Liverpool’s recent draw against Nottingham Forest and Newcastle’s two-game winning streak give the Reds a clear edge. The model rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 17%, making the home victory the most likely outcome. With an expected total of 3.7 goals, the average match is expected to see three goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 2-1 for Liverpool at 9.3%. Liverpool’s home form against weaker opponents shows an average of 2.71 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded, while Newcastle’s away form against stronger sides averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 89.1%, Under 25.5 fouls at 76.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 74.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 71.2%, Over 8.5 corners at 82.6% (miss), Over 2.5 cards at 79.4% (miss), Over 9.5 corners at 73.3% (miss), and Over 2.5 at 71.4% with a 4% edge (miss). All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
Results analysis
Liverpool’s 2-0 win over Newcastle extended their recent form, turning a draw into a victory after a 2-2 stalemate against Nottingham Forest. The model’s favourite was a home win with a 64% probability, and the prediction proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 2-1, yet Liverpool prevailed 2-0. The model’s selections fared mixed: Over 1.5 goals hit at 89.1%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 76.1%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 74.7%, and Over 19.5 fouls hit at 71.2%. Over 8.5 corners, Over 2.5 cards, Over 9.5 corners, and Over 2.5 goals all missed, with probabilities of 82.6%, 79.4%, 73.3%, and 71.4% respectively. Overall, the model delivered a solid call on the result while its other predictions were a mixed bag.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Liverpool win✓ Hit
63.8%
Avg Implied 70.0% · @ 1.37
Edge
-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.5%
Avg Implied 17.5% · @ 5.47
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✗ Miss
16.7%
Avg Implied 12.4% · @ 7.71
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.43
1.07
2.69
0.69
2.24
1.35
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
2.50
1.08
2.67
0.33
2.33
1.83
vs Weaker (18)
2.39
1.06
2.71
1.00
2.18
1.09
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.27
2.00
1.12
1.86
1.43
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
1.33
1.75
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
1.76
1.47
1.75
1.62
1.78
1.33
vs Weaker (7)
2.71
0.71
2.75
0.25
2.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.1%
Under 1.5
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
71.4%
@ 1.42+3.9%
Under 2.5
28.6%
@ 2.94-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.4%
No
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
2-0 ✓
7.6%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
4-1
4.7%
Liverpool goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.2%
2.3%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
1
5.4%
8.3%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
2
7.6%
9.3%
5.7%
2.3%
0.7%
3
6.2%
7.6%
4.7%
1.9%
0.6%
4
3.8%
4.7%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Liverpool is 0.47 points better than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (2.21 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Liverpool is 0.47 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (2.26 vs 1.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Liverpool is 0.16 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Liverpool is 7.3 percentage points better than Newcastle in terms of average possession (58% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liverpool
For 5.5 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 9.2 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Newcastle
For 5.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.5
10.1
3.6
4.1
3.3
21.3
22.2
20.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
9.5
10.3
9.0
3.4
4.2
2.8
20.9
23.1
19.4
vs Weaker (31)
10.8
10.6
10.9
3.8
4.0
3.6
21.5
21.7
21.3
% over line
58%
58%
58%
52%
59%
46%
47%
53%
42%
% under line
42%
42%
42%
48%
41%
54%
53%
47%
58%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.2
10.5
3.7
3.9
3.5
22.9
24.6
21.2
vs Stronger (7)
10.4
10.7
10.0
3.6
5.8
0.7
24.6
28.0
19.5
vs Similar (32)
11.3
12.4
10.5
4.2
4.1
4.2
22.7
24.1
21.7
vs Weaker (11)
9.6
9.2
11.0
2.5
2.5
2.3
22.8
24.0
19.0
% over line
62%
71%
52%
52%
58%
46%
62%
76%
48%
% under line
38%
29%
48%
48%
42%
54%
38%
24%
52%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.6
Bournemouth
11.7
Manchester United
11.2
Brentford
11.2
Newcastle
10.9
Everton
10.9
Fulham
10.7
Southampton
10.7
Nottingham Forest
10.6
Ipswich
10.6
Manchester City
10.5
Liverpool
10.4
Aston Villa
10.4
Crystal Palace
10.3
Brighton
10.1
Wolves
10.1
Chelsea
9.9
Leicester
9.8
West Ham
9.8
Arsenal
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.8
Aston Villa
4.8
Bournemouth
4.7
Brighton
4.5
Wolves
4.5
Newcastle
4.5
Southampton
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Tottenham
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Fulham
4.1
Leicester
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
West Ham
3.9
Manchester United
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Ipswich
3.7
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.3
Bournemouth
23.8
Tottenham
23.7
Wolves
23.5
Southampton
23.1
Brighton
23.0
Newcastle
22.9
Crystal Palace
22.8
Ipswich
22.6
Chelsea
22.4
Arsenal
22.0
Everton
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.8
West Ham
21.5
Leicester
21.3
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.8
Manchester United
20.6
Brentford
19.4
Manchester City
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
73.3%
Under 9.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.1%
Under 3.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.9%
Under 21.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.50
0.92
0.23
1.00
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.67
0.50
0.00
1.50
1.33
vs Weaker (18)
0.94
0.39
1.29
0.43
0.73
0.36
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.70
1.12
0.44
1.07
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.67
0.75
0.25
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (17)
1.24
0.71
1.38
0.62
1.11
0.78
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.71
1.00
0.25
1.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.57
1.77
0.46
1.24
0.65
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.50
0.42
2.17
0.33
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (18)
1.44
0.67
1.43
0.57
1.45
0.73
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.88
0.69
0.79
0.43
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.75
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.76
0.38
1.00
0.67
0.56
vs Weaker (7)
1.57
0.00
1.75
0.00
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
71.4%
1.42
-
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah56%
Cody Gakpo31%
Jayden Danns25%
Luis Díaz24%
Diogo Jota22%
Harvey Elliott18%
Dominik Szoboszlai16%
Alexis Mac Allister14%
Federico Chiesa14%
Darwin Núñez13%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Curtis Jones7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James McConnell25%
Alexis Mac Allister22%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Darwin Núñez19%
Ibrahima Konaté19%
Virgil van Dijk14%
Ryan Gravenberch14%
Harvey Elliott14%
Conor Bradley14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Joe Gomez12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold11%
Andrew Robertson11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas10%
Cody Gakpo10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Luis Díaz6%
Diogo Jota5%
Curtis Jones4%
Wataru Endo3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jayden Danns0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah37%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Dominik Szoboszlai14%
Conor Bradley14%
Trent Alexander-Arnold14%
Curtis Jones13%
Cody Gakpo12%
Harvey Elliott11%
Darwin Núñez11%
Alexis Mac Allister10%
Luis Díaz10%
Ryan Gravenberch8%
Diogo Jota8%
Federico Chiesa7%
Konstantinos Tsimikas7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Andrew Robertson4%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah52%
Cody Gakpo24%
Darwin Núñez21%
Luis Díaz18%
Diogo Jota16%
Harvey Elliott11%
Dominik Szoboszlai10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Curtis Jones4%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Alexis Mac Allister4%
Konstantinos Tsimikas3%
Ibrahima Konaté2%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak52%
Anthony Gordon21%
Harvey Barnes20%
Jacob Murphy17%
Fabian Schär14%
Sandro Tonali11%
Joelinton11%
Bruno Guimarães11%
William Osula11%
Lewis Miley11%
Joe Willock5%
Callum Wilson5%
Dan Burn4%
Kieran Trippier0%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton32%
Fabian Schär29%
Dan Burn26%
Bruno Guimarães21%
Lloyd Kelly14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Sean Longstaff12%
Nick Pope12%
Joe Willock12%
Lewis Hall12%
Emil Krafth11%
Sven Botman10%
Jacob Murphy10%
Anthony Gordon10%
Valentino Livramento7%
William Osula5%
Callum Wilson5%
Kieran Trippier3%
Alexander Isak2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Matt Targett0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Murphy29%
Matt Targett20%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Alexander Isak14%
Anthony Gordon14%
Lewis Hall12%
Harvey Barnes10%
Kieran Trippier10%
Joelinton8%
Lloyd Kelly7%
Sandro Tonali7%
William Osula5%
Joe Willock5%
Sean Longstaff3%
Fabian Schär2%
Valentino Livramento2%
Dan Burn2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Nick Pope0%
Sven Botman0%
Lewis Miley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak33%
Harvey Barnes15%
Anthony Gordon12%
William Osula11%
Jacob Murphy10%
Joelinton8%
Joe Willock7%
Miguel Almirón7%
Bruno Guimarães6%
Fabian Schär5%
Lewis Hall3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Miley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Liverpool's squad is €412m more valuable than Newcastle's (€980m vs €568m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Liverpool's attack is €284m more valuable than Newcastle's (€518m vs €234m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Liverpool's midfield is €77m more valuable than Newcastle's (€201m vs €124m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Liverpool's defence is €51m more valuable than Newcastle's (€260m vs €210m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton