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Liverpool vs Newcastle Result & Analysis

Date: 16/03/2025
Time: 16:30
Final 1-2
Liverpool
Liverpool
Vs
55%
25%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: League Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Liverpool are tipped to win this League Cup clash, with the model assigning a 55% chance to a home victory, a 25% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of a Newcastle win. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.7% probability. Liverpool’s home form against weaker opponents is strong, averaging 2.75 goals scored and only 0.88 conceded, while Newcastle’s away record against stronger teams is poor, with just 0.67 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6%), Under 6.5 (97.0%), Under 5.5 (92.2%), Home +2 handicap (91.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (88.2%) and Home over 0.5 goals (84.4%). The match is expected to see Liverpool dominate the attack, with Newcastle struggling to find the net.

Results analysis

Liverpool’s hopes of a home win were dashed as Newcastle snatched a 2-1 victory, extending their two-game winning run after a 2-0 win over Tottenham. The pre-match favourite, Liverpool, was backed by the model at 55% but the prediction proved incorrect. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 at 98.9%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.6%, Under 6.5 at 97.0%, Under 5.5 at 92.2%, Home +2 handicap at 91.9%, Away under 2.5 goals at 90.5%, Home under 3.5 goals at 88.2%, and Home over 0.5 goals at 84.4%. The match delivered a tight 1-2 scoreline, confirming the model’s accuracy on the total-goals side while missing the favourite call.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liverpool win✗ Miss
54.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✓ Hit
20.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L22D21W22D20W20W10W31W01LH·TOT06/02A·PLY09/02A·EVE12/02H·WOL16/02A·AST19/02A·MAN23/02H·NEW26/02A·PAR05/03H·SOU08/03H·PAR11/03← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.270.972.430.712.121.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.081.002.000.502.171.50
vs Weaker (18)2.390.942.750.882.101.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L31W12L20W32W04L43W02L11D10WH·BOU18/01A·SOU25/01H·FUL01/02H·ARS05/02A·BIR08/02A·MAN15/02H·NOT23/02A·LIV26/02H·BRI02/03A·WES10/03← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.202.001.121.711.29
vs Stronger (6)1.331.502.001.000.672.00
vs Similar (18)1.721.281.671.561.781.00
vs Weaker (6)2.830.672.750.253.001.50
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.3%
Under 2.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
1-2 ✓
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
Liverpool goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
01234
06.4%4.7%3.1%1.1%0.3%
18.8%12%5.7%2.1%0.6%
29.2%9.9%5.3%1.9%0.5%
35.7%6.1%3.3%1.2%0.3%
42.6%2.8%1.5%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Manchester United
2.00
Derby
2.00
Everton
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Watford
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Coventry
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Southampton
1.75
Preston
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Stoke
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Oxford
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Cardiff
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Barrow
1.33
Leicester
1.33
QPR
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Luton
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Reading
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Grimsby
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Burton
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Salford
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Hull
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Liverpool is 0.71 points worse than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Notts County
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Watford
2.67
Southampton
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Cardiff
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Stoke
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Wrexham
2.00
Everton
2.00
Preston
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Sheffield United
2.00
Reading
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Shrewsbury
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Brentford
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Walsall
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
QPR
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Luton
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Newport County
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Derby
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Coventry
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Hull
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Burton
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Salford
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Liverpool is 0.64 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Everton
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Fulham
0.50
Blackpool
0.67
Watford
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Coventry
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Luton
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Preston
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Bournemouth
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Brentford
1.25
Crystal Palace
1.25
Leyton Orient
1.33
QPR
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Aston Villa
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Brighton
1.67
Leicester
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Bromley
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Tranmere
2.00
Salford
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Carlisle
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Reading
2.00
Hull
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Cardiff
2.50
Barnsley
2.67
Gillingham
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Morecambe
3.00
Cheltenham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Leeds
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Wrexham
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Swindon
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Liverpool is 0.74 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 0.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 4.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

18012664214425786433233281810166121475610H·PARH·SOUA·PARH·NEWA·MANA·ASTH·WOLA·EVEA·BOUA·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

6011211111223332422321014656H·PARH·SOUA·PARH·NEWA·MANA·ASTH·WOLA·EVEA·BOUA·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 8.8 · Total 20.2

⚠️ Fouls

290146109731211103681513209915111120191023131428292422H·PARH·SOUA·PARH·NEWA·MANA·ASTH·WOLA·EVEA·BOUA·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

For 5.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

1904324764747837642109327613111111136195A·WESA·LIVH·NOTA·MANH·FULA·SOUH·BOUH·WOLA·TOTA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

801114144116241111151817252A·WESA·LIVH·NOTA·MANH·FULA·SOUH·BOUH·WOLA·TOTA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

2601571112111313510155107181013151181322232418251525232621A·WESA·LIVH·NOTA·MANH·FULA·SOUH·BOUH·WOLA·TOTA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.510.63.63.93.321.122.120.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)10.711.210.33.34.02.720.122.818.0
vs Weaker (30)10.510.110.93.83.93.721.821.721.9
% over line60%57%64%52%54%50%47%52%41%
% under line40%43%36%48%46%50%53%48%59%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.911.610.23.53.73.422.824.121.6
vs Stronger (8)9.710.78.73.25.80.824.328.020.7
vs Similar (32)11.413.010.44.03.94.122.623.522.1
vs Weaker (10)9.69.011.02.32.32.321.923.019.0
% over line61%74%50%48%52%44%63%74%55%
% under line39%26%50%52%48%56%37%26%45%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.3
Coventry
11.6
Sheffield Weds
11.5
Bournemouth
11.5
QPR
11.2
Crawley Town
11.2
Barnsley
11.2
Huddersfield
11.1
Leeds
11.0
Brentford
10.9
Harrogate
10.9
Morecambe
10.8
Newcastle
10.8
Luton
10.8
Everton
10.8
Doncaster
10.7
Sheffield United
10.7
Nottingham Forest
10.7
Stoke
10.7
Fulham
10.7
Manchester United
10.7
Southampton
10.7
Portsmouth
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Ipswich
10.6
Bristol Rvs
10.5
West Brom
10.5
Port Vale
10.4
Manchester City
10.4
Millwall
10.4
Derby
10.4
Exeter
10.4
Bolton
10.4
Hull
10.3
Oxford
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.3
Bromley
10.3
Fleetwood Town
10.3
Stevenage
10.3
Swindon
10.3
Norwich
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Tranmere
10.2
Notts County
10.2
Plymouth
10.2
Reading
10.2
Brighton
10.2
Bristol City
10.2
Swansea
10.1
Middlesbrough
10.1
Chesterfield
10.1
Walsall
10.1
Aston Villa
10.1
Watford
10.1
Wolves
10.0
Newport County
10.0
Rotherham
10.0
Carlisle
10.0
Crewe
10.0
Leyton Orient
9.9
Shrewsbury
9.9
Sunderland
9.8
West Ham
9.8
Charlton
9.8
Leicester
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
Blackburn
9.8
Barrow
9.8
Birmingham
9.8
Blackpool
9.7
Burton
9.7
Cardiff
9.6
Grimsby
9.6
Burnley
9.5
Bradford
9.5
Mansfield
9.5
Lincoln
9.5
Cheltenham
9.5
Wrexham
9.5
Colchester
9.4
Cambridge
9.2
Wigan
9.2
Arsenal
9.2
Accrington
9.2
Wycombe
9.1
Salford
9.1
Preston
9.0
Northampton
8.9
AFC Wimbledon
8.9
Milton Keynes Dons
8.8
Gillingham
8.8
Stockport
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.1
Bournemouth
4.7
Chelsea
4.7
Bradford
4.7
Aston Villa
4.7
Accrington
4.6
Salford
4.6
Colchester
4.5
Wolves
4.5
Brighton
4.5
Gillingham
4.4
Chesterfield
4.4
Stevenage
4.4
Lincoln
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
AFC Wimbledon
4.3
Crewe
4.3
Newcastle
4.3
Tranmere
4.3
Grimsby
4.3
Sunderland
4.3
Southampton
4.3
Barrow
4.3
Watford
4.2
Exeter
4.2
Notts County
4.2
Portsmouth
4.2
Carlisle
4.2
Doncaster
4.2
Tottenham
4.2
Milton Keynes Dons
4.1
Crawley Town
4.1
Fulham
4.1
Wigan
4.0
Luton
4.0
Cambridge
4.0
Morecambe
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
Birmingham
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Burnley
4.0
Shrewsbury
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
Huddersfield
4.0
Manchester United
4.0
Leicester
3.9
Stockport
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Preston
3.9
Mansfield
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Blackburn
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.8
Burton
3.8
Charlton
3.8
Bristol City
3.8
West Brom
3.8
Oxford
3.8
Bristol Rvs
3.7
Hull
3.7
Newport County
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Walsall
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Cheltenham
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Plymouth
3.6
Brentford
3.6
Wycombe
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Leeds
3.6
Cardiff
3.6
Everton
3.6
Port Vale
3.6
Blackpool
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Manchester City
3.5
Leyton Orient
3.5
Northampton
3.4
Peterboro
3.4
Derby
3.4
Millwall
3.3
Rotherham
3.2
Reading
3.2
Swindon
3.2
Harrogate
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Accrington
25.5
Stevenage
25.3
Bolton
25.2
Grimsby
25.0
Salford
24.8
Stockport
24.8
Luton
24.6
Colchester
24.5
Morecambe
