Liverpool’s 64% chance of victory makes them the clear favourite, a rating that reflects their strong home form - averaging 2.67 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded against similar opposition - while Manchester United’s away average of 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded shows a weaker threat. The model picks a home win, and the expected total of 3.3 goals points to a lively encounter, with the most likely scoreline 2-1 for Liverpool at 9.8%. The draw probability sits at 21%, and the away win at 16%. Suggested selections include Over 8.5 corners (87.9%), Over 1.5 goals (85.3%), Over 2.5 cards (83.3%), Over 9.5 corners (80.3%), Under 25.5 fouls (79.8%) and Over 10.5 corners (70.9%). Liverpool’s recent draw streak and United’s recent win streak set the stage, but the model’s data favours a Liverpool victory.
Results analysis
Liverpool’s home form had been a string of draws, but the 2-2 draw against Manchester United ended that run. The pre-match favourite was a Home win, with a 64% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The match finished as a draw, with both sides scoring twice. The model’s selections all hit: Over 8.5 corners (87.9%), Over 1.5 goals (85.3%), Over 2.5 cards (83.3%), Over 9.5 corners (80.3%), Under 25.5 fouls (79.8%) and Over 10.5 corners (70.9%). Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome was noted.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Liverpool win✗ Miss
63.8%
Avg Implied 70.3% · @ 1.36
Edge
-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
20.7%
Avg Implied 17.6% · @ 5.42
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win✗ Miss
15.5%
Avg Implied 12.1% · @ 7.90
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.57
0.90
2.47
0.60
2.67
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
2.83
1.00
2.67
0.50
3.00
1.50
vs Weaker (18)
2.39
0.83
2.33
0.67
2.44
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.40
2.12
1.44
1.36
1.36
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.75
1.30
2.00
1.20
1.50
vs Weaker (9)
2.89
0.67
3.50
0.50
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.3%
Under 1.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.5%
@ 1.51+1.2%
Under 2.5
35.5%
@ 2.60-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.4%
Under 3.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
3-0
7.0%
2-2 ✓
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
Liverpool goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
2.9%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.3%
9.5%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
2
9.3%
9.8%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
3
7.0%
7.4%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
4
4.0%
4.2%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Liverpool is 1.11 points better than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (2.21 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Liverpool is 1.11 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (2.26 vs 1.16).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Liverpool is 0.34 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.42).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Liverpool is 4.3 percentage points better than Manchester United in terms of average possession (58% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liverpool
For 7.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
For 3.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.0
10.3
4.1
4.4
3.8
21.6
22.3
20.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
8.9
9.2
8.6
4.4
4.3
4.4
21.9
23.2
20.7
vs Weaker (32)
11.8
12.1
11.4
3.9
4.5
3.4
21.4
21.7
21.1
% over line
64%
71%
57%
54%
60%
48%
51%
58%
43%
% under line
36%
29%
43%
46%
40%
52%
49%
42%
57%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.5
11.1
3.9
3.7
4.1
20.3
19.6
21.0
vs Stronger (2)
13.5
-
13.5
1.5
-
1.5
17.0
-
17.0
vs Similar (33)
11.4
11.2
11.5
4.0
4.2
3.9
20.4
20.1
20.7
vs Weaker (15)
10.8
12.0
8.8
3.9
3.0
5.8
20.5
18.5
23.8
% over line
57%
65%
50%
58%
52%
64%
40%
39%
42%
% under line
43%
35%
50%
42%
48%
36%
60%
61%
58%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.8
Bournemouth
12.0
Manchester United
11.3
Manchester City
11.1
Southampton
11.0
Brentford
11.0
Everton
10.9
Newcastle
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Crystal Palace
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Ipswich
10.4
Wolves
10.4
Chelsea
10.3
Aston Villa
10.2
Brighton
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Leicester
9.9
Arsenal
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
4.9
Chelsea
4.9
Brighton
4.8
Wolves
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Southampton
4.6
Newcastle
4.6
Tottenham
4.5
Liverpool
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Leicester
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Brentford
4.1
Fulham
4.0
West Ham
3.9
Arsenal
3.9
Ipswich
3.8
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.0
Aston Villa
23.6
Wolves
23.6
Crystal Palace
23.4
Bournemouth
23.1
Southampton
23.1
Newcastle
22.9
Chelsea
22.9
Ipswich
22.8
Brighton
22.7
Nottingham Forest
21.8
Arsenal
21.7
Everton
21.7
Liverpool
21.6
Leicester
21.6
West Ham
21.1
Fulham
20.7
Manchester United
20.3
Brentford
20.0
Manchester City
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
80.3%
Under 9.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.8%
Under 3.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.0%
Under 21.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.37
0.93
0.27
1.27
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.33
0.42
0.83
0.00
1.83
0.83
vs Weaker (18)
0.94
0.33
1.00
0.44
0.89
0.22
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
1.00
0.75
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.75
0.40
1.00
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
0.22
2.00
0.33
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.53
1.53
0.33
1.40
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.50
0.58
1.83
0.50
1.17
0.67
vs Weaker (18)
1.44
0.50
1.33
0.22
1.56
0.78
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.80
1.12
0.69
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
1.00
0.90
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
1.33
0.44
1.50
0.17
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 8.5 corners
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 10.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah56%
Cody Gakpo31%
Jayden Danns25%
Luis Díaz24%
Diogo Jota22%
Harvey Elliott18%
Dominik Szoboszlai16%
Alexis Mac Allister14%
Federico Chiesa14%
Darwin Núñez13%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Curtis Jones7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James McConnell25%
Alexis Mac Allister22%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Darwin Núñez19%
Ibrahima Konaté19%
Virgil van Dijk14%
Ryan Gravenberch14%
Harvey Elliott14%
Conor Bradley14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Joe Gomez12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold11%
Andrew Robertson11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas10%
Cody Gakpo10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Luis Díaz6%
Diogo Jota5%
Curtis Jones4%
Wataru Endo3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jayden Danns0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah37%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Dominik Szoboszlai14%
Conor Bradley14%
Trent Alexander-Arnold14%
Curtis Jones13%
Cody Gakpo12%
Harvey Elliott11%
Darwin Núñez11%
Alexis Mac Allister10%
Luis Díaz10%
Ryan Gravenberch8%
Diogo Jota8%
Federico Chiesa7%
Konstantinos Tsimikas7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Andrew Robertson4%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah52%
Cody Gakpo24%
Darwin Núñez21%
Luis Díaz18%
Diogo Jota16%
Harvey Elliott11%
Dominik Szoboszlai10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Curtis Jones4%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Alexis Mac Allister4%
Konstantinos Tsimikas3%
Ibrahima Konaté2%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruno Fernandes27%
Marcus Rashford22%
Amad Diallo19%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Rasmus Højlund15%
Joshua Zirkzee12%
Christian Eriksen11%
Harry Maguire10%
Casemiro10%
Jonny Evans8%
Mason Mount8%
Antony7%
Lisandro Martínez6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Kobbie Mainoo6%
Matthijs de Ligt5%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
André Onana0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Toby Collyer0%
Patrick Dorgu0%
Chido Obi-Martin0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Manuel Ugarte33%
Lisandro Martínez29%
Harry Maguire26%
Tyrell Malacia25%
Leny Yoro21%
Patrick Dorgu20%
Casemiro20%
Kobbie Mainoo19%
Mason Mount19%
Marcus Rashford17%
Jonny Evans17%
Ayden Heaven17%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Amad Diallo14%
Diogo Dalot13%
Chido Obi-Martin12%
Matthijs de Ligt12%
Christian Eriksen11%
Noussair Mazraoui11%
Altay Bayındır10%
Alejandro Garnacho9%
Luke Shaw8%
Toby Collyer8%
Joshua Zirkzee6%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Rasmus Højlund4%
André Onana2%
Antony0%
Harry Amass0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes25%
Amad Diallo17%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Marcus Rashford13%
Christian Eriksen11%
Manuel Ugarte11%
Diogo Dalot10%
Lisandro Martínez6%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Rasmus Højlund4%
Noussair Mazraoui4%
Leny Yoro3%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Harry Maguire3%
Casemiro2%
André Onana0%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Antony0%
Jonny Evans0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Toby Collyer0%
Patrick Dorgu0%
Chido Obi-Martin0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho32%
Bruno Fernandes29%
Casemiro15%
Antony14%
Marcus Rashford13%
Chido Obi-Martin12%
Amad Diallo12%
Rasmus Højlund12%
Harry Maguire8%
Patrick Dorgu5%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Diogo Dalot4%
Mason Mount4%
Christian Eriksen3%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Matthijs de Ligt2%
André Onana0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Toby Collyer0%
Leny Yoro0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Liverpool's squad is €50m more valuable than Manchester United's (€980m vs €929m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Liverpool's attack is €86m more valuable than Manchester United's (€518m vs €432m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Liverpool's midfield is €36m less valuable than Manchester United's (€201m vs €236m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Liverpool and Manchester United have a similar defence value (both €260m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton