Liverpool’s home form is a decisive factor for the model’s clear favourite. Scoring an average of 2.82 goals while conceding only 0.55 against weaker opposition, they are expected to win 69% of the time, a draw 18%, and Newcastle 13%. The model_pick is a home win, and the expected_total_goals is 3.5, with the most likely total of 3 goals at 21%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9.4% chance. Newcastle, playing away against a stronger side, averages only 0.5 goals scored and concedes 1.0, underscoring Liverpool’s advantage. The suggested_picks include Over 2.5 cards at 92%, Over 1.5 goals at 87.6%, Over 3.5 cards at 81.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 74%, and Under 25.5 fouls at 72.6%, with the last selection marked as a miss. Liverpool’s recent draw against Nottingham Forest and Newcastle’s two-game winning streak add context, but the venue edge keeps the model firmly on a Liverpool victory.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as Liverpool secured a 4-2 home win, extending their recent run of results. The favourite, Home win, came through with a 69% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The most likely scoreline of 2-1 fell short, but the 4-2 result still reflected the team’s strong home form, averaging 2.82 goals scored and only 0.55 conceded. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 2.5 cards hit at 92%, Over 1.5 hit at 87.6%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 81.3%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 74.6%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 74.0%, while Under 25.5 fouls missed at 72.6%. The game delivered on the model’s expectations.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Liverpool win✓ Hit
68.7%
Avg Implied 69.6% · @ 1.38
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied 17.6% · @ 5.47
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✗ Miss
12.9%
Avg Implied 12.8% · @ 7.49
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
0.93
2.40
0.53
2.00
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.14
0.86
1.25
0.50
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (23)
2.52
0.96
2.82
0.55
2.25
1.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.27
2.00
0.88
1.29
1.71
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
1.17
1.50
1.25
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.65
1.40
2.36
0.82
0.78
2.11
vs Weaker (4)
2.50
0.75
0.00
0.00
3.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.7%
@ 1.38-0.6%
Under 2.5
31.3%
@ 3.12+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.3%
Under 3.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.0%
No
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.6%
1-0
6.5%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
Liverpool goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
2.2%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
1
6.5%
8.3%
3.9%
1.3%
0.3%
2
9.1%
9.4%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
3
7.6%
7.9%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
4
4.8%
4.9%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Liverpool is 0.58 points better than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (2.16 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Liverpool is 0.03 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (2.26 vs 2.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Liverpool is 0.55 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.63).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Liverpool is 9.1 percentage points better than Newcastle in terms of average possession (61% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liverpool
For 6.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Newcastle
For 5.3 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 13.2 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.5
10.5
3.7
3.5
3.9
21.7
22.1
21.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
10.3
9.3
11.7
5.1
5.2
4.8
22.6
22.9
22.2
vs Weaker (35)
10.6
11.1
10.2
3.1
2.5
3.6
21.3
21.7
21.1
% over line
54%
58%
50%
50%
50%
50%
52%
58%
46%
% under line
46%
42%
50%
50%
50%
50%
48%
42%
54%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.0
10.3
4.4
4.7
4.1
22.7
23.0
22.4
vs Stronger (9)
10.3
12.0
8.2
5.8
4.6
7.2
22.7
22.6
22.8
vs Similar (33)
10.5
10.4
10.5
4.4
4.9
3.8
23.7
24.1
23.3
vs Weaker (8)
11.9
13.0
11.2
2.8
3.3
2.4
18.5
17.3
19.2
% over line
64%
68%
60%
56%
60%
52%
52%
52%
52%
% under line
36%
32%
40%
44%
40%
48%
48%
48%
48%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bournemouth
11.6
Manchester United
11.4
Tottenham
11.4
Newcastle
10.7
West Ham
10.6
Liverpool
10.5
Luton
10.5
Sheffield United
10.4
Brentford
10.2
Wolves
10.1
Everton
10.1
Chelsea
10.1
Aston Villa
10.1
Burnley
10.0
Fulham
10.0
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Crystal Palace
9.7
Arsenal
9.5
Manchester City
9.5
Brighton
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.1
Brighton
5.0
Aston Villa
4.8
Tottenham
4.8
Wolves
4.7
Newcastle
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.3
Burnley
4.3
Sheffield United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Manchester City
4.0
Luton
4.0
Manchester United
4.0
Everton
3.9
Liverpool
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Brentford
3.6
Bournemouth
3.6
Fulham
3.6
West Ham
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.4
Chelsea
24.2
Wolves
24.1
Tottenham
24.0
Aston Villa
23.8
Brighton
23.2
Luton
23.1
Newcastle
22.7
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Fulham
21.8
Everton
21.7
Liverpool
21.7
Brentford
21.3
Arsenal
21.1
Manchester City
21.1
Burnley
21.1
Bournemouth
21.0
Manchester United
20.7
Sheffield United
20.4
West Ham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.2%
Under 9.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.3%
Under 3.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.1%
Under 21.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.63
1.27
0.47
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.71
0.75
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.09
0.61
1.45
0.45
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.88
0.31
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.33
0.75
0.25
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.55
1.00
0.36
0.22
0.78
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.30
1.13
0.07
1.27
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.14
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (23)
1.43
0.35
1.36
0.09
1.50
0.58
Clean sheet %
77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
1.12
0.56
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.85
1.36
0.45
0.56
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah46%
Diogo Jota46%
Darwin Núñez28%
Luis Díaz25%
Cody Gakpo23%
Alexis Mac Allister15%
Bobby Clark14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Andrew Robertson11%
Ryan Gravenberch10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Harvey Elliott7%
Conor Bradley7%
Wataru Endo5%
Virgil van Dijk5%
Curtis Jones3%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Joël Matip0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Luke Chambers0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Ben Doak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jayden Danns33%
Wataru Endo29%
Darwin Núñez22%
Conor Bradley20%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Alexis Mac Allister18%
Ibrahima Konaté17%
Joël Matip15%
Joe Gomez12%
Curtis Jones10%
Jarell Quansah8%
Diogo Jota8%
Andrew Robertson7%
Virgil van Dijk7%
Luis Díaz7%
Harvey Elliott7%
Mohamed Salah5%
Alisson3%
Dominik Szoboszlai2%
Cody Gakpo2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Luke Chambers0%
James McConnell0%
Bobby Clark0%
Ben Doak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah24%
Darwin Núñez20%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Harvey Elliott18%
Alexis Mac Allister15%
Bobby Clark14%
Cody Gakpo14%
Conor Bradley13%
Diogo Jota12%
Luis Díaz11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas11%
Curtis Jones10%
Andrew Robertson7%
Joe Gomez7%
Dominik Szoboszlai5%
Virgil van Dijk5%
Ryan Gravenberch3%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joël Matip0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Luke Chambers0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Ben Doak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah49%
Darwin Núñez41%
Cody Gakpo23%
Luis Díaz20%
Diogo Jota15%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold12%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Harvey Elliott9%
Ryan Gravenberch6%
Alexis Mac Allister5%
Curtis Jones3%
Ibrahima Konaté3%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Joël Matip0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Conor Bradley0%
Luke Chambers0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Bobby Clark0%
Ben Doak0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak49%
Callum Wilson33%
Anthony Gordon27%
Harvey Barnes18%
Sean Longstaff15%
Bruno Guimarães14%
Joelinton12%
Jacob Murphy12%
Sven Botman11%
Miguel Almirón10%
Fabian Schär10%
Joe Willock9%
Sandro Tonali9%
Dan Burn8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Lewis Hall5%
Lewis Miley5%
Jamaal Lascelles5%
Valentino Livramento3%
Kieran Trippier3%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Joe White0%
Elliot Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton33%
Anthony Gordon29%
Joe White25%
Bruno Guimarães23%
Matt Targett20%
Jamaal Lascelles19%
Sandro Tonali18%
Sean Longstaff18%
Fabian Schär17%
Lewis Hall16%
Nick Pope15%
Kieran Trippier15%
Elliot Anderson13%
Callum Wilson12%
Emil Krafth12%
Sven Botman11%
Dan Burn11%
Harvey Barnes9%
Miguel Almirón8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Lewis Miley5%
Martin Dúbravka4%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento3%
Alexander Isak3%
Joe Willock0%
Paul Dummett0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kieran Trippier26%
Jacob Murphy25%
Anthony Gordon22%
Lewis Miley20%
Bruno Guimarães19%
Harvey Barnes14%
Sven Botman11%
Elliot Anderson9%
Alexander Isak6%
Dan Burn5%
Sean Longstaff5%
Joelinton4%
Callum Wilson4%
Miguel Almirón3%
Fabian Schär2%
Joe Willock0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Joe White0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak34%
Callum Wilson21%
Anthony Gordon17%
Miguel Almirón13%
Joelinton12%
Elliot Anderson9%
Lewis Miley5%
Harvey Barnes5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Sean Longstaff2%
Fabian Schär2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Joe Willock0%
Emil Krafth0%
Bruno Guimarães0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Joe White0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Liverpool's squad is €412m more valuable than Newcastle's (€980m vs €568m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Liverpool's attack is €284m more valuable than Newcastle's (€518m vs €234m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Liverpool's midfield is €77m more valuable than Newcastle's (€201m vs €124m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Liverpool's defence is €51m more valuable than Newcastle's (€260m vs €210m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Chelsea
Manchester United
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United