24.5
Portsmouth
24.4
Bradford
24.4
Wigan
24.4
Preston
24.3
Wycombe
24.2
Birmingham
24.2
Cheltenham
24.1
Bournemouth
24.1
Lincoln
24.0
Doncaster
23.9
Exeter
23.9
Tottenham
23.8
Cambridge
23.8
Aston Villa
23.8
Rotherham
23.7
Millwall
23.7
Wolves
23.6
Gillingham
23.6
Milton Keynes Dons
23.6
Plymouth
23.5
Sunderland
23.5
AFC Wimbledon
23.4
Leeds
23.3
Blackburn
23.3
Watford
23.3
Sheffield Weds
23.2
Southampton
23.1
Crewe
23.1
Newport County
23.1
Mansfield
23.0
Burnley
23.0
Swansea
23.0
Shrewsbury
23.0
Huddersfield
22.9
Brighton
22.8
Reading
22.8
Blackpool
22.8
Newcastle
22.7
Chesterfield
22.7
Charlton
22.7
QPR
22.6
Ipswich
22.5
Crystal Palace
22.4
Carlisle
22.3
Chelsea
22.3
Barrow
22.3
Hull
22.3
Tranmere
22.2
Fleetwood Town
22.2
Norwich
22.1
Peterboro
22.0
Cardiff
21.8
Arsenal
21.8
West Ham
21.8
Bristol Rvs
21.7
Bristol City
21.7
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Leicester
21.7
Oxford
21.7
Harrogate
21.6
Port Vale
21.6
Coventry
21.6
Everton
21.6
Crawley Town
21.5
Burton
21.5
Northampton
21.5
Walsall
21.4
Wrexham
21.4
Derby
21.4
Leyton Orient
21.3
Sheffield United
21.3
Stoke
21.2
Bromley
21.1
Notts County
20.9
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.8
Manchester United
20.8
Swindon
20.8
Middlesbrough
20.6
Barnsley
20.5
West Brom
20.4
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.2%
Under 9.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.0%
Under 3.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.4%
Under 21.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Liverpool or Draw✗ Miss
79.3%
Avg Implied -
55%
25%
21%
covers Liverpool + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool or Newcastle✓ Hit
75.3%
Avg Implied -
55%
25%
21%
covers Liverpool + Newcastle
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Newcastle✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied -
55%
25%
21%
covers Draw + Newcastle
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Liverpool over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.4%
Under
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
55.4%
Under
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
28.5%
Under
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
Under
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.0%
Under
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.3%
Under
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Liverpool, so a minus line means Liverpool give that many goals of a start and Newcastle receive them. At -1, Liverpool must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Liverpool win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Liverpool)Actual: Newcastle
Liverpool -2
14.9%
Draw -2
17.0%
Newcastle +2
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Liverpool)Actual: Newcastle
Liverpool -1
32.0%
Draw -1
22.6%
Newcastle +1
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Liverpool)Actual: Draw
Liverpool +1
79.3%
Draw +1
12.7%
Newcastle -1
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Liverpool)Actual: Liverpool
Liverpool +2
91.9%
Draw +2
5.7%
Newcastle -2
2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D20W12L20W10W00D01L01LH·TOT06/02A·PLY09/02A·EVE12/02H·WOL16/02A·AST19/02A·MAN23/02H·NEW26/02A·PAR05/03H·SOU08/03H·PAR11/03← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.470.930.291.000.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.920.580.500.171.331.00
vs Weaker (18)1.000.391.250.380.800.40
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L21W10W10W22D03L41W01L11D00DH·BOU18/01A·SOU25/01H·FUL01/02H·ARS05/02A·BIR08/02A·MAN15/02H·NOT23/02A·LIV26/02H·BRI02/03A·WES10/03← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.631.190.441.070.86
vs Stronger (6)0.670.671.000.000.331.33
vs Similar (18)1.220.611.330.671.110.56
vs Weaker (6)1.330.671.000.252.001.50
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L11D01L10W00D10W10W30W00DH·TOT06/02A·PLY09/02A·EVE12/02H·WOL16/02A·AST19/02A·MAN23/02H·NEW26/02A·PAR05/03H·SOU08/03H·PAR11/03← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.501.500.431.120.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.170.421.500.330.830.50
vs Weaker (18)1.390.561.500.501.300.60
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W02L10W10W01L02L01L00D10WH·BOU18/01A·SOU25/01H·FUL01/02H·ARS05/02A·BIR08/02A·MAN15/02H·NOT23/02A·LIV26/02H·BRI02/03A·WES10/03← Premier LeagueLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.810.690.640.43
vs Stronger (6)0.670.831.001.000.330.67
vs Similar (18)0.500.670.330.890.670.44
vs Weaker (6)1.500.001.750.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap91.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals90.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals88.2%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals84.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.582.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls81.1%--------
Over 1.580.2%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw79.3%-------✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap79.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards77.9%--------
Under 5.5 cards76.6%--------
Home or Away75.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.0%--------
Home under 2.5 goals71.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals70.7%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah56%
Cody Gakpo31%
Jayden Danns25%
Luis Díaz24%
Diogo Jota22%
Harvey Elliott18%
Dominik Szoboszlai16%
Alexis Mac Allister14%
Federico Chiesa14%
Darwin Núñez13%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Curtis Jones7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James McConnell25%
Alexis Mac Allister22%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Darwin Núñez19%
Ibrahima Konaté19%
Virgil van Dijk14%
Ryan Gravenberch14%
Harvey Elliott14%
Conor Bradley14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Joe Gomez12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold11%
Andrew Robertson11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas10%
Cody Gakpo10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Luis Díaz6%
Diogo Jota5%
Curtis Jones4%
Wataru Endo3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jayden Danns0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah37%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Dominik Szoboszlai14%
Conor Bradley14%
Trent Alexander-Arnold14%
Curtis Jones13%
Cody Gakpo12%
Harvey Elliott11%
Darwin Núñez11%
Alexis Mac Allister10%
Luis Díaz10%
Ryan Gravenberch8%
Diogo Jota8%
Federico Chiesa7%
Konstantinos Tsimikas7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Andrew Robertson4%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah52%
Cody Gakpo24%
Darwin Núñez21%
Luis Díaz18%
Diogo Jota16%
Harvey Elliott11%
Dominik Szoboszlai10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Curtis Jones4%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Alexis Mac Allister4%
Konstantinos Tsimikas3%
Ibrahima Konaté2%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak52%
Anthony Gordon21%
Harvey Barnes20%
Jacob Murphy17%
Fabian Schär14%
Sandro Tonali11%
Joelinton11%
Bruno Guimarães11%
William Osula11%
Lewis Miley11%
Joe Willock5%
Callum Wilson5%
Dan Burn4%
Kieran Trippier0%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton32%
Fabian Schär29%
Dan Burn26%
Bruno Guimarães21%
Lloyd Kelly14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Sean Longstaff12%
Nick Pope12%
Joe Willock12%
Lewis Hall12%
Emil Krafth11%
Sven Botman10%
Jacob Murphy10%
Anthony Gordon10%
Valentino Livramento7%
William Osula5%
Callum Wilson5%
Kieran Trippier3%
Alexander Isak2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Matt Targett0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Murphy29%
Matt Targett20%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Alexander Isak14%
Anthony Gordon14%
Lewis Hall12%
Harvey Barnes10%
Kieran Trippier10%
Joelinton8%
Lloyd Kelly7%
Sandro Tonali7%
William Osula5%
Joe Willock5%
Sean Longstaff3%
Fabian Schär2%
Valentino Livramento2%
Dan Burn2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Nick Pope0%
Sven Botman0%
Lewis Miley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak33%
Harvey Barnes15%
Anthony Gordon12%
William Osula11%
Jacob Murphy10%
Joelinton8%
Joe Willock7%
Miguel Almirón7%
Bruno Guimarães6%
Fabian Schär5%
Lewis Hall3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Miley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
Liverpool's squad is €412m more valuable than Newcastle's (€980m vs €568m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Liverpool's attack is €284m more valuable than Newcastle's (€518m vs €234m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Liverpool's midfield is €77m more valuable than Newcastle's (€201m vs €124m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Liverpool's defence is €51m more valuable than Newcastle's (€260m vs €210m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
7
LIV wins
1
Draws
0
NEW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Liverpool vs Newcastle · H/A from LIV
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/25HLIV Vs Newcastle2-0
04/12/24ANewcastle Vs LIV3-3
01/01/24HLIV Vs Newcastle4-2
27/08/23ANewcastle Vs LIV1-2
18/02/23ANewcastle Vs LIV0-2
31/08/22HLIV Vs Newcastle2-1
30/04/22ANewcastle Vs LIV0-1
16/12/21HLIV Vs Newcastle3-1

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/25HLIV Vs Paris Saint Germain0-1
08/03/25HLIV Vs Southampton3-1
05/03/25AParis Saint Germain Vs LIV0-1
26/02/25HLIV Vs Newcastle2-0
23/02/25AManchester City Vs LIV0-2
19/02/25AAston Villa Vs LIV2-2
16/02/25HLIV Vs Wolves2-1
12/02/25AEverton Vs LIV2-2
09/02/25APlymouth Vs LIV1-0
06/02/25HLIV Vs Tottenham4-0

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/25AWest Ham Vs NEW0-1
02/03/25HNEW Vs Brighton1-1
26/02/25ALiverpool Vs NEW2-0
23/02/25HNEW Vs Nottingham Forest4-3
15/02/25AManchester City Vs NEW4-0
08/02/25ABirmingham Vs NEW2-3
05/02/25HNEW Vs Arsenal2-0
01/02/25HNEW Vs Fulham1-2
25/01/25ASouthampton Vs NEW1-3
18/01/25HNEW Vs Bournemouth1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Liverpool
Liverpool
England: League Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL2.34
HomeWWWWL2.58
AwayLDDWW2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %72%83%62%
AVG goals3.243.173.31
Over 1.5 %84%92%77%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %44%42%46%
Scored2.322.502.15
Conceded0.920.671.15
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet42%46%38%
Corners10.5810.5210.64
Cards4.164.483.86
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: League Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.86
HomeLLWWD2.12
AwayWWLLW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%64%48%
AVG goals3.243.203.28
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %42%36%48%
Scored1.942.161.72
Conceded1.301.041.56
BTTS58%52%64%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners10.8511.5810.23
Cards4.324.893.82

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches