Liverpool are tipped to win in a match that the model sees as a fairly open affair, with a 54% chance of a home victory, 25% for a draw and 21% for a Manchester United win. The expected total of 2.9 goals suggests a lively game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12% probability. Liverpool’s home form shows they score an average of 1.4 goals and concede 1.2 against opponents of similar strength, while United’s away record is 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 87.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 81.4%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.4%, Over 21.5 fouls at 77.1% and Over 2.5 cards at 73.2%. Liverpool are coming off a draw, whereas United are still recovering from a defeat.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction came through as Liverpool secured a home win, extending their recent run after a draw against Nottingham Forest. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 54% probability and proved correct. The final score of 7-0 confirmed the actual result as a decisive home victory. The model’s selections performed strongly: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 87.8%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 81.4%, Over 1.5 hit at 79.6%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 78.4%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 77.1%, and Over 2.5 cards hit at 73.2%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and every pick’s outcome was reported once.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Liverpool win✓ Hit
54.1%
Avg Implied 39.2% · @ 2.46
Edge
+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.58
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied 33.8% · @ 2.85
Edge
-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.23
2.19
0.94
1.57
1.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.73
1.55
1.40
1.20
2.00
1.83
vs Weaker (19)
2.00
1.05
2.55
0.82
1.25
1.38
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
0.93
1.93
0.53
1.67
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
2.25
2.50
2.00
1.00
2.50
4.00
vs Similar (16)
1.62
0.88
1.80
0.60
1.33
1.33
vs Weaker (10)
1.90
0.40
2.33
0.00
1.71
0.57
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.3%
@ 1.72-0.3%
Under 2.5
44.7%
@ 2.16+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
Liverpool goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
4.8%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
1
9.0%
12%
5.8%
2.1%
0.5%
2
9.2%
9.9%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
5.6%
6.0%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.6%
2.7%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Liverpool is 0.21 points worse than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Liverpool is 0.45 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Liverpool is 0.11 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Liverpool is 7.3 percentage points better than Manchester United in terms of average possession (61% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liverpool
For 4.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 9.9 · Total 20.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
For 4.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.3
9.6
2.7
2.7
2.7
18.1
17.8
18.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
9.4
10.4
8.7
2.5
3.4
1.9
19.9
21.1
19.0
vs Weaker (33)
10.2
10.2
10.2
2.8
2.4
3.3
17.2
16.6
18.1
% over line
50%
58%
42%
32%
27%
38%
30%
27%
33%
% under line
50%
42%
58%
68%
73%
62%
70%
73%
67%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.8
9.8
3.5
3.2
3.8
19.2
18.3
20.1
vs Stronger (5)
7.4
3.0
10.3
3.6
4.5
3.0
20.6
22.5
19.3
vs Similar (29)
10.3
10.6
10.0
3.9
3.5
4.3
19.4
18.6
20.5
vs Weaker (16)
9.7
10.0
9.4
2.8
2.3
3.2
18.3
16.4
19.8
% over line
54%
56%
52%
50%
52%
48%
30%
24%
36%
% under line
46%
44%
48%
50%
48%
52%
70%
76%
64%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brighton
10.6
Fulham
10.5
Brentford
10.5
Bournemouth
10.5
Everton
10.4
Newcastle
10.4
Southampton
10.3
Aston Villa
10.3
Tottenham
10.1
Leicester
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Wolves
10.0
Liverpool
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Chelsea
9.9
Arsenal
9.9
Manchester United
9.8
Manchester City
9.5
Crystal Palace
9.5
Leeds
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Leeds
4.4
Everton
4.2
Tottenham
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.0
Aston Villa
4.0
Newcastle
4.0
Bournemouth
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Chelsea
3.9
Brighton
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
Manchester United
3.5
Southampton
3.5
Manchester City
3.1
Leicester
3.0
Brentford
2.9
West Ham
2.9
Liverpool
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.6
Aston Villa
23.9
Nottingham Forest
23.1
Chelsea
23.0
Leeds
22.8
Fulham
21.3
Bournemouth
21.2
Southampton
21.1
Tottenham
21.0
Everton
20.9
Brighton
20.9
Arsenal
20.7
Newcastle
20.6
Leicester
20.5
Wolves
20.4
Manchester United
19.2
Brentford
19.1
Manchester City
18.2
Liverpool
18.1
West Ham
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.8%
Under 9.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.8%
Under 3.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.1%
Under 21.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
1.12
0.62
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.82
0.60
0.60
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
0.95
0.63
1.36
0.64
0.38
0.62
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.37
0.60
0.13
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.25
0.70
0.10
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.20
0.67
0.00
0.86
0.29
Clean sheet %
77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.53
1.06
0.31
0.93
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.73
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (19)
1.05
0.42
1.18
0.18
0.88
0.75
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.57
1.33
0.40
1.00
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
2.25
1.25
2.00
0.50
2.50
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.62
1.10
0.50
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
0.20
1.67
0.00
0.86
0.29
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah48%
Roberto Firmino30%
Darwin Núñez30%
Cody Gakpo26%
Luis Díaz20%
Diogo Jota14%
Fabio Carvalho12%
Joël Matip11%
Curtis Jones10%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Trent Alexander-Arnold7%
Stefan Bajčetić7%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Jordan Henderson0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahima Konaté29%
Fabinho25%
Joël Matip22%
Trent Alexander-Arnold16%
Joe Gomez15%
Konstantinos Tsimikas15%
Stefan Bajčetić13%
Naby Keïta12%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Curtis Jones10%
Luis Díaz10%
Thiago Alcântara9%
Andrew Robertson8%
James Milner8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Diogo Jota7%
Darwin Núñez5%
Jordan Henderson5%
Mohamed Salah4%
Alisson2%
Cody Gakpo0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Roberto Firmino0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Robertson23%
Mohamed Salah22%
Diogo Jota21%
Konstantinos Tsimikas19%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Luis Díaz10%
Roberto Firmino9%
Cody Gakpo9%
Darwin Núñez8%
Jordan Henderson8%
Curtis Jones5%
Harvey Elliott5%
Fabinho5%
Joe Gomez4%
James Milner3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson2%
Joël Matip0%
Naby Keïta0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah50%
Darwin Núñez41%
Luis Díaz20%
Roberto Firmino18%
Diogo Jota18%
Joël Matip11%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Cody Gakpo9%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Fabio Carvalho6%
Jordan Henderson3%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Rashford45%
Anthony Martial25%
Jadon Sancho19%
Cristiano Ronaldo19%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Antony18%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Casemiro10%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred7%
Scott McTominay6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Wout Weghorst4%
Christian Eriksen3%
Lisandro Martínez3%
Luke Shaw2%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Anthony Elanga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Facundo Pellistri29%
Scott McTominay26%
Casemiro25%
Luke Shaw25%
Lisandro Martínez24%
Tyrell Malacia23%
Harry Maguire22%
Antony21%
Diogo Dalot19%
Cristiano Ronaldo19%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Fred16%
Wout Weghorst9%
Christian Eriksen8%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka8%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Raphaël Varane7%
Marcus Rashford5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donny van de Beek0%
David De Gea0%
Anthony Martial0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Eriksen28%
Bruno Fernandes21%
Marcus Rashford14%
Cristiano Ronaldo12%
Anthony Martial12%
Casemiro10%
Luke Shaw10%
Jadon Sancho8%
Alejandro Garnacho8%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred7%
Antony6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Anthony Elanga5%
Wout Weghorst4%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Scott McTominay0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cristiano Ronaldo44%
Marcus Rashford43%
Antony38%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Casemiro15%
Wout Weghorst9%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred5%
Anthony Martial4%
Alejandro Garnacho4%
Scott McTominay3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Christian Eriksen0%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Liverpool's squad is €50m more valuable than Manchester United's (€980m vs €929m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Liverpool's attack is €86m more valuable than Manchester United's (€518m vs €432m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Liverpool's midfield is €36m less valuable than Manchester United's (€201m vs €236m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Liverpool and Manchester United have a similar defence value (both €260m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Newcastle
Brighton
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton