Liverpool’s strong home form, averaging 2.5 goals scored and just one conceded against similarly matched opponents, makes a home win the model’s pick, reflected in a 63% probability. Manchester United, on the road, averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.73 conceded, a weaker offensive output that the model weighs against Liverpool’s defensive solidity. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a lively match, with the most likely scoreline 2-1 for Liverpool at 9.8%. Liverpool’s home win probability is 63%, the draw 21%, and the away win 16%. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 87.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 85.3%, Under 23.5 fouls at 76.6%, Under 5.5 cards at 75.5%, Over 8.5 corners at 71.9%, and Over 2.5 cards at 78.8%. The model’s selection for the match result is a Liverpool victory, supported by the home side’s recent draw-heavy run and the away side’s recent defeat.
Results analysis
Liverpool’s hopes were dashed as Manchester United snatched a 2-1 victory, the first away win for United since the last match. The pre-match favourite was a Home win at 63 percent, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selection of Under 25.5 fouls hit at 87.3 percent, and Over 1.5 goals also hit at 85.3 percent. Over 2.5 cards missed at 78.8 percent, while Under 23.5 fouls, Under 5.5 cards and Over 8.5 corners all hit at 76.6 percent, 75.5 percent and 71.9 percent respectively. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away win, and the match delivered the upset the model had predicted would be unlikely.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Liverpool win✗ Miss
63.2%
Avg Implied 57.0% · @ 1.67
Edge
+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.30
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win✓ Hit
15.9%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.55
Edge
-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.23
2.19
1.00
1.36
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.83
1.17
2.50
1.00
1.17
1.33
vs Weaker (18)
1.78
1.28
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.62
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.40
1.71
1.07
1.25
1.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
1.52
1.43
2.00
1.10
1.09
1.73
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
1.29
1.33
1.33
2.00
1.25
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.3%
Under 1.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.5%
@ 1.44-0.6%
Under 2.5
35.5%
@ 2.69+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 3.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.7%
No
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
1-2 ✓
4.7%
Liverpool goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
3.0%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.2%
9.6%
4.7%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.1%
9.8%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
6.9%
7.4%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
4
3.9%
4.1%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Liverpool is 0.29 points worse than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Liverpool is 0.16 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.82).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Liverpool is 0.08 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Liverpool is 6.9 percentage points better than Manchester United in terms of average possession (59% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liverpool
For 5.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 10.8 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
For 4.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 13.0 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.8
10.6
3.4
3.4
3.3
20.2
20.6
19.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
11.6
11.8
11.5
3.2
3.5
2.9
19.2
20.8
17.4
vs Weaker (31)
10.1
10.1
10.1
3.5
3.3
3.6
20.8
20.5
21.0
% over line
59%
64%
55%
44%
44%
44%
32%
36%
27%
% under line
41%
36%
45%
56%
56%
56%
68%
64%
73%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.4
10.2
3.9
4.4
3.4
21.9
22.7
21.2
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
8.0
8.0
2.3
5.0
1.0
19.0
22.0
17.5
vs Similar (33)
9.6
8.5
10.9
4.3
4.8
3.8
22.7
22.9
22.4
vs Weaker (14)
9.1
8.0
9.6
3.3
3.3
3.2
20.6
22.0
19.9
% over line
48%
45%
50%
58%
67%
50%
59%
64%
54%
% under line
52%
55%
50%
42%
33%
50%
41%
36%
46%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.0
Newcastle
10.8
Bournemouth
10.5
Liverpool
10.5
Brentford
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Aston Villa
10.3
West Ham
10.3
Fulham
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Arsenal
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Everton
9.7
Sunderland
9.7
Wolves
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Manchester City
9.5
Manchester United
9.4
Chelsea
9.3
Burnley
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.0
Nottingham Forest
4.8
Chelsea
4.4
Brighton
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.3
Newcastle
4.3
Sunderland
4.3
Manchester United
4.2
Aston Villa
4.1
Wolves
4.1
Brentford
3.9
Tottenham
3.8
Liverpool
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.6
Arsenal
3.6
Burnley
3.4
West Ham
3.4
Leeds
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.1
Wolves
24.1
Aston Villa
23.2
Brighton
23.1
Tottenham
22.9
Newcastle
22.7
Sunderland
22.5
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Burnley
22.2
Chelsea
22.1
West Ham
22.0
Leeds
21.9
Manchester United
21.8
Fulham
21.6
Everton
21.6
Crystal Palace
21.2
Arsenal
21.2
Liverpool
20.6
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.1%
Under 9.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.2%
Under 3.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
38.4%
Under 21.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
1.00
0.38
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.67
1.33
0.50
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (18)
0.72
0.50
0.80
0.30
0.62
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.79
0.50
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.76
1.00
0.60
0.64
0.91
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
0.71
0.33
0.33
0.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.67
1.19
0.62
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.50
1.17
0.50
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (18)
1.06
0.78
1.20
0.70
0.88
0.88
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.93
0.57
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.57
1.00
1.00
1.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah30%
Hugo Ekitiké30%
Dominik Szoboszlai25%
Alexander Isak18%
Cody Gakpo18%
Florian Wirtz15%
Virgil van Dijk13%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Andy Robertson9%
Federico Chiesa8%
Alexis Mac Allister7%
Rio Ngumoha7%
Curtis Jones6%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Ibrahima Konaté4%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Conor Bradley33%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Joe Gomez18%
Ibrahima Konaté18%
Alexis Mac Allister17%
Ryan Gravenberch16%
Virgil van Dijk11%
Federico Chiesa11%
Miloš Kerkez11%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones8%
Cody Gakpo6%
Hugo Ekitiké5%
Alisson3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Andy Robertson3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Florian Wirtz2%
Alexander Isak0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Rio Ngumoha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah25%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Florian Wirtz12%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Hugo Ekitiké11%
Cody Gakpo10%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones6%
Joe Gomez6%
Andy Robertson6%
Federico Chiesa6%
Conor Bradley5%
Alexander Isak5%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah28%
Hugo Ekitiké23%
Dominik Szoboszlai21%
Cody Gakpo18%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Alexander Isak9%
Florian Wirtz8%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Federico Chiesa3%
Miloš Kerkez2%
Ryan Gravenberch2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andy Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Jeremie Frimpong0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Šeško34%
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha29%
Casemiro26%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Mason Mount12%
Harry Maguire8%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Matthijs de Ligt7%
Amad Diallo6%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Diogo Dalot3%
Luke Shaw3%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Casemiro29%
Shea Lacey25%
Luke Shaw24%
Patrick Dorgu18%
Harry Maguire16%
Joshua Zirkzee15%
Noussair Mazraoui15%
Diogo Dalot14%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Bryan Mbeumo12%
Matheus Cunha11%
Ayden Heaven11%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Mason Mount8%
Benjamin Šeško6%
Amad Diallo6%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Senne Lammens0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes51%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Amad Diallo9%
Bryan Mbeumo9%
Diogo Dalot8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro6%
Matheus Cunha6%
Ayden Heaven6%
Mason Mount4%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Benjamin Šeško3%
Luke Shaw3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Shea Lacey0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha31%
Benjamin Šeško25%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Amad Diallo15%
Casemiro14%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Patrick Dorgu7%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Liverpool's squad is €50m more valuable than Manchester United's (€980m vs €929m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Liverpool's attack is €86m more valuable than Manchester United's (€518m vs €432m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Liverpool's midfield is €36m less valuable than Manchester United's (€201m vs €236m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Liverpool and Manchester United have a similar defence value (both €260m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves