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Liverpool vs Chelsea Result & Analysis

Date: 09/05/2026
Time: 12:30
Final 1-1
Liverpool
Liverpool
Vs
51%
25%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Referee: C Pawson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liverpool win✗ Miss
50.5%
Avg Implied 47.4% · @ 1.99
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.9%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.69
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.48
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D40W12L04L02L20W02L21W31W23LH·TOT15/03H·GAL18/03A·BRI21/03A·MAN04/04A·PAR08/04H·FUL11/04H·PAR14/04A·EVE19/04H·CRY25/04A·MAN03/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.132.530.801.331.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.181.451.501.251.001.57
vs Weaker (19)2.370.952.910.641.621.38
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-725L01L03L03L70W03L01L03L10W13LA·PAR11/03H·NEW14/03H·PAR17/03A·EVE21/03H·POR04/04H·MAN12/04H·MAN18/04A·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04H·NOT04/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.671.531.532.071.80
vs Stronger (2)1.004.000.003.002.005.00
vs Similar (13)1.231.850.832.001.571.71
vs Weaker (15)2.401.202.251.002.571.43
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.5%
@ 1.58-0.1%
Under 2.5
40.5%
@ 2.33+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.1%
Under 3.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.8%
No
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
Liverpool goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
01234
05.6%4.6%3.5%1.5%0.4%
17.4%12%6.5%2.7%0.8%
27.8%9.7%6.0%2.5%0.8%
34.8%5.9%3.7%1.5%0.5%
42.2%2.7%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Liverpool is 0.21 points better than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Liverpool is 0.13 goals better than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Liverpool is 0.03 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Liverpool is 1.5 percentage points better than Chelsea in terms of average possession (59% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 4.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

1502358618269132484623451371015461287A·MANH·CRYA·EVEH·PARH·FULA·PARA·MANA·BRIH·GALH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

100221322233554144220261005A·MANH·CRYA·EVEH·PARH·FULA·PARA·MANA·BRIH·TOTA·GAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 9.8 · Total 20.6

⚠️ Fouls

250111210101289101041281015111115781323202019142025222221A·MANH·CRYA·EVEH·PARH·FULA·PARA·MANA·BRIH·GALH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChelseaChelsea

For 6.9 · Against 3.5 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

160101645671412829393813211101181610121295H·NOTH·LEEA·BRIH·MANH·MANH·PORA·EVEH·PARH·NEWA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

70313411133112221334724412416H·NOTH·LEEA·BRIH·MANH·MANH·PORA·EVEH·NEWA·PARA·WRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

270121014136151213101410107681091071422272125242013181921H·NOTH·LEEA·BRIH·MANH·MANH·PORA·EVEH·PARH·NEWA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.89.73.42.83.920.720.620.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)8.89.68.23.82.84.622.422.022.6
vs Weaker (30)11.211.610.93.12.93.319.619.819.3
% over line56%64%48%44%40%48%40%36%44%
% under line44%36%52%56%60%52%60%64%56%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.99.04.64.84.422.622.822.4
vs Stronger (2)8.512.05.00.50.01.019.518.021.0
vs Similar (23)9.910.59.35.05.64.524.123.325.0
vs Weaker (25)10.011.29.14.54.34.621.522.720.5
% over line62%71%54%64%71%58%58%67%50%
% under line38%29%46%36%29%42%42%33%50%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.3
West Ham
10.9
Bournemouth
10.5
Fulham
10.4
Liverpool
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Manchester City
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
Tottenham
9.9
Brentford
9.9
Manchester United
9.6
Brighton
9.5
Everton
9.4
Aston Villa
9.4
Leeds
9.3
Burnley
9.3
Arsenal
9.2
Wolves
9.1
Sunderland
8.9
Crystal Palace
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.7
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Manchester United
4.3
Brighton
4.3
Sunderland
4.3
Newcastle
4.1
Wolves
3.9
Aston Villa
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Brentford
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
West Ham
3.8
Everton
3.6
Leeds
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Nottingham Forest
3.6
Liverpool
3.4
Arsenal
3.2
Burnley
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
23.9
Wolves
23.8
Nottingham Forest
23.5
Bournemouth
23.4
Tottenham
22.7
Chelsea
22.6
Sunderland
22.5
West Ham
22.4
Brighton
22.4
Leeds
22.3
Manchester United
22.0
Arsenal
21.8
Everton
21.7
Crystal Palace
21.5
Newcastle
21.3
Manchester City
20.9
Liverpool
20.7
Burnley
20.5
Fulham
19.8
Brentford
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.3%
Under 9.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.4%
Under 3.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.1%
Under 21.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D02L01L20W00D10W20W02LH·TOT15/03H·GAL18/03A·BRI21/03A·MAN04/04A·PAR08/04H·FUL11/04H·PAR14/04A·EVE19/04H·CRY25/04A·MAN03/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.401.330.130.270.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.270.550.500.000.140.86
vs Weaker (19)1.110.321.640.180.380.50
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L02L01L30W00D01L01L10W02LA·PAR11/03H·NEW14/03H·PAR17/03A·EVE21/03H·POR04/04H·MAN12/04H·MAN18/04A·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04H·NOT04/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.770.670.730.800.80
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (13)0.541.000.500.830.571.14
vs Weaker (15)0.930.400.880.501.000.29
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W01L02L01L00D02L11D11D21WH·TOT15/03H·GAL18/03A·BRI21/03A·MAN04/04A·PAR08/04H·FUL11/04H·PAR14/04A·EVE19/04H·CRY25/04A·MAN03/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.731.200.671.070.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.910.911.001.250.860.71
vs Weaker (19)1.260.631.270.451.250.88
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L00D01L02L40W03L00D02L00D11DA·PAR11/03H·NEW14/03H·PAR17/03A·EVE21/03H·POR04/04H·MAN12/04H·MAN18/04A·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04H·NOT04/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.900.870.801.271.00
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (13)0.690.850.331.171.000.57
vs Weaker (15)1.470.801.380.501.571.14
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards84.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls70.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah30%
Hugo Ekitiké30%
Dominik Szoboszlai25%
Alexander Isak18%
Cody Gakpo18%
Florian Wirtz15%
Virgil van Dijk13%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Andy Robertson9%
Federico Chiesa8%
Alexis Mac Allister7%
Rio Ngumoha7%
Curtis Jones6%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Ibrahima Konaté4%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Conor Bradley33%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Joe Gomez18%
Ibrahima Konaté18%
Alexis Mac Allister17%
Ryan Gravenberch16%
Virgil van Dijk11%
Federico Chiesa11%
Miloš Kerkez11%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones8%
Cody Gakpo6%
Hugo Ekitiké5%
Alisson3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Andy Robertson3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Florian Wirtz2%
Alexander Isak0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Rio Ngumoha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah25%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Florian Wirtz12%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Hugo Ekitiké11%
Cody Gakpo10%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones6%
Joe Gomez6%
Andy Robertson6%
Federico Chiesa6%
Conor Bradley5%
Alexander Isak5%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah28%
Hugo Ekitiké23%
Dominik Szoboszlai21%
Cody Gakpo18%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Alexander Isak9%
Florian Wirtz8%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Federico Chiesa3%
Miloš Kerkez2%
Ryan Gravenberch2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andy Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Jeremie Frimpong0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro35%
Enzo Fernández28%
Cole Palmer27%
Tyrique George27%
Estêvão Willian23%
Pedro Neto15%
Marc Guiu15%
Alejandro Garnacho14%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Moisés Caicedo10%
Andrey Santos7%
Tosin Adarabioyo7%
Josh Acheampong7%
Trevoh Chalobah7%
Malo Gusto6%
Jorrel Hato6%
Reece James5%
Liam Delap5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Marc Cucurella2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Dário Essugo0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dário Essugo40%
Moisés Caicedo33%
Tyrique George27%
Enzo Fernández26%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Marc Cucurella24%
Wesley Fofana22%
Jorrel Hato20%
Estêvão Willian20%
Andrey Santos19%
Cole Palmer18%
Mamadou Sarr17%
Reece James13%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
João Pedro12%
Pedro Neto12%
Malo Gusto10%
Tosin Adarabioyo10%
Trevoh Chalobah9%
Filip Jørgensen8%
Marc Guiu8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Robert Sánchez6%
Roméo Lavia5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Josh Acheampong3%
Levi Colwill0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Dário Essugo20%
Pedro Neto19%
Reece James15%
Marc Guiu15%
Jamie Gittens15%
Enzo Fernández13%
Malo Gusto10%
João Pedro10%
Andrey Santos10%
Tyrique George9%
Estêvão Willian9%
Marc Cucurella8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Cole Palmer6%
Wesley Fofana5%
Jorrel Hato3%
Liam Delap2%
Robert Sánchez2%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Jesse Derry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho19%
João Pedro18%
Cole Palmer18%
Enzo Fernández15%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Estêvão Willian11%
Pedro Neto8%
Jamie Gittens4%
Reece James3%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Andrey Santos0%
Dário Essugo0%
Tyrique George0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Jesse Derry0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Liverpool's squad is €427m less valuable than Chelsea's (€980m vs €1407m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Liverpool's attack is €96m less valuable than Chelsea's (€518m vs €614m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Liverpool's midfield is €77m less valuable than Chelsea's (€201m vs €278m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Liverpool's defence is €254m less valuable than Chelsea's (€260m vs €514m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
LIV wins
4
Draws
2
CHE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Liverpool vs Chelsea · H/A from LIV
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25AChelsea Vs LIV2-1
04/05/25AChelsea Vs LIV3-1
20/10/24HLIV Vs Chelsea2-1
31/01/24HLIV Vs Chelsea4-1
13/08/23AChelsea Vs LIV1-1
04/04/23AChelsea Vs LIV0-0
21/01/23HLIV Vs Chelsea0-0
02/01/22AChelsea Vs LIV2-2

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/26AManchester United Vs LIV3-2
25/04/26HLIV Vs Crystal Palace3-1
19/04/26AEverton Vs LIV1-2
14/04/26HLIV Vs Paris Saint Germain0-2
11/04/26HLIV Vs Fulham2-0
08/04/26AParis Saint Germain Vs LIV2-0
04/04/26AManchester City Vs LIV4-0
21/03/26ABrighton Vs LIV2-1
18/03/26HLIV Vs Galatasaray4-0
15/03/26HLIV Vs Tottenham1-1

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/26HCHE Vs Nottingham Forest1-3
26/04/26HCHE Vs Leeds1-0
21/04/26ABrighton Vs CHE3-0
18/04/26HCHE Vs Manchester United0-1
12/04/26HCHE Vs Manchester City0-3
04/04/26HCHE Vs Port Vale7-0
21/03/26AEverton Vs CHE3-0
17/03/26HCHE Vs Paris Saint Germain0-3
14/03/26HCHE Vs Newcastle0-1
11/03/26AParis Saint Germain Vs CHE5-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.64
HomeDWWLW1.96
AwayLLLWL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals3.063.202.92
Over 1.5 %82%92%72%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.742.041.44
Conceded1.321.161.48
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners10.2610.849.68
Cards3.432.963.88
Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.56
HomeWLLWL1.54
AwayWDLLL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%46%46%
AVG goals3.303.043.54
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %72%62%81%
Over 3.5 %42%33%50%
Scored1.861.751.96
Conceded1.441.291.58
BTTS60%50%69%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Corners9.9010.889.00
Cards4.674.964.42

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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