Liverpool vs Tottenham Result & Analysis

Liverpool are the clear favourites, with a 55% chance of victory, 26% for a draw and 18% for Tottenham to win. The model expects 2.6 goals on average, with the most likely total being two goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.5% probability. Liverpool have been prolific at home, averaging 2.75 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Tottenham have managed 1.67 goals scored and 0.89 conceded on the road against comparable opposition. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 97%, Under 5.5 cards at 96.6%, Under 23.5 fouls at 92.7%, Under 21.5 fouls at 84.5%, Over 1.5 at 74.2%, and Over 8.5 corners at 73.9%. The model also lists Under 4.5 cards at 90.7% (miss) and Under 3.5 cards at 78.3% (miss). Liverpool’s recent form shows a string of draws and a 2-2 draw against Nottingham Forest, while Tottenham have been struggling with a 0-2 loss to Newcastle.

Liverpool’s 1-1 draw with Tottenham shocked the Pythia model, which had tipped a home win at 55 percent. The final score of 1-1 confirmed a draw, so the model’s favourite was wrong. Liverpool were coming off a draw in their last match, while Tottenham had just suffered a defeat. The model’s other selections largely held up: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 97 percent, Under 5.5 cards hit at 96.6 percent, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 92.7 percent, Under 21.5 fouls hit at 84.5 percent, Over 1.5 hit at 74.2 percent and Over 8.5 corners hit at 73.9 percent. However, Under 4.5 cards missed at 90.7 percent and Under 3.5 cards missed at 78.3 percent.