Liverpool’s home form is a clear advantage, scoring an average of 3.25 goals and conceding only 0.33 against weaker opposition, while Newcastle’s away record shows 0.33 goals scored and 3.33 conceded against stronger teams. The model therefore rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 8%, making the home win the single most likely result. The expected total goals is 2.7, with the most probable total of 2 goals at 25%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 14.7% probability. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls (99.6%), Under 23.5 fouls (98.6%), Under 21.5 fouls (96.1%), Under 5.5 cards (95.5%), Under 19.5 fouls (90.2%), Under 4.5 cards (88.5%), Over 8.5 corners (84.0%) and Over 1.5 (76.6%). Liverpool’s recent draw streak and Newcastle’s two-game winning run add context, but the venue advantage and scoring disparity keep the home side favoured.
Results analysis
Liverpool’s 2-1 victory over Newcastle confirmed the model’s prediction that the home side would win, with a 72% pre-match probability. The win extends Liverpool’s recent run, while Newcastle’s two-game winning streak was halted. The model’s favourite was correct, and the final score matched the expected outcome. Every suggested selection performed as forecasted: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 99.6%, Under 23.5 fouls at 98.6%, Under 21.5 fouls at 96.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 95.5%, Under 19.5 fouls at 90.2%, Under 4.5 cards at 88.5%, Over 8.5 corners at 84.0%, and Over 1.5 at 76.6%. All selections were settled, with none missed.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Liverpool win✓ Hit
71.8%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.29
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.7%
Avg Implied 15.6% · @ 6.22
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✗ Miss
8.5%
Avg Implied 9.4% · @ 10.29
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.40
0.67
3.00
0.33
1.80
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.89
1.11
2.00
0.33
1.83
1.50
vs Weaker (21)
2.62
0.48
3.25
0.33
1.78
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.30
1.40
0.93
0.93
1.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
2.57
1.25
2.00
0.33
3.33
vs Similar (15)
1.20
0.80
1.57
0.43
0.88
1.12
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
1.12
1.25
0.75
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.6%
Under 1.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.5%
@ 1.40-16.3%
Under 2.5
48.5%
@ 2.96+16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.4%
Under 3.5
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.0%
No
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.7%
1-0
12.9%
3-0
10.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-1 ✓
8.9%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
5.5%
Liverpool goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
3.1%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
1
13%
9.2%
2.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
15%
8.9%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
3
10%
6.3%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
4
5.5%
3.4%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Liverpool is 0.11 points worse than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Liverpool is 0.18 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 1.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Liverpool is 0.37 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 0.87).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Liverpool is 9.3 percentage points better than Newcastle in terms of average possession (61% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liverpool
For 7.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 7.7 · Total 16.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Newcastle
For 5.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.8
11.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
18.1
17.1
19.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
10.1
11.1
9.1
4.0
4.0
4.0
20.0
20.1
19.9
vs Weaker (35)
11.3
10.7
11.9
2.6
2.7
2.5
17.2
15.9
18.6
% over line
64%
60%
68%
38%
36%
40%
24%
16%
32%
% under line
36%
40%
32%
62%
64%
60%
76%
84%
68%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.2
10.3
3.9
3.8
4.1
20.0
20.4
19.6
vs Stronger (10)
10.2
10.7
9.5
3.9
4.0
3.8
18.1
19.5
16.0
vs Similar (27)
9.7
9.4
10.0
4.2
3.8
4.6
20.4
21.3
19.6
vs Weaker (13)
9.4
7.2
11.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
20.5
19.2
21.7
% over line
54%
44%
64%
58%
56%
60%
32%
32%
32%
% under line
46%
56%
36%
42%
44%
40%
68%
68%
68%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Southampton
11.0
Liverpool
10.9
Aston Villa
10.9
Leicester
10.6
Everton
10.6
Manchester City
10.6
Tottenham
10.6
Brighton
10.5
Manchester United
10.4
Chelsea
10.3
Fulham
10.3
Wolves
10.3
Arsenal
10.1
Bournemouth
10.0
Brentford
10.0
Nottingham Forest
9.9
West Ham
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
Newcastle
9.7
Leeds
9.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Leeds
4.3
Aston Villa
4.1
Bournemouth
4.1
Everton
4.0
Brighton
3.9
Newcastle
3.9
Fulham
3.9
Tottenham
3.7
Wolves
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.6
Chelsea
3.6
Manchester United
3.4
Arsenal
3.3
Southampton
3.3
Manchester City
3.1
Brentford
3.0
Liverpool
3.0
Leicester
2.9
West Ham
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.3
Crystal Palace
23.8
Nottingham Forest
23.0
Leeds
23.0
Bournemouth
21.8
Chelsea
21.6
Tottenham
20.9
Southampton
20.8
Fulham
20.8
Leicester
20.4
Brentford
20.1
Everton
20.1
Newcastle
20.0
Manchester United
20.0
Brighton
19.8
Arsenal
19.4
Wolves
19.3
Manchester City
18.2
Liverpool
18.1
West Ham
16.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
75.1%
Under 9.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
3.9%
Under 21.5
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.43
1.33
0.20
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.78
0.67
0.00
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (21)
1.24
0.29
1.50
0.25
0.89
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.67
0.40
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.14
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.14
0.62
0.25
vs Weaker (8)
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.25
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.23
1.67
0.13
0.93
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.11
0.33
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (21)
1.38
0.19
1.75
0.08
0.89
0.33
Clean sheet %
77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.73
0.53
0.33
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.43
0.75
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.60
0.57
0.29
0.25
0.88
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.62
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
71.8%
1.29
-
-
-
-
-
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah48%
Roberto Firmino30%
Darwin Núñez30%
Cody Gakpo26%
Luis Díaz20%
Diogo Jota14%
Fabio Carvalho12%
Joël Matip11%
Curtis Jones10%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Trent Alexander-Arnold7%
Stefan Bajčetić7%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Jordan Henderson0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahima Konaté29%
Fabinho25%
Joël Matip22%
Trent Alexander-Arnold16%
Joe Gomez15%
Konstantinos Tsimikas15%
Stefan Bajčetić13%
Naby Keïta12%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Curtis Jones10%
Luis Díaz10%
Thiago Alcântara9%
Andrew Robertson8%
James Milner8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Diogo Jota7%
Darwin Núñez5%
Jordan Henderson5%
Mohamed Salah4%
Alisson2%
Cody Gakpo0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Roberto Firmino0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Robertson23%
Mohamed Salah22%
Diogo Jota21%
Konstantinos Tsimikas19%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Luis Díaz10%
Roberto Firmino9%
Cody Gakpo9%
Darwin Núñez8%
Jordan Henderson8%
Curtis Jones5%
Harvey Elliott5%
Fabinho5%
Joe Gomez4%
James Milner3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson2%
Joël Matip0%
Naby Keïta0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah50%
Darwin Núñez41%
Luis Díaz20%
Roberto Firmino18%
Diogo Jota18%
Joël Matip11%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Cody Gakpo9%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Fabio Carvalho6%
Jordan Henderson3%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum Wilson42%
Alexander Isak36%
Miguel Almirón29%
Joelinton16%
Chris Wood11%
Bruno Guimarães9%
Joe Willock9%
Jacob Murphy8%
Anthony Gordon6%
Allan Saint-Maximin4%
Sean Longstaff3%
Fabian Schär3%
Kieran Trippier3%
Dan Burn3%
Ryan Fraser0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Sven Botman0%
Elliot Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jamaal Lascelles57%
Joelinton38%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Fabian Schär19%
Alexander Isak14%
Kieran Trippier13%
Dan Burn13%
Callum Wilson13%
Ryan Fraser12%
Nick Pope8%
Anthony Gordon6%
Sean Longstaff6%
Miguel Almirón6%
Matt Targett6%
Sven Botman6%
Allan Saint-Maximin4%
Joe Willock3%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Chris Wood0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Elliot Anderson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kieran Trippier18%
Callum Wilson16%
Allan Saint-Maximin16%
Bruno Guimarães16%
Joe Willock14%
Sean Longstaff12%
Miguel Almirón6%
Fabian Schär6%
Jacob Murphy6%
Alexander Isak5%
Elliot Anderson5%
Joelinton3%
Ryan Fraser0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nick Pope0%
Chris Wood0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Gordon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Callum Wilson39%
Joelinton19%
Miguel Almirón15%
Fabian Schär14%
Alexander Isak14%
Ryan Fraser12%
Allan Saint-Maximin12%
Joe Willock6%
Jacob Murphy6%
Bruno Guimarães3%
Sean Longstaff3%
Dan Burn3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nick Pope0%
Chris Wood0%
Matt Targett0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Gordon0%
Elliot Anderson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Liverpool's squad is €412m more valuable than Newcastle's (€980m vs €568m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Liverpool's attack is €284m more valuable than Newcastle's (€518m vs €234m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Liverpool's midfield is €77m more valuable than Newcastle's (€201m vs €124m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Liverpool's defence is €51m more valuable than Newcastle's (€260m vs €210m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester United
Brighton
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton