Liverpool are tipped to win, a 57% chance that the Reds will come away with a victory, while a 25% chance of a draw and 18% for a Palace win. The model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 25% probability that the final tally will be exactly two. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11.7% chance. Home form shows Liverpool averaging 2.9 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded against weaker opposition, whereas Palace, playing away against stronger teams, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 82.2%, Under 25.5 fouls at 79.6%, Over 1.5 at 78.5%, and Over 2.5 cards at 72.4%. Liverpool’s recent run of draws, losses, draws, losses, draws, and a 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest, contrasts with Palace’s last five of losses, losses, win, loss, draw, and a 1-4 defeat to Manchester City. The match is expected to be a comfortable win for the hosts.
Results analysis
Liverpool’s victory extended their recent run, finishing 3-1 over Crystal Palace. The model’s favourite was a home win, with a 57% probability, and it proved correct. The selection of Under 5.5 cards, with an 82.2% chance, hit, as did Under 25.5 fouls at 79.6%. The Over 1.5 goals pick, at 78.5%, also hit, and the Over 2.5 cards pick, with 72.4%, was successful. The predicted most likely score of 2-0 at 10.1% was missed, but the final 3-1 result still confirmed the model’s overall accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Liverpool win✓ Hit
56.9%
Avg Implied 60.4% · @ 1.56
Edge
-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.37
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace win✗ Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied 18.1% · @ 5.21
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.10
2.50
0.79
1.38
1.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.09
1.18
1.50
1.25
0.86
1.14
vs Weaker (19)
2.37
1.05
2.90
0.60
1.78
1.56
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.20
1.00
1.07
1.27
1.33
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.33
0.50
3.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.10
1.15
1.00
0.80
1.20
1.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.86
1.33
0.67
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.8%
@ 1.50-8.9%
Under 2.5
46.2%
@ 2.52+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.3%
3-1 ✓
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
Liverpool goals ↓
Crystal Palace goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
4.7%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
1
9.9%
12%
5.2%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
6.3%
6.1%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
4
2.9%
2.8%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Crystal Palace goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Liverpool is 0.39 points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Liverpool is 0.58 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Liverpool is 0.05 goals worse than Crystal Palace in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.34).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Liverpool is 13.5 percentage points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average possession (59% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liverpool
For 5.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 10.0 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Crystal Palace
For 4.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 11.1 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.8
9.8
3.4
2.8
4.0
20.8
20.5
21.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
9.1
9.7
8.5
3.8
2.9
4.7
22.1
21.5
22.6
vs Weaker (30)
11.1
11.5
10.7
3.1
2.8
3.5
20.0
19.8
20.1
% over line
56%
64%
48%
44%
40%
48%
40%
36%
44%
% under line
44%
36%
52%
56%
60%
52%
60%
64%
56%
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.4
8.8
4.0
3.9
4.1
21.4
21.6
21.1
vs Stronger (7)
8.0
7.0
8.8
3.1
3.7
2.8
20.1
18.0
21.8
vs Similar (33)
8.8
8.2
9.3
4.2
4.1
4.3
21.5
22.1
20.9
vs Weaker (10)
8.3
9.6
7.0
3.9
3.4
4.4
21.7
22.2
21.2
% over line
42%
44%
40%
66%
60%
72%
46%
52%
40%
% under line
58%
56%
60%
34%
40%
28%
54%
48%
60%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.4
West Ham
10.9
Fulham
10.6
Bournemouth
10.5
Liverpool
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Tottenham
9.9
Chelsea
9.9
Manchester City
9.8
Brentford
9.7
Manchester United
9.7
Everton
9.5
Arsenal
9.5
Brighton
9.4
Leeds
9.4
Burnley
9.4
Aston Villa
9.4
Wolves
9.1
Sunderland
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.6
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Brighton
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Newcastle
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.0
Aston Villa
3.9
Wolves
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Nottingham Forest
3.6
West Ham
3.6
Fulham
3.5
Everton
3.5
Liverpool
3.5
Leeds
3.4
Arsenal
3.3
Burnley
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.9
Aston Villa
23.7
Bournemouth
23.5
Nottingham Forest
23.5
Tottenham
22.6
Sunderland
22.5
Chelsea
22.5
West Ham
22.4
Brighton
22.3
Leeds
22.0
Manchester United
21.8
Everton
21.7
Arsenal
21.7
Newcastle
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.4
Liverpool
20.8
Manchester City
20.6
Burnley
20.4
Brentford
19.9
Fulham
