
Thiago Alcântara9%
Andrew Robertson8%
James Milner8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Diogo Jota7%
Darwin Núñez5%
Jordan Henderson5%
Mohamed Salah4%
Alisson2%
Cody Gakpo0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Roberto Firmino0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Robertson23%
Mohamed Salah22%
Diogo Jota21%
Konstantinos Tsimikas19%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Luis Díaz10%
Roberto Firmino9%
Cody Gakpo9%
Darwin Núñez8%
Jordan Henderson8%
Curtis Jones5%
Harvey Elliott5%
Fabinho5%
Joe Gomez4%
James Milner3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson2%
Joël Matip0%
Naby Keïta0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah50%
Darwin Núñez41%
Luis Díaz20%
Roberto Firmino18%
Diogo Jota18%
Joël Matip11%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Cody Gakpo9%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Fabio Carvalho6%
Jordan Henderson3%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ollie Watkins38%
Bertrand Traoré25%
Danny Ings22%
Jacob Ramsey17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Leon Bailey12%
Philippe Coutinho5%
Lucas Digne4%
Ashley Young3%
John McGinn3%
Tyrone Mings3%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Calum Chambers0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Álex Moreno0%
Cameron Archer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ludwig Augustinsson33%
Ashley Young24%
John McGinn21%
Tyrone Mings20%
Emiliano Martínez19%
Lucas Digne18%
Boubacar Kamara17%
Danny Ings17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Ezri Konsa16%
Álex Moreno16%
Matty Cash15%
Philippe Coutinho15%
Calum Chambers14%
Jacob Ramsey14%
Bertrand Traoré12%
Leon Bailey12%
Ollie Watkins11%
Jhon Durán8%
Robin Olsen0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Diego Carlos0%
Cameron Archer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Ramsey17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Álex Moreno16%
Ollie Watkins14%
Leon Bailey12%
John McGinn9%
Tyrone Mings6%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Matty Cash4%
Philippe Coutinho0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Ashley Young0%
Lucas Digne0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Danny Ings0%
Calum Chambers0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Cameron Archer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ollie Watkins35%
Danny Ings17%
Leon Bailey6%
Douglas Luiz5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Philippe Coutinho5%
John McGinn3%
Jacob Ramsey3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Ashley Young0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Calum Chambers0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Álex Moreno0%
Cameron Archer0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Liverpool's squad is €444m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€980m vs €536m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Liverpool's attack is €298m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€518m vs €220m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Liverpool's midfield is €41m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€201m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Liverpool's defence is €104m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€260m vs €156m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
LIV wins
0
Draws
1
AVL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Liverpool vs Aston Villa · H/A from LIV
DateH/AGameScore
26/12/22AAston Villa Vs LIV1-3
10/05/22AAston Villa Vs LIV1-2
11/12/21HLIV Vs Aston Villa1-0
10/04/21HLIV Vs Aston Villa2-1
04/10/20AAston Villa Vs LIV7-2

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/23ALeicester Vs LIV0-3
06/05/23HLIV Vs Brentford1-0
03/05/23HLIV Vs Fulham1-0
30/04/23HLIV Vs Tottenham4-3
26/04/23AWest Ham Vs LIV1-2
22/04/23HLIV Vs Nottingham Forest3-2
17/04/23ALeeds Vs LIV1-6
09/04/23HLIV Vs Arsenal2-2
04/04/23AChelsea Vs LIV0-0
01/04/23AManchester City Vs LIV4-1

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/23HAVL Vs Tottenham2-1
06/05/23AWolves Vs AVL1-0
30/04/23AManchester United Vs AVL1-0
25/04/23HAVL Vs Fulham1-0
22/04/23ABrentford Vs AVL1-1
15/04/23HAVL Vs Newcastle3-0
08/04/23HAVL Vs Nottingham Forest2-0
04/04/23ALeicester Vs AVL1-2
01/04/23AChelsea Vs AVL0-2
18/03/23HAVL Vs Bournemouth3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.92
HomeDWWWW2.36
AwayLDWWW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%72%44%
AVG goals3.163.323.00
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %60%52%68%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored2.002.361.64
Conceded1.160.961.36
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet38%48%28%
Corners9.7410.049.44
Cards2.903.242.54
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLW1.50
HomeWWWWW1.72
AwayWWDLL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals2.602.762.44
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %24%28%20%
Scored1.381.601.16
Conceded1.221.161.28
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners10.089.8810.28
Cards4.083.644.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3889
74%
2.3
9433+61
3.3
82%
66%
42%
8.9
50%
3.3
42%
19.7
29%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3884
68%
2.2
8843+45
3.4
84%
68%
53%
9.6
45%
3.5
39%
21.8
50%
1406
6082905082.31.1
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3875
61%
2.0
5843+15
2.7
71%
50%
24%
10.6
61%
3.4
47%
19.3
26%
929
4322362611.51.1
54%
4NewcastleNewcastle3871
50%
1.9
6833+35
2.7
74%
47%
29%
11.4
76%
3.7
45%
21.7
42%
568
2341242101.80.9
52%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3867
50%
1.8
7547+28
3.2
74%
61%
37%
9.8
45%
3.1
42%
19.7
39%
980
5182012602.01.2
61%
6BrightonBrighton3862
47%
1.6
7253+19
3.3
79%
66%
45%
9.7
55%
4.0
53%
22.4
58%
620
1901802491.91.4
60%
7Aston VillaAston Villa3861
47%
1.6
5146+5
2.6
79%
47%
21%
9.9
55%
4.3
55%
24.1
68%
536
2201601561.31.2
49%
8TottenhamTottenham3860
47%
1.6
7063+7
3.5
84%
61%
47%
10.5
63%
4.1
53%
21.1
39%
920
2502823881.81.7
50%
9BrentfordBrentford3859
39%
1.6
5846+12
2.7
82%
45%
32%
9.9
55%
3.1
45%
20.2
29%
565
2281282091.51.2
43%
10FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
5553+2
2.8
74%
66%
29%
10.2
47%
3.7
47%
21.8
42%
329
178281231.41.4
49%
11Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4049-9
2.3
68%
39%
18%
9.6
37%
4.3
58%
24.6
66%
505
229931821.11.3
46%
12ChelseaChelsea3844
29%
1.2
3847-9
2.2
66%
42%
21%
10.3
55%
3.9
58%
22.7
50%
1407
6142785141.01.2
59%
13WolvesWolves3841
29%
1.1
3158-27
2.3
71%
39%
13%
10.3
50%
4.3
61%
23.1
61%
273
79791160.81.5
-
14West HamWest Ham3840
29%
1.1
4255-13
2.6
76%
39%
26%
10.6
53%
2.6
26%
18.1
21%
274
84481411.11.4
42%
15BournemouthBournemouth3839
29%
1.0
3771-34
2.8
74%
47%
32%
10.9
66%
3.1
34%
20.2
32%
573
2851061821.01.9
41%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3838
24%
1.0
3868-30
2.8
79%
45%
34%
9.7
50%
3.9
61%
22.6
61%
551
263522361.01.8
37%
17EvertonEverton3836
21%
0.9
3457-23
2.4
74%
42%
21%
10.9
61%
4.2
66%
21.0
42%
459
1741621230.91.5
42%
18LeicesterLeicester3834
24%
0.9
5168-17
3.1
79%
63%
34%
9.8
50%
3.2
39%
21.6
58%
69
2013361.31.8
48%
19LeedsLeeds3831
18%
0.8
4878-30
3.3
76%
66%
45%
10.1
55%
4.0
61%
23.1
58%
427
166981631.32.1
48%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3825
16%
0.7
3673-37
2.9
66%
53%
34%
9.6
50%
3.6
42%
21.8
45%
205
7253790.91.9
44%
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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