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.8%
Under 9.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.7%
Under 3.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.3%
Under 21.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.33
1.29
0.14
0.25
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.27
0.36
0.50
0.00
0.14
0.57
vs Weaker (19)
1.00
0.32
1.60
0.20
0.33
0.44
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.53
0.47
0.93
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.90
0.70
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.14
0.67
0.00
1.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.77
1.21
0.64
1.12
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.82
1.00
1.25
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (19)
1.37
0.74
1.30
0.40
1.44
1.11
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.47
0.60
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.55
0.40
0.30
0.30
0.80
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.71
0.67
0.67
0.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah30%
Hugo Ekitiké30%
Dominik Szoboszlai25%
Alexander Isak18%
Cody Gakpo18%
Florian Wirtz15%
Virgil van Dijk13%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Andy Robertson9%
Federico Chiesa8%
Alexis Mac Allister7%
Rio Ngumoha7%
Curtis Jones6%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Ibrahima Konaté4%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Conor Bradley33%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Joe Gomez18%
Ibrahima Konaté18%
Alexis Mac Allister17%
Ryan Gravenberch16%
Virgil van Dijk11%
Federico Chiesa11%
Miloš Kerkez11%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones8%
Cody Gakpo6%
Hugo Ekitiké5%
Alisson3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Andy Robertson3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Florian Wirtz2%
Alexander Isak0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Rio Ngumoha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah25%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Florian Wirtz12%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Hugo Ekitiké11%
Cody Gakpo10%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones6%
Joe Gomez6%
Andy Robertson6%
Federico Chiesa6%
Conor Bradley5%
Alexander Isak5%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah28%
Hugo Ekitiké23%
Dominik Szoboszlai21%
Cody Gakpo18%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Alexander Isak9%
Florian Wirtz8%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Federico Chiesa3%
Miloš Kerkez2%
Ryan Gravenberch2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andy Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Jeremie Frimpong0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Crystal Palace
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ismaïla Sarr36%
Jean-Philippe Mateta24%
Edward Nketiah21%
Evann Guessand14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen14%
Daniel Muñoz11%
Yéremy Pino10%
Marc Guéhi9%
Christantus Uche9%
Justin Devenny6%
Maxence Lacroix6%
Tyrick Mitchell6%
Chris Richards4%
Daichi Kamada2%
Adam Wharton2%
Jefferson Lerma0%
Will Hughes0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Borna Sosa0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Chadi Riad0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chadi Riad33%
Borna Sosa29%
Jørgen Strand Larsen23%
Marc Guéhi22%
Will Hughes19%
Jaydee Canvot17%
Edward Nketiah16%
Yéremy Pino16%
Daniel Muñoz16%
Brennan Johnson15%
Adam Wharton15%
Jefferson Lerma15%
Romain Esse12%
Chris Richards12%
Maxence Lacroix11%
Tyrick Mitchell11%
Dean Henderson10%
Ismaïla Sarr9%
Daichi Kamada9%
Jean-Philippe Mateta8%
Nathaniel Clyne7%
Walter Benítez0%
Evann Guessand0%
Justin Devenny0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Christantus Uche0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adam Wharton10%
Marc Guéhi9%
Daichi Kamada9%
Daniel Muñoz9%
Jefferson Lerma9%
Chadi Riad8%
Yéremy Pino8%
Brennan Johnson8%
Tyrick Mitchell7%
Nathaniel Clyne7%
Evann Guessand7%
Jean-Philippe Mateta6%
Maxence Lacroix6%
Edward Nketiah5%
Jørgen Strand Larsen5%
Justin Devenny3%
Ismaïla Sarr2%
Will Hughes2%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Borna Sosa0%
Chris Richards0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Christantus Uche0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jean-Philippe Mateta18%
Ismaïla Sarr16%
Christantus Uche9%
Evann Guessand7%
Borna Sosa6%
Yéremy Pino6%
Edward Nketiah5%
Jørgen Strand Larsen5%
Chris Richards4%
Brennan Johnson4%
Adam Wharton4%
Justin Devenny3%
Daniel Muñoz2%
Jefferson Lerma2%
Will Hughes2%
Maxence Lacroix2%
Daichi Kamada0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Chadi Riad0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Liverpool's squad is €475m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€980m vs €505m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Liverpool's attack is €289m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€518m vs €229m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Liverpool's midfield is €108m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€201m vs €93m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Liverpool's defence is €78m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€260m vs €182m